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Anger the Polls Don't Yet Catch
Three issues gaining traction as the campaigns unfold.
Governator and premier: Why heat California's pools?
Picking political winners in British Columbia is a mug's game. Going back to 1972, the NDP won a landslide victory with just 39 per cent of the popular vote. In 1975, it lost to a Socred landslide even though it still had 39 per cent of the vote. In 1996, the NDP won even though more voters picked the Liberals. This is a manifestation of the first-past-the-post system and a damned good reason to support STV in the May 12 referendum. At this writing, the Green party is at 15 per cent in the polls. They won't stay there because the race will get down to the two main parties. If, however, the Greens had supported STV in 2005, STV would have passed and they would be looking at a pretty decent number of seats.
Why shouldn't those people who support the Greens have representation in the legislature? That by their actions, or lack of them, in 2005 they cooked their own goose is true but that doesn't alter the fact that the composition of the legislature should reflect the wishes of the public.
This election's three biggies
As I see it, the election on May 12 boils down to three issues, in no particular order.
1. The perception, indeed reality, of arrogance in the person of Gordon Campbell. On environmental matters, which I'll come to, he has been callous and insulting. The sleaze factor, now coming more and more in focus as part of the hubris of the Campbell government and its leader, increases by the day. The Basi-Virk case and the government stonewalling and the revelations of double dipping by Ken Dobell and, especially, Patrick Kinsella, show a distinct "up yours" attitude.
2. The economy is a huge issue. While axing the gasoline tax may be a good plan for the NDP, the government were waiting for Ms James' announcement and had the government environmental poodle, Dr. Mark Jaccard, with an instant (so it was meant to appear) financial opinion that this move would cause the deficits in the years to come to increase dramatically.
What seems to me interesting is that the Liberals, during the NDP tenure, would not cut them any slack because of the Asian meltdown. "No excuses!" was Campbell's cry. For older folks, it might be reminiscent of Albert Alligator in the wonderfully satiric comic strip Pogo. Albert, after arranging for the swamp's picnic, took credit for the good weather. When Pogo said he couldn't do that, Albert said, "Why not? It happened during my administration, didn't it?" If that principle is to prevail here, Campbell must take blame for the recession.
Of course that doesn't make any sense any more than Albert Alligator does except to point out that Liberals have consistently blamed the NDP for not doing what they were unable to do in the face of an economic crisis. But Campbell's Liberals don't accept the same standards. It's of course silly to blame a provincial government for world wide economic problems but could we not ask the Liberals: "The signs were all there; a huge U.S. deficit, ditto the budget deficit, the huge national debt, and unbelievable scandals in large corporations. Why couldn't the Liberal government with all its high priced help in the Finance Ministry do what then finance minister Hugh Curtis did in 1979, namely, foresee a crisis and take steps to minimize the consequences? Or was Campbell warned but didn't take notice?
The economy is an interesting issue for it plays out differently in different places. The business community, especially in Vancouver, sees the Campbell government as best able to deal with this crisis. Business communities always take this position. In communities outside the Lower Mainland and Victoria, where the forest industry has almost ground to a halt, many blame the Liberals and see the NDP as their saviour.
3. The environment wears several hats. The gas tax axing by the NDP is seen by many city dwellers as bad policy which will cost a lot of money down the road and shirking our duty to clean up the environment. In rural B.C., the gas tax is very unpopular.
What is very interesting are the issues of fish farms and private rivers. Nowhere has Premier Campbell been more callous unto autocratic than on these two issues.
Since 2001, Campbell has not only arrogantly refused to accept the clear scientific opinion that sea lice from fish farms are killing off Pink and Chum migrating smolts, in fact, as soon as another scientific opinion came in, more licenses would be issued or capacity increased. I predict that the Liberals will lose every seat north of the Victoria region as well in the Sunshine Coast regions.
The hitherto "elephant in the house" issue, the desecration of rivers by private companies upon which the Campbell government extends its beneficence, has now been exposed. This is a huge issue in many parts of the province. People are seeing the sweetheart deals with corporate pals, the environmental degradation, the lack of consultation and the ruination of BC Hydro. Every day that passes, this issue rings out stronger especially since the government has not told the truth.
Energy ministers and industry groups have stated that we must have private power because B.C. is short of power. Not only is that untrue, more and more voters realize that none of this private electricity is staying in B.C. That's because it can't. Let me explain.
Private producers can only produce electricity, for the most part, during the spring run-off when the water is high enough to make the generators work. That is the very time that BC Hydro has full reservoirs. Electricity cannot be stored so private power has nowhere to go but out of the province where it will be subject to NAFTA, which means that Americans with a right to use our water can use it for any purpose they choose and their leases will not be bound by statute or private lease terms. NAFTA, being an international treaty, trumps Canadian laws.
Selling BC to Californians?
When voters grasp the fact that all private rivers facts and future dreams do nothing for B.C.'s needs and everything for Campbell's pals and the need of Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger to keep his constituents' swimming pools heated, they will not be happy. This could be the issue that breaks the Liberals' back.
This issue is even broader than this and I would suggest that readers go to www.saveourrivers.ca for the full story.
This is indeed a watershed election (pun intended) where British Columbians will decide if their vision of B.C. is the same as that of Gordon Campbell.
Related Tyee stories:
- NDP Would Add $3 Billion to BC Debt
James proposes business tax cuts to stimulate economic recovery. - Campbell's Global Warming Game
While eagerly enabling tar sands and freeways, he's cooled out green foes. - Campbell Era Economy Nothing to Brag About
NDP saw higher growth. Now BC jobs are crashing.




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seth
3 years ago
Economy- Job One
The Liberal's Pirate Power debacle, easily shows Gordo and gang to be the most incompetent financial managers in Canadian history, yet this fact is not recorded in polling attitudes. One can only hope that Tieleman or another mainstream pundit takes up the economic side of the Pirate Power issue and shows Gordo and gang as the Rubes they are. Makes the fast ferry losses look like pocket change.
If generally accepted accounting principals were used Gordo's Pirate power commitments would add more than 20 billion to our debt. But because of slippery accounting practices and mainstream press compliance that debt shows up as a tiny comment line about future obligations way in the back of the auditor generals report.
A report from the big electric buyers group JIESC concludes that the Pirate power buys will result in a total 15 billion in losses for BCHydro over the 40 years of purchase commitments. Given that BCHydro is buying at 12 cents a kwh and selling into the current spot market at 2 cents a kwh and into a future US nuclear/solar market at .5 to 2 cents a kwh the 15 billion in losses seems optimistic - 25 billion would be more likely.
Of course Gordo and his sidekicks are planning to keep on buying if reelected.
Something must be done!!!
midnightsimon
3 years ago
Thank you Mr. Mair for your
Thank you Mr. Mair for your articulate support of BC-STV. British Columbians deserve better choice than we are being afforded under the first past the post system.
I hope to hear more from you as the election heats up!
Grumpy
3 years ago
Again......................
..........Mair hits the nail on the head and takes on issues downplayed by Palmer, Baldry and Boring (Bill who?).
The sleaze factor, ah yes the cutter criminalization of our autocratic government, no wonder the drug gang's thought they could have wild-west style shootouts, hits, whatever, where ever; the rule of law has completely disappeared in BC. Oh er, except if you a Joe-six-pack.
Skywalker
3 years ago
Thanks Rafe.
Another good article. But midnightsimon you gotta be really naive to think STV will change anything.
crh
3 years ago
California
is broke. What a hero Swartzenegger is. Gordo is taking us down the same path as California. Prepare to be destitute in the near future under the insane policies of Campbell and his faithful followers.
randyh
3 years ago
Insiders move to IPP industry
This is interesting find:
Insiders move to IPP industry
Mark Grant, BC Liberal executive director, resigns December 12, 2008 to join Rupert Peace Power.
David Cyr, former Assistant to BC Liberal Minister Mike de Jong, is now a director at Plutonic Power.
Robert Poore, recently worked under the Provincial Revenue Minister of the Province of BC, now is a senior director at Plutonic Power.
Tom Syer, who has held a variety of senior positions in the BC Government including Gordon Campbell’s Deputy Chief of Staff, is now a director at Plutonic Power.
Bill Irwin, after holding key positions in the BC Ministries of Land and Water, and Crown Lands, now is a director at Plutonic Power.[4]
Bruce Ripley spent the last 2 of his 16 years at BC Hydro as VP Engineering, now is President and CEO of Plutonic Power.
Elisha McCallum (Moreno), after 7 years with BC Hydro as a media relations manager, moved to a directorship with Plutonic Power.
Bruce Young, has held several high profile positions with the BC Liberal party and lobbied his own party on behalf of Katabatic Power is listed as a director of Atla Energy.
Stephen Kukucha, former senior policy advisor for the BC Ministry of Environment, is now president and CEO of Atla Energy.
Bob Herath, former Assistant Regional Water Manager for the BC Ministry of Environment is now with Syntaris Power.[7]
Paul Taylor, after his work as President and CEO of crown corporation ICBC as well as high level positions in the BC Government, is now President and CEO of Naikun Wind Energy Group.
Michael J. O’Conner, former President and CEO of Crown Corporation BC Transit, now holds senior positions at Naikun.
Jackie Hamilton, formerly held various BC Government environmental assessment and regulatory management positions, is now a VP at Cloudworks Energy.
Michael Margolick, held positions in resource and strategic planning at BC Hydro, now is the Vice President of Power and Transmission planning at Naikun Wind.
Robert Price, after a 30-year career at BC Hydro and Power Authority which culminated as the utility’s Vancouver Island transmission line construction, supervision and operations manager, now a member of the Hawkeye ‘team’ (website is not clear on Price’s position at Hawkeye).
Mr. Paul Adams, after a 33-year career with BC Hydro in which he held senior management positions, now is another ‘team’ member at Hawkeye.[13]
Doug Bishop, formerly 32 years with BC Hydro and Powerex, was contracted in 2004 by Plutonic Power.
Ron Monk former BC Hydro Engineer, now employed by Kerr Wood Leidal engineering firm used by IPPs.
Wayne Chambers, a former BC Hydro power plant and substation operator, now a manager at Cloudworks.
Alexander Kiess, after long career with BC Hydro in management, now works as a consultant to Syntaris Power.
Geoff Plant, former BC Liberal Attorney General, now chair of Renaissance Power.
crh
3 years ago
Oh yeah
I forgot to mention, I am angry. I've been f'ing angry for years. Do not vote for a corporate driven party. It is not in your best interest.
Skywalker
3 years ago
Good one randyh
Getting a permit to harness some part of a river for power to sell back to BC is now the new "Gold Rush". I can remember people talking about how they could get into this game some years ago when the word was out that the liberals were providing this "license to print money". These resource pimps should be run out of the province.
telus employee
3 years ago
IPP money to BC Liberals
Gee I wonder if $800,000 helped the BC Liberals decide to develop $30 billion worth of electricity in the private sector far more expensively than BC Hydro.
http://www.publicpowerbc.ca/ipp-political-contributions-bc-libs-exceeds-800000
michael maser
3 years ago
Revisionist tripe about Greens, Rafe!
That's blarney about the Greens impeding the STV vote in 2005, Rafe and you know it! What is true is that Adriane Carr, then leader of the GP-BC ,encouraged green party members to evaluate the STV option and make up their own minds about whether or not to support it. I, and many other Greens, most of whom I know had made submissions to the Citizens Assembly advocating on behalf of MMP (MMP was by far the Proportional Rep option most recommended by the public to the CA) ended up supporting STV on election day.
Time to wash off your glasses.
randyh
3 years ago
insider moves to IPP industry
Most of the insiders probably moved for altruistic reasons to the IPP industry. They certainly couldn't have gone because of higher pay or stock options will probably make them millionaires.
Everything Gordo's boys do stinks of corruption. Even if all these moves are legit, they don't look good.
For example, BOB Herath is issuing water licenses one day to Max Pacific Power, then the next is working for them. (they have changed their name to Syntaris power)
Why isn't there some sort of Conflict of Interest guidelines that say you can't take money or jobs from industry that you would have been involved in regulating or overseeing?
michael maser
3 years ago
Revisionist tripe about Greens, Rafe!
That's blarney about the Greens impeding the STV vote in 2005, Rafe and you know it! What is true is that Adriane Carr, then leader of the GP-BC ,encouraged green party members to evaluate the STV option and make up their own minds about whether or not to support it. I, and many other Greens, most of whom I know had made submissions to the Citizens Assembly advocating on behalf of MMP (MMP was by far the Proportional Rep option most recommended by the public to the CA) ended up supporting STV on election day.
Time to wash your orange-and-blue tinted glasses.
Frank
3 years ago
michael maser
Huh? Everyone in BC with a tv saw Ms Carr's meltdown over STV being selected over MMP and her resulting anger toward the STV option.
politico
3 years ago
The economy
You know the list of boondoggles by this government is monstorous and they should have no credibility on the economic front whatsoever.
Down the memory hole went the Libs handling of the Softwood lumber file. The deconstruction of FRBC and handing the Billions of dollars that used to stay here in BC to their American pals has been all but fogotten.
Campbell's complicity in having Emerson package up 100s of millions of dollars if not billions and handing it to Bush and his cronies is unforgivable. In fact a slush fund was created for the re-election of bush that was carved out of the tarrifs that crushed our industry especially for the Bush War chest.
Subsequently, high level advisers to both Campbell and Emerson took significant roles in the Bush Administration as one even replaced the renowned prince of Darkness affectionately known as Turd Blossom, the pre-imminent Karl Rove.
So not only are Campbell's global/privatization policies responsible for the decline in our economy he also wrestled millions out of our forests to fund the Bush Administration's destruction of North America.
Campbell implemented and underwrote the entire program that brought us to our knees and now we are going to re-elect him to save us from himself.
Campbellwearsatutu
3 years ago
Export power
To whom?
As Mark(Seth) states,there is cheap energy coming on line,Pickens with his wind energy,expensive but green,deserts being covered with solar cells,tidal,not to mention cold fusion.....
There will be no one to buy this power,us BCers will be stuck buying this over-priced hydro.
Run of River was envisioned with small micro projects,there are many places where water(small water)falls off the side of a mountain,small micro projects designed to bring power to small towns,local communities,never can it be called green power to run hydro thousands of miles,the loss of power in transmission is enormous.
Rafe is correct,this issue is huge,as well the issue of coruption is huge,to me,corruption and Run of River are intertwined together.
"What a tangled web we weave when first we practive to deceive"
midnightsimon
3 years ago
skywalker- or a true
skywalker-
or a true partisan to believe it won't!
michael maser
3 years ago
Adriane Carr and STV
Frank: Yes, Adriane's initial reaction was well-publicized thanks to the mainstream media meat-grinder which loves to serve up controversy. What was much less-reported was Adriane's repeated suggestions for all BC citizens to make up their own minds about STV and vote accordingly.
Frank
3 years ago
michael
Well I think that was what Rafe was referring to.
Anyway, ever since I heard about your "blue energy" years ago I've been a fan, good luck.
Grouse
3 years ago
strategic voting
what I don't understand, is why anyone would vote for the greens in this election. They have no chance of defeating the libs so why waste the vote.
Even if you are iriitated about the carbon tax (and listening to campbell on that, he is using it to send environmental voters to the greens), vote NDP and yes on STV, next election we will still own BC Hydro and mitigate some of the damage campbell has done, then in 2013, with STV, we can elect greens.
make your vote count, we MUST defeat the libs or we will have nothing left
Wilfred Laurier
3 years ago
Plus de Change....
"There will be no one to buy this power,us BCers will be stuck buying this over-priced hydro."
Funny, but EXACTLY the same thing was said when WAC Bennett announced the Columbia River project. At the time, the CCF was dead against it and favoured, get this, coal fired plants near urban areas. The idea was to "save money" on the transmission lines.
Good thing the Liberals are on they way to a landslide when I hear this kind of short sighted talk.
Campbellwearsatutu
3 years ago
Wilf......
There will be a lanslide, 55 NDP seats 1 independent 29 Liberals seats
You might want to re-read your history.
Spudster
3 years ago
Misleading article on many fronts
I like reading articles when there is a nuance or interesting position to be had, but unfortunately, this article was full of misleading assertions that really just echos NDP propaganda. I'm not a BC Liberal, but I will call BS when I read it.
The articles claims about the environment are misleading. For example, there is considerable controversy over how environmentally damaging run of river power projects are. Nobel Prize winning Professor Andrew Weaver called the expensive efforts against private power as "greenwashing" by union bosses threatened more by the privatization implicit in the plan than the environmental damage run of river will supposedly cause. According Weaver, private power is one of the least environmentally damaging forms of energy generation out there. Also, because run of river power require no damming, there is very little wildlife or habitat destruction. It's ok to oppose private power on the basis that privatization is bad, but don't try to fool people by claiming private run of river projects are bad for the environment. They are anything but.
Why is it so impossible to have informed, factual constructive dialogue and debate in BC politics?
jhudgina
3 years ago
NDP and the Asian Meltdown
Thank you for bringing this up and putting the economics of the NDP era in focus. And quite rightly that if the NDP are to be held responsible for that, it follows that the Liberals must be responsible for the meltdown we are experiencing now. Give 'em hell, Rafe.
Frank
3 years ago
Spudster
When did Andrew win this Nobel prize? And was it for being against public ownership?
G West
3 years ago
It's just silly Frank
Weaver claims to have won the Nobel Peace Prize in 2007 because he wrote some of the reports (three of them at least) of the UNIPPC which was a joint winner with Al Gore...
I think that's on a par with a passenger on the SS United States claiming a share of the Blue Ribband for crossing the Atlantic faster than any other ship.
I happened to have the good fortune to hear Stephen Lewis lecture on Friday last, he drew a laugh from the crowd after the fella who introduced him said he was the recipient of some 27 degrees.
Lewis staightened his audience pretty quickly when he noted he'd actually attended 4 universities and managed not to graduate from any of them.
I put Andrew Weaver's membership in the Nobel Club on a very LOW pedestal.
Skywalker
3 years ago
To midnightsimon
Not to change the debate but In my part of the province Elections BC has the BC STV riding down as everything Northe of Quesnel. That is half the province currently containing 7 Ridings. So assume all three parties run candidates, that's 21 who must campaign in every town from Quesnel to the Yukon border, become know by the voter and run campaigns with about 25 local newspapers and about half as many radio stations. The voter is suppose to know enough about all the candidates to choose 7 of the 21 plus candidates.
Only a naive person thinks this makes sense. It is an absolute abortion of an electoral system.
lynn
3 years ago
randyh
Thanks, randyh....that is one incredible eye-opening IPP insider list.
Certainly tells us "who benefits".
Would make a great investigative report by The Tyee.
VivianLea Doubt
3 years ago
randyh
Yes, interesting list. Thanks!
joelunchpail
3 years ago
Confusion over Run of River
Run of the River is being spun by the doctors into whether it is Green or not.
That is not the issue.
Whenever it is mentioned in the media it is glumped into Ecology with the carbon tax.
The ecologists and the left, arguing amongst themselves whether the NDP or the Liberals are Greener.
The Real Question in this election should be if Gordon Campbell is elected will he continue GIVING AWAY all publicly owned assets, BC Rail, our ferries, our forests, our rivers, our water.
Gordon Campbell should be labeled as the HENCHMAN that he is. An agent for American corporations who is systematically destroying everything in this province he sees as socialist.
Like a magician he distracts us with attacks on public sector workers, teachers, our health care, education, B.C. rail, our ferries, and behind the smoke he gives away your Forests, your Rivers, your water and your trees to any corporation that will finance his re election.
When we have to buy our water and electricity from an international corporation we won't be able to afford healthcare or education. They will be privatised by default.
Romeogolf
3 years ago
Pirate Power
Private or public has absolutely nothing to do with whether or not it is environmentally damaging. It is the specifics of the project that determine whether or not a power project is environmentally benign.
That said, the BS that is being trumpeted by private power producers in that we cannot meet our current domestic power demand is simply that -- BS! We can comfortably meet our needs if we do much better at conservation and if we didn't export power. That means we don't have to alter any river. That is the greenest option.
joelunchpail
3 years ago
more smoke
Romeogolf, there you go again looking at the smoke. While we debate whether it is green or necessary, good or bad, it is being stolen from us. If I could convince you that owning a house was not green, would you give it to me so i could lease it back to you at 10 times todays rates for the next 40 years.
When B.C.hydro starts losing money because it has to buy all that power at 10 or 20 times the going rate Campbell will sell it off as a losing business just like the fast ferries.
By then we will all be renters , not owners like we have been for generations. What will we be leaving for our children?
Romeogolf
3 years ago
Fire
joelunchpail, there wasn't any point in being redundant. If there's no need to alter any river and people are strongly against it, then if no rivers are developed, the issue of ownership doesn't even come into question, does it?
However, if ruin-of-river projects by pirate power producers are given the green light, your point of ownership is entirely valid and one of the most critical.
Rod Smelser
3 years ago
"...the government environmental poodle, Dr. Mark Jaccard,..."
I am surprised, not to mention delighted and amused, that this phrase was not EDITTED FOR LEGAL CONCERNS.
We can all learn from Rafe Mair.
morechatter
3 years ago
Ah Sta la vista baby
When it comes to selling BC short Mr. Campbell's impaired thinking makes me wonder if I need to join Alanon as BC's rivers and natural resources are jepordized. Do you know what I have to say about that?
That's right.
Ah sta la vista Campbell and take your
Terminator with you. Dry up before are rivers do.
And on that note Take back BC Hydro.
fisher
3 years ago
bc
It seems the libcons have found a way to give a jewel to the( right sort of people) and a lump of coal for the rest.Keep us informed Rafe! god bless!