If Christy Clark is a stock, blogger Sacha Peters has posted some very bearish musings.

A Certified Management Accountant who tracks the UBC Election Prediction Market when not advising financial firms, Peters yesterday posted on his BC Election 2013 site "a scenario where Christy Clark decides to resign and the BC Liberals elect an interim premier."

The time had come to "factor in" such an event, he said, and he concluded it would likely cause any new BC Liberal interim leader to try and push back the provincial election date:

"It is running quite close to the legislated election date, so the first order of business would be to change the fixed election date from May 14, 2013 to Oct. 1, 2013. This is in parallel with the private members' legislation being proposed by the independent MLAs (and specifically it was Bob Simpson bringing the bill forward). The government would need to receive royal assent on this measure by April 15, 2013 (as the writ drops on April 16, 2013).

"I would find it very unlikely that the BC Liberals would have time to come up with a comprehensive campaign strategy with a new leader in place with the existing fixed election date…."

Peters goes on to compare the current situation to Glen Clark's relatively fast dropping of the writ after taking over the premiership from Mike Harcourt. Clark gave himself a mere 68 days to prepare for his eventually successful campaign, Peters notes.

"If there was a change in the BC Liberal party leadership today, there would be 46 days until the mandated election date occurred and without 43 votes in the legislature to agree on changing the fixed election date, it is unlikely such a future government would be able to mount anything like what Glen Clark did back in 1996."

Read Peters' entire post here.

David Beers is editor of The Tyee.