Will McMartin, a long-time political consultant and commentator who has been affiliated with the Social Credit and BC Conservative parties, is a contributing editor at The Pacific Political Report.
Stories by Will McMartin
Here are the Conservatives' most vulnerable ridings across Canada.
Byelections reveal Conservative strength in election fortresses.
No time to coast New Dems! To gain victory in October, still more lift needed in key regions.
Fast changing faith has forged a whole new campaign playing field in Canada.
New Dems, unlike Tories and Grits, aim to raise rate after years of deep cuts.
Checking in on our deflating market, punctured by Christy Clark's big plan.
Notley's proposed corporate tax hike won't kill investment or jobs.
But lots of goodies earmarked for Tory constituencies.
Obsession with bottom line no guarantee of fiscal competence.
To start, Canada's 42nd general vote is only 200 days from today.
How a serious hike in the minimum wage would revive prosperity for all citizens.
Will McMartin details how the BC Liberals squandered a historic chance to strengthen this province.
Why this doomed to fail, billion-dollar mega-project should make BC taxpayers tremble.
Peter Restler and his investment firm CAI have a long history in BC politics.
Gwyn Morgan of incoming premier's transition team chairs SNC-Lavalin, constructor of 'state of the art' jail likely to house opponents of Libya's dictator.
Firm winning $73 million contract is connected to BC Hydro director, has close ties with Libs.
Between bites of crow, our pundit maps Clark's win, and some challenges she faces.
And if your inner wonk is up to it, here are calculations that make our pundit a contrarian.
Bottom line with BC Liberals is their bottom line is easily manipulated.
Why the farmer, historian and career politician is favoured to succeed Gordon Campbell.
Business backs him, even though he oversaw a massive jump in debt. So what are his odds?
She's first in opinion polls to be next premier, but where is her 'base'?
Libs forfeiting over $100 million in tax revenue didn't stop drain of 1,600 big bank positions.
Should you bite on what BC Lib leader hopefuls are serving? Take this quiz!
Will BC Liberal leadership hopefuls explain why our province is falling behind in health care spending?
Watching Carole James toppled by former supporters in her own party may seem shocking, but it was just (nasty) business as usual.
Under BC Liberal reign, we've paid $25 billion more to feds than came back. That's unprecedented.
Chances for recall success in her Oak Bay-Gordon Head riding are better than many pundits think.
A 'great' premier whose fiscal skill made BC 'great' for business? The facts say no.
British Columbians use tax cuts to buy health care formerly provided by the government.
Under NDP in 1990s, BC's corporate profits and GDP soared. But hallucinating captains of industry still see scary 'socialists.'
On Thursday we learned Campbell's Liberals ran for election on an impossible budget promise that inflated tax revenues by $2.5 billion. Why are media selling this as good news?
British Columbians paying hundreds of millions of dollars more than promised.
Favourite private outsourcer for Campbell government takes series of hits.
It's static and under control. So why do so many, like The Globe's Jeffrey Simpson, spout the opposite?
Minister Lekstrom is wrong. Most new energy projects controlled by big firms outside BC.
'Absurd' it was to call the public asset a money loser. Premier Campbell did it anyway.
BC Hydro borrows capital at 1 per cent, private power firms pay 12 per cent or more. Campbell chose builders sure to make green power far more expensive.
When cash-poor Finavera needed backers for its Peace River wind farms, who stepped up? First, an aging Irish tycoon cut his sweet deal, then giant GE gained the 'lions share' of profits.
They blew that much of our money on their failed BC Transmission Corporation privatization, now scuttled.
For trio of independent power plants, net-profit margin is a whopping 26.8 per cent.
Of the 14 successful firms in BC Hydro's latest call for power, 10 have made contributions to the Liberals totaling nearly $385,000.
Stikeman Elliott partner sits on Hydro board; another a major player in Finavera Renewables.
No Minister Bond, it wasn't 'bankrupt' or debt-laden or 'in disarray'. Here's proof BC Rail was very healthy when Campbell got it.
Struggling penny stock firm with light cash reserves lands major wind power agreements.
That's when the Campbell government might defy its own contract with Ottawa, costing BC taxpayers millions.
Province's outlays compared to GDP aren't up, but the Sun wants us to believe otherwise.
Inept budgeters axed $100 million yearly tax revenue from fat financial institutions. And it gets worse.
BC is broke but she could make $145,000 to $350,000 as a TD director.
The government seems to be jamming its feet on both the brake pedal and accelerator.
Next Tuesday, expect a really big deficit. Colossal, even. But business won't squawk.
They made unpopular Campbell a star. And more notes on a weird election.
Fourteen ridings in BC's North and Fraser North will decide it.
The Campbell government put money from its BC Rail sale into a trust, but a shift to riskier investing likely lost $25 million. We can't know for sure, because trust directors are breaking the law by not posting statements.
Libs gave selves big pay hikes, zero to minimum wage earners. But NDP can't complain.
Socreds. NDP. Libs. Who oversaw the strongest economy? (Hint, not Gordon Campbell).
Claims that New Dems opposed police spending are false.
In BC races, diving economies usually turf governments.
BC's government is in denial about the economic realities we face.
BC politicians keep passing, then changing, laws against deficit spending. Are we nuts?
Harper's short list ranges from Wai Young and John Reynolds to Jerry Lampert and Tung Chang.
Province's wild political history offers context for current crisis.
Why BC likely won't face another blow like the Great Depression. Last in a series.
Depression hit, and even the finance minister lost his shirt. Second in a series.
The crash of '29 and how it laid waste to the province's finances. First of three.
Lessons from the US presidential contest.
He'll have to jigger the books to not show a deficit.
Seat tallies tell the tale. Tories won bigger than pundits said.
The election victors, the vanquished and why Harper is grinning.
In which McMartin braves his editor's wrath to float a humble election theory.
Is this the making of an NDP stronghold?
NDP and Tories duke it out in BC Southern Interior riding.
Green leader a long shot to unseat Tory stalwart in Central Nova.
Most are concentrated in Vancouver and suburbs.
Vancouver Centre's Grit incumbent faces strong foes -- and the Dion factor.
Four or five will lose their jobs, if this election is true to form.
Conservative support in BC skews to North, Interior and south Fraser Valley.
Layton's team may be lucky New Dems aren't running BC or Ontario.
In recent elections, Liberals hovered at 28 per cent. Now they’re falling short.
Can Tory keep Saanich-Gulf Islands after New Dem quit?
Sexism and racism alive and well in US politics.
Sorry kids, Shirley Bond and BC Libs protect their own futures.
Ed Gillespie is 'New Karl Rove.'
Fact checking the finance minister. The dirty job goes to our man McMartin.
Total cost of MLA compensation soars over 50 per cent since 2001.
Prediction: Canadians will continue to pay more for less in 2007.
After tax cuts, it's far less than meets the eye.
The real story is a provincial budget skewed by deep cuts to welfare, local government and transportation.
MLAs got full-time pay for nine week session. Gordon Campbell is arranging a raise.
BC's Health Authorities: Who gets hired (and fired).
His victory was forged by these five key convention moments.
Historic surge in commodity prices enriches. BC Libs take credit.
Small edge promises hot convention.
And learn how Carole Taylor made $446 million seem like nearly $2 billion.
With scary health spending forecast, she fools news media -- again.
They earn too much for a part-time gig.
Billion dollar tax slash fails to attract firms.
Lib rollercoaster ride ends up where it started.
Predecessors fudged deficits. She hid a whopping surplus.
Government's ad spending doubles. And other BC budget notes.
His betrayal, his perks and some context for the outrage.
Plus, a gritty account of life inside The Tyee.
Vancouver MP raised bulk of his funds in Ontario in 2004.
On debate day, Liberal slide creates opportunity for New Dems.
Liberals still fighting the backlash he caused.
Rebates? Small thinking. How better to invest all that profit?
Verbatim, nearly two decades of politicians' wrangling in the Legislature.
One factor in BC's conflict may be educator 'overpopulation'.
Don't laugh. (Well, ok, do.) But here's why.
Corporate windfall hits milestone. And why the pre-election budget wasn't truly balanced.
The entire BC budget surplus, and more, is due to federal transfers.
It's been five years since a muscular opposition swung hard at a BC budget.
This session, his party aims for the tax code and a lot more.
Now is your chance to bet against McMartin and win a prize.
Tyee analyst finalizes his projections, invites readers to bet against him.
The story behind the big headlines that served their purpose four years ago.
Langley, Penticton-Okanagan, and Vancouver-Point Grey upgraded from 'likely'.
Lots of parties running, but this election is a two-party tilt.
Will traditional NDP supporters who’ve abandoned the party return in 2005?
Columbia River-Revelstoke moves 'likely NDP' while East Kootenay is 'solid Liberal'.
Vancouver-Burrard now 'likely NDP', Vancouver-Fairview is 'likely Liberal.'
No longer ‘up for grabs’: Powell River-Sunshine Coast, Alberni-Qualicum, Comox Valley
Krueger's seat downgraded to 'likely' while Richmond's solidifies.
Carr is making a spirited but likely doomed run for a first Green seat.
Scant evidence to expect a breakthrough on May 17.
Unity Party not around to siphon off conservative voters this time.
NDP’s big byelection win probably won’t be repeated.
Skeena, Prince George North and Prince George-Omineca no longer 'up for grabs.'
Two seats move to 'Solid Liberal' and one to 'Solid NDP'.
The Greens and NDP got whipped in this region in 2001.
Kensington and Kingsway move over from 'Likely'.
Rising incomes push Frasier North ridings to the right: Port Moody-Westwood and Maple Ridge-Mission
Tax cuts, hospital closure help New Democrats
Victoria-Beacon Hill and Victoria Hillside firm up for the New Democrats.
Last election, Greens’ strongest showing was in this region.
Surrey-Newton is now ‘likely NDP,’ Delta North shifts to ‘likely Liberal’.
The Tyee is moving Surrey-Tynehead into the ‘solid Liberal’ column while Surrey-Green Timbers goes ‘solid NDP’.
Wealthier zones of this region go Liberal, poorer go NDP.
The Tyee is shifting Nanaimo into ‘solid NDP’ and Nanaimo-Parksville into ‘likely Liberal.’
In this region, like most others, average household incomes correlate strongly with vote-shares.
In 2001 the incoming premier called NDP finances “worse than we anticipated.” His briefing binders, gained by The Tyee through an FOI, told him the opposite.
Two NDP strongholds firm up.
Don’t Expect Minor Parties to Elect an MLA
For the first time in decades, the NDP was shut out here in 2001.
But Alberni-Qualicum, Comox Valley, Nanaimo-Parksville and Powell River-Sunshine Coast are up for grabs.
The May 17 vote is likely to reveal a clearly split BC electorate. To read our political future, gaze into the past.
Last time the NDP won anything here: 1972.
Looks like it, but North Vancouver-Lonsdale might be interesting.
Two seats nailed down for Libs, but watch Vancouver-Fairview.
North Coast homes are, on average, a half million dollars less than in Vancouver-Quilchena.
But Mayencourt vs. Stevenson makes a close race in Vancouver’s West End.
Voting patterns can be tied to whether citizens own or rent their abodes.
New Dems likely to re-take New West and two more, Libs to get one, and six up for grabs.
Traditionally left-leaning, swept by Libs in 2001, six ridings in serious play.
Social conservative Mary Polak should find a warm embrace this time in Langley.
Liberals swept all four seats in 2001. Not likely this election.
Voting patterns tend to reflect household income. It’s three times higher in some ridings than others.
Region anchored by Kelowna is fast growing and right-leaning.
You’ll find them in the sunny parts of the province.
Attempts to even out voter numbers haven’t succeeded.
Liberals likely to hold at least three, but NDP has prospered in the past.
Economy, BC Rail deal are big factors.
And that makes it hard for pollsters.
Election Central’s riding-by-riding predictions to be posted daily.
Having shielded their budget from debate, the B.C. Liberals are free to spin madly on the campaign trail. Some facts to bear in mind.
By shutting down the legislature instead of debating the budget, the party can campaign on the taxpayers’ millions.
Finance minister’s vague answers suggest party will sell the document but won’t actually pass it.
In which our hero Dorothy makes Green, Liberal and NDP friends on her way down the yellow brick road.
Gordon Campbell's election promise of cabinet meetings open to the public? Never mind.
Albertans once tried and failed to rope in B.C.’s government. Now a small herd, some with ties to big energy firms, hold key positions in B.C.’s public sector, thanks to Premier Campbell.
Dismally bad is the answer. The worst defeat in a government-held riding in fifteen years, in fact.
Liberals shifted burden from income tax to sales tax; in effect, from wealthier citizens to poorer.
They tell us it won't mean much if they lose Surrey. History says otherwise.
Both James and Kerry are bucking history, battling one-term governments without recession or vote splits to help.
The odds were a no-brainer, so why did the NDP leader wait so long to decide?
Nobody seems to want to mention the fast growing $38 billion elephant in our living room. Each of us owes $9,003, sharply up under the Liberals.
Gains, yes, but some tough questions for Layton's New Democrats as they weigh the returns.