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Federal Conservatives trail NDP in BC; provincial Conservatives threaten BC Liberals: Poll

New polls show the federal NDP at 40 per cent among B.C. voters, ten points ahead of the Conservatives, while the B.C. Conservatives are seriously weakening Premier Christy Clark's provincial Liberals.

Justason Market Intelligence released the first of the polls on March 16. It showed the Conservative Party of Canada falling from 46 per cent in May 2011 to 30 per cent this month. Meanwhile support for the federal NDP has risen from 33 per cent to 40, while the Liberals have risen from 13 per cent to 20. "The Green Party has held steady at 8% since the election," the news release said.

The same poll found British Columbians opposed to Bill C-30:

The Justason poll also finds a strong majority of BC residents (73%) opposing the Lawful Access bill (Bill C-30, also known as the Protecting Children from Internet Predators Act). Notably, over half of BC residents strongly oppose this legislation (55%). Seventeen percent (17%) support the legislation, with 5% strongly supportive.

On March 17 Justason released results of another poll, this one on B.C. voters' intentions in the next provincial election. Its findings:

The BC New Democratic Party is well on its way to forming the next government. But with only marginal growth since the last general election, they can’t take too much credit for their current position. The emergence of the BC Conservative Party is the game changer in this provincial race.

Currently, 45% of voters would support the NDP, up only slightly from 42% in the last general election. About one-third of BC Liberal supporters in the last election have moved their vote to the BC Conservatives. BC Liberal support stands at 31%, down 15 percentage points. BC Conservative support stands at 14%.

Crawford Kilian is a contributing editor of The Tyee.

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