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POLL: BC NDP widening lead over Liberals

A new poll show B.C.'s New Democrats pulling further ahead of the Christy Clark Liberal government, while other political gauges also show a gap -- but not quite as wide.

The Ipsos Reid poll, released today by Global News/BC1, says the NDP enjoy support from 51 per cent of British Columbians, up three per cent from November. The Liberals are at 32 per cent, down three per cent since November. The report went on:

The BC Conservatives and the BC Green Party both have support in the single digits, at nine and seven per cent respectively.

However, disapproval of both leaders is on the rise.

Approval ratings for Premier Christy Clark have dropped four points since November. Her disapproval rating has risen by six points. Only three in ten people say they support the Premier.

51 per cent of British Columbians say they approve of the job BC NDP leader Adrian Dix is doing. But his disapproval rating of 40 per cent (21 per cent strongly disapprove) is up six points since November. Dix continues to be the leader that British Columbians think would make the best Premier and is the choice of 37 per cent of voters, down two points. Christy Clark is unchanged at 23 per cent.

The poll also found that the NDP is leading in all regions, including a 21-point lead in Metro Vancouver and a nine-point lead in Interior/North. It noted that BC Conservatives find their highest support in Interior/North with 13 per cent.

The numbers contrast with a recent report by Eric Grenier at his blog In a Feb. 25 analysis of an Angus Reid poll done on Feb. 22, the NDP had 47.6 per cent, up 1.8 per cent since February 10. The Liberals, according to Angus Reid, were up 1.5 per cent to 31.2 per cent. The Conservatives had fallen 2.3 points to 10.8 per cent, and the Green Party at 8.6 per cent had fallen by one point.

Meanwhile, a March 14 update of the Sauder School of Business Prediction Market for the provincial election shows the current prediction of the popular vote share: 28.5 per cent for the Liberals, 43.3 per cent for the NDP, 10.9 per cent for the Greens, 14.4 per cent for the Conservatives, and three per cent for others. The current seat prediction is 56 for the NDP, 22 for the Liberals, three for the Conservatives, one Green, and three others -- presumably the three independent candidates running in the election.

Crawford Kilian is a contributing editor of The Tyee.

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