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Laurier Institute tracks election interactively

The Laurier Institute for the Study of Public Opinion and Policy (LISPOP) is running a website tracking the 2011 federal election day by day on an interactive map.

Based at Wilfred Laurier University, LISPOP uses current poll numbers to update the map. As of March 28, the Election Tracker blog was calling Justin Trudeau's riding of Papineau as "too close to call." In the same category are Surrey-North and North Vancouver.

When users visit the Electoral Map, they see regions of the country colour-coded by party support. Clicking on a region brings up individual ridings with the 2008 election results and a projection for 2011..

In British Columbia, for example, rolling the cursor over the Lower Mainland shows that the Conservatives won North Vancouver by 42 percent the Liberals' 37 percent and the NDP's 9 percent. This year, the riding is still too close to call. Delta Richmond-East was solid Conservative in 2008 with 56 percent; this year, the projection is "Conservatives leading." Vancouver Centre went Liberal in 2008 and "Liberals leading" is the current projection.

Elsewhere in the province, the Electoral Map shows Vancouver Island North as too close to call. The Conservatives took it in 2008 with 46 percent of the vote and the NDP close behind at 41 percent. The Liberals gained only 4 percent of the vote.

Most of the B.C. interior is solid Conservative blue, with the exception of strongly NDP Southern Interior. Thinly populated Skeena-Bulkley Valley also shows the NDP leading.

In a March 28 report based on a blend of four recent polls, LISPOP projected a 156-seat Conservative majority.

Crawford Kilian is a contributing editor of The Tyee.

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