Target Iran: Where's Harper?
PM silent as White House edges toward attack.
Are we on board or not?
As we go through the numbing process of listening to what passes for news these days -- Britney Spears losing custody of her kids, O.J. arrested for kidnapping and Pamela Andersen getting married -- Canadians seem blissfully unaware of the increasing signs of a global catastrophe. There are extremely worrying indications that the U.S. is planning -- and soon -- to attack Iran.
According to the Guardian, the hawkish French foreign minister, Bernard Kouchner, recently stated "we must expect the worst, and the worst is war." John Bolton, Bush's former UN ambassador, used a Tory conference in Britain to call for a strike against Iran. Rumours persist a strike could involve tactical, "bunker busting" nuclear weapons. Such an attack targeting multiple nuclear sites could release tonnes of radioactive material into the air and threaten hundreds of thousands of lives. Virtually every analyst not actually working for U.S. Vice President Dick Cheney can tell you with convincing certainty of the catastrophic results -- human, environmental and geo-political -- of such an attack
But in this country it's as if the no one is listening.
Certainly Prime Minister Stephen Harper has said virtually nothing about the subject. He has not revealed whether he agrees with the U.S. analysis of the alleged Iranian threats, he hasn't commented on the revelation that the U.S. is considering using nuclear weapons, he has said nothing regarding what he or the foreign affairs department think the consequences would be.
Does the prime minister have an opinion? Or better yet, an assessment? If he does, time is running out for him to reveal it because given his virtual carte blanch support of George Bush's Middle East policy, he has backed himself into a corner. His early support for the Iraq invasion, his uncritical support for Israel, his acceptance of all the premises of the misnamed war on terror, his pandering to the Christian right on these issues, and his desire to extend the U.S.-inspired Afghan mission, all suggest that he will support whatever the U.S. and Israel do regarding Iran. His silence on the issue just reinforces that fear.
Get ready for war
The signs are everywhere that the Bush administration, apparently led by a genuine madman in VP Dick Cheney, is prepping for war. The same Oct. 5th Guardian article reported: "Cheney had been discussing the possibility of encouraging Israel to launch missile strikes at an Iranian nuclear site in order to provoke Iran into 'lashing out', and open the way to a wider U.S. assault." The U.S. Senate recently declared the Iranian Republican Guard (actually a branch of the Iranian Army) a "terrorist organization" freeing up the president's hand to attack it.
The hawks have changed tack in the past few weeks because their first gambit -- trying to scare Americans with images of Iranian nuclear weapons -- wasn't working. It doesn't take a genius to figure out that it is the U.S. and Israel who pose a nuclear threat to Iran, not the other way round.
The new tack is to crank up American anger by tying the Iranian government directly to the deaths of American soldiers by claiming that the war's most deadly IEDs are being supplied by official Iran.
The problem with this theme is that it is on equally shaky ground. Iran has no strategic interest in seeking to destabilize Iraq. In fact, the Iranian government supports the same two powerful Shia institutions currently backed by the U.S. government: the Supreme Islamic Council of Iran and the Dawa Party of Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki. Iran has excellent diplomatic relations with the al-Maliki government. This may explain why the U.S. has had such difficulty in coming up with even a shred of hard evidence for its claims. There is none.
Terrifying toll
Despite this, the drum beat of war continues amongst Republican hawks and especially those around Vice President Dick Cheney. Two of the most reliable investigative reporters on Iran, Seymour Hersh and Canadian Eric Margolis, are warning about an impending attack. As early as spring 2006, Hersh reported that the U.S. was considering the use of tactical, "bunker-busting," nuclear weapons to destroy nuclear sites allegedly deeply buried in Iran.
While some claim these tactical weapons have been withdrawn, rumours persist. A recent story, so far unconfirmed by any other media outlets, poses a terrifying scenario of just how close the use of nuclear weapons may have come. The story revisits a bizarre incident last August 30 in which a B52 Air Force bomber "accidentally" transported six nuclear armed cruise missiles half way across the U.S. The event was dubbed a "Bent Spear" in military lexicon -- the result of inexplicable and unprecedented "security failures at multiple levels."
But U.S. analyst Wayne Madsen quotes anonymous intelligence sources in claiming that in fact the incident revealed an ongoing struggle within the military and between the Pentagon and the White House over plans to attack Iran: "...elements of the Air Force, supported by U.S. intelligence agency personnel, successfully revealed the ultimate destination of the nuclear weapons and the mission was aborted due to internal opposition within the Air Force and U.S. Intelligence Community."
Any massive bombing attack on nuclear facilities, whether conventional or nuclear, would be catastrophic. The U.S. National Research Council has warned that: "earth-penetrating nuclear weapons cannot go deep enough to avoid casualties at ground level, and they could still kill up to a million people or more if used in populated areas." Monstrous conventional bombs could have a similar affect, releasing massive amounts of radioactive material.
Enough of Iran's key nuclear facilities are close to large population centres that the death toll could be in the hundreds of thousands. Tehran -- population 12 million -- is close to the country's nuclear research centre. Isfahan, with a population of 2 million, is located in close proximity to a uranium conversion facility. A heavy water reactor is located in Arak with a population of 500,000. Experts point out that even conventional bombs could release massive amounts of radioactive material.
Global political fallout
The geo-political consequences of a massive bombing war would scarcely be less catastrophic. Seymour Hersh quotes Zbigniew Brzezinski, a former U.S. national-security adviser, who predicted Iran would respond to an American attack "by intensifying the conflict in Iraq and also in Afghanistan, their neighbours, and that could draw in Pakistan. We will be stuck in a regional war for 20 years." In the short term, Iran could also close the Strait of Hormuz through which most of the Middle East oil has to flow.
Do Stephen Harper and Rick Hillier, his macho military commander, fully grasp what is happening? On the nuclear issue the government has already taken a position that should worry Canadians. At a meeting of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) on Sept. 20, Canada abstained in a vote that asked Israel to place its nuclear weapons program under IAEA controls (the same controls demanded of Iran and North Korea by the U.S). The resolution was passed by the 144-member IAEA General Meeting on Sept. 20 by a vote of 53 to 2 (the U.S. and Israel), with 47 abstentions.
There is a terrifying irony in this whole picture. Anti-terror experts in North America fear one thing more than any other: a massive attack on a nuclear reactor causing a meltdown of Chernobyl proportions. Are terrorists considering such a plan? Nobody knows. But if the U.S. and Israel destroy Iran's nuclear facilities, releasing radiation over the whole of the Middle East, you can be sure terrorists will begin planning such a revenge attack the next day.
Is the Harper government out of the loop on U.S. plans to attack Iran? Or is it being played for a sucker, as Tony Blair was in the lead up to the Iraq war, and poised to support an attack? Either way, Canadians had better take the prospect of an attack on Iran -- nuclear or otherwise -- seriously and demand that the government take an unequivocal stand against such a prospect.
Otherwise we will find ourselves on the wrong side of history. And our nuclear facilities the potential target of terrorist plots.
Related Tyee stories:
- Why US Can't Buy Dissent in Iran
Flood of dollars only taints regime's opponents. - Iran, Nukes and the 'Propaganda Game'
Sources close to UN agency say spin clouds truth. - 'We Are Iran'
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Yacov
4 years ago
Iran
So you think letting the nut waste Israel as he has threatened with nukes is going to be any better?
lol
This guy is like Hitler only crazier, so we all stand back and let him do a Poland or Czechoslovakia right?
Y
IAMC
4 years ago
Carters Iran
What, pray tell, would be the purpose of the PM signalling an intention to attack Iran?
It's ludicrous to suggest such a thing.
That's up to Sarkosy and Hillary to promote.
Not Harper.
Now if such a thing occurs, let's say France send in missiles to destroy Iranian nuclear facilities, then NATO and the UN will get involved, and Harper simply has to say that Canada will help out, where it can.
If Hillary gets her way, this will be her first act.
Based on what she is saying in public that is.
Like her urging Bush to attack Iraq, how could we be surprised to see her support here?
Unless she's only misinformed again.
murdock
4 years ago
NO ONE is LISTENING? --- NOT!
There are plenty listening, sadly we are not in the halls of power any more.
Mostly because we have been 'retired' or 'moved on' since we do not support such madness as is directed by that organ-grinder The Man and his "Decider in Chimp" dancing war-monkey President, Clueless George.
Those whom remain behind are of the calibre of Rick Hillier, while popular with the troops whom have spent 30 years being dumped on by the ZOO on the Rieau (sometimes also known as NDHQ), has shown that he is woefully out of touch with the needs of a modern military commander. Whom needs the 'lightest touch' such as Eisenhower or Thériault or de Chastelain.
Commanders from Boyle onwards are from a generation of officers that are post-67 're-organization' and all suffer from a lack of independance in action as the supreme (canadian) military authority, in that they are nothing more than sub-ordinate to political appointees of the 'government in office'.
We now reap what we have sown with so many decades of mishandling of the military file.
The whole of the CF needs to be 'de-politicized' and I agree with General (ret) Lewis MacKenzie's assesment that all officers from Brigadier up need to be retired immediately, with many of the current colonels and lt. colonels paid off also.
Regarding the nuclear situation, the others 'absenting' in the IAEA chambers should be the telling part of the tale...the US has become a 'world bully' as was profesied to Stimpson in 1946.
Were the US to take such a unilateral action, (not likely as the Israeli military would likely do this job by proxy so as to keep the 'who started it?' question in the background) then the 'global village' that was so in support of the nation after the 9/11 events(now considered 'false flag') would be very likely to rise-up in total indignation.
As the US's closest physical neighbhor, Canada (along with Mexico) must make some statement about the sabre-rattling, as the drum-beat will soon be too loud to get our message across.
That message is:
STOP. THINK.
"Passion is governing now, and she never governs wisely." ~ from B. Franklin.
Frank
4 years ago
Its Tuesday, it must be Hitler
He's crazier than Hitler? Have you ever read any Hitler?
What part of Greater Iran has he annexed so far?
Haven't there been about 15 "Hitlers" in the past 20 years? The problem with painting everybody as Hitler redux is that the whole Hitler thing gets worn out.
Besides Iran's leader wasn't the one that used a "Reichstag fire" to pass a new "enabling" act.
Personally I'd like to see more variety, how about "he's a new Louis the Fourteenth!" or "a new Julius Ceasar!".
Even a "new Mussolini" might get a bit more of a rise than the constant "new Hitler" thing.
Jeffrey J.
4 years ago
Concealed by CanWestGlobal
As per normal, our media monopoly is firmly asleep at the switch, ensuring that no public debate occurs over Bush's 3rd war. History will record that while significant world events were unfolding, led by US agression, our society was kept in the dark by silence and misinformation of our media. While public media used to play a role in democracy, those days are long gone. It is a complete travesty that our government has permitted the concentration of ownership in this vital area of free speech. So even if every single Canadian is talking about the pending invasion of Iran (which many are) the elites can contintue to pretend it isn't happening. A carefully developed system of misinformation. Great articleTyee and Mr. Dobbin.
skeptikool
4 years ago
Beware, Harper and the other Bush sycophants
Bush is extremely possessive of his contrived wars. Should he start another against Iran, I fear those who join in the assault may suffer consequences that may make 9/11 appear small potatoes. And should Canada be one of those attackers, it will likely find it needs to become as much a police state as the U.S. will have embraced.
Silence is not the answer. If our government is not speaking out against a war against Iran, it may be assumed that it is in favor of one.
mopled
4 years ago
He's not even the guy in charge
This demonization and "Hitlerization" of Ahmadinejad is a dead give-away that the whole meme is a phony Israeli based con.
Most of the US presidential candidates are falling over themselves to get on the right side of Israel's insane policies in order to secure AIPAC campaign donations.
The latest Israeli lunacy is that Iran is responsible for the failure of Zionism.
Telling supporters at Labor headquarters in Tel Aviv of a recent meeting he held with members of American Jewish organizations, Sneh said aliya would slow down and eventually stop if Iran succeeded in developing nuclear weapons.
"I asked the [Americans] 'Would people from the States come if Iran had nuclear abilities?' They answered me with a resounding no," he said. "It is not necessary for Iran to actually destroy Israel with weapons, they can destroy it with the threat.... Iran could destroy the Zionist dream."
http://www.jpost.com/servlet/Satellite?cid=1192380555108&pagename=JPost%2FJPArticle%2FShowFull
alda
4 years ago
I agree
I couldn't agree with Jeffrey more.
When you look at every single one of our political quagmires, lack of public comprehension inevitably circles back to the abrogation of responsibility by our media in reporting the real story.
The most angering aspect of the mainstream media's role as war criminal accomplice, is that we pay in one way or another for theose lies and omissions, most obviously for our national media - the CBC, which has become one of the worst offenders. Until the media problem is addressed (and it never will be, imo, as long as global corporations have power), this will only continue ad nauseum.
The most blatant example of misreporting?
The fact that most Canadians have no idea why we're truly in Afghanistan, no idea that we're there, as with all wars, for the stealing of resources or land by which to access those resources. There's no understanding whatsoever that we're fighting in support of the U.S. bloodthirsty, desperate grab for Caspian Basin oil. Talk to ordinary Canadians about what we're doing there, and it's as if talking to the wind. 99 out of 100 Canadians actually believe that we're fighting over there to help "women to gain their rights" and to "put those Jihad terrorists out of business" nonsense. What non-thinking dupes we've become, and perhaps always have been.
Yes, Mr. Harper is in quite the deep canyon now. But, like all snakes, he's a clever manoeuverer through tight spots and dark crevices, and so it will be curious to see how he controls the p.r. on this piece of military manure, not if, but when it hits the fan.
G West
4 years ago
I don't think we need to worry much about pee wee on this file
Vladimir seems to have it pretty much in hand:
http://www.nytimes.com/2007/10/17/world/17iran.html?_r=1&hp&oref=slogin
And please note this:
“We should not even think of making use of force in this region,” Mr. Putin said.
Mr. Putin’s comments and the declaration come at a time when France and the United States have refused to rule out military action to halt Iran’s nuclear energy program, which they believe masks a desire to develop nuclear weapons. Iran says its program is solely for peaceful purposes.
Asked this morning about Mr. Putin’s remarks, Tony Fratto, the deputy White House press secretary, said simply, “That sounds like a good policy.”
Mr. Putin arrived in Tehran today for meetings with President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad of Iran and leaders from three other nearby Caspian Sea nations that have rich oil and gas resources, promising to use diplomacy to try to resolve the international debate over Iran’s nuclear program.
He was the first Kremlin leader to travel to Iran since 1943, when Stalin attended a wartime summit meeting with Churchill and Roosevelt. His statements, which were consistent with his past positions cautioning against military action against Iran, were nonetheless stark in their setting and firmly emphasized his differences with the United States over the extent of Iran’s threat and the means to counter it.
“Not only should we reject the use of force, but also the mention of force as a possibility,” Mr. Putin said. “This is very important. We must not submit to other states in the case of aggression or some other kind of military action directed against one of the Caspian countries.”
Mr Bush and the Americans won't be doing anything unilateral in this region again for some time, in my view.
The Israelis??? Now that's another question.
kootenay
4 years ago
Harper
If there ever was a reason not to vote Conservative, this is it! Harper is a War Monger through and through. The media through its silence is aiding and abetting Harpers plans to support the US by keeping this story silent.
I'm never been much of a Liberal supporter either, but the one thing I strongly admired about Chrétien was his consistent stand against war. He kept us out of Iraq, while Harper was in favor of the war.
We need a Prime Minister who is strong and brave enough to ensure our Canadian values are upheld, those of Peace Keepers. The Conservatives scare the hell out me. What kind of future does Harper really have in mind for us?
lemonheart
4 years ago
A bloody lapdog
Harper is nothing more than a lapdog to GW Bush.
His silence should make everyone really concerened. I really agree with the above poster about the media. It makes me so angry and sad. Politicians really do think the general public are totally stupid. Have we given them reasons to think otherwise? God knows we don't do anything and don't think that fact is not lost on our goverment either.
Harper has no spine but also no leg to stand on either. He is just a garden variety sociopathic sycophant.
And as much is about oil I wonder how much has to do with US fear of China, hence control the oil- control the world.
Lastly, there is no war on terror. One incident in 30 yrs on N.American soil? C'mon....
I will bet money that we will see another "9-11" type incident in the US though Canada would more useful to them { an inside job again of course....} in order to justify this new war in Iran.
It is totally insane to think the government would kill its own citizens to justify a war which why, as I tell everyone, it makes perfect sense.
Ain't nothing a government loves more than know its subjects are feeling hopeless.........
IAMC
4 years ago
There is no need
There is no need for Hillary to attack Iran.
They only have refining capacity enough to supply 40% of their domestic oil needs.
Take out a refinery, and the Government will crumble.
macsasquatch
4 years ago
Hiding the evidence...
...so if the American Armada uses nuclear weapons, but wants to pretend that they did not, I wonder if they can strike, and then blame any nuclear radiation on what they claim was in the targeted buildings.
Beginning of the 20th Century saw the major powers pushing their imperial holdings. An irritant between them was the race for the riches of Africa.
Seems to me that the past decade or so the great powers (well...one greater than the others) have been racing for control of the fossil fuel riches of Central Asia. In the past six years, with the obvious misuse of the UNO, and the acting out of pre emptive war rights, an accelerating arms race has taken place, with picking up of teams.
Sure hate to see my kids and grand kids endure a repeat of the blood baths of the 20th Century, but the war mongers are finding that the same snake oil still sells.
Truman Green
4 years ago
If Israel wants the US to attack Iran...
The US will attack Iran. That's how things are these days.
the one
4 years ago
human slavery
War, wich war are you talkin about, does not exist in history yet, only propaganda, time wil tell the truth hopefully. Irak was simply an occupation for the benefit of our economy, without it the machine would stop.
Hitler, ha, well he is a lot like george jr or sr, a puppet for the machine, grampa jeb would be proud, afterall they made so much cash out of creating the nazi movement, and success for them, as the long quest of the mason was finally to an end in creating israel. all this wouldnt have been possible, without a few tricks, like the U.N., the nuremberg process, the holocaust....
Iran, serious, people just talk to occupy themselves and politician just dose the fire with gas to keep the circle of hypnotis goin. The u.s.a. dont have much guts, they only attack the weak and the poor. stop thinking about this, Iran and their ally are no match for them.
as their own country his already invaded economically, go to wal-mart and try finding one american product, its tough. more than a third of the population of canada is working undergroud in the u.s. and without them their economy would come to an halt.
they talked about war with the USSR for almost two decade, without firing a single shot and still managed to call it a war.
in the meantime they killed every weak human they could find, even supply them munition and uniform, so to call a war, as to keep the machine going at home.
many people still die from these conflict, even if their long done, since they leave behind their march, a legacy of unexplosed bombs,chemicals etc.
those people are weak and poor. nobody cares, as long as all of them, kids included, work tiressly for next to nothing to supply the machine.
us, we still dont care, too hypnotized by material satisafaction, we blame this or that, but dont want our precious life to change. we are stuck in the machine.
enjoy life while it is still going, as this planet his not enjoying it at all. dont you feel it when in a car or next to a big truck, that air gives you headaches, nausea, kills you slowly with its hundreds of chemical ally. but then again, who cares, mr gore told us to figth global warming...what a nobel man.
taste that water you enjoy and need every day, good rigth, but dont you feel afterward funny, maybe its because of the thousands of things in there that the filtration plant doesnt catch(medication, tide, disease. maybe we are more high afterall than that poor weak person on the street.
remember that oil, that is important to have the machine run, well maybe it has another purpose, maybe the planet is like a machine too, maybe that oil is there to cool the big ball of fire that we all sit on, but then again, nobody cares.
ME2
4 years ago
You got it backwards TGreen
If the US wants Israel to attack Iran, then Israel will attack Iran.
Because if a shooting war is to start in the Mid-East, Israel will most certainly be full in the line of fire.
In such a case, wouldn't a pre-emptive strike be preferable?
zalm
4 years ago
Say what?
Pre-emptive strike? Testosterone running a little high this morning?
And don't forget about the 25,000-odd Jews still living in Iran, mostly in Tehran, but also in a few other population centres. Not exactly hostages to Israel's good behaviour, but no more free than, say women....
ME2
4 years ago
Since I'm looking for Rove's job.....
....I was just thinking about Ronnie's suggestion that a few precision bombs on Iran's power generation facilities would do the trick.
Then that would only be a "surgical" strike wouldn't it ?