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BC Politics

Polls put NDP ahead in BC

Two recent polls found significantly more support in British Columbia for the New Democratic Party than for the B.C. Liberals.

An Angus Reid Strategies poll released Saturday found 47 percent support for the NDP to 33 percent for the Liberals.

Similarly, last week Mustel Group found 43 percent support for the NDP and 35 percent for the Liberals, though some how in the news release this translated to “voters expressing discontent with both Liberals and NDP.”

Angus Reid had support for the Green Party at 10 percent and the provincial Conservatives at seven percent. Mustel had the Greens at 15 percent and the Conservatives at five.

Reid polled 800 British Columbians on Nov. 10 and 11, and had a margin of error plus or minus 3.5 percent. Mustel surveyed 500 B.C. adults between Nov. 9 and 19. The margin of error was plus or minus 4.4 percent, with 95 percent confidence.

Andrew MacLeod is The Tyee’s Legislative Bureau Chief in Victoria. Reach him here.

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  • Van Isle

    2 years ago

    If polls are so accurate how

    If polls are so accurate how come there's such a big difference between the Angus Reid Poll and the Mustel Group? When is a poll going to be done about people's views on the mass-media?

  • salty dog

    2 years ago

    @ Van Isle

    Mustel polls are always skewed towards the Bc Liberals...

    Angus reid was bang on in the prediction in the last BC provincial election...Mustel was the farthest out...

    IMO ...Evi Mustel is not credible,and considering Evi Mustel is a friend and ex-business partner with Joan Mcyntire(BC Liberal west Van MLA)...Well

    I think that about sums it up,and a Nanos Poll(the most accurate pollster) had a Ontario poll which has the provincial Conservatives even with McGuinty Liberals, a 16 point surge for Tim Hudak`s conservatives(and they have an anti-hst platform....

    The number one issue...The HST

    And a Holinshed poll in Ontario has 76% of all respondents strongly against the HST..And

    A Ipsos Reid federal poll has the federal NDP surging 6 points..Cons down 3 points,Liberals down 3 points and Nik Nanos states,the reason for the federal NDP`s surge is the anti-HST Platform.

    Evi Mustel(ain`t worth the paper it`s printed on!

    Cheers

  • seth

    2 years ago

    bad news

    The NDP backroomers are going to use these poll as an excuse to shut down opposition at this weekends convention and keep their pet Carol James on as "leader" thereby dooming 2012 recall and referendum efforts.

  • kootenay

    2 years ago

    Seth

    Actually Seth, this isn't an election convention. The earliest an election can be held is next fall.

    How and if the backroomers try to protect Carol will come into play next year. I know many of us NDP'ers are anxious to see her go.

  • Skywalker

    2 years ago

    The numbers won't mean much...

    ...if Carole stays as there is still time before the next election and Campbell could be gone after the Olympics.

    What is it about Carole's fan club that they are so obsessed with making history that the plight of the province is forgotten. If her performance in opposition is any indication she should step down.

  • North of Hope

    2 years ago

    Secrecy

    I think one of the reasons why the BC Liberals are doing so poorly is their secrecy. All MLA's are in the cabinet, albeit in a minor role but because of that they are all subject to cabinet confidentially, so they can say anything unless approved.
    Look at what happen over the weekend. An oil tanker went aground on Mayne Island and no one was notified by the BC or Federal governments. I found out about it at Paul Willcocks site, listed below. Will you be doing a story about this near environmental disaster?

    http://willcocks.blogspot.com/

  • North of Hope

    2 years ago

    Wrong application

    I used the wrong application to message, I think.

  • blackie

    2 years ago

    no oil tanker

    North of Hope says: "Look at what happen over the weekend. An oil tanker went aground on Mayne Island and no one was notified by the BC or Federal governments."

    It wasn't an oil tanker, it was a bulk carrier. The threat was from its fuel tanks rupturing. If you are worried about oil tankers, you might take note of the fact that crude oil exports through Vancouver Harbour are on a trend to double this year, and Kinder Morgan has plans to further expand its crude pipeline from Edmonton and bring bigger ships through the second narrows to Westridge terminal. The destination for this oil is California or, if Obama is successful in stopping "dirty oil" from Canada - -- Asia.

    All the ecos are focused on the Enbridge proposal to build a pipeline to Kitimat, and they are ignoring the existing -- and growing -- traffic through Vancouver. If they don't wake up, it will be a fait accomplis -- it pretty well already is.

  • Frank

    2 years ago

    blackie

    Is there something preventing you from speaking up about it instead of waiting for "ecos" to do it?

    I do not understand why environmentalists are pilloried for focusing on various problems just because they don't focus on all of them.

  • seth

    2 years ago

    Hackers?

    This weeks convention has a couple of resolutions from 2 or 3 riding associations which would lead to a leadership review next year. The backroom boys are trying to keep the resolution off the floor. They will try to use this poll as an excuse.

    Why can't that stupid woman just resign.

  • The Blackbird

    2 years ago

    Finally!

    People are starting to realize, after two + agonizing terms that the so-called business-friendly Liberals are out of touch with the public consensus. Telling blatant lies to the people just to get elected doesn't win much confidence.

    RECALL!

  • Karen D.

    2 years ago

    Carol James has many

    Carol James has many qualities we need in a politician. She stands up for her beliefs, is tough, passionate, honest and a very hard worker. What she isn't is charismatic. Unfortunately, this is what the majority of voters respond to as they don't keep up with politics.

    I admire Ms. James but agree that for the NDP to move forward we need someone with her values but also the very necessary magnetism. The question is WHO?

  • sunshine coast girl

    2 years ago

    I don't see anything wrong....

    with annual leadership reviews. It's a good way to stay on top of the leader and make sure whoever it is is resonating with the membership and the voters. And you're right Seth, that NDP backroom boys are trying to keep those resolutions off the floor.

  • sunshine coast girl

    2 years ago

    I like Carole too...

    She's a nice person, but I wish Corky was still around. He'd have been an awesome leader. Talk about charisma and can the boy talk????

  • Frank

    2 years ago

    NDP leader

    Corky would have been a great leader, no question.

    As for Carole, she's fine as leader. The problem is people let her political opponents definer her for them.

    Let's remember that Harper and Campbell got elected more than once in spite of having the personality of beached crabs.

  • seth

    2 years ago

    Draft Glen Clark

    He's done his rehab, he's now Jimmy's right hand man and from what we are told he's a standup guy.

    He could whoop Vaughn Palmer, Bill Good, Mike Symth, and Canwest/Gordo in a four on one with one hand tied behind his back. Hey maybe the Fiberal's should pick up his option.

  • Skywalker

    2 years ago

    Seth

    You know Seth, you might be right. I suspect that Clark is happy where he is and is making more money. And, he does not have to put up with the likes of Wilfride Laurier, Luke- Skywalker and Bobby in any voter. He certainly would do better than the current leader but If he asked for my advice I'd say he didn't need the aggravation.

    Canwest would have a fit though. That would be a lark.

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