BC's Emissions Go Down: Why?
Economy jumps. Greenhouse gas levels dip. Weird.
Emissions: lower in short term but higher in long term.
New figures from the federal government indicate that B.C.'s greenhouse gas emissions dropped in 2005, even as the population and economy grew.
Now somebody has to figure out why.
The new numbers, the result of a painstaking national exercise in number crunching, come as good news as B.C. attempts to reach ambitious targets for reducing GHG emissions set by Premier Gordon Campbell earlier this year.
But for provincial officials, the numbers provide more questions than answers at this point.
Campbell announced a preliminary version of the Environment Canada numbers in the legislature late last month on the eve of a visit from California Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger.
According to unofficial calculations by the federal government, "greenhouse gas emissions in B.C. for 2005 decreased by 2.4 per cent" from the previous year, Campbell told the house. "During that same year the economy grew by 3.7 per cent."
The official calculations are just out, and they show B.C.'s greenhouse gas emissions, which are linked to climate change, decreasing between 2004 and 2005 by 2.5 per cent.
Against the trend
It's not exactly a huge plunge, especially given the government's target of cutting emissions by a third by 2020.
But it's still a step in the right direction, one that's counter to a trend that has seen substantial increases since 1990. And the federal numbers may contain clues about how to reach Campbell's targets.
This isn't the first time B.C.'s overall greenhouse gas emissions have dropped. In the past, however, the decreases have tended to come during economic slowdowns.
This time, however, industrial emissions have dropped -- substantially, in some cases -- while the economy has boomed.
Take manufacturing, for example, which makes up just under one-tenth of B.C.'s total emissions. In 2005, manufacturing emissions dropped by 12 per cent -- the largest drop of any single category of emissions.
And the thing is, nobody knows why.
Shift to wood fuel?
Provincial officials think it's possible that the drop is connected to an increasing use of wood residue as a fuel in the pulp and paper industry, but they admit that's just a guess at this point.
That hunch is backed up by detailed national emissions data contained in the Environment Canada report.
Ottawa doesn't publish provincial data for different manufacturing sectors, instead lumping industries like metal production, chemicals, cement and pulp and paper together under the same heading.
But it does break the numbers down on a national level, and these figures show a 21 per cent drop in emissions from the pulp and paper industry. How much of this is due to environmentally friendly improvements and how much is due to other factors, such as a downturn in the industry is anyone's guess right now.
Cars and refineries, too
The experts are similarly baffled by a drop in emissions from the fossil fuels industry, which includes refineries and natural gas processing plants.
This industry, which makes up 11 per cent of all B.C.'s emissions, saw a four per cent drop in greenhouse gas emissions in 2005. Again, provincial government scientists will be poring over the federal numbers, trying to figure out what caused the decrease.
Emissions from cars and light trucks also declined. Greenhouse gases from cars went down six per cent; emissions from light trucks -- pickups, minivans and SUVs -- went down four per cent.
Overall, emissions from all passenger vehicles dropped by five per cent.
BC an anomaly
It's tempting to think that this had something to do with the jump in gas prices that occurred at around the same time. After all, according to Statistics Canada, the price of gas in Vancouver went up 13 per cent between 2004 and 2005.
And StatsCan shows British Columbians driving five per cent less in 2005 than in 2004. TransLink also has stats that indicate people are responding to high gas prices by taking transit.
But in the rest of Canada, soaring gas prices do not appear to have had the same effect. Manitoba was the only other province where passenger vehicle emissions dropped substantially in 2005.
Ontario and Alberta even saw slight increases in emissions.
Which raises the question: if the price of gas caused British Columbians to develop more environmentally friendly commuting habits, why didn't the same thing happen in the rest of the country?
Don't celebrate yet
If there are plenty of questions in the short term numbers, the long term trend is clear: B.C.'s emissions have been going up -- way up -- since 1990 in almost every area.
For example:
- Overall increase in greenhouse gas emissions, 1990-2005 -- 30 per cent.
- Increase in emissions from fossil fuel industries during the same period -- 97 per cent.
- Increase in emissions from cars -- eight per cent.
- Increase in emissions from pickups, minivans and SUVs -- 117 per cent.
Hitting Campbell's targets would mean reducing emissions to 10 per cent below 1990 levels. The new federal data show just how far we have to go.
Related Tyee stories:
- 'Chump Factor' Holding Us Back
People ready to to make green sacrifices if they don't feel alone. - Huge 'Green' Boondoggle?
Critics claim $300 million will be wasted on BC 'clean energy' project. - Campbell's Green-Speak Double Talk
Oil and gas subsidies belie throne speech talk, enviros say.



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BrianWhite
4 years ago
Emissions probably didn't go down.
It is probably a collection of reporting errors which were planned in advance of arnie's visit.
Moosebeer
4 years ago
Something stinks!
I would never rely on the government to provide accurate data when it concerns greenhouse gas emissions. It's no secret that neither the Federal nor Provincial government is genuinely interested in reducing CO2 levels. So I am sure this is just some trick to try and convince the public that there is no need to worry about global warming since they are reducing these harmful pollutants right now. Well this is one voter who doesn't believe this malarkey for one second.
alive
4 years ago
or not?
Manufacturing has declined, or did they fail to notice that?
All we do is sending our jobs and attached pollution overseas, you do not need a diploma to figure that one out.
Statistics can prove whatever the sponsor wants it to prove and Arnies visit may well have caused this study to be made.
Rigth now we are polluting our rivers because of the logging near watersheds, did they measure that?
rockyvoids
4 years ago
Arnie
Yeah! Right! Believe Stat-Can numbers? Not! Giving Arnies visit some kind of star status; you got to be kidding! Wasn't he the "STAR" who was busy thrashing the Canadian movie making industry a short time ago? My recollection is that he cancelled a shoot here and moved it back to yousa.
Campbell and Harper are like teeny-boppers wetting their pants hoping the "STAR" will notice them.
Yah right Alive. Industry just moved the work and pollution offshore. Our money is being spent buying shoddy crap from China and increasing their Carbon Footprint.
DJT
4 years ago
Pardon me for not being 100%
Pardon me for not being 100% greenhouse gas savvy, but how exactly are emissions measured? Is the measurement 100% accurate? Is it an estimate? Sorry, but unless I know the answers to these questions then the statement that BC's green house gas emissions decreased by 2.4% means absolutely nothing to me.
Grumpy
4 years ago
Hey, I got some Bre-X shares for you!
I would not believe any statistic that cones from any governmental agency. In Canada, bureaucratic fiddling of the books is a national pastime.
Crooks are over seeing crooks and statistics are nothing but damned lies. Unlike the UK, which has the independent National Audit Office, which audits government figures, Canada has a beleaguered Auditor General, which has a small budget to fight wide spread government fraud.
So any statistical numbers that come out from government hare as about as useful as a Bre-X share!
munroe
4 years ago
Let's ...assume....
I understand the cynicsm expressed in the previous posts, but to be honest, I have no way to weigh the information. Its just not within my expertise.
One thing that I do find notable is that the pulp and paper industry is identified as a major source of decline. This would not have happened overnight. Could it be that the modernisations forced on the industry to remove dioxins by the former NDP government either contributed or set the stage for this drop in other emissions? I'm sure Gordo will check and, if so, give full credit to the past government.
This also comes on the heels of another media analysis. Under Harper's current "plan" which involves moving the base year for calculating emission reductions, past efforts will not be attributed. In this way, it favours corporate do-nothings and puts additional onus on industries that have improved their act (apparently like the pulp and paper industry). As a "green" premier with a blue ribbon set of advisors (the new czar has no environmental background, but he is a freind of Gary Collins), I'm sure we will hear from Gordo on how inappropriate Harper's plan is. After all, it disadvantages a major B.C. industry.
Then again, maybe I'm still dreaming.....
Booker
4 years ago
Details
The full report, along with the methodology, is available through the Environmnet Canada link provided by the author, above. Or here:
http://www.ec.gc.ca/pdb/ghg/inventory_report/2005/2005summary_e.cfm
jwstewart
4 years ago
If the statements made in
If the statements made in the article are true, it is somewhat self-explanatory.
Holy cow, that's Five for Five. Who woulda thunk it ? Drive 5% less, and create 5% less emissions...
mopled
4 years ago
Global Hoax
Will you all please realize we are being scammed?
CO2 is not a problem. It is being used to
1. collect money from fees and taxation.
2. scare us silly
3. run carbon trading scams
4. divert us from real environmental problems
a view from the Left
http://www.counterpunch.org/cockburn06092007.html
The forests of Asia are being ravaged to plant oil palm for biofuels causing incredible environmental destruction.
Poor peasants are being forced off their land in Brazil to plant more sugar cane for
ethanol production. Don't buy into this outrage.
bob the cat
4 years ago
Debate between Cockburn and Monbiot
http://www.zmag.org/debatesglobalwarming.html
snert
4 years ago
Just can't win.
These are, no doubt, the same poor peasants that stole the land from the Indians so they could slash and burn it to grow food?
Mind you 'slash & burn' is carbon neutral as long as something grows back.
Don't use natural gas, fire up the wood stove again.
Frank
4 years ago
And the winner is...
Monbiot by a landslide. I like Cockburn but he was really out of his depth arguing this issue with the author of "Heat".
Both lefties, so no ideological bias here.
mopled
4 years ago
Did you know that
All of the planets,in the Solar System, with the possible exception of Uranus,are also warming?
That higher CO2 levels follow the warming of the earth...they do not cause it?
That 180 years of chemical analysis shows that CO2 levels got higher than present levels 3x before now?
That the major greenhouse gas...water vapour was totally discounted and unstudied?
Put that all together with the Policy Statement was issued before the science was finished being reviewed and I think...
Yeah, Frank, Monbiot wins....a prize for creative writing.
doggone
4 years ago
don't step in it
Dang! I thought maybe I'd forgotten to log off.
Now I will go back out and read what others have to say.
Offhand though:
I would not trust these bozoz to measure the height of the tide let alone how much gas emissions Campbell and Arnold think is just fine
skeptikool
4 years ago
Reduced driving helps and taking bus helps
I suspect that I'm far from alone in leaving my car parked in favor of cycling or taking public transit. My car was used only six times last month.
On a side issue, it's noted that the car remains fully insured. ICBC is, surely one of the beneficiaries of our reduced driving.
mcccarthy
4 years ago
no mills no emissions
The NDP enacted legislation where raw logs had to be processed within a particular radius of the cut, hence lots of BC processing. The Liberals scrapped the rule and we now export most of our raw logs. So our mills have shut down or reduced production and bingo, lower emissions.
Frank
4 years ago
Quote:All of the planets,in
They are? According to...? How many degrees in the last 200 years?
You want to talk to the guys at RealClimate
http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2004/12/temperaturevariations-in-past-centuries-and-the-so-called-hockey-stick/
Its not true that it has been ignored.
http://www.realclimate.org/index.php?p=142
And once more, the guys at RealClimate deal with this assertion too.
http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2007/04/the-lag-between-temp-and-co2/
What policy statement? The science has never stopped. But just because further research continues doesn't prevent people from drawing conclusions based on the best data to that date.
I understand the mistrust of anything coming at us from the "elites", especially when those same elites used to label everyone that talked of global warming a wild-eyed hippie. But if the science is all wrong that will eventually be discovered. In the meantime we should act on the basis of what we think we know. Because writing off all science and all scientists as being in on a giant conspiracy and then go back to ignoring the environment doesn't seem to me to be the best path.
doggone
4 years ago
I know better but:
When Uranus is the only planet not warming there is bound to be trouble..........have you checked the rest of your anatomy?
Sorry I could not resist the temptation.
mopled
4 years ago
Get some info from a real source
Forget realclimate, it's run by a man who awarded himself a Pulitzer Prize.
http://www.iarc.uaf.edu/highlights/2007/akasofu_3_07/#notes
http://www.warwickhughes.com/blog/
http://www.worldclimatereport.com/
"More than 17,100 basic and applied American scientists, two-thirds with advanced degrees, have signed the Oregon Institute of Science and Medicine's Global Warming Petition, which says in part, "There is no convincing scientific evidence that human release of carbon dioxide, methane, or other greenhouse gases is causing or will, in the foreseeable future, cause catastrophic heating of the Earth's atmosphere and disruption of the Earth's climate."http://www.oism.org/pproject/s33p37.htm
mopled
4 years ago
Other planets warming
http://motls.blogspot.com/2006/05/global-warming-on-jupiter.html
You might also read:
http://motls.blogspot.com/2006/05/climate-sensitivity-and-editorial.html
and Ross McKitrick's “What is the Hockey Stick Debate About?"
http://www.climatechangeissues.com/files/PDF/conf05mckitrick.pdf
rac
4 years ago
People are Driving Less
I can't remember the source, but the amount people in BC have been travelling has been declining recently. Probably to to lack of road construction and more people living in walkable communities like downtown Vancouver.
Really blows another big hole in Premier Campbell's ridiculous claims that highway expansion projects such as the Gateway Program will reduce emissions by reducing idling.
Another great opportunity to contact Premier Campbell and Finance Minister Taylor and urge them to can Gateway and fund more public transit.
Premier Gordon Campbell
MLA Vancouver-Point Grey
604 660-3202
Hon. Carole Taylor
MLA Vancouver-Langara
Minister of Finance
604 664-0115
rac
4 years ago
Guess I should have read the article
They included the sources that indicate people in BC are travelling less by car.
Hey Grumpy, that means SkyTrain must be working eh? :)
Frank
4 years ago
mopled
If you want to believe those blogs, by all means go ahead. As Monbiot points out, if there's peer-reviewed studies that deny climate change then by all means he will read them. And I'm sure so will the rest of the world's scientists. Cockburn couldn't find any and he knows quoting a blog doesn't count.
But until there is lots of peer-reviewed science disproving global warming let's work on the assumption that the current science is correct and not a giant conspiracy.
mopled
4 years ago
Frank
First buy enough peers, then get them to review only the studies that agree with a predetermined outcome. Monbiot is a gatekeeper...and sometimes I wonder about you.
The premise that CO2 causes "Global Warming" has been falsified by the fact that CO2 levels follow the Earth's warming....so CO2 cannot be the cause! Which part of that don't you understand?
The evidence from the Vostock ice cores shows anywhere from a 800-1200
year lag between rising temperatures and the subsequent rise in CO2.
http://www.co2science.org/scripts/CO2ScienceB2C/articles/V4/N14/C1.jsp
The truth is out there...right in front of Monbiot's nose.
Truman Green
4 years ago
Mopled, these guys are all brainwashed, eh
There's only a tiny bit of warming here and there--certainly not here--in the neighbourhood of one degree per one hundred years, which means absolutely nothing abou humans' ability to cope.
They managed in the middle ages, eh, which were warmer than today.
Besides that little fact, there's absolutely no proof that warm temperatures don't cause a lingering effect of C02 in the atmosphere which would mean, as you suggest, that the higher temperatures which are obviously caused by changes in solar radiation, CAUSE the increase in CO2 levels, also as you correctly point out is shown in the long-term core samples.
But people are so stupid, as one writer points out--can't remember who--that even if Los Angeles was completely frozen over for the entire summer of 2007, the idiots on this planet would still believe in CO2-caused global warmer and the global snakes would be getting richer buying and selling carbon credits.
Frank
4 years ago
mopled
Okay, so toss the whole idea of peer-reviewed research in the dumpster. My only question would be how will we then know the science against climate change is any more valid?
As for me being a gate-keeper, I'm not a science guy. People like Zalm and Booker can argue this stuff if they want, not me. My point is that when the doctor tells a loved one that she's dying of cancer I don't call him a gate-keeper for the cancer industry and walk out. I ask if there's anything I can do. Maybe he's wrong, but at some point you have to trust in what you're being told by those with the education. Otherwise, why stop at scientists? Just ignore the whole world because none of it can be trusted and move to a cabin between Williams Lake and Bella Coola.
Because those who believe in global warming, such as the realclimate folks already address this issue directly. In other words I don't need to understand the science any more than I need to understand a vortec engine in order to drive a car.
For me, it makes sense that billions of cars and big industry pumping crap out of their tailpipes and smokestacks is bad for the world. The idea that all that crap isn't good just strikes me as self-evident so I'm pre-disposed to accept peer-reviewed research that agrees.
But your point is that your view of that data should be believed and peer-reviewed science shouldn't be because you don't trust the peer-review process. That's fine, but why should I believe your data? Why should I believe whoever you got it from? Why should I believe that all those emissions don't cause problems?
Frank
4 years ago
Middle Ages
Unless one of you was alive during the middle ages you don't really know what the temperature was. You're just getting that data from somewhere and I have no more reason to believe you than you have of believing scientists who disagree with you.
Frank
4 years ago
More middle ages
Come to think of it, how do we even know there was a Middle Ages? Or are we supposed to believe historians but not scientists?
And how do the historians know? Because of books? Why should we believe those books? They could be about as accurate as the Bible.
I am going to start questioning this whole "the earth is round" hoax too. Probably invented by globe-makers.
Truman Green
4 years ago
Franks says: "How do we even know
there was a Middle Ages."
'Nuff said on that.
Google 'Middle Ages were Warmer,' and go through all the sites, then decide who's right. Pay attention to the Harvard review of 240 studies. Harvard's a pretty good school.
mopled
4 years ago
Silliness is not helpful
The peer review process has been warped by the IPCC. The IPCC istself was formed by Ted Turner using the Turner Foundation to start the UN Foundation which in turn funds the IPCC. Begin to see something weird going on?
The Heinz(Kerry's wife) Foundation gave NASA's James Hansen $250,000 in the early 90's after he started the "Global Warming" ball rolling with his testimony to Congress in '88. He got an additional $1,000,000 from the Dan David Foundation just last year.
Such big good-boy prizes! Kind of puts Exxon's supposed buying scientists to shame.
Lindzen never got anything and all Tim Ball got was a speakers fee that all the Greens that shared the same platform with him got.
Frank
4 years ago
Middle Ages
But Truman, why should I believe Google and Harvard? Has anyone here ever met one of Ghengis's conquering Mongols? Why should I believe in the Middle Ages or care what the temperature of that mythical period was?
Whose say-so am I taking as the truth when I say I believe there was a Middle Ages and why should they be believed? What are their credentials and absolute proof?
Frank
4 years ago
Peer-review
Fine, whatever. So who do we believe and why? Since we can't really trust anyone why should we even discuss this subject since there's no way of finding the truth?
mopled
4 years ago
If the Sun ever shines again
go outside and sit in it. Notice how warm you get..got it?
Frank
4 years ago
The sun
Yes, it feels warmer in sunny spots than it does shady spots. Is that the crux of your argument?
The air smells fine too, does that mean the cars going by don't produce pollution?
munroe
4 years ago
Not convincing
The whole approach to the issue of climate change as a global conspiracy is something I can't buy. Interesting, perhaps, but I'll put my faith in people I know and trust to interpret the data. I don't see the Suzuki Foundation as being less then rigorous or open to the type of manipulation a conspiracy suggests.
mopled
4 years ago
Good boy Frank!
Now just as the seasons change as the Earth changes its tilt, we also notice from evidence left behind in ice core samples, the size comparisons between stomata in leaves of the same species at different times for instance, we can track the changes in Earths climate as we hurtle through space.
Take the time to watch Dr.Dennis Avery, co-author of Unstoppable Global Warming Every 1500 Years, being interviewed by a meterologist. He explains the agreed upon evidence of the natural cycles. Temperature correlates with sun spots cycles, not CO2 levels. Human activities may perhaps contribute 1/10 of 1 Degree per century.
He also goes into the who and what happened at the IPCC that turned the science upside-down.
The science we should know, but don't because we've been too dumbed down and amused to death, so we can't think anymore.
Check it out.
http://cbs2chicago.com/video/?id=31990@wbbm.dayport.com&cid=6
Frank
4 years ago
Whom to believe
Why do you believe in the tilting of the earth? Have you ever personally measured all this? Whose word are you taking and why? Isn't it jsut as likely that my grade 4 teacher was right and that Earth is closer to the sun during the summer and farther away in the winter? And that Australia isn't on this flat planet since they have summer when we have winter?
Again, what are the credentials of the people taking these samples? Why do you believe their data? Could they not be saying whatever those paying for their research want them to say?
Why would I care about what Avery has to say? What are his credentials that make him worth believing?
Who says this? You or Avery? If its you, when and how did you find out all of this? Who paid for your research and why should I believe they had no influence over your conclusions?
mopled
4 years ago
Munroe, Faith=Religion Not Science
So you will cheerfully pay higher taxes on Faith alone? Interesting!
You know we really can't call a conspiracy what is so out in the open! It is all there for anyone to see.
Take a look at Fenton Communications' client list.....See all those wonderful Foundations who contribute to all those wonderful Green NGO's all being groomed and managed by the same PR firm.....which doesn't like to be called a PR firm.
http://www.fenton.com/pages/3_ourwork/1_clients/clients.htm
If nothing else, it sure is an efficient way to keep people "on message" and make sure the money is there for it. One stop shopping!
Fenton Communications has close ties to the Tides Foundation which in turn funds the David Suzuki Foundation. Well the various Suzuki Foundations do all that good work, and if the money comes with a string or so, well, they do such good work, and we should have faith.
All are well meaning people who for some weird reason just got it all wrong.
It's because they love the earth so much that they are willing to sacrifice so much.......of us.
Have you bought your carbon credits yet?
mopled
4 years ago
Frank
I remember when you did this with "should we be in Afghanistan"
I disengage from the merry-go-round.
Look at the video and look up Avery. Do your bleepin homework and stop being a [EDITED FOR OFFENSIVE CONTENT -TYEE EDITOR] obscuratist.
Frank
4 years ago
Carbon credits
And you will cheerfully pollute the planet till the cows come home secure in the knowledge there's no such thing as emissions... interesting.
Sure, so let's only believe scientists who were born billionaires and totally independent. And self-educated too so that their profs didn't influence them.
I doubt munroe has bought any carbon credits lately but I bet he has a monthly natural gas bill and probably forks out a sizeable chunk of cash for gasoline too. Hereafter collectively referred to as "fossil fuel credits".
Frank
4 years ago
Quote:I remember when you
I'm always happy to argue why we should be in Afghanistan and anywhere else that wants us too. Assuming there is in fact a place called Asia and a country called Afghanistan and that Harper doesn't just shoot one of our soldiers himself now and then and claim he was killed far away.
Too bad, it was fun.
Me? I'm not the one refusing to believe people who have studied the issue. I'm the one that is taking the side of the majority of peer-reviewed scientific opinion. Ergo, doesn't that mean you're the gate-keeper for the oil industry?
What's your contribution to the fossil-fuel consumer economy every month?
mopled
4 years ago
Look up Obscurantist Frank.
I have a 21 year old vehicle which has 163,000 Km on it. I do much walking. Everything I own is second hand.
Do not deliberatly confuse pollution with CO2 emmissions.
Do not mistake deliberately constructed false consensus for the truth
munroe
4 years ago
Dear Mopled
Faith has nothing to do with confidence. I know a number of people at Suzuki and I know they are much better placed and educated to evaluate the data then I am.
I believe, however, you have confirmed for me that my confidence is not displaced. If a conspiracy theorist is willing to go so far as to tar the Suzuki Foundation with being on a "string", then they have tainted their position, in my opinion.
Frank
4 years ago
Quote:Do not deliberatly
If we don't want pollution shouldn't that mean less "emissions"? Let's assume that it does.
So when people like Monbiot write in their book that we need to reduce emissions because its hurting the world and you disagree doesn't that mean you're on the side of those wanting to burn old tires and toss our garbage into every virgin stream?
Monbiot by the way is against the whole carbon credits bit. Just as he's not impressed by reducing "emission intensities".
And don't mistake consensus for rule by and for the interests of the elite. And don't mistake paid-off shills for independent voices.
Obscurantist :
1. opposition to the increase and spread of knowledge.
2. deliberate obscurity or evasion of clarity.
That certainly sounds like the fossil fuel industry and its herd of paid-for shills to me.
mopled
4 years ago
Exxon Nuclear since 1968
Uranium prices are up something like 1500% in a fairly short time and the Feds are talking burying nuclear waste in the Canadian Shield again.
British Petroleum and Shell are sponsoring a conference this month in London put on by Monbiot's publisher The Guardian on Global Warming (all .6*C in 100 years worth). Both firms along with Suncor are heavily into wind and solar.
The fossil fuel companies got on board Global Warming a long time ago. Sorry I had to be the one to break the news, Frank. Oh, by the way, there is no boogie man either, besides being no Santa Claus.
Truman Green
4 years ago
Frank, you're not understanding the
point about the Middle Ages being warmer.
The point is that if the temperatures in the Middle Ages were roughly similar, equal or above those of today then it is not a catastrophe for temperatures to rise to the level of the Middle Ages today as humans beings will be able to cope today at least as well as they could seven hundred years ago. When you consider the technological advances made since then, the 1 degree per hundred years that they're speculating for the next hundred years obviously means absolutely nothing.
ov
4 years ago
I've heard of these paid shills
and I often find it unfair that any cause that I support doesn't have a big budget for them.
Even the die hard deniers don't make any claims that global warming isn't happening, too much desertification and disappearing glaciers to support that argument, so the shift is that it isn't being caused by the industrial lifestyle of humans. My favorite is that this is happening to all planets in our solar system, according to the trusted folks at NASA, an organization that has been totally taken over by the evil illuminati, according to the same bunch of extremely crack pot conspiracy theorists as are claiming the NASA evidence as all the proof they need that we don't need to change our lifestyle.
The evil bastards are the only ones with enough money to finance a major conspiracy theory, and it looks like the conspiracy is all about creating doubt in the public mind by perpetuating the belief that there are still two sides to this story, and that we shouldn't change anything until we know with 99.9999999999999999999999999999% certainty.
Frank
4 years ago
Fossil fuels
So your point is that uranium prices mean the fossil fuel boys are lambs? Does this mean that Uranium City in Saskatchewan is the richest town in Canada? Good for them. You might have also noticed the rise in price at the gas pumps too.
So who's richer, the uranium industry or the oil industry? The scientists of the world are being funded perhaps by Lorne Calvert on the sly?
As for BP and Shell, if their little investments in wind and solar constitute "heavily", then what word describes their oil operations? Grotesque?
Now since the fossil fuel industry is "on board". How are they doing? Have they reduced emissions caused by the burning of oil? By how much? Cause I heard the burning of fossil fuels is actually on the increase but that doesn't jive with your view that the oil companies are all global warming believers now and only running wind and solar operations.
As for the Canadian Shield, the government wants to dump oil-caused emissions there too.
Frank
4 years ago
Truman
Fine, so since there's no downside to polluting the planet you and I should go buy a pair of Chevy Avalanches with 8.1 litre engines? Maybe we could get other Tyee people to join in and we could get a group discount.
If no one is worried about pollution/emissions then the first thing I want removed is all those taxes on gasoline because those Avalanches do have a nasty litre per 100km ratio.
And I want to get a low efficiency furnace instead of a heat pump because making Canada warmer is a good thing. In fact, maybe Harper will give me a tax credit for increasing my emissions.
And forget natural gas, I want a furnace that runs on blue coal.
Truman Green
4 years ago
ov,did you say 'paid shills?' You're not
serious. And yes we do deny that global warming is going on to the extent claimed by the global swarmers.
And we do deny also that Carbon Dioxide has the ability in an open system to cause global warming of temperatures. Water vapour does almost all of the solar radiation absorption duty--between 70 and 90 percent depending on the source of information.
And yes there is overwhelming evidence that other planets in our solar system are heating up slightly also, concurrently with increases in our atmosphere, which makes it sensible to believe that the increases share the same cause.
There's no people on the other planets so it's probably not humanogenic, eh, or even alienogenic.
So it's probably the sun, you guys. Smarten up.
Glaciers go down to the sea; that's what they've always done, eh. And then they break off in the water. Nothing new going on.
Truman Green
4 years ago
Frank, you might think this is old-fashioned
but there's this place in the bible which claims that no good fruit can come from an evil tree or something like that.
Yes, pollution's bad;it kills thousands of people every year who have compromised respiratory capacity.
We should figure out ways to stop polluting the atmosphere. But this totally stupid nonsense that C02, which is needed by all photosynthetically-derived life on earth is causing our atmosphere to heat up to the extent that human's can't cope, is not supported by any serious science.
As a matter of fact, Frank, it's a joke.
mopled
4 years ago
Aw, how do you manage to miss the point so
No, that Exxon profits from the GW/CC scare and the oil and uranium industries are connected at the top.
Nobody wanted nuclear for 39 years and they still don't, but they now have been braiwashed into acceptance. They think the world is going to bake and they are more afraid of that than radiation leaking into the water table.
Exxon will finally realize profits from its 1968 $2 billion investment. That a lot of money to have put on the shelf for that long a time.
The Oil companies will prosper as always, but we won't if the CO2 lunacy goes further.
And which "emmissions" are you talking about? If you mean NOX ok, if you mean harmless CO2 that is something else again.
Are you really that confused or is this a show for slower folk?
Frank
4 years ago
Serious science
Considering the burden of proof on the word "serious" around here I don't think we can believe much. I would go back to my earlier points if anyone wants to try and "prove" there was a middle ages and the earth isn't flat. I know you can't.
As for pollution, good luck with telling people that we're too insignificant to cause global warming but pollution is a serious problem that we have to address. If the earth can shrug off our gasoline emissions then it can can shrug off our coal burning.
ov
4 years ago
Totally serious
This is one of the topics in which the status quo will spare no expense in obfuscating the issue to delay making any changes in our consumptive lifestyle.
A recent Georgia Straight article, Trust Us We're the Media, explains the tactic.
Frank
4 years ago
Exxon
Exxon is profiting from the global warming scare? How so? Fuel efficient cars are good for a gasoline company I assume?
No it isn't. Exxon sells more gasoline than that on a slow weekend. You may want to do some research and study up on just how much gasoline is sold on this planet in a year.
Ah yes, because without CO2 emissions we wouldn't have an economy. I think Baird and Harper agree with you.
mopled
4 years ago
The Nuclear Industry benefits
because it is being pushed as "clean" just because it does not emit CO2.
Hello...is anybody out of the trance yet?
We are a carbon based life form...so is everything that grows on earth. CO2 is a component of the LIFE CYCLE. It's levels have been higher before cars and industrialization than now. All peer reviewed Frank.
Get it?
We are being scammed by people we trusted!
Frank
4 years ago
Punch line
We are selling far more dollars worth of gasoline than we are of nuclear power. We will continue to do so as long as the opil companies can. And as you said, the oil industry owns or will own every type of energy there is so they will profit the same regardless of what our energy future is.
So, tell me why it is that we are being scammed when the same people profit either way?
mopled
4 years ago
We will be taxed
and charged for CO2 emmisions. Hello?
Carbon tax, Carbon trading....ring a bell?
Bye I'm off to dinner.
ov
4 years ago
More tax
I'd like to see a two dollar per litre tax on gasoline with the money going to finance alternative energy; or better yet have the money go to reward those that consume the least. If people still insist on their gas guzzlers raise the tax to three dollars. Repeat as necessary.
Frank
4 years ago
mopled
You left out who is the big benefactor of this carbon trading scheme.
mopled
4 years ago
Ov Why do you want to punish
the victims....us? Wouldn't a smarter way to go be to demand better milage through legislation.
We need an energy policy, not blind taxation.
Campbell just gave away how many rivers in BC for run-od=the river electricity generation.
The tax money you want to give away for alternate energy projects will go to already private generators. Hydro was forbidden by law to do anything more. Remember? It was one of Campbell's first things to do when in power....gut Hydro!
Get your brain in gear before you start taxing people.
mopled
4 years ago
The usual suspects
The biggest beneficiary of carbon trading will be the carbon traders....like Goldman Sachs, the biggest brokerage house on Wall Street which has just gone on to the business.
Your exhale has been commodified Frank. Ever hear your elders complain in their querilous tones, why next they will be taxing us for breathing? Well, they finally figured out how to do it. And as far as I can tell, you and Ov want to be the first in line to get your tax stamp.
We should get off oil as soon as possible, but we are not the problem. The people who make the rules are. The people who make the vehicles are.
Did you realize that the rape of Alberta proceeds on the lowest royalties of any oil producing jurisdiction in the world?
Any you want to tax us too, Ov?
Frank
4 years ago
Evil govdernments
Very old news. Except to Albertans.
Anyway, so that's it? The whole global warming conspiracy comes down to governments wanting to find a new way to tax us?
Not the nuclear, wind and solar industries which are owned by the oil companies anyway, not the rich elites who will also make money with or without global warming, it all comes down to government taxation.
Sounds like you have to put down the Fraser Institute anti-gov't pamphlets for awhile.
mopled
4 years ago
The Devil is in the details
Just as in religion, you seem to be looking for one Satan. All sorts of agendas are running simultaneously.
Dr. Avery points out in that video I posted earlier....Frank, did you bother to watch it?
http://cbs2chicago.com/video/?id=31990@wbbm.dayport.com&cid=6
that Benjamin Santer of Laurence Livermore Labs, who was the lead author of the IPCC science section in 1996, removed five statements that said there was no "human fingerprint" on the warming we've been experiencing. He then inserted a statement that said they had found a human fingerprint...with no supportive evidence
He then admitted what he had done publicly about 6 mos later. In spite of that, he is still in charge!
Laurence Livermore Labs is the prime lab for the US Department of Energy, which used to be The Atomic Energy Agency. The long standing complaint has been that the DOE has never supported green renewable energy research and that over 95% of its funding goes to support nuclear research.
Just like James Hansen, in 2005 Santer got a good boy prize too.
ov
4 years ago
We are not the victims
Here in the developed world we consume at a rate that puts the ecological footprint equivalent to four planets, whereas if we consumed at the same rate as the 90% which make up the rest of the world we would be approaching sustainability. The victims are the poor little brown people that have to starve so that we can burn biofuels in our SUVs.
Taxation is an effective means of changing human behavior, and at the same time is revenue generating, unlike police enforcement which costs money and resources. Europe uses much less gasoline because the tax on gasoline is so high. It's an incentive not to consume. So I say bring on the tax and raise it to however high it takes to get people to reduce their consumption to sustainable levels.
Best way to reduce waste is to reduce consumption.
Frank, I was under the impression that the Fraser Institute doesn't really mind government at all provided it's corporate controlled.
mopled
4 years ago
So don't burn biofuels
and stop falling for the scam that CO2 is our enemy!
Most of Europe has no oil or gas. The taxes are high to discourage use because of balance of payments considerations...it has always been true and has nothing to do with the Global Warming Scam.
Ov, all I can say is Go Sacrifice Yourself if you want, but leave the rest of us out of your need to be a martyr for nothing.
You want to tax the only means of transportation for most of the population.
Where is the public transportation that people can substitute for their cars?
Where is the guarantee that gas tax money will not be spent on more fripperies like the Olympics?
BC Dude
4 years ago
Fraser Insitute is a group
Fraser Insitute is a group of taxpayer frauds, as they are the Liberal's voice and guide on BS!
Check Campbell's Greening of BC, not.
http://www.wildernesscommitteevictoria.org/videos.php
and at Google Video at:
http://video.google.ca/videosearch?q=ring+legislature
Money now clearcutting right down to OUR rivers, and f--k the future!
Now that R Klein is gone let's see what and where his big reward for selling out ALB and Canada?
ov
4 years ago
Where is the public
If a $2/liter tax went towards public transit not only would we have a great transport system but it could be run without fares. Plus with all those cars off the road the buses and lrt would move pretty swift.
I don't feel like living simply so that others can simply live is a huge sacrifice. But it's got to be across the board because if my living simply is used as an excuse for others to consume more, then I'm being taken for a chump, and more importantly I'm not receiving any of the benefits of living in a healthier environment.
Mopled, what other topics do you ever post in besides the "gobal warming" topics?
mopled
4 years ago
First build the transportation
It can be done with bond issues. Then you can tax gas. But at least get the system in place first, otherwise you risk the money disappearing. $2.00 a litre would shut down not just individual drivers, but the transport of everything we depend on...like FOOD.
Actually, Campbell and Arnie are pushing the hydrogen highway idea. That's where the privatized power will go, but that's a long way off.
I post when I feel moved by the issue involved and I know something about it. I tend not to post when I don't.
reality_check
4 years ago
Global warming or not, pollution is increasing ...
I agree with previous posters that we should have more and more efficent public transport systems. Revenues have gone in government coffres, but few have been used to develop these systems. While I agree thaqt charging more will/should dissuade people from using their car, as others have pointed out, not all of us can afford to live in downtown Vancouver. Perhaps an incentive system to make people move closer to their work place might be an idea. However, cleaner energy productions (solar, wind,...) I think should happen. I think also biofuel development does not make sense, but I bet the old car manufacturers would love us to keep using the same old inefficient car engine for as long as they can.
To come back to the article, I was unable (when I tried) to ascertain whether or no the data is accurate. Tha anomaly: how can it be explained? Much higher energy prices must have made some company owners take measures (just like individuals). At the same time, there is a limit to how far can one cut corners without having to close the factory for dipping into the piggy-bank to buy a cleaner this or that. Similarly, I could have sold my 1999 car, but it would take me 2 hours to get to work compare to 30 min. And, even though I am reducing the number of trips i am making and using my feet or the skytrain/bike when I can, there is a limit to the savings I can make. After a while they become counter-productive. Coming back home at 8 pm everyday is not viable for me. Is it for most people? What would be the consequences of this kind of lifestyle in the long-run? I would love to buy those hybrids, but I don't think there are the solutions (pollution and cost replacement of batteries after 10 years are counter-productive/intuitive). A mororcycle might be a better choice for me. I am looking into that option. I also think the electric car needs to solve the battery issue (as stated by others following a Tyee story).
realisticman
4 years ago
Motorcycles are NOT the answer
Unless you want to pollute more.
reality-check:
http://www.motorbiker.org/blogs.nsf/dx/07012005082416MWE9J9.htm
Punch "motorcycle pollution in asia" into Google and it doesn't take long to see that we're better off having 8 SUVs on the road than 1 two-stroke motorcycle.
Frank
4 years ago
mopled
No, I asked why I should spend the time watching a Dr Avery without knowing why his opinion is more important than the others you dismiss.
Besides I still have yet to watch the video Maestro asked me to watch "proving" global warming is a socialist plot.
A conspiracy requires one Satan. You can't have a multi-headed hydra of a conspiracy where the only payoff is to one head, democratic governments taxing us more. (They can do that without global warming by the way) What is the gain for the other heads of this beast? Nothing.
Meanwhile, every little thing is being waved as if its proof of a wife-ranging conspiracy involving energy companies, scientists, gov'ts etc. If David Suzuki's mutual funds manager bought shares in a nuclear energy company it would suddenly be waved as proof of the biggest conspiracy in history according to the "global warming is a hoax" set.
I just don't buy it. There's no Satan, there's no motive, there's no payoff. In fact, the evidence shows the business and gov't "elites" fighting against the ecology movement for the last 40 years. That evidence shows the elites funding anybody that has a degree and says its a hoax. Then suddenly they start to take the ecology people seriously and try and figure out how to profit from it and the reaction is that all those 60's hippies were the seed of a massive global conspiracy by gov't to sell carbon credits? C'mon.
And again, Monbiot and lots of other ecology types are against carbon credit trading. Yet they're still labeled gatekeepers and King Canutes because being anti-carbon trading isn't good enough if they have the gall to believe the science on global warming.
Also I find it bizarre to claim that CO2 is one of the basis of life and therefore that the scientists are wrong. That's like someone telling me that computers don't actually have a tiny little man inside making all those calculations. I am pretty sure that anyone with a PhD in a scientific subject is well aware of what CO2 is. Telling them its important is probably not going to give them a eureka moment.
Frank
4 years ago
ov
You're right, the Fraser Institute is not against government, its only against the power of government being used to help people instead of simply acting as the strong arm for the business and finance sectors. When it comes to gov't ripping up contracts, attacking rights of workers and throwing people in jail, they're all for big government. I'm sure the FI boys would be all in favour of the return of debtor prisons too.
mopled
4 years ago
Frank, you're not that dumb
Benjamin Santer was rewarded, just like James Hansen for deliberate distortions of the science.
Ben Santer of Laurence Livermore Labs...so nuclear oriented that they applied for a "permit to pollute" with 450 lbs of DU a yearfor the next 5 years, the area near Tracy, California, for weapons tests.
Ben Santer ADMITTED PUBLICLY
to having changed the 1996 IPCC report after everyone else had left, from it saying THERE IS NO HUMAN FINGERPRINT ON GLOBAL WARMING to the opposite.
The fakery is so blatant.
The ties to nuclear interests are equally blatant.
Are you really going to walk around carrying your own bucket of sand for your head for the rest of your life?
The evidence shows government and foundation funding for the Global Warming Hoax...with Exxon playing at being the big bad wolf. It's called collusion. Do you really doubt that they are capable of it?
It's all a scam Frank...and you are the mark.
Davey-boy
4 years ago
Thanks, ov
Thanks for the link to the Georgia Strait article. What a clear case it makes.
realisticman
4 years ago
Watch that Sigh of Relief
The Georgia Straight article is just another typical enviro-jihadist rant.
Like many religions theirs is right and there is no room for any other discussion; discussing is over.
Then;
QED, the writer exclaims. Well, glad you're happy now. Ever wonder if the PR guy at Exxon decided that it's better to join 'em and cease the PR battle? The price of oil can now go up and the enviros will be happy. More of the Amazon forest can be cut down - as it is for soy bio-diesel (distributors have already built warehouses way up river, while the trees are still burning and before the roads are in and before the crop has been planted), move into bio-fuels in N. America, too bad about the price of corn/maize going up.
No room for discussing as to why last years hurricane season was a flop. Wasn't it supposed to be big hit? Any answers as to why today we read that Argentina is suffering a freeze? The Straight article is tainted since the writer continually criticizes select media in a typical and disparaging way. It's nauseating and sophomoric.
Here's an interesting chat from PBS:
http://www.intelligencesquaredus.org/TranscriptContainer/_GlobalWarming-edited%20version%20031407.pdf
mopled
4 years ago
Czech President Vaclav Klaus
Vaclav Klaus agrees with professor Richard Lindzen from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, who said: “future generations will wonder in bemused amazement that the early 21st century’s developed world went into hysterical panic over a globally averaged temperature increase of a few tenths of a degree, and, on the basis of gross exaggerations of highly uncertain computer projections combined into implausible chains of inference, proceeded to contemplate a roll-back of the industrial age.”
Of course, future generations, if the global elite are successful, will not possess the capacity for “bemused amazement,” as they will be bio-chipped, medicated, surveilled via the pantopticon and, to use the Matrix metaphor, reduced to mere batteries, that is to say rendered into a greatly reduced, through the coming Great Culling (i.e., “population control”), slave class in perpetual service to their psychopathic rulers, the heirs of Al Gore, Tony Blair, and the Gang of Eight.
“The issue of global warming is more about social than natural sciences and more about man and his freedom than about tenths of a degree Celsius changes in average global temperature,” Klaus notes, and follows with specific suggestions:
“Small climate changes do not demand far-reaching restrictive measures.”
Certainly not, but then the idea here is not to save the planet and humanity from fantastical climatological cataclysm, but rather, as noted above, impose a water tight social control mechanism, one far more effective in frightening the blinkered masses than the current emphasis on manufactured terrorism, almost effortlessly forgotten, unlike “climate change.”
http://kurtnimmo.com/?p=897
Frank
4 years ago
The G8
The G8 are eco-fascists? You read that and yet somehow you bothered to keep reading?
Frank
4 years ago
realisticman
Being as you believe all the scientists of the world are involved in a massive cover-up and that only scientists who write articles that aren't peer-reviewed can be believed I assume you also think the moon is made of tasty green cheese that the mandarins of the dairy industry have prevented us from enjoying?
realisticman
4 years ago
Roquefort a la manderine
Frank, I often enjoy your considered eloquence but don't assume that I believe one thing or another. I am not convinced either way on the warming subject. I do have a distaste for pop-science and much of the panic is related to an underlying mindset that is fashionably contra innumerable phenomena, including human progress.
Objective proof is hard to find, I therefore, remain undecided and quite content to wait until, like many panics that have passed this way before, this little storm will blow over.
Meanwhile, when's the sun gonna shine in Vancouver?
Frank
4 years ago
realisticman
Sorry, but being able to reference the dairy industry was too delicious an opportunity to pass up. I'm still reading your link.
You reference "pop-science". I can understand the term being tossed at some 2nd year biology students out for a hike and having a free-ranging discussion but how can you use it when referring to the majority of the world's scientists studying this subject and submitting articles for peer-review?
But I do. I always make my own bias quite clear. When I don't know I say I don't know. Just as here I state I'm not a scientist and I'm not a science teacher like Davey-boy either. When you take a position contrary to my own I just naturally assume that that is what you believe.
As I said above, I am pre-disposed to accept the "global warming hoax" because it agrees with my own inherent beliefs which is that all that pollution we generate can't be good. On the other hand, if the scientific consensus had come out against me I would have changed my mind and bought that 8.1 litre Avalanche to pull my little twin Mercury engine ocean cruiser :-)
Truman Green
4 years ago
Frank, G.West always has such admiration
for the peer-review system too. I remember especially when he advised me that my ideas on evolution amount to zilch because they haven't been peer-reviewed or published. (Co-incidence?), but peer-reviewers have points of views also. At best the peer-review system can only be relied upon to check data and facts--not the interpretation of data and facts. Peer-reviewers have opinions, like the rest of us. By the way, are you filling in for G.West these days, Frank, or are you...oh never mind. The intelligence level, syntax, sense of humour, impeccable grammar and spelling, sense of irony, political point of view, disgust with anything mildly not on board with conventional science etc. are all exactly identical to those of G.West.
HawkEyes
4 years ago
Glory Dog
The federal government would have to have access to information from ICBC/AirCare concerning kilometers driven and vehicle types…with fuel consumption numbers easily available, along other data, emission numbers could easily be spit out. I’d believe federal incompetence over provincial manipulation any day. And yeah, JW got it, 5% less consumption results in 5% less emissions!
But emissions are only part of the problem, dependant upon other influences to do damage. All things being equal, the cause and effect are clear enough. But people still have a problem with equality. Think Einstein.
Our plight also illustrates the major shortcoming of science - without a firm grip on the subject, usually that matter does not exist! Ghosts. The first platypus was declared a fraud. Acid rain. Mercury poisoning.
This can also handicap information exchange, as terminology encompasses bits and pieces not the whole. Global warming is a symptom, not the disease. And people are expecting this science to save us. Not likely. They can’t even see the whole problem yet.
Never before has Earth endured so many abusive people. Never before has She been so simultaneously assaulted; along with the mass destruction of her own survival mechanisms (eg: trees, Burns Bog…) - She is close to lost. The damage would continue even if our destructive activities stopped today... No matter the “natural” history, there is no comparison.
To cut BC emissions by 1/3 come 2020 is too little, too late. Campbell is talking the talk because he saw Minister of Environment Barry Penner looking to walk the walk. The glory hound took the concern Penner came to realize and manipulated the direction Penner was seeking. No mention of Penner or thank you. Campbell will ensure the process drags out and he will again not have to account for a thing…he’s even dumb enough to believe his fat pension bonus will shelter his families.
mopled
4 years ago
Pathetic Frank
That you jump all over Kurt Nimmo's editorial comment and ignore the truth of the Czech President's statements. Here they are unadorned:
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/9deb730a-19ca-11dc-99c5-000b5df10621%2Cdwp_uuid%3D73adc504-2ffa-11da-ba9f-00000e2511c8%2Cprint%3Dyes.html
We are being driven to work against our own best interests by faked science by paid off scientists and I'm not talking about the pittances handed out by Exxon, but the really big sums from the Heinz Family Foundation, the Department of Energy and the Dan David Foundation to both James Hansen of NASA and Ben Santer of Livermore Labs.
Frank
4 years ago
Truman
Truman, are you suggesting I'm G West? You and I pre-date G West's participation on this forum by a couple of years so you should know better. As for "filling in", I'm insulted, I'm the original, G came much later.
And yes, G and I do share many political views although we disagree strongly with each other on things like Afghanistan which we argued on here and in email for 2 months.
For what its worth, we also call the same town, home. So yes, there are similarities.
But I think our senses of humour are different and I'm less emphatic but you and G may disagree.
Frank
4 years ago
mopled
The Czech prez is entitled to his enlightened opinion but very little has ever been said in the Czech Republic that has swayed my belief on any issue and I doubt this will be the first.
And I wouldn't call my one-liner "jumping all over" his comment.
As the quote by the scientist in the Georgia Strait said, wouldn't there be more money in saying this issue needs more study than by claiming the need for a lot more study to be over and it being the time for some action?
If funding is the raison d'etre of the "global warming hoax" there wouldn't be any consensus ever found. But it seems that isn't the case.
realisticman
4 years ago
Beware the New Inquisitors
Frank, when I read, "...when there is no other side...", and this is a position increasing taken as gospel I know that we are nearing if not within, a new inquisition. Having lived through the Global Cooling pandemic I take umbrage, particularly when the gospel is riddled swipes at other things such as mass-media and globalization in attempts to make it legit. Au contraire, the linking lessens the strength of the message whether it's a leftie or a rightist wielding the plume.
Truman Green, be careful not to give GWest too many plaudits.
Frank
4 years ago
realisticman
And did you take that same view when Thatcher, Reagan and Mulroney were pushing the return to the 1800's via Friedman and his Chicago-school economics? And you had people like Eric Malling of W5 declaring "there is no alternative"?
Or do you believe that there is no single path for a successful economic system?
As for Global Cooling, I too lived through it, it wasn't ever more than a blip on the media screens. It would pop up here and there in discussions but nothing in comparison to global warming.
mopled
4 years ago
That's because there was not the
media blitz that we've experienced around warming.
Cooling is still slated to happen, but after 2020 due to sun cycle change. Having to have the heat on this late in the season is a first for me, though. At least it's not snowing, as it did in Sweden last week.
Frank
4 years ago
Mopled
We've not experienced a "media blitz" saying global warming is happening, we've instead experienced a "media blitz" about the issue of global warming. I would suggest we have heard more about the consequences of going green than we have the consequences of not doing so.
By the way, my heat is on this morning too. But its not a first. We've never turned our heat completely off, there have always been cool days in the summer season around here.
Are you perhaps suggesting we are not seeing the warmest years on record?
Anyway, I'm out of here for a couple of hours, father's day lunch with my daughters at a restaurant. See all you gents when I return.
mopled
4 years ago
The key word is record
We haven't been keeping records that long, but since the Medieval Warm Period's average was 2-5* warmer than now, who knows how warm we've been compared to what has happened within the historical period of the last 2000 years.
BTW I just remembered this oldie but goodie:
http://www.canada.com/nationalpost/financialpost/story.html?id=3711460e-bd5a-475d-a6be-4db87559d605
It is worthwhile checking out the names of the 60 scientists who wrote to Harper last year saying in part:
Observational evidence does not support today's computer climate models, so there is little reason to trust model predictions of the future.
Frank
4 years ago
mopled old bean
For the sake of argument let's say this is absolutely true. But, like the idea that scientists have never heard of carbon being the basis of life, would not scientists already be as well aware of the historical record to at least the same degree as people watching a PBS special on how climate has changed and forced the movement of peoples in the past?
I know I'm quite up to date on how people settled in places along the southern coasts of Asia while other places such as Europe were still locked in ice. Now, if I know that, I am pretty sure the scientists around the world studying this issue are aware of that. For example, grapes used to be grown in Nova Scotia according to the Vikings. Well, grapes are being grown in Nova Scotia again today. Just as scientists have also told us the North used to be a lot warmer. Do we disbelieve them?
In other words, I doubt there's a single scientist anywhere that thinks temperatures have never changed before.
One thing is for sure though, previous temperature variations have had a considerable impact on life on this planet.
As for the list of 60 names you provided. I did see Tim Ball who has been pretty much discredited and a few others such as economists who I doubt have any more reason to have their names on that list than I do.
But that aside, have they submitted their findings that mankind is having no effect on the environment to the proper places? What were their findings? Were they based on models? What were the results?
Interesting term. What does it mean? That Joe Scientist looked outside on a tuesday and found it to be cold? Somehow I'd like a little more evidence that we're not pitching toward the abyss than that.
Its all well and good to say, "No, mankind has no effect on the environment, let's switch to coal-powered F-350's for everybody" but I would like there to be some actual research done. Something other scientists can check and say, "Dr Ball is right. The fact the warmest years are all occurring lately is just a big co-ink-a-dink"
If their research is accurate it will take only a few weeks for all those greedy scientists looking for funding to raise the cry that they need more dollars to study this thing.
Frank
4 years ago
Carbon offsets
http://environment.guardian.co.uk/climatechange/story/0,,2104395,00.html
Read this article and then come back and tell me with a straight face that business and gov't created the global warming hoax to sell carbon credits.
The whole thing is just a huge fiasco as Monbiot has said. It will never work and I imagine the whole scheme will be discarded within a few years.
This would of course mean the only way of saving the planet will be technology which won't happen either in my opinion. The technological solution is popular for the same reason as Harry Potter books, people love simple, "magical" answers to complex problems.
But, on the other hand, if in 50 years we haven't done anything and the temperature hasn't changed then I'll buy you all dinner at a great French restaurant, in France.
footnote : Yes, I know magic is only one of the reasons that Harry Potter is popular. I realize the books also have good characters and a nice tempo to the plot.
mopled
4 years ago
Whoopee
Frank, you just admitted it has been just as warm before now during the MWP.
Halle-bleepin-lujah!
So, why are everyones' knickers in such a twist over the present +.6*C in 100 years when it was warmer before ndustrialization
and we are still warming up after the Little Ice Age that followed the Medieval Warm Period?
It's a great opportunity to push agendas!
You've seen how everything is been blamed on Global Warming...anything goes.
You keep looking for a one theme scam.
A carbon market is just one of the "business opportunities." The development of new infrastructure....as in Arnie and Gordo's Hydrogen Highway. And such wonderful opportunities for the taxation of such willing serfs. A reason to ration energy...great opportunities for graft on that one. The imagination soars, but I'm going to bed happy.
Grapes in Nova Scotia again.
Actually, a Viking settlement was found in Newfoundland which is a bit colder than NS.
BTW, Tim Ball has only been discredited in the fevered imagination of Ross Gelbspan who runs realclimate along with his fake Pulitzer. Don't use that excuse for not acknowledging the presence of 59 other heavy hitters, like Freeman Dyson. For shame Frank at that pitiful attempt to dismiss real opposition.
Frank
4 years ago
Doc Avery
The good doctor Avery is an agricultural economist by training?
I watched a bit of your video mopled and he actually said there's been no warming for the past 8 years. I wonder how he explains 9 of the last 10 years being the warmest on record?
He writes off the IPCC, as you did, by claiming Santer made a change to the report. A change that occurred in chapter 8 and which, according to the article at Wikipedia on the subject, was no big deal. Also, his statement was backed up by later reports. Your and Avery's writing off of the IPCC would have some validity if the 1996 report was the subject, but there's also a 2001 and 2007 report which have backed up the 1996 report.
It was fun though hearing him throw out sound-bites like "I can give Gore 1/10 of one percent". How enlightening to hear that an economist is the go-to guy on climate change.
Obviously Avery has no credentials, a tenuous grasp on the truth and can be easily dismissed.
Frank
4 years ago
More on the IPCC
Everything below is quoted from an interview with Santer
This criticism of you and your work on the Second Assessment is still propagating itself across the Internet like some sort of meme.
This is rather frustrating. I can’t alter what people wrote about me on some op-ed page. It’s unfortunate but beyond my control. Likewise, I have no control over the weird and wacky motives that climate-change skeptics ascribe to me.
In 1996, at the time of publication of the IPCC Second Assessment, I was a messenger bearing news that some very powerful people did not want to hear. So they went after the messenger. They were very good at it. I’m sure there was no personal animus involved. I just happened to get in the way and had to be discredited.
Any apologies from these people as the science became clearer?
No. No apologies. The Global Climate Coalition (GCC) was the major instigator of the unfounded allegation that shenanigans had gone on during the IPCC’s Second Assessment. The GCC accused me of “scientific cleansing” at a time when “ethnic cleansing” was being committed in Bosnia.
The GCC was one of the many now-defunct industry groups?
Yes. The GCC was a consortium of energy interests. It was heartening to see—even back in 1996—that a number of GCC members were very unhappy with the “scientific cleansing” charges. BP, Shell, and a number of other companies eventually resigned. They stated that the GCC was not conducting a responsible debate on climate-change science and was not representing their best interests. This felt like a small but significant victory.
G West
4 years ago
Been away, but it's
Nice to know I've not been forgotten.
For those interested in assessing the value of Václav Klaus, the Czech Republic's answer to Margaret Thatcher, as a witness for or on behalf of anything serious that doesn't involve his own solipsism, I'd recommend the following:
http://www.nybooks.com/articles/20153
It's written by another Václav...Havel, and translated by a well-respected Canadian (still available online).
Reports I've had from Czech since last I visited there are, with respect to the new Václav's record,...somewhat mixed.
As for global warming skepicism - why say anything more on the subject? My views are already well known. Although I will mention that there was an excellent article in the New York Times two or three weeks ago on its impact in Alaska.
G West
4 years ago
errata
That's skepticism.
My apologies.
Frank
4 years ago
mopled
So, why are everyones' knickers in such a twist over the present +.6*C in 100 years when it was warmer before ndustrialization
and we are still warming up after the Little Ice Age that followed the Medieval Warm Period?
I "admitted"?? I'm not a scientist mopled so what's this "admitted" bit?
Again, do you think it will be a eureka moment to the scientists of the world if you tell them there used to be people called vikings?
I think its safe to say they know that already and that knowing there have been temperature fluctuations in the past won't be news. I said all this earlier, I hope you do me the courtesy of reading my posts because I assure you I read yours.
We've been over this. The scam artists in the carbon markets are not the people studying or funding the research on global warming. There's no connection.
C'mon mopled, there's no shortage of reasons to tax people. Putting it forward is simply evidence of the lack of evidence on your side of the equation.
Uh-huh, fact is I have more credentials than some of the people on that list. Such as economists. And Tim Ball is discredited, he discredited himself when he sued the Calgary Herald for lost income opportunities working for Exxon.
Frank
4 years ago
GWest
Personally G, I don't think you and I "sound" at all alike but its just occurred to me that you and Truman are both lefties and both of you disagree with me on Afghanistan therefore you must be the same person.
G West
4 years ago
Now that IS funny!
But have you noticed how much Adamwest and Elliot 'sound' alike Frank?
Btw, have you driven through those miles and miles of dead pine forest lately?
mopled
4 years ago
So Santer should sue
That he doesn't would seem to indicate Avery is right.
I think as far as sins go, I'll take Klaus over Gore anytime. Part of the problem is that because the Bushies have been such monsters, people forget what the Clinton/Gore administration was responsible for...starving and bombing Iraq for all those years. Did Mr. Compassion Gore ever challege Madeleine Albright's thinking on 600,000 dead Iraqi children?
How about Waco? Did Gore ever ask Janet Reno why there were international observers present when they burned to death over 80 women and children.
Gore, Campbell and Schwarzenegger are not our friends guys. If they sold used cars, you'd walk away.
Frank
4 years ago
Al Gore
I have no reason to defend Al Gore or for that matter Bill Clinton and Arnie. I'm an NDP voter, by what weird gymnastics could I possibly support people like Gore, Clinton and Arnie?
As for Santer, if doesn't sue he's a liar? Oh c'mon. He lets the facts speak for themselves. The follow-up IPCC reports reinforced his position. Not everyone sues at the drop of a hat.
mopled
4 years ago
Santer is the follow up report
He's still the guy who picks and edits the science at the IPCC. As to him not suing...maybe it's because his shenanigans were reported by the NY Times. Like the good boy prize he got. Add that to the $1.25 mill he got in 05, and the boy is doing very well doing the bidding.
http://www.sepp.org/Archive/controv/controversies/santer.html
June 2, 1998
The New York Times reports today that Dr. Benjamin Santer, atmospheric scientist at Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory in Livermore, California, has been awarded a MacArthur Foundation "genius" grant of $270,000 for research supporting the finding that human activity contributes to global warming.
We recall that earlier MacArthur "genius" grants have gone to Dr. Paul Ehrlich of Stanford University and Lester Brown of the Worldwatch Institute, both noteworthy for forecasts of famines, cancer epidemics, and other population disasters that were somewhat wide of the mark.
Dr. Santer breaks new ground by having admitted to altering Chapter 8 of the most recent IPCC report, deleting phrases that suggested scientific doubts about human influences on climate. According to the journal Nature, the changes were made to make the report conform to the IPCC Policymakers Summary, a political document. Nature editors said that the U.S. State Department had urged the head of the UN science advisory group to prevail upon chapter authors to make such changes.
Santer also edited a crucial graph in Chapter 8 (Fig. 8.10) from his original published version, leading readers to believe that human influence is present and increasing with time, and selected data for Figure 8.7 (discovered by climatologist Prof. Patrick Michaels of the University of Virginia) to suggest that aerosols could account for the discrepancy between calculated and observed temperature trends.
The Science & Environmental Policy Project congratulates Dr. Ben Santer on his success. We feel certain he has a bright future in his field of research.
We also express our deep appreciation to the New York Times for not putting this story on page 1.
mopled
4 years ago
Pretty blatant!
I forgot to point out above, Santer did his fiddling during the Clinton/Gore admin and according to Nature, at their behest.
* PDF about IPCC procedures
Search for "grammatical". It explains their version of the scientific method unambiguously:
* Changes (other than grammatical or minor editorial changes) made after acceptance by the Working Group or the Panel shall be those necessary to ensure consistency with the Summary for Policymakers or the Overview Chapter.
No kidding. Steve has correctly predicted that it would make my jaws drop. ;-) Those 2500 people first determine what the "big" conclusions should be and then they will spend 3 months by "adjusting" the technical report so that it is consistent with the summary for policymakers and with the overview chapter. We are probably expected to believe that it is physically impossible that anyone among these 2500 people has a chance to find any inaccuracy in the overview in 3 months.
These people are openly declaring that they are going to commit scientific misconduct that will be paid for by the United Nations. If they find an error in the summary, they won't fix it. Instead, they will "adjust" the technical report so that it looks consistent. Very nice. Is it legal according to the existing laws? I don't know. But I am sure that the people behind this outrageous plan are something that I won't write here. ;-)
Embedded links in original
http://motls.blogspot.com/2007/01/ipcc-ar4.html
ov
4 years ago
Mopled, I suspect this will turn you on
which was my first thought when this information synchronistically appeared in my inbox. It sounds entertaining enough that I might tune it in myself even though I haven't listened to CoastToCoastAM (originally the Art Bell Show) in a few years. Tuesday's (tomorrow) guest is David Wilcock whose credibility credentials include being the self proclaimed reincarnation of Edgar Cayce. The following quote from the previous link should be enough to whet your appetite.
Jay Currie
4 years ago
Minor imporvements
Given the numbers it is not beyond imagination that a series of minor efficiencies, a change in fuel, the normal reaction of motorists to rising gas prices, a relatively mild winter and a host of other factors may have contributed.
However, it is interesting in the face of the global warming folks' insistence that "the science is settled" that we cannot figure out with certainty this relatively trivial question. A few dozen variables at most as compared to the several thousand, if not hundred thousand, which go into climate models purporting to a)show co-relations between CO2 and warming, b)show human contribution to this CO2 induced warming, c) project temperature rise and climate decades into the future, d) assess the economic impacts of this.
One reason why I am deeply skeptical about the entire CO2/human induced global warming story is the improbability of a 90% certainty in a modeling exercise of this sort.
Frank
4 years ago
JC
Jay, in your long history of posting to this board I am led to believe that you're not a scientist, is that true?
Based on your long history of posting to this forum I am skeptical of your reasons for skepticism. I believe your skepticism has little to do with the science because I think that if the IPCC had come out and said they're 90% sure that global warming does not have a man-made component that you would have had very little problem with that number.
In other words I think your skepticism has more to do with politics than science. Which puts you in good company because I believe most of the skepticism toward the science on global warming is rooted in people's politics and has little to do with science.
mopled
4 years ago
Oh, Wow! Frank!
I just showed how they faked the whole thing and you attack someone for agreeing...the science is not settled. Get along little doggies! Don't you dare step out of line, the whip will be cracked. Attacking the messenger, not the message, is SOP for a lack of a valid argument.
Good going Frank.If you can't win on the bad, faked science try to win on the phony right/left split.
I know I would have had no trouble with the 90% sure of there being no human fingerprint on global warming....because the idea there is is so preposterous, not because of my "politics". I would describe myself now as Left Libertarian. I used to be NDP, but not for a long time.
Let's turn it around Frank. Couldn't it be true that you're willingness to believe in impossible things is politically driven?
Frank
4 years ago
"mopled" stands for what exactly?
You did? Strange, I missed that.
As for Jay, don't worry, he didn't even read any of our blogs.
Exactly, glad you agree that's what your attack on Santer was.
mopled, I know the politics of the various commentaters quite well (including Jay's), I hate to break the news but its almost always a left/right split. For all the hand-wringing out there what with people saying that every 2nd issue isn't a left vs right thing, well, it always ends up as one.
As for the "bad, faked science" can you personally tell bad science from good science? If not, who do you rely on to tell you one from the other? Serious question.
Because if tomorrow Tim Ball or a social scientist told you the earth was flat would you take his word on that too because it just makes sense according to your own "observational evidence" and then call the 99% that disagree "gatekeepers"?
You've regurgitated my own statement. Yes, as I said a couple of days ago, I'm pre-disposed to believe emissions from industry, tailpipes etc are bad. Call me whatever you like but even though I'm not a climate scientist I was 99% sure even before I ever heard of the IPCC that exhaust fumes and smokestacks were not helping. From what I've read, my layman's opinion is not exactly being challenged. Except by you.
Now apparently I'm the only one here that states upfront my own particular politics and bias and why I believe what I do. I also said earlier, which you may remember, that if the 90% had gone against me and declared exhaust to be good for mother nature I wouldn't have called the IPCC "gatekeepers". I would have said, "huh, I didn't see that coming" but accepted it and gone out and bought one of those roomy and powerful Chevy Avalanches (which I might anyway unless I see some serious attention paid to this issue).
So that's what it boils down to mopled. You see 90% of the scientists against you and you claim they're all liars and its a big conspiracy. Whereas if I saw 90% against me I would change my mind.
Frank
4 years ago
left-Libertarian
Why not just say anarchist? "anarcho" is pretty educated on this subject and if he was here I'm sure he'd ask you the same question.
G West
4 years ago
Maybe not the ONLY one
Well put Frank!
Some scientists may be wrong; some may be liars; some may even be in it for the $.
On balance though, I'll take their word for the science - on average - and continue to wonder about the agenda of folks who are more interested in attacking the evidence than the problem.
Is that left-wing?
Remember Galileo? He had some problems with false orthodoxy too.
mopled
4 years ago
Galileo makes my case, not yours
He also would have grasped that warming is due to our relationship to the Sun, not to what we exhale.
Far more money goes to AGW consensus scientists while dissenters are vilified, but at least they don't suffer threat of torture or house arrest, as did Galileo.
Echoing this sentiment was General Lord Guthrie, director of N.M. Rothschild & Sons, member of the House of Lords and former chief of the Defense Staff in London, who urged the Trilateral power-brokers to "Address the global climate crisis with a single voice, and impose rules that apply worldwide."
Allegations that skeptics of the man-made explanation behind global warming are somehow doing the bidding of the elite are laughable in the face of the fact that Rothschild operatives and the very chairman of British Petroleum are the ones orchestrating an elitist plan to push global warming fears in order to achieve political objectives.
http://www.prisonplanet.com/articles/march2007/280307globalistslove.htm
Consensus? Enough money and Consensus is real easy to achieve.
bob the cat
4 years ago
Barry Commoner at 90
Q. What do you think of the debate over the extent to which humans are
primarily responsible for global warming?
A. No one in his right mind would deny that we’re getting warmer. The
question is, is this due to things that people have chosen? And I think
the answer is that all of the things we have chosen to do include the
release of materials like carbon dioxide, which affect the retention of
heat by the planet.
You could argue that maybe this is a high point in a heating/cooling
cycle. Well, we’re adding to the high point. There’s no question about
it. So it seems to me the argument that there are natural ways in which
the temperature fluctuates is a spurious one. If we accept that we’re in
a cycle, it’s idiocy to increase the high point.
full:http://www.marxmail.org/msg27449.html
Truman Green
4 years ago
Jay Currie, now you've got it...
I too, had to chuckle at the inability of the global swarmers to figure out what would have been a trivial problem if their anthropogenic C02 hypothesis was correct and operating in within a simplistic positive concurrence ratio as they pretend. So now I'll solve the puzzle. (Partially, as one sees only darkly in this area)
None of the industrial indicators have resulted in concurring downgrades. In fact they've occurred in inverse ratio.
Therefore: The 2.3% diminishing of C02 emissions must be caused by anamolies in the hydrologic cycle. (which I'll explain in detail, if you like--you know evaporation, transpiration, water pooling, rainfall runoff, condensation, stuff like that).
According to Environment Canada humans are only responsible for 2% of C02 going into the atmosphere. Water vapour is responsible for up to 90% of the absorption of certain frequencies of solar radiation; therefore the greatest cause of C02 emission must have something to do with local weather hydrologics.
As the rappers annoyingly always say: "Know what I'm saying?"
So get our your rainfall, temperature etc. graphs. The answers gotta be in there somewhere. Or maybe it's beyond locating in the rather chaotic climate-weather patterns.
G West
4 years ago
Mopled
I disagree. There was scientific consensus behind Galileo - he just offended the Church more courageously (or stupidly if you prefer) than the others did.
Just because a lot of politicians and capitalists have lately climbed on the bandwagon doesn't prove a thing.
I do agree with you that Gore is boring, verbose and overly sincere! And I certainly agree that opportunistic investors are always looking for a chance to make a profit - what else is new?
I think you're a conspiracy theorist mopled - plain and simple - and not just in this regard. Wait till the next time Tyee decides it needs to post another story about 9/11 and POTUS...you'll have lots of new and explosive revelations for us all then, eh!
At least Truman admits to the fact.
mopled
4 years ago
All due respect to Commoner
but I don't think he's as well informed as he might be.
http://nov55.com/ntyg.html
mopled
4 years ago
more
But humans could not double the CO2, because they only put 3% of the CO2 in the air. If they put twice as much in, it would do whatever it does in 9.7m instead of 10m. If humans stopped putting any CO2 in the air, it would do whatever it does in 10.3m instead of 10m. In other words, nothing humans do with CO2 could be of the slightest relevance to global warming, even if oceans were not regulating it.
(The weaker peaks and shoulders of the peaks absorb in longer distances. While strongest absorption occurs in 10m, weaker absorption for CO2 occurs in about 300 meters. But a 3% increase in CO2 is still only a 3% reduction in the 300m distance for the weak absorption areas.)
The Attempted Fix
This is nothing new. Climate scientists know that more CO2 does not result in more heat under usual conditions. So the mythologists among them try to salvage the global warming propaganda by pretending that something esoteric occurs higher in the atmosphere. The difference is that the absorption peaks for CO2 separate from the peaks for water vapor. Then supposedly, radiation which misses CO2 does not get picked up by water vapor and travels into outer space; and more CO2 causes less radiation to get missed on the shoulders of the peaks.
Everything about that rationalization stretches reality to a point of misrepresentation. The increase in CO2 levels could only be relevant for the last cycle of absorption near the outer edges of the atmosphere, where there is not enough influence of the lower atmosphere to be significant. But the rationalizers claim it is significant in the mid levels of atmosphere. Not so. A 3% increase in CO2 would only shorten the distance of radiation travel by 3% before total absorption occurs.
In other words, at mid levels of the atmosphere, the center of the peaks would absorb at about 30m instead of 10m, while the shoulders would absorb at about 1,000m instead of 300m. Reducing those distance by 3% is not relevant. But just like relativity, if it takes more than a mouthful of arguing to prove them wrong, frauds decree the obfuscation to be fact.
bob the cat
4 years ago
All due respect to Gary Novak
Just let me uncross my eyes a moment mopled.
Not exactly an easy read mopled..
'You really want to live by a model that installs the coal industry as the savior of "global warming"?'
Realclimate
I share Cockburns dislike of the purported implications....todays "Sun newspaper" has Gordo telling us how we are all going to have to sacrifice on Global Warming...
To be honest with you...I really just don`t know..except what I observe, feel, sense..and somethings going on...I`ve seen cloud formations and atmospheric activity I`ve never seen before in my lifetime.
mopled
4 years ago
Like today and almost every day?
You're right, the sky didn't look like that until sometime in the late 90's It's called chemtrails. Here's what it looks like over New York....pretty much the same as here.
Our clear sky today is rapidly disappearing.
http://www.presenting.net/cts/cts.html
http://www.lightwatcher.com/chemtrails/playing_god.html
bob the cat
4 years ago
Photos clouds over Courtenay B.C.
Check these out...photos taken by my daughter of clouds over Courtenay B.C.
http://www.flickr.com/photos/clousseau/
mopled
4 years ago
Very beautiful but not what I mean
Here's something from '03 originaly from Straight Goods.ca
http://www.rense.com/general34/eva.htm
Request For Chemtrail
Data Gets Evasive Government Reply
Frank
4 years ago
Truman
(which I'll explain in detail, if you like--you know evaporation, transpiration, water pooling, rainfall runoff, condensation, stuff like that).
I have a better idea. Explain it to all the scientists. Since its you and mopled that claim they don't know or understand any of this stuff.
I would have hoped our universities would explain stuff like rainfall and evaporation to climate scientists but apparently not.
Once you send in your lessons to realclimate and the IPCC and all the other "gatekeepers" I'm sure they'll smack their foreheads and ask why they were never taught it.
Then you can do the talk show and lecture circuit and rake in big bucks for explaining rain.
bob the cat
4 years ago
experimenting?
I know what you mean mopled...and it is interesting..I wonder if it is in the experimental stage...the Courtenay cloud formations I found strange.
Did you read the front page of todays Sun
this story: "Plan to alter ocean chemistry hits rough seas."
U.S. agency tries to halt "seeding of the Pacific Ocean with iron dust to reduce global warming.
Get this: Planktos Inc; which has offices in Van. and San Francisco, wants to set sail this month from Florida to dump more than 45 tonnes of iron dust into the sea near the Galapagos Islands.
The Iron nutrients would stimulate the growth of phytoplankton, which would then absorb large amounts of carbon dioxide- an experimental process Planktos compares to reforestation.
A for-profit "ecorestoration" company, Planktos plans to sell carbon credits from this and other projects to firms such as Vancouver`s Wedgewood Hotel and Spa, which has agreed to buy 5,000 tonnes of carbon credits.
wow
G West
4 years ago
Did all the man-made clouds...
Did all the man-made clouds disappear for a while after 9/11 when all aviation over the continental US stood down for security reasons?
Or is this a military conspiracy?
I think the Chinese are using howitzer launched projectiles to seed the skies over China...(with mixed success); in the West we prefer to use airplanes I guess.
There were a number of interesting characters selling various methods to end the drought in the 1930s.
I think they called themselves 'Rainmakers'.
mopled
4 years ago
Pretty hairbrained
http://www.canada.com/vancouversun/news/story.html?id=9712fc39-561f-4dd8-b4e1-ad6c6e0487d1
It took a bit of searching.
On page 2 the article mentions Ken Caldiera of the Carnegie Institute. He's actually from Livermore Labs, and it was he who criticised Edward Teller's plan to put something reflective in the atmosphere....which is just what happened anyway.
Caldiers is big on "ocean acidification", unfortunately, because that is just as ill informed.... at best.
http://nov55.com/acd.html
Truman Green
4 years ago
Frank all serious scientists already know
that the hydrologic cycle drives the absorption of infrared radiation in the atmosphere. And they all know that because water vapour (thankfully) is the essential absorption molecule (90%), it follows that it's the interplay among components of the hydrologic cyle that determines absorptive capacity of other trace gases. Sort of a hydrologic butterfly effect, you might say.
In other words the best hypothesis regarding the relationship between C02 in the atmosphere and temperature increase or decrease is that a temperature increase either causes or allows an increase in the incidence of C02--which is what serious scientists already understand, and what is represented in the examination of ice, carbon dioxide and snowfall accumulation studies as the 'timelag.'
Look it up, Frank. None of this is particularly complicated, but there's not a lot of carbon credit or global swarming grant money in it, eh.
I'll try to work out an analogue for you in the next hour or so relating to why it's just gotta be true that the relationship between temperature and water vapour (pre-existing in the model) must drive C02 absorptive capacity and/or C02 incidence--not the other way--around as the swarmers pretend that they believe.
It's only logical, eh.
The problem is that there's little predictive linearity in any long-term climate model that the swarmers (or serious scientists) have been able to construct. The natural algorithms are likely completely chaotic, and the exact relationships among the molecules are probably beyond current climatology.
While not a pure analogue of the water-vapour-temperature C02 question, the big idea of the business-man scientist to drop tons of iron into the sea in order to sequester C02 in plankton, is an exact analogue of the entire anthropogenic emission farce: Really goofy.
mopled
4 years ago
G.West
The Discovery Channel did a program on chemtrails available here.
http://www.willthomas.net/Chemtrails/Articles/Chemical_Contrails.htm
G West
4 years ago
Rainmakers in the 30s and earlier
http://www.damninteresting.com/?p=91
Thanks mopled - the link said the video was unavailable.. I'll check it again later
Frank
4 years ago
Truman
The problem with your "serious scientists" is that they don't exist. Guys like an agricultural economist? Tim Ball?
As I tried to explain to mopled, I'm not a scientist. You're not going to be able to teach me climate science here on the Tyee. I put my trust in numbers like "90% of the world's scientists agree that...". For what its worth, most scientists believe that water vapour is a result, not a cause of climate change.
Now, same question for you that mopled never answered. Whom do you trust to tell you what is good science and what is bad science? Or do you decide for yourself based on your own scientific knowledge?
mopled
4 years ago
Warming not humans or CO2
http://nov55.com/gbwg.html
The claimed consensus view is so far removed from real science that it's an ethical problem rather than a science problem. For example, the suggestion that since oceans have layers, they cannot regulate CO2 in the air, is a flight of fantasy so far removed from the science that it is not about science. Contriving a position from strings of such absurdities in conflict with real science is the entire basis of the global warming hype. It's not what science consists of.
A behind the scenes clincher for the contrivers is that CO2 levels are supposedly higher than any time over the past 650,000 years, which means humans are doing something nature does not do. They do not deny that humans add 1% as much CO2 per year as already in the air, or that humans add 3% of all sources, the other 97% resulting mostly from decay. The net effect is that natural CO2 supposedly does the equivalent of filling a bucket, and everything humans add is overflow. There is nothing similar to a fill level for CO2 in the atmosphere. Natural variations are greater than the human input.
Truman Green
4 years ago
Frank wrote this, not too surprisingly:
"For what it is worth most scientists believe that water vapour is a result, not a cause of climate change."
Which proves beyond all doubt--reasonable and unreasonable--that Frank has absolutely no understanding of the issues in this discussion.
Unless, he's trying to be funny, in which case I applaud. But here's an analogue of his statement: White birds cause snow, not the other way around.
The question is really about whether increased temperatures are caused by OR cause retention of C02 in the atmosphere in the long term. Core samples indicate that there's a 4 to 8 hundred year time lag, with the incidence of C02 increasing after increases in temperature.
No Frank, water vapour is not the result of climate change, and not a single scientist believes this. (Basically because it's a totally meaningless sentence). Water vapour is the result of the evaporation of water, eh.
Frank
4 years ago
Truman
Truman, since you missed this link a few days ago, here it is again.
http://www.realclimate.org/index.php?p=142
The title?
Water vapour: feedback or forcing?
And here's the first paragraph, pay close attention, these guys get paid to be scientists.
In other words Truman, your much vaunted "water vapour" theory has no legs.
But if you're still sure that rain caused global warming and scientists don't understand it or the dark art called "evaporation" you're missing your chance for a lucrative book deal.
Of course I have one thing you don't, the ability to read.
Frank
4 years ago
mopled
Still waiting to hear who tells you bad scinece from good science mopled. And your reasons for believing them would be nice too for extra carbon credit.
Frank
4 years ago
Real climate
By the way Truman, there's a comments section at Realclimate. Feel free to tell them about rain, I'm sure they'll be impressed.
mopled
4 years ago
I don't believe Frank
That's the difference between us. You're stuck with the Church of Global Warming and it's propaganda centre realclimate.
I've presented respectable sources which either you don't or refuse to understand.
I'll repost somebody impeccable.
http://www.iarc.uaf.edu/highlights/2007/akasofu_3_07/#notes
this time try reading it.
You might get a clue about the corporate and foundation shenanigans from this.
http://activistteacher.blogspot.com/
Frank
4 years ago
mopled
So you decide what is good science and what is bad science by looking on the web and finding someone to disagree with a consensus on anything and then take that side?
I'm still reading the long article (activistteacher) you posted but so far it looks like the grand conspiracy behind global warming only got started after Kyoto. That doesn't make sense. Wouldn't the conspiracy have to have led to Kyoto?
If there was no grand conspiracy by the "elites" until after Kyoto then why was there a Kyoto at all?
Frank
4 years ago
The crux
As we've been discussing this for 6 days, I have to ask, what is your wished-for result?
That global warming be declared a fraud, or conspiracy and that all participating scientists be jailed or something I assume?
That we continue to pump out pollution at the same ever-increasing rate secure in the knowledge that it doesn't hurt the planet?
That there be no tax increases on things like gasoline in order to deter consumption?
mopled
4 years ago
Helping along global warming
http://www.pittsburghlive.com/x/pittsburghtrib/opinion/columnists/steigerwald/s_513013.html
Remember in January when the National Oceanic & Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) and its good friends in media trumpeted that 2006 was the warmest year on record for the contiguous United States?
NOAA based that finding - which allegedly capped a nine-year warming streak "unprecedented in the historical record" - on the daily temperature data that its National Climatic Data Center gathers from about 1,221 mostly rural weather observation stations around the country.
Few people have ever seen or even heard of these small, simple-but-reliable weather stations, which quietly make up what NOAA calls its United States Historical Climatology Network (USHCN).
But the stations play an important role in detecting and analyzing regional climate change. More ominously, they provide the official baseline historical temperature data that politically motivated global-warming alarmists like James Hansen of NASA plug into their computer climate models to predict various apocalypses.
http://www.surfacestations.org/
NOAA says it uses these 1,221 weather stations -- which like the ones in Uniontown and New Castle are overseen by local National Weather Service offices and usually tended to by volunteers -- because they have been providing reliable temperature data since at least 1900.
But Anthony Watts of Chico, Calif., suspects NOAA temperature readings are not all they're cracked up to be. As the former TV meteorologist explains on his sophisticated, newly hatched Web site surfacestations.org, he has set out to do what big-time armchair-climate modelers like Hansen and no one else has ever done - physically quality-check each weather station to see if it's being operated properly.
To assure accuracy, stations (essentially older thermometers in little four-legged wooden sheds or digital thermometers mounted on poles) should be 100 feet from buildings, not placed on hot concrete, etc. But as photos on Watts' site show, the station in Forest Grove, Ore., stands 10 feet from an air-conditioning exhaust vent. In Roseburg, Ore., it's on a rooftop near an AC unit. In Tahoe, Calif., it's next to a drum where trash is burned.
Watts, who says he's a man of facts and science, isn't jumping to any rash conclusions based on the 40-some weather stations his volunteers have checked so far. But he said Tuesday that what he's finding raises doubts about NOAA's past and current temperature reports.
"I believe we will be able to demonstrate that some of the global warming increase is not from CO2 but from localized changes in the temperature-measurement environment."
con't
mopled
4 years ago
Climate Science U of Colorado
http://climatesci.colorado.edu/publications/R-321.pdf
http://climatesci.colorado.edu/2007/06/20/documentation-of-ipcc-wg1-bias-by-roger-a-pielke-sr-and-dallas-staley-part-i/
Documentation Of IPCC WG1 Bias by Roger A. Pielke Sr. and Dallas Staley - Part I
more at site
G West
4 years ago
For sure Mopled
We should definitely be relying on other data for our climate stats. That's for sure.
Maybe we could use the Hudson's bay archives as a source - like Tim Ball.
I have about 30 years of diaries from a long-dead relative who kept daily temperature readings throughout the early years of the last century.
Maybe I should write a book on the climate too.
You're scratching the bottom of the barrel my friend.
mopled
4 years ago
Read the sunspots
The mud at the bottom of B.C. fjords reveals that solar output drives climate change - and that we should prepare now for dangerous global cooling
http://www.canada.com/nationalpost/financialpost/comment/story.html?id=597d0677-2a05-47b4-b34f-b84068db11f4
BTW, West, your comment above is inane!
G West
4 years ago
What
You're telling me you don't know where Tim Ball got his data?
You just posted a reference that questioned temperature statistics based on data gathered in the 20th century and you fail to recognize the main guru of the GW debunking fraternity here in Canada got his data from the Hudson's Bay archives taken from two fur trading posts from the 1700s on.
You're not as clever as you think you are mopled.
Maybe you should do a little more research yourself if you can't see the parallel I was pointing out.
As some have said before, it's just not worth the trouble. Once a conspiracy theorist, always a conspiracy theorist.
Are you a fan of Hutton Gibson too?
mopled
4 years ago
More red herring
The reason your comment remains inane is thatthe evidence for AGW theory is primarily based on the temperature collecting stations. That they are located in such conditions is the reason for the discrepancy between the satellite data and that from the ground based stations.
or didn't you look at:
http://www.norcalblogs.com/watts/weather_stations/
A Coincidence Theorist like you just refuses to see patterns. I'm actually a conspiracy realist..WMD's, Bay of Tonkin ......
G West
4 years ago
SO
You're denying that the guru of global warming skeptics in Canada is Tim Ball, and that his data is far more tendentious than anything the US figures for the 20th century are based upon. Very interesting.
Conspiracy theorists will use just about anything they can cherry pick to prove their point. The fact is that the vast preponderance of evidence doesn't support your arguments and you really haven't much other choice. Typical pseudo-science.
DO you believe in the rapture as well?
If I were inclined to call something inane, I think that might be it. However, that's more your style than mine - I'll just let people draw their own conclusions.
I think you and Hut would get along just fine while you discussed the fact that the Holocaust is a figment of the Jews' imagination.
You can tell a lot about people by the company they keep.
mopled
4 years ago
What the....?
I post an article by R. Timothy Patterson, professor and director of the Ottawa-Carleton Geoscience Centre, Department of Earth Sciences, Carleton University and you go off on such a tangent.
What does any of what you just posted have to do with either me or the subject?
You have just given a prime reason why you are not to be trusted....your fevered imagination knows no bounds when you are trying to discredit the truth about a false consensus.
Climate change is normal. Period!
G West
4 years ago
Not at all
Re-read what I wrote.
All of it - and remember that I recall your positions at other times on other subjects.
I know who can't be trusted.
mopled
4 years ago
I absolutely refuseto be smeared
by whatever the BLEEP you're accusing me of.
Whatever it is, it has nothing to do with the scientific evidence I've posted on this topic and the evidence there for all to see, that those at the forefront pushing the AGW/GW are BEING WELL REWARDED.
Just who do you work for?
G West
4 years ago
Well mopled
When you take what had otherwise been a civil discussion and smear it with this:
and this:
Not to mention what you've just said above here relative to an issue I've explained numerous times - well, I don't think it is hard to understand where I'm coming from.
When you can't get people to agree with your views, you're not the least bit shy about using the kind of thing I've just quoted, now are you?
No one pays me to write here and further, much of what you write and say has little if anything to do with the 'scientific' consensus either. You're much more interested in calling people down apparently.
You think it's perfectly fine to call people you disagree with names. Look back over what I wrote and the sequentia of it and you'll see who ought to be more careful about the ad hominem remarks mopled.
mopled
4 years ago
The Deniers Series
Just in case you missed these, or didn't know they existed:
http://www.canada.com/nationalpost/news/story.html?id=c6a32614-f906-4597-993d-f181196a6d71
G West
4 years ago
I've read them mopled
And I'm not convinced.
Particularly given the source and the record of that newspaper and its owners.
The Aspers have a very high opinion of themselves which I don't happen to share.
As I said before, the preponderance of evidence and the majority of scientific opinion - to a certainty of somewhere between 60 and 90 percent - is good enough for me.
Combined with the evidence I've seen on my own and the testimony of non-scientific observers from Canada's north I'm perfectly prepared - guided by the precautionary principle and the state of the atmosphere much of the time in certain parts of North America (not to mention Asia and Europe) to accept that we are polluting ourselves out of existence.
I think it's long past time we started doing more - no matter that it will be costly - and stopped arguing about it.
If, in the end, you're right and I'm wrong...well, no harm done. Most of the kinds of changes we'll make will be positive for health and life in general anyway. And if I'm right and the scientists whose work I respect and accept are also correct; well, we may have saved the world for a better future.
That's worth it in my view. That's my agenda.
mopled
4 years ago
Stop confusing pollution with CO2
We're dealing with a scam!
Get down off the cross of self sacrifice....puleeze!
What scientists whose work you respect?
Name some!
G West
4 years ago
I'm not.
I agree there is a scam going on - we just disagree about who is engaging in it.
Good bye.
mopled
4 years ago
How about Dr. Nir Shariv!
"In fact, there is much more than meets the eye."
Dr. Shariv's digging led him to the surprising discovery that there is no concrete evidence -- only speculation -- that man-made greenhouse gases cause global warming. Even research from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change-- the United Nations agency that heads the worldwide effort to combat global warming -- is bereft of anything here inspiring confidence. In fact, according to the IPCC's own findings, man's role is so uncertain that there is a strong possibility that we have been cooling, not warming, the Earth. Unfortunately, our tools are too crude to reveal what man's effect has been in the past, let alone predict how much warming or cooling we might cause in the future.
All we have on which to pin the blame on greenhouse gases, says Dr. Shaviv, is "incriminating circumstantial evidence," which explains why climate scientists speak in terms of finding "evidence of fingerprints." Circumstantial evidence might be a fine basis on which to justify reducing greenhouse gases, he adds, "without other 'suspects.' " However, Dr. Shaviv not only believes there are credible "other suspects," he believes that at least one provides a superior explanation for the 20th century's warming.
"Solar activity can explain a large part of the 20th-century global warming," he states, particularly because of the evidence that has been accumulating over the past decade of the strong relationship that cosmic- ray flux has on our atmosphere. So much evidence has by now been amassed, in fact, that "it is unlikely that [the solar climate link] does not exist."
The sun's strong role indicates that greenhouse gases can't have much of an influence on the climate -- that C02 et al. don't dominate through some kind of leveraging effect that makes them especially potent drivers of climate change. The upshot of the Earth not being unduly sensitive to greenhouse gases is that neither increases nor cutbacks in future C02 emissions will matter much in terms of the climate.
Even doubling the amount of CO2 by 2100, for example, "will not dramatically increase the global temperature," Dr. Shaviv states. Put another way: "Even if we halved the CO2 output, and the CO2 increase by 2100 would be, say, a 50% increase relative to today instead of a doubled amount, the expected reduction in the rise of global temperature would be less than 0.5C. This is not significant."
more at:
http://www.canada.com/nationalpost/story.html?id=069cb5b2-7d81-4a8e-825d-56e0f112aeb5&k=0
Frank
4 years ago
mopled
The last article you quoted suggests that we should spend a lot more money on research and proceed cautiously assuming the IPCC report is at least a strong possibility, albeit not proven. What would be wrong with writing policy based on the IPCC until its proven wrong?
mopled
4 years ago
Trust Fakery?
The IPCC assigned a role to CO2 that it is incapable of based on ignoring data that disproved their central point. The only reason for demonizing CO2 is to make nuclear more attractive. That this has worked can be seen by the 1500% rise in uranium prices.
The precautionary princlple would dictate that one doesn't proceed to impose costs which have no hope to doing anything except creating inflation. Taxing and fining the production of CO2 is a worse than useless direction to take because it diverts money and attention away from real pollution issues....like sewage from Victoria. I'd much rather see attention paid to cleaning up the oceans. It would be nice if a campaign against the biggest destructive force, the US Military, were started instead of the diversion that is Climate Change. How about a campaign against the Sonar experiments of the US Navy which drive whales and dolphins crazy with pain and destroys their hearing, ultimately killing them. That would be useful. Where is the uproar about DU polluting Earth?
This hysteria about a natural process is, to put it mildly, counter-productive.
As Dr. Patterson points out, we are likely to be entering another cooling period after 2020. Cooling is far more detrimental to food production than is warming.
Our energies should be concentrated on how to make up for lost food production due to global cooling.
ov
4 years ago
All good reasons
and which ones are you spending time researching and posting on?
There isn't any reason why these causes can't be pursued while at the same time reducing CO2. First acknowledge that there are no technological fixes to the CO2 problem, the solution is to cut back on consumption. Until then I can only assume that you are an apologist for perpetual economic growth.
DU is a major concern and this weekend at the Maritime center there will be a few of the world's experts on this subject: Moret, Deagle, Webre, Kyne. This will be at the 911truth conference, even though it is really a separate issue. If you go come on over and introduce yourself; I'll be going under the name of 'ov'.
mopled
4 years ago
Ov, can you balance your checkbook?
If we spend money on CO2 reductions, we then have less money to clean up after ourselves.
I do not mean to be insulting, but it it really is that simple.
Given that CO2 is not a problem ....
PLEASE GET THIS....we WASTE TIME ENERY MONEY doing anything about it other than planting more.
We should just be taking advantage of it while we can. CO2 is a plant fertilizer.
Enrichment by CO2 in greenhouses increase growth rate. Plant things...everywhere. You'd be amazed what can be grown in small spaces.
When the cooling happens, the CO2 levels will go down by themselves through a balance between ocean and land. When it is warmer due to the sun's activity, sun spots in fact, oceans warm and can hold less CO2, vegetation on land grows more rapidy, but so does the natural life of the soil. As the forest litter breaks down, it also contributes to increased CO2 levels. CO2
stays mainly below something like the first 30 ft, meters, I don't remember, but it tends to sink.
We contribute only 3% at mostof the levels of CO2 to the atmosphere. That includes everything we do.
Present day levels are around 380 parts per million and they have been higher at around 400 ppm three times since we have been recording them over 180 years. A record which the IPCC refused to examine comprising 90,000 chemical analyses
taken from 1852 on through the 1950's.
Quite simply, we have been lied to by a well managed media campaign.
ov
4 years ago
Cheque book is the bottom line eh?
Question: All good reasons and which ones are you spending time researching and posting on?
Answer (inferred): Nada, none, absolutely zip.
mopled
4 years ago
It's another manifestation of West
When did you stop beating your wife!
What are you talking about? More red herring.
Truman Green
4 years ago
Mopled, you pretty well nailed the entire
'C02 heats up the atmosphere' scam. Congrats!
It's amazing how identical the default agendas of 'OV,' 'West' and 'Frank' are, eh: "Even if it's a scam, it's still good."
G West
4 years ago
Naw Truman
You don't get it. I think you're the 'scam'.
Sorry bud, but you can't expect any kind of respect if you're not prepared to show it as well...and this thread just proved again and again that you'de rather call people names and laugh at them than actually have a real discussion. You and Mopled don't seem to have a clue about what constitutes civil behavior and it's too bad really, you have so much more to offer.
Why should anyone bother - you're just rude and ill-mannered.