News

Is Carbon Tax Political Poison?

Dion and Campbell might have just sold it badly: pollster.

By Tom Barrett, 20 Oct 2008, TheTyee.ca

Carbon Tax cartoon

Cartoon by Ingrid Rice.

The carbon tax is looking like a non-starter following Tuesday's federal election.

But -- depending on how the debate is framed -- it may be possible to breathe life back into the idea of a shift of taxes away from income and onto greenhouse gas emissions.

Many Canadians would be happy to see the carbon tax die, especially in B.C., where we've had a modest but unpopular carbon tax since July.

But if you're going to cut climate-changing emissions, economists agree the carbon tax is one of the best tools to do it. Regulation is expensive and unwieldy. Cap and trade systems are highly complex, can be difficult to get right and may not affect many types of emissions.

But whatever its policy advantages, the carbon tax proved in the federal election campaign to be filled with political liabilities.

People just don't like new taxes, even when you tell them they're going to be revenue neutral.

What are we talking about?

In B.C., the New Democratic Party has very successfully portrayed the carbon tax as unfair and ineffective, even though they've used some dubious methods to do so.

The way the debate's been framed so far, people understand the part about paying a new tax on energy, but don't believe the promise that they'll get offsetting cuts to their income taxes.

The question of climate change has never really been part of the debate.

Says pollster Angus McAllister:

"If you ask someone, 'Would you like to pay more of anything' -- would you like to pay more income tax, would you like to pay more for dog food, would you like to pay more for beer -- whatever it is, they're not going to say yes."

McAllister, of McAllister Opinion Research, says taxes are like speeding tickets. No one wants to pay them, but people generally agree they're useful to society.

"The question isn't 'Do you want to pay more?' because no one wants to pay more," he said in an interview. "It's whether the idea behind it's a good idea."

Tax framed differently

So, during the week before the federal election, McAllister did an experiment. He asked respondents to an election poll the following question:

"Some people are saying that Canada should follow the lead of European countries that have cut income taxes and increased taxes on pollution.

"In these countries, people and companies that pollute more, pay more tax.

"Those who pollute less, pay less tax.

"Have you heard of this approach before?"

Sixty per cent said yes, 37 per cent said no.

He then asked:

"This approach of cutting income taxes and increasing taxes on pollution is called a tax shift.

"Given what you've heard so far, does a tax shift generally sound like a good idea, or a bad idea?"

Sixty-six per cent said the tax shift sounded like a good idea. Only 19 per cent said they thought it was a bad idea.

This is the same tax shift that flopped in the federal election. The same tax shift that is giving Premier Gordon Campbell migraines here in B.C.

'Hoisted on their own petard'

It's only one poll, but the results raise some intriguing questions. Is it possible to frame the carbon tax in such a way that people will support it?

Can you sell it if you start the debate by stressing that your income taxes will be cut, then say that people who pollute more will have to pay more?

Maybe, said McAllister.

For one thing, people might be more favourable to the idea of a tax shift if politicians stopped talking about it being "revenue neutral," he said.

"I think the people talking about carbon taxes have been hoisted on their own petard by talking revenue neutral," he said.

The term is supposed to reassure people that the carbon tax isn't a tax grab, McAllister said. But the public doesn't understand what it means and they're never going to follow the procedures that guarantee, as in B.C., that all carbon tax revenues must be returned to the public through tax cuts.

"The only thing they can judge is, 'How does this affect me?' And revenue neutral is not about whether it affects me," he said.

"The public thinks 'Am I going to have to pay more for stuff?' and secondly, 'Is it fair?'"

Obviously, he said, if you drive a big SUV, you will end up paying more in carbon tax, whether or not it's revenue neutral overall.

'Green Shift' hit the fan

McAllister said he thinks it might have been possible to run a political campaign around the idea of a tax shift if it had been framed correctly.

After the Liberals' Green Shift debacle, though, "it's a lot harder now," he said.

The problem is that there aren't that many policy tools to reduce carbon emissions. The day may come when governments wish they hadn't ruled out carbon taxes.

By taking such a key tool off the table, McAllister said, "you can paint yourself into a carbon corner."

(Note: The McAllister poll interviewed 1,000 Canadians in English and French between Oct. 5 and 8. A poll of this size would be expected to have a margin of error of plus or minus 3.1 per cent, 19 times out of 20.)

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  • ME2

    3 years ago

    Why do greenies love taxation?

    Mr Barret is obviously a johnnie-come-lately to the game of selling bridges. Karl Rove has already made it a growth industry with gems like "collateral damage" etc. "Pollution tax", indeed.

    And Mr McAllister had better find some way his economystic buddies can avoid the use of the word "tax" altogether, since even dummies like myself know that a tax, just like any other cost, is always passed on to the consumer. If that is not to be the case here, then why is industry not crying like a baby?

    "Revenue neutral"? That's a joke. As usual, the Warmists/Greenies can't operate a pencil sharpener.

    Pollution taxation will only be a job creator, wih a whole new industrial sector devoted to selling, devising, and managing "Carbon Credit" schemes/scams arising, along with lots more gov't bureaucracy to oversee it all.

    So why not instead just hire more gov't inspectors to monitor the polluters and see that they are appropriately fined or shut down?

    Yeah, that does cut a bit too close to the quick, eh?

  • atom

    3 years ago

    good article

    Good on the Tyee for a thoughtful intelligent piece about carbon pricing - instead of the usual combination of rhetoric and incomprehensible wonk-talk in other media.

    A carbon tax, pollution tax, carbon pricing, green shift, or whatever you want to call it, is - as the article says - simply a "policy tool" like speeding tickets. Of course, nobody wants to pay more - d'oh - I dont need to see any "willingness to pay more" polling questions to know that. But if we want to see fewer consumers and businesses treating the planet's atmosphere as a common dump-site, then make dumping cost more.

    Sure we need to address social equity issues in the carbon tax. But social equity issues are not going to be solved without a full range of policy and fiscal tools working for us. Otherwise, sooner rather than later, someone will pay - probably our kids.

    Attack the Liberals all you want. But the short-sighted obfuscation, pandering attacks on the carbon tax by the current BC NDP is disgusting and sad. The NDP leadership should be turfed out and replaced. If we want to avoid the biggest tragedy-of-the-commons yet, then we need all hands on deck, and we need to make these tools work.

  • atom

    3 years ago

    ME2

    ME2 - How is name-calling and obscure vitriolic references to Karl Rove, "warmies", "greenies", pencil sharpeners and collateral damage in the Iraq war relevant to carbon pricing? Through his foggy 2am rhetoric, ME2 appears to be arguing against all policy tools that are not blunt regulation, while at the same time implying that having industry "crying like a baby" is a standard for sound public policy.

    Absurdly, ME2 seems to think that effective command-and-control regulation, monitoring and enforcement of society's carbon emissions entails no government costs or bureaucracy.

    And then there is the classic ignorance of the CAP in "cap and trade". Does ME2 think that a hard CAP cannot be set at a strict level and then regulated? Of course it can. If it cannot be, then there is no hope for any regulation in the first place. ME2, go do your homework. Seriously. Try reading something by the Pembina Institute or the Center for Policy Alternatives. You are simply not credible.

  • RickW

    3 years ago

    You're right, ME.....

    Any tax of resources would just trickle down to the end user.

    What is needed is a flat tax:
    http://www.heritage.org/Research/Taxes/bg1866.cfm
    similar to the one in this link. There would be some revisions to this however, to reflect the desire to reduce carbon emissions, especially as to differences between individual taxpayers and businesses. Individuals would not have a threshold, below which no tax would be forthcoming, and businesses would not have deductions from their gross receipts. All would pay a tax on gross receipts, and at some single digit rate.

    In addition, governments (as representatives of the people) would "sell" resources to the individuals and businesses which needed them (as opposed to applying taxes). Because the flat tax would be applied to gross receipts and not to net receipts, it would behoove individuals and businesses to increase their profits by reducing costs. Thus, if an aim of government is to reduce carbon emissions, it would increase the price of carbon-producing materials, making it less profitable to use these materials in less efficient ways. There would be no "passing down" of increased costs to cnsumers, as this would only increase the gross receipts, which would be taxed.

    Simple, huh?

  • mmills

    3 years ago

    carbon tax

    The NDP demonstrated a devastating ignorance and a profound lack of the political skills needed to face the carbon disaster facing all of us. Rather than engaging with the best knowledge provided by science and the environmental movement to develop a combined approach of immediately taxing carbon pollution and developing a "cap and trade" system, we saw Carole James parading in public with "ax the tax" graffito and Jack Layton undermining Dion's excellent "green shift" plan. Both of these NDP leaders appealed to greedy ignorance for political gain by misleading Canadians on the carbon issue. As a dependable NDP supporter, I contacted both Carole James and the federal NDP with my objections to their misleading tactics. James did not respond, and the federal response to my phone conversation was that "Suzuki is not a scientist" when I said if they obtained his support for the NDP position, I would support it as well. I remain appalled by such profound ineptitude!

  • Skywalker

    3 years ago

    Not this again.

    Cambell's tax hits those who can least afford it the most. All the rich and famous will carry on as before as they simply pass the extra costs on to the consumer as they have always done. So come up with something that levels the sacrifice. As it is, it is just another tax which Campbell gets to use to shift resources based on his ideological priorities.

    As for Dion, I never even bothered to get the details as it was clear from the beginning that he was not going anywhere. In my riding the NDP were a shoe-in so it was pointless to get too concerned about a green shift and particularly after Dion said that Campbell's Tax was a great idea. Maybe if you came up with a tax on oil company profits and used that to reduce carbon outputs or make fuel efficient cars, I might give the notion some thought. I just got tired of always asking for more from people who are already living close to the margin.

    Dion lost because he could never shake the TV image. Let's face it his articulation in English probably set the perception from the beginning and he couldn't shake it. That is just a reality in the west.

  • G West

    3 years ago

    Even speeding tickets

    Go into general revenue and are used to actually address problems...the Campbell Tax just addresses his friends and furthers his corrupt political agenda - it does this at great cost while doing nothing to ameliorate the problems of global warming.

    Ordinary people understand this confidence game in their bones - only policy wonks would suggest that a tax whose only function is to shuffle money from one pocket to the other is a good idea.

    The fact is, the leadership function of government in British Columbia has been transferred to furthering the interests of Campbell's corporate puppet masters and everyone, except A. Weaver and M. Jaccard, (who are currently in Campbell's thrall themselves), gets it.

    The Campbell tax has nothing to do with science and less to do with reality - it doesn't even apply (in its uselessly facile way) to cruise ships and airplanes - some of the biggest offenders.

    Pure unadulterated hypocrisy and the people know it.

  • Budd Campbell

    3 years ago

    What price carbon? What price deception and insincerity?

    Carbon can be priced using either a cap and trade system or a carbon tax. In the long run, these policy measures will both impact on carbon emissions. Proponents of either system can make reasonable arguments that one approach or the other has advantages.

    However, the recent election in Canada, and the upcoming election in BC, introduce party politics into the mix. The debate becomes disrespectful, abusive, and deceptive as false and inflated claims are made that one system, in this case carbon taxes, are the only way to go.

    It's entirely insincere of people to state that they are just so concerned about climate change that they have to call someone "dishonest", or to say you are "ashamed" of them, for recommending a cap and trade approach rather than carbon taxes. This kind of cheap and degrading politics is not motivated by a desire to stop pollution or arrest climate change. It's motivated by partisan political calculations made not just by political parties, but by interest groups, including the employees of ENGOs and some academics who were very much involved in backing particular candidates in particular ridings.

    People who are still pushing the Liberal Green Shift ought to know that according to a weekend article in the Globe and Mail, that policy is now as dead as Dion. Rae and Ignatieff both pleaded with him to drop it, and now that the leader is gone, so is the policy.

    Look for the "non-partisan" Liberal support groups in academia and the NGO community to keep pusing their anti-Jack Layton and anti-Carole James rhetoric even as the Federal Liberal Party shifts to a more neutral stance as between taxes and cap and trade.

    That's the communications beauty of having reliable, dependent, and controlled allies outside the explicit party system. The smear lines can keep on being peddled from the sidelines even as the party re-positions itself and repudiates the policy position in question. It's the kind of game that men like John Duffy and Brad Zubyk find really satisfying.

  • Dermot

    3 years ago

    Tax Shift

    Tax shifting is a radical attempt to transform the economy. By moving taxes away from income and towards polluting activities, government alters a fundamental means of revenue generation. This is not entirely new as tobacco and liquor taxes have been around for a long time. These "sin" taxes serve two functions: to pay for some of the damage incurred by the activity and to limit the activity itself. The effectiveness of the second function, at least for alcohol, is debatable but none the less it is a recognized and socially acceptable way to generate revenue.

    The problem for the BC Tax is that most folks don't understand the connection between what they do and the impact on the environment, after all a single furnace is not causing global warming, while alcohol and smoking have affected everyone's lives to some extent. Moreover, anyone who sees a plume of steam coming from an industrial stack will wrongly conclude that industrial pollution is the source of our problem. From a political perspective the issue faces two difficult hurdles: associating greenhouse gases and energy use with the concept of "sin" taxes; and the need to accept a certain amount of personal responsibility for the problem ,despite the tendancy to downplay out own contribution.

    As mentioned tax shifting is a genuinely transformative policy measure to address global warming. To be resiliant and long lasting, such measures requires a social and political consensus. Pollution taxes and policies developed in Europe have generally been achieved through such a consensus. In this round of federal electioneering, the Tories and the NDP were more interested in gaining a few seats in parliament than in addressing one of the most significant problems of our time. The Tories chose to use straight up lies and obfuscation, the NDP lied strategically: as in promoting emissions trading as if it weren’t a more ingenious form of carbon tax. For the Tories their message was tried and true conservative dogma: the Liberals will raise your taxes. The NDP dogma was based on the traditional failed class war analysis rooted in pre-Fordism: let’s blame the big polluter and corproations, and pretend that those costs won’t get passed on to consumers.

    Once again party politics and the hustle of 40 day electioneering, show that there is no room for debating or even suggesting rational ideas or policy. The only effective way to move forward and address global warming is to establish a “safe” forum for developing consensus. Our only hope is that the current and new leaders of Canada’s political parties will develop the capability of taking such a bold move. I may doubt their ability to transcend traditional politics, but as a progressive and an optimist, I have no choice but to believe in and advocate for it.

  • Budd Campbell

    3 years ago

    Your Liberals were lying, Dermot

    The Tories chose to use straight up lies and obfuscation, the NDP lied strategically: as in promoting emissions trading as if it weren’t a more ingenious form of carbon tax. For the Tories their message was tried and true conservative dogma: the Liberals will raise your taxes. The NDP dogma was based on the traditional failed class war analysis rooted in pre-Fordism: let’s blame the big polluter and corproations, and pretend that those costs won’t get passed on to consumers.

    Dermot, the Liberal Party was lying furiously about the Green Shift, which as you well know is now going to be dropped along with Dion. They falsely claimed they were just oh so concerned about climate change; this from a party whose previous majority governments had knowingly presided over a 25% increase in GHG outputs from the date of the Kyoto Treaty to when they finally lost power.

    Their real intention was to manipulate and intentionally deceive environmental voters, and with help from allies in the ENGO and university communities they succeeded to a degree. It's offensive to the point of being revolting to have to listen to people claim that the Liberals were interested in saving the planet and that their partisan rivals were only interested in political gain. Nothing could be further from the truth, and everyone knows that.

    I would note in particular, Dermot, the snide contempt for working class people and especially organized labour that's implicit in your remarks about supposed "class warfare". As you well know, the Dion-Jaccard plan - to the degree that it ever was intended as a serious policy proposal as opposed to a niche market electoral scam - was to use carbon taxes as a means of cutting income taxes up to 50%, in order to principally benefit upper income earners, such as the tenured academics who sang its praises.

  • Dermot

    3 years ago

    Reply

    My point is that genuinely transformative policy requires a political consensus. The NDP relied on tried and true tactics to deep six a policy which almost everyone, including Jack Layton, who considers climate change as a serious problem, believes is necessary. Even the provincial NDP anti-tax campaign, recognizes that carbon taxes are necessary. Just ask them. I did.

    In repsonse to your dig: I have supported and continue to support organized labour and will always be a social democrat. You missed my point: a return to the pre-industrial class warfare analysis will not help address this particular problem. It merely allows the NDP to maintain its status as a party of the opposition. That's the failure. And it confirms their inability to get ahead of the neo-liberal agenda. They watch your back, because they are fighting a rear guard action.

    To the extent that Dion put his political career on the line over a dramatic and fundamental transformation of tax policy, you can either see it as a suicidal political gamble or a commitment to addressing the climate change problem. That;s your choice.

    I just don't believe that elections are the place for serious policy debate: they have become a poorly attended reality TV show with a thumbs up or down by the viewing audience. We are ruled by a government that is supported by 22 per cent of the voters. Doesn't that get you upset?

  • G West

    3 years ago

    Look, in my view....

    The only kind of behavior that should be taxed is earning behavior - that's why every dollar earned - no matter how - should be fair game for taxation and the graduated income tax is the only way to do that.

    If putting gas in your car was an optional choice - like smoking or drinking - the imposition of a tax on C02 might make sense - it isn't and it doesn't....and, if you're going to go to the trouble to create a tax for god's sake have it do something worthwhile - not just attract a lot more bureaucratic expenses sloshing around in the treasury before it's spun out again in April.

    That kind of tax is just stupid and that's why no one can sell it.

  • G West

    3 years ago

    And Dermot

    That line about elections not being a place for a serious policy debate sounds an awful lot to me like Kim Campbell's death knell.

    It is simply not true - but Dion's carbon shift was the kind of nightie that none of the voters found either attractive or well-sized to their needs.

    People will respond to challenges - but that requires leadership and honesty.

    We haven't had any from either Dion, Campbell or Harper...

    The potential for a consensus between the other 78% of the voters IS there - but your friend Dion nixed the idea at least twice - as did Rae and Ignatieff - during the campaign.

  • mcdull

    3 years ago

    I look back upon the hills

    I look back upon the hills behind this little town at night and see all the fires burning as the logging companies burn all the *junk* wood. The smoke can be seen and smelt at night when the breeze comes off the hills. This is in response to the clear cutting happening out of the line of sight. Carbon tax what a joke control the carbon emmissions by growing plants and trees . This unbridled cutting of trees with little or no replanting, just put up houses is not they way to control climate change.

  • Budd Campbell

    3 years ago

    Who did you ask? When?

    Dermot

    ... The NDP relied on tried and true tactics to deep six a policy which almost everyone, including Jack Layton, who considers climate change as a serious problem, believes is necessary. Even the provincial NDP anti-tax campaign, recognizes that carbon taxes are necessary. Just ask them. I did.

    Who did you ask? When?

  • Dermot

    3 years ago

    August, 2008, the NDP

    August, 2008, the NDP Environment Critic,Shane Simpson.

  • Budd Campbell

    3 years ago

    I don't believe you, Dermot

    Dermot

    August, 2008, the NDP Environment Critic,Shane Simpson.

    What did Simpson actually tell you, Dermot? Was this a private, oral conversation? Was it a letter in reply to one of your's?

  • Dermot

    3 years ago

    An e-mail.

    Why do you ask?

  • NicS

    3 years ago

    mmills "a dependable NDP supporter"?

    mmills, At first I thought that Carbon Taxes and Carbon Credits were complicated plans to stop polluting and destroying our planet. As soon as Premier Campbell announced his Carbon Tax, after having met with Arnould Swartzneggar, I knew that this was a cynical attempt to garnish our votes and to Greenwash our political process. Premier Campbell has shown himself to be an extremely talented and shrewd political manipulater. Similar to the Corporate world's attempts to greenwash everything they now do. But without any real intent by Campbell to implement a truly effective policy, it appears you and most of the enviros and enviro groups in BC and Canada have been duped by the promise of Carbon Taxes as put forward by Premier Campbell.

    Campbell's tax is in name only, and any true NDP supporter knows that Carol James and Jack Layton support and have in the past supported our environmental concerns more than any other elected party. Certainly our NDP has had their failings at times, like all of us, but as a rule, they are the only party that has consistently supported the environment.

  • Dermot

    3 years ago

    Reply

    I've worked in the party and as a professional on climate change since 1988, so I know what the NDP has done (1992-2000) and what the NDP proposes to do. But that's a whole other rant.

    The biggest problem with the carbon tax is that Campbell did it. He didn't campaign on it and he didn't consult on it, he just did it. The NDP government rejected tax shifitng as a major policy tool in 2000. Now they to come up with something better and the current party brain trust is incapable of that. They are stuck in oppositon mode and prefer to be in cahoots with the Canadian Taxpayers Federation, hardly a bastion of labour, human rights or progressive politics. Meanwhile the CCPA which is the real braintrust of labour and the left, supports the carbon tax. Why? Because they took the time to analyze it from a progressive perspective.

    In reality Campbell has successfully split the left by implementing a policy the left supports. The dupes are the ones who believe campaigning on the need for cheaper gasoline will attract enough working class votes, while allienating environemtnal voters, to bring in an NDP government. Typical wedge politics.

  • atom

    3 years ago

    party hacks

    Dermot and mmills make logical, knowledgable and respectful - consistent with many long time NDP supporters I know. I too have voted NDP all my life, and so have my parents, my brothers, sisters, and all our family friends out here on the island. The very fact that some of you are attacking dermot, mmill - and myself - without a gram of credible substance - tells me that you would also attack most of the loyal intelligent NDP supporters I know. We might not have all your fancy city rhetoric, but we do our homework. I'd sure like to know if the party agrees with the tone of your personal, cheating attacks. Perhaps you are Conservative trolls. But if the new NDP is about slandering us core NDP supporters for daring to express a view, it is indeed a sorry day.

  • frank2

    3 years ago

    mmills findings parallelled

    mmills findings parallelled mine.
    My contacts with the provincial and federal NDP leaders yielded zero constructive response.
    My NDP MLA was much more understanding. While he was circumspect, I concluded that he too was unhappy with the leaders' descent into stupid populism which will in the end be self-defeating.
    The most horrible thing is that Campbell ends up earning "green" honours, even as he continues to promote gas and oil and coal, and defers serious action while cap-and-trade schemes get defined.

  • Budd Campbell

    3 years ago

    Produce the Email, Dermot, ... if it exists!

    Dermot

    Why do you ask?

    I don't believe you, Dermot. If you have such an Email, why not copy it to these pages in its entirety so that we can all read what Simpson actually said to you, if indeed any such communication ever occured.

    This routine of your's reminds me of those "news items" which quote unnamed sources to the effect of one thing or another. I have to give you credit, Dermot, you've been very innovative, very progressive. You've raised this approach to manipulating voters to a much higher level, by providing an actual name to the person who supposedly told you such and so.

    But, without the actual text of this supposed message it's still a cleverly pre-meditated bluff, as anyone can plainly see.

  • Dermot

    3 years ago

    Thers' no need to personalize I'm merely expressing my opinion.

    Here's the text from the e-mail from Shanre Simpson:

    The New Democrat Official Opposition supports effective and fair emissions pricing including a carbon tax and cap & trade. This reflects on the actions taken by the NDP in the 1990’s, including the Climate Change Business Plan, the appointment of the Green Economy Secretariat, and the adoption of a Sustainability Commissioner who would answer to the Legislative Assembly. All of these initiatives were cancelled by Gordon Campbell when he came to power in 2001.

  • Dermot

    3 years ago

    Happy now Bud?

    Happy now Bud?

  • G West

    3 years ago

    Dermot

    So you concur then that if Campbell's tax really were an actual carbon tax with its proceeds directed to ameliorating C02 production instead of laundering cash and, if it actually applied to the worst polluters that it would not be the bad JOKE it is now.

    There is nothing inconsistent or hypocritical about the NDP stand.

    The hypocrite is Gordon Campbell and his 'scientific' supporters who promote and cheer for a tax that does nothing and does it extremely badly.

    Doing nothing is not the same thing as doing something and the Campbell tax is not a Carbon tax - it is a political pander of the first order.

  • Dermot

    3 years ago

    Tax Shiftng

    make no mistake, the campbell tax is a carbon tax in design and in implementation. It's a classic. The only difference is revenue neutrality. And that is the sticking point. The NDP believes that revenue should be collected and used for various projects, some which might actually reduce emissions. Some of which probably won't.

    The political debate is over the concept of revenue neutrality. Who should get the money or what should be done with it? Campbell uses it to cut taxes, the NDP wants to spend it on programs. I believe we can probably do a bit of both. Since consumption taxes are regressive, the poorest and lower income folks need to have the impact offset with a rebate, similar to the GST rebate. That's what progressives do.

    The public campaign and debate about the tax is a side show being used to marshall support.

  • Luke Skywalker

    3 years ago

    Carbon Taxes/ Cap and Trade...

    Dermont:

    Quote:
    The New Democrat Official Opposition supports effective and fair emissions pricing including a carbon tax and cap & trade.

    That's been pretty obvious all along. Heck their own climate action strategy on their website states that all of the NDP's climate action plans will include a cost to consumers.

    And there's the crux of the matter. The NDPs' "Axe the Tax" campaign insinuating that consumers should not be paying more taxes, a carbon tax, certainly flies in the face of their own climate action strategy that "will cost consumers".

    And that hypocrisy... fallacy is gonna backfire BIG TIME during the election campaign when all of the foregoing comes to light to the general public.

    It will be akin to a rerun of the movie Dumb and Dumber.

    That said, I'll bet that 90% of voters don't even understand this stuff.

    Gas is no longer $1.50/litre when the 2.4 cent/litre carbon taxed kicked in on July 1. It's now as low as 99.9/litre at Cosco in Abbotsford according to the BC Gas Prices website.

    The carbon tax is no longer on anyone's radar anymore either.

    Again, as witnessed by the federal election, the primary focus of voters is the economy as well as pocketbook issues and the centre-right has always been very strong on those issues. The NDP? NADA.

  • Saysme

    3 years ago

    Dumb taxes - any takers?

    Let's cut through all the overheated rhetoric about this or that politician, ideology etc etc, and get down to the main point.

    It's a question of whether you want the inevitable taxes to be on goods (like income) or on bads (like pollution).

    Which do you want?

    Is there anyone out there who actually thinks we should tax goods more, and tax bads less?

    If so, please speak up, and tell us your reasons.

    Because the status quo of taxing goods, and not taxing bads, seems like just about the dumbest idea around.

    "Dumb taxes." I kind of like that.

    Anyone want to stand up for "dumb taxes"?

  • Budd Campbell

    3 years ago

    Dermot, Brad taught you well

    EDITED FOR PERSONAL INSULTS AND UNPROVABLE ACCUSATIONS. PLEASE STICK TO SUBSTANCE, AND STAY AWAY FROM IMPUGNING THE CHARACTER OF FELLOW POSTERS. TYEE MODERATOR

  • Saysme

    3 years ago

    Atom, you're right

    If you look around at the other threads, it's always the same few guys ranting and getting personal.

    I suspect they are either Conservative trolls, as you suggest, or extremely bitter un/under-employed guys with too much time on their hands.

  • Dermot

    3 years ago

    Bud

    I think you are getting a bit frustrated with your line of argument. As in you are aguing with yourself, Bud. You can just go back and read the whole thread, if you want to see what I actually said, instead of reproducing select pieces for your own ammusement.
    And yes, the NDP supports carbon taxes. Plain and simple.

    Who the heck is Brad?

  • Budd Campbell

    3 years ago

    Which carbon taxes, Dermot?

    Dermot, which carbon taxes does the NDP support? The model prefered by the provincial Liberal government, the type prefered by your federal Liberals, or a third model altogether?

    I trust you realize there was a great difference between the two Liberal models in terms of the treatment of gasoline taxes. The provincial Liberal approach is to add to the existing road taxes, while the proposed Federal Liberal "Green Shift" as promulgated by Stephane Dion was much more cheeky and sassy. Just take the existing federal excise tax on gas and declare it to be the "carbon tax" with no increase in prices! Voila!

    Dion's totally cynical scheme was intended to let him have his enviromental cake and eat his populist needs too. It was a really clever scam in theory, but somehow it came up short in electoral practice.

    'Brad' would be a reference to the communications boss for the Liberal Party of Canada in BC. The man who made no apologies for his "research" into NDP candidates which helped to set such an intellectually sophisticated tone for the campaign, out of respect for the scholarly Dion and the type of dialogue he truly wanted to have with Canadians.

    Since you're a student of these policies, Dermot, tell me this. In your opinion, should primary production be taxed, or only consumption within the jurisdiction?

  • Frank

    3 years ago

    Tom Barrett ignores reality, prefers his hobby-horse

    The new WC calendars have arrived at our house and lo and behold there's environmental problems in BC in spite of the existence here of a carbon tax.

    The "Wilderness" one has on its March page a call to save the rivers of BC from Campbell. Apparently the WC doesn't think moving 80-90% of the annual discharge of a river through a pipe for several kilometres is good for the environment that river supports.

    Enviros that love Campbell's carbon tax disagree of course. They say rivers are not as important as a tax on suburbanites' gasoline.

    On the June page ("Sacred Headwaters") the WC seems to be upset that Campbell is allowing Shell to develop a 412,000 hectare coalbed methane operation that will devastate salmon, cause erosion, sedimentation, and deplete aquifiers as well as introduce toxins into the area's pristine environment.

    But again, this isn't important to Liberal enviros. After all, two terms of pro-carbon-tax and pro-fish-farms government has been enough to reduce salmon to the point there's no salmon fishing anyway.

    Of course there was also a report last week about how 1/4 of mammals are facing extinction, mainly due to loss of habitat. Here in BC we have an ex-developer as premier whose government has seen fit to build resorts and condos on land that was either in the ALR or untouched. But regulations are easily bypassed in the name of development under this gov't.

    To me it seems so-called enviros don't care about the environment at all, what they care about instead is hurting drivers in the pocketbook while enjoying lower taxes themselves.

    Makes sense, those who hate cars and want a tax break should vote Liberal. Those who actually care about the real environment won't.

  • Budd Campbell

    3 years ago

    Good point, Frank. Try telling Charlie Smith that!

    You're right on, there's not just one single environmental issue. But try telling that to opinion makers like Charlie Smith at The Straight.

  • G West

    3 years ago

    Dermot

    I disagree - it's a money spinner - nothing else and will have absolute no effect on either C02 or gasoline consumption.

    Therefore it is nothing but a facile attempt to manipulate behavior AND promote Campbell's friends.

    Such taxes are known as Pigovian taxes after their first, and much discredited, promoter, Arthur Pigou.

    As an effective counter to global warming it is more than worthless because it gives the false impression that something 'positive' is being done.

    If Gordon Campbell were truly interested in creating more income equality in this province he would raise the minimum wage - among other things.

  • Dermot

    3 years ago

    Not my Liberals

    First of all they are not my Liberals. Secondly, I don't have a clue who Brad is. Third my opinons on the array of economic instruments that should be used for addressing climate change are here:
    http://www.davidsuzuki.org/Publications/Climate_Crisis_Energy_Solutions_for_BC.asp
    and here:

    http://www.davidsuzuki.org/files/CNDsolutionsNEW.pdf

    I worked on both of these reports with Gerry Scott, who is now the point man for the NDP on the anti-tax file. Ironic, isn't it?

  • G West

    3 years ago

    Not quite sure what your point is Dermot

    The question here is whether or not the Campbell Tax will do anything positive and there is absolutely no evidence that it will.

    Furthermore, as the little cartoon at the helm of this article shows, trying to put lipstick on a pig is a frustrating and pointless thing to do. The esthetician – Campbell in this case – just looks foolish in the process.

    I would be willing to bet you that when Gordon Campbell calls Jessica McDonald at 2 am these days that one of the things that's keeping him from a sound sleep is the fact that this little money laundering scheme has blown up so badly in his face.

    I know a university student who got the latest low-income supplement of the carbon tax with his GST return earlier this month..he tells me it won't even pay for 1/4 of a credit at UVic...and he doesn't OWN a car.

    The whole thing is utterly laughable and about as embarrassing as the Premier's sojourn in a Maui jail for god's sake.

    If the NDP weren't all over this mess they would not have ANY credibility as a replacement to this character.

    And, in my view, all of the so-called environmentalists who've gotten into bed with him look as ridiculous as Campbell did when he donned spandex for his pandering bike ride with Lance Armstrong a year ago.

  • Luke Skywalker

    3 years ago

    Dermont...

    Quote:
    I worked on both of these reports with Gerry Scott, who is now the point man for the NDP on the anti-tax file. Ironic, isn't it?

    Surprise, surprise!

    Quote:
    Gerry Scott of the David Suzuki Foundation

    ...participated in this report calling for:

    Quote:
    2. Phased Increases in Gasoline and Diesel

    http://www.davidsuzuki.org/files/CNDsolutionsNEW.pdf

    The same Gerry Scott that headed the BC NDP federal campaign!!!

    Dermot, while I personally believe that alot of these climate proposals represent "social engineering", the NDP seems to be more engaged in "politics" than "public policy" and it's apparent that alot of "green" New Democrats are turned off by their "Axe the Tax" campaign here in BC.

    Especially when the NDP wants its own carbon taxes that also "will cost the consumer".

    I don't know how the NDP is gonna reconcile that one.

  • G West

    3 years ago

    Social engineering

    You've got to be kidding - that's what Gordon's Tax is. And that's why it's a farce - because the revenue from the tax is just being spun out again at the end of each fiscal year.

    DO a little research into Arthur Pigou and his theories man.

  • Dermot

    3 years ago

    G. West

    Even small taxes send price signals to consumers. Over time carbon taxes are designed to increase incrementally and influence major purchase decisions, such as whether or not to buy a more efficient vehicle. Purchase decisions around longer lasting products, such as vehicles or furnances, are influenced by the long term certainty of energy prices.

    Large emissions trading systems will also result in hidden taxes being passed on to consumers. Since the trading systems are market based there is less certainty as to their impact on purchasing. I think we need carbon taxes to influence purchasing decisions and emissions trading. Taxes incorporate environmental costs and trading creates incentives for increased fuel efficiency among large users in particular. No suprise there as I am an environmentalist and a social democrat. Yes, that means I believe the government has a role to play in the economy.

    The policy debate at the political level is who should determine the best use of revenue gathered through environmental taxes. Campbell thinks taxpayers should decide by lettign them kep more of their money, even though the tax system is inherently regressive, i.e. wealthier people do better under the tax cut scenario. The NDP thinks the government should decide, even though all parties have a pretty poor record regarding discretionary spending: e.g Olympics, fast ferries, Sea to Sky Highway, Island Highway, etc.

    As I pointed out earlier, the NDP has muddied the waters by categorically condemning carbon taxes to capture frustration over high gasoline prices.

    As to Latte drinking urbanites: I prefer tea, but do live downtown, where my, and my family's' carbon footprint is minimal.

  • Luke Skywalker

    3 years ago

    BC NDP and the Carbon Tax

    Looks like Carole is at it again today.

    Quote:
    B.C. NDP Leader Carole James is calling on Gordon Campbell to roll back his gas tax to help protect B.C. families and businesses in deteriorating economic times.

    Quote:
    “British Columbians know the gas tax is unfair and ineffective. Now they are concerned that the government’s experiment is jeopardizing the economy. It must be rolled back to help protect B.C.’s economic position.”

    http://nid-18035.newsdetail.bcndp.ca/

    Again politics, not public policy. Any political capital on that matter has now likely been expended in any event.

    With gas prices already down around 33% from their early July peak in some places (Abbotsford - 99.9 cents/litre) and oil prices still dropping:

    Quote:
    Options contracts to sell oil at $US50 a barrel by December have soared in the past two weeks on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

    http://www.news.com.au/heraldsun/story/0,21985,24526609-664,00.html

    The market itself has taken care of lower gas prices. Way to go Carole!

  • G West

    3 years ago

    I disagree Dermot

    There is no point trying to put lipstick on a pig - there is no evidence that anyone from your side of this argument has brought up to counter the simple reality that a REVENUE NEUTRAL tax is anything but a Wurlitzer. Without a positive investment of tax funds into real change this is nonsense - especially given the other plainly criminal aspects (from an environmental point of view) of the Campbell program.

    Furthermore - I think the NDP has been very clear about its preference for cap and trade as the way to go - something which someone like you, who is clearly aware of the economic discourse on the subject, knows is, in the end, as likely (in my view more likely) to have a positive effect on the consumption of hydro-carbons and the production of CO2.

    The simple and fundamental bottom line is that the Campbell Tax does nothing but waste peoples time, spend the taxpayers' money on administrative wheel spinning and, in the end, detract from a real effort to address climate change because it is so obviously cynical and insincere.

    As for the political side of the question, I would ask you to explain to me why Gordon Campbell fashioned his two election victories around alleged NDP mistakes.

    This is a mistake and, in politics, you use what's available.

    There will be time enough to address the real problems of climate change in progressive and real ways once the Campbell illness has been flushed from the body politic.

    No lattes for me either...and I'll bet my carbon footprint is a lot smaller than yours. Not that there’s anything wrong/or right with that.

    My last word on the subject.

    Cheers!

  • Luke Skywalker

    3 years ago

    And At the BC Leader's Debate...

    I can see an exchange like this:

    James: The NDP wants to remove the (2.4 cents/litre) carbon tax to help protect BC families.

    Campbell: Then how do you explain the NDP's climate action strategy that states all NDP proposals "will cost consumers"?

    James: I dunno.

    Campbell: And what will be the actual cost to consumers?

    James: I dunno.

    Picture it if ya can. ;)

  • Dermot

    3 years ago

    G West

    Well, I totally agree with you that the Campbell government has to go. But I disagree on the point that we have to wait unitl there is an NDP government before anything can happen on climate change.

    As to whether a revenue neutral carbon tax is really a carbon tax, I'm afraid you are wrong on that one. The BC Carbon tax is based on the carbon content of fuel and is scheduled to increase each year, regardless of the price of fuel. That's what a carbon tax does. It sends a predictable price signal to consumers, and, as it increases over time, it influences major purchasing decisions.

    The problem for this debate is that there is so much hatred of Campbell that the right or wrong of the policy can't even be discussed.

    The batch of polsters and spin doctors, who are currently running the party and betting the house on wedge politics, will simply pave the way for the old guard from the Glen Clark and Dan Miller days to re-capture the NDP. And that won't help anyone, especially the environment.

  • Budd Campbell

    3 years ago

    "where my, and my family's' carbon footprint is minimal"

    "As to Latte drinking urbanites: I prefer tea, but do live downtown, where my, and my family's' carbon footprint is minimal."

    LOL! Dermot, this is just personal self-advertising, a personal political branding statement.

  • G West

    3 years ago

    But Dermot

    I know what it is based on - I've read every line of both Bill 37 and the Regulation - I know what counts, what doesn't, who's excluded and how the calculations are done - I also know where the economic theory came from and precisely why it's faulty.

    This tax will not influence purchasing decisions because of the economic principle that some goods are subject to inelastic demand.

    Gasoline and home heating oil, natural gas and diesel are those kinds of goods.

    If there were going to be a significant decline based on price it would have been motivated by the huge increase in the cost of fuels over the past 6 months...some marginal (1 - 2.5%) change took place because of those enormous increases in price - but no significant effect has been seen under those conditions. From an economic point of view the suggestion that a gradual increase to 7c/litre will do so over the next three years is risible.

    Had the revenue from the tax been put to some decent and progressive use you and I wouldn't be arguing - it hasn't happened and the result is before you.

    A failure both in terms of motivation and in terms or political effect.

    This is a bad policy and anyone who attacks it, as it presently stands, is on the side of the angels.

    And that really is it - I'm done. If positive effect on the environment was the objective this kind of manipulative elitist stuff WAS not the way to go.

    Ordinary people, workers and their wives, commuters and people who'd like to take transit, know the difference.
    And you don't need a spin doctor to tell you that.

    In my view - and thanks for keeping it respectful - that, on this subject, doesn't happen often.

  • Saysme

    3 years ago

    Dermot, don't waste your energy

    I think you've been admirably patient and gentlemanly. But there comes a time...

  • Dermot

    3 years ago

    G West

    The economic theory is sound. Some things are in-elastic, some are not. The way an environmental tax works effectively is through its predictability and influence over purchases that make a difference. It's less about the purchase of fuel, per se than it is about the purchase of the automobile or furnace, as major users of fuel. People don't use fuel, appliances do. That's where the tax will influence purchasing decisions. And yes there are numerous other ways to influence those decisons, through rebates and regulations. We need all of these influences working together.

    In Germany in the 1970's the government developed the "Effluent Discharge Fees Law" through a consensus design involving industry, labour unions and government. The effluent taxes were set to increase at specific increments over a period of five years. Each level of increase was known and predicatable. As a result industrial operations could decide to pay the fee until such a time as it became economic to make major changes. One could argue that heavy industry is pretty in-elastic. Yet the policy worked and Germany successfully reduced effluent discharge pollution.

    This was not a revenue neutral policy, however some of the collected fees were set aside for research and technological improvement to gain further environmental benefits.

    The David Suzuki Foundation has an interesting position on carbon pricing as well:
    http://www.davidsuzuki.org/files/Climate/BC/DSF-BN-Carbon-Pricing-June08.pdf

    The problem for the NDP, now, is that they have hobbled themselves in regard to their future policy options. The Campbell tax needs some fixes for sure, but the current political campaign is not about fixing, it's about eliminating and ultimately closing the door on environmental tax policy. "ax the tax"

    As I noted in my earlier rant, my fear is that the party is losing its environmentally progrssive supporters and going backwards.

  • Frank

    3 years ago

    Dermot and Saysme

    You should vote Liberal. You'll get a tax break while people who can't afford to live downtown will pay more to commute whether by car or transit.

    I believe you guys call that "smart taxation" since it means you'll pay less.

  • G West

    3 years ago

    And I totally disagree

    Pigovian Taxes have been discredited repeatedly - the fact some economists and the David Suzuki foundation re-discovered them notwithstanding.

    But, as I said earlier I don't care what you call the tax or what it attempts to cost - the fact that it is revenue neutral and does nothing positive is the real test - Would you put up with a sales tax that the government turned around and refunded at the end of the year to its special friends? I strongly suggest you would not and you'd be damn mad the government cared so little for your money.

    The NDP is not closing the door to finding ways to actually address the environment - they could start by cancelling the fire-sale oil leases that Campbell has given to exploration companies in the interior for a start and get the hell out of the 'Gateway' idiocy next.

    They should use tax revenue to encourage through either financing or grants the conversion of work trucks to natural gas and they should begin to actually respond to transit needs rather than make a commitment to do so sometime 'after' 2010.

    There's a fellow called Grumpy who posts here who could give you a lot more details of that nature in terms of spelling out what’s wrong with transit policy and funding.

    But for God's sake don't invent any more regressive taxation that hits poor people and working people and lets the Merc and Bimmer drivers laugh on their way to the bar.

    And don't pretend that this is really revenue neutral - one thing the legislation leaves out is a calculation to include the costs of administration which are, trust me, enormous.

    I just happened to talk to someone from the Finance Ministry this afternoon and folks there are VERY concerned about the fact that the exchequer is running out of cash.

    And also, while you're at it, have a look at some more bad news on the environmental front from tomorrow's New York Times.

    http://www.nytimes.com/2008/10/21/business/21energy.html?_r=1&hp=&oref=login&pagewanted=print

    And no, I think the people who have harmed their credibility are folks like David - who say just in front of me at UVic's graduation ceremonies a year and a half ago, I like him a lot – and Andrew Weaver and Mark Jaccard.

    Getting into bed with Campbell was a stupid and short-sighted thing for any of them to do; just as it would have been to get into bed with any other political party.

    Independence is priceless. And once you've lost it your credibility is gone forever.

  • G West

    3 years ago

    errata

    That's 'sat' just in front of me above here

  • Dermot

    3 years ago

    Pigovean Taxes

    The problem with Pigovean taxes is that they were meant as a source of revenue and a means of pricing externalities. They were not revenue neutral and, to my limited knowledge, were never implemented. I won't try to read into or assume I know what your solutions to the greenhouse gas and climate problem are, but Pigovean taxes are not high on anyone's list.

    As to whether Suzuki, Jaccard and Weaver made the right or wrong political choices, I have been around long enough to see Jaccard and Suzuki support NDP policies at press conferences, as well. Do I think they should just blindly support the NDP or the Liberals. No way. But I respect both of them for their integrity and their intelligence.
    I also have fundamental disagreements with Jaccard and Weaver on technology and policy issues, but I don't believe they are mindless dupes or naive academics. Each is involved in climate policy and they see the necessity to get on with solving the problem. That's what's so frustrating.

    Everyone wants to wait for the perfect one shot policy, like a tax or other magic bullet and I'm sorry to inform you that it's going to take a lot more than that: it will take a genuine collaborative consensus to get the type of changes which are required.

  • G West

    3 years ago

    And that's the problem

    Weaver and Jaccard and, for all I know, David, got suckered - they gave Campbell what he wanted - green credibility without any green responsibility.

    A one shot wonder that never had a chance of succeeding.

    Unfortunately, they should have known what kind of guy they were dealing with.

    Look Dermot, I know all about the presentation copies of the cover page of Bill 37 - the ones printed specially on heavy bond suitable for framing with the handwritten personal message from the Finance Minister about the 'chance' to do something good that only comes along once in a lifetime above her signature....
    - the ones presented to all the people involved with the bill in that crazy two or three month period after the decision was made

    But the thing is, I also know the minister never even saw the Regulation before it was presented to her for signature....this was a put up job from the beginning.

    I am certain that the decision to go with the Campbell Tax was made in haste at the beginning of this year; it was Campbell's baby from the beginning and there was never any question of it being a result of any kind of consensus. It was foisted on the rest of the government holus bolus – like most everything it was the Premier’s baby.

    The revenue neutrality was a pandering gimmick because Campbell's pollsters told him people wouldn't pay for the costs of addressing climate change - I think you know that too Dermot.

    Just like the 'road to Damascus' change in the Premier's attitude toward treaty settlements - he reacts only and always to the people he owes his allegiance to.
    Corporate BC told him to make a deal - especially in areas where native land claims had financial implications for them....elsewhere? Not so much.

    If you are as close to the action as you purport to be, you know that's the way it is.

    Weaver, Suzuki and the rest were snookered but the people, thank god, weren't.

    Always remember that this is the political realm we’re talking about here and, in this province, we have a premier who has all the characteristics of a sociopath – in my opinion….a man who will use anyone for his own selfish purposes…and this Bill is a signal example of that.

    Anyway, as I said earlier - I really don't have time for any more of this....and, my reading, the people of British Columbia don't either. That’s it.

  • Luke Skywalker

    3 years ago

    An Unnatural Position...

    Dermont:

    Quote:
    The problem for the NDP, now, is that they have hobbled themselves in regard to their future policy options.

    Quote:
    The Campbell tax needs some fixes for sure, but the current political campaign is not about fixing, it's about eliminating and ultimately closing the door on environmental tax policy. "ax the tax"

    The carbon tax could typically be categorized as a progressive environment position that one would identify with the NDP... Not with the centre-right.

    Unfortunately, the spin-meisters within the BC NDP, in an attempt to gain some political traction in the province, decided to tap into popular opinion when gas prices soared toward $1.50/litre to deal with public frustration.

    The NDP's centre-right "Axe the Tax" campaign was an unnatural position for the party especially based upon voter perceptions.

    Furthermore, they did not tell the public about their own contradicting climate positions that will also "cost consumers".

    A more intelligent (both politically and policy-wise) position would have had the NDP agree with the carbon tax (a natural party position) but defer same due to surging gas prices in the Spring.

    A win-win NDP position covering all bases.

    Now, however, the NDP has painted themselves in a corner politically and it seems that they have not grasped "it" yet.

    Quote:
    As I noted in my earlier rant, my fear is that the party is losing its environmentally progressive supporters and going backwards.

    Yeah, there is already some anecdotal evidence regarding same from the federal election:

    Quote:
    [Vancouver Centre federal NDP candidate] Byers’ campaign manager Am Johal said the provincial NDP’s stand against the carbon tax turned off a lot of environmentally conscious voters in the West End.

    The demographics of those "environmentally conscious voters in the West End" are likely younger, environmentally-conscious, lower-income renters.

    While they might not vote Liberal in 2008, the Greens may well be the beneficiary and see their overall provincial vote increase from 10% in 2005 to the high-teens overall in BC during May, 2008.

  • Budd Campbell

    3 years ago

    Cheesy op-ed pieces

    Dermot
    "As to whether Suzuki, Jaccard and Weaver made the right or wrong political choices, I have been around long enough to see Jaccard and Suzuki support NDP policies at press conferences, as well. Do I think they should just blindly support the NDP or the Liberals. No way. But I respect both of them for their integrity and their intelligence."

    When Jaccard was chair of the BC Utilities Commission during the NDP's term in office, they did not have him writing cheesy op-ed pieces slamming then Opposition Leader Gordon Campbell as "dishonest".

    With the benefit of hindsight, I guess that's a good thing for M K Jaccard and Associates, eh Dermot?

  • realisticman

    3 years ago

    All this hot air

    The posts above are quite revealing. The way decent, considerate and informed posters have been wrongfully accused, insulted and kicked around by the usual bullies is disgusting.

    Unfortunately, it's symptomatic of much of the partisan discourse in old-guard pessimistic and stubborn circles.

    Fortunately, it's symptomatic of the psyche of a vocal minority.

    I come here for opinion or debate, not to watch a fight.

  • Dermot

    3 years ago

    Van centre

    Van Centre shows exactly how palletable the NDP position is: Ignoring 2006 when Svend ran, in 2004 the NDP got 32 per cent, the Liberals 40, the Cons 19. This time the NDP got 21, the Libs 34 and the Cons 25. So where did the 17 per cent from the Libs and the NDP go? Hedy lost 6 to the Cons and all the NDP vote (11 per cent)went Green.

    So you can curse the naive environmentalists or just wake up to the fact that the NDP is failing, and I repeat failing, to offer anything of substance on the climate change issue. I worked on Jack Layton's and Carol James leadership campaigns, and to me the federal and provincial positions are a total disappointment. Jack spent years writing about climate change and has done nothing remotely innovative, even when he had the balance of power with the Martin minority.

    I believe that Suzuki, Jaccard and Weaver went out on a limb to support a good policy initiative. Who cares whether Campbell is the instigator or not. It's a good start. As I said before, the debate seems to be more about Campbell than the carbon tax. Let's see how the by-elections play out. Of course the spin doctors will discount them both as they are not the "REAL" BC, where real men work,just more urban know-nothings, and naive enviro's like myself.

  • Budd Campbell

    3 years ago

    Dermot: No discussion of carbon taxes in DSF pieces

    Dermot:

    One of your previous posts contained two links to three DSF pieces:

    http://www.davidsuzuki.org/Publications/Climate_Crisis_Energy_Solutions_for_BC.asp
    and here:

    http://www.davidsuzuki.org/files/CNDsolutionsNEW.pdf

    As to the first link, the executive summary it links to contains no reference to carbon taxes and the full report doesn't either. It does mention diesel and gas tax hikes.

    The second link brings up a report that mentions carbon taxes three times. It doesn't discuss them in any detail, and the reference to Scandavian carbon tax regimes is so utterly perfunctory as to be simply a one line mention. It's essentially what would have been called pamphleteer material in the 19th Century.

  • Budd Campbell

    3 years ago

    Dermot: How many times have I heard claims like this?

    Dermot
    "I worked on Jack Layton's and Carol James leadership campaigns, and to me the federal and provincial positions are a total disappointment."

    Really? How many times have I heard claims like this from people who obviously regard the NDP with complete contempt?

    When Jack Layton spoke at our riding association's BBQ last summer he was asked about this. He said the NDP caucus in Ottawa had looked at the matter and decided that a carbon tax was not on balance preferable to a cap and trade system. He allowed that carbon taxes were prefered by the oil companies and what he called "right wing economists".

  • Luke Skywalker

    3 years ago

    Budd...

    Did ya read it??? ;)

    Quote:
    Change will call for further increases in the federal excise tax on gasoline and diesel fuels of two cents a litre beyond the rate of inflation in each of the years 2002, 2004, 2006 and 2008.

    Quote:
    Revenue generated through these tax increases should be offset by equivalent reductions in tax revenue from other sources (e.g., income taxes, payroll taxes,
    sales taxes), consistent with the principles of ecological tax reform

    Sounds like BC's carbon tax, n'est pas??? :)

    Another interesting tidbit:

    Quote:
    In Norway, taxation is the main instrument being used to limit carbon dioxide emissions from the transportation sector. From 1990 to 1997 gasoline taxes in Norway were increased by 70%. This contributed to a reduction in the consumption of gasoline in the transportation sector of
    more than 8% between 1990 and 1995.

    http://www.davidsuzuki.org/files/CNDsolutionsNEW.pdf

    Didn't G West yesterday state in another thread that people in the Scandinavian countries are the happiest??? :)

  • North of Hope

    3 years ago

    Carbon tax

    The problem with Campbell's gas tax (yes it's a gas tax) and Dion's Carbon tax, and other taxes as such is that they have no [plan to address the issues of climate change or pollution increases. Until a plan is produced that addresses energy, environmental and food sustainability, then these folks are just p**sing into the wind.

  • egmont rapids

    3 years ago

    Fireside chats

    Gordon Campbell is going to address the people of BC wensday night.

    This new personna of Campbell is nauseating,you all have heard the ads,this new personna is " I want your input,we are all in it together,the goverment needs advice on what tax cuts to give BCers"

    Apparently on wensday Campbell will tell us what goverment and the people can do to get through this tough economic time.

    The smoke and mirrors economy of BC has been failing for 5 years now!
    Campbell will use this opening to deflect his incompetance on the economy.

    Wensday when Campbell cancels the carbon tax or halts it`s rise to 8 cents a litre.

    Will it make headlines,yes it will, how will Jaccard,Weaver,Suzuki, and those other 200 economists that are promoting carbon taxes handle it?
    Will they turn on Campbell? Will they go back to fighting real enviromental issues?

    Fish farms,Gateway,run of river,SFPR,gravel extraction,park protection,species on the endangered list,the ALR,the greenbelt etc etc etc.

    And what of Campbell`s speeches, "This is the fight of our lives,we owe it to our grandchildren,I couldn`t sleep at night if our goverment didn`t do evrything we can to save the planet"

    Of course he would have to cancel his Carbon tax,tax cuts,how would the newspapers play it?
    Does Campbell say because of low polling his grand children are out of luck?

    Just how does Campbell back out of the carbon tax without looking like the (con man) he is?

    Personally I am glad Campbell is going to do backflips on the (planet saving tax) but it won`t help his poll numbers.

    With Campbell 12 points back in the polls I know he is squirming.

    You heard it here first,a little birdie told me!

    P.S. With the head of OPEC slashing production of oil --2 to 3 million barrels of oil a day or more,whatever it takes to get the price back over a hundred dollars a barrell. cheers

  • G West

    3 years ago

    Nope

    This is what I said:

    Why don't you check out where the happiest people in the world are luke - you might be surprised and it'll keep you busy for a minute or so.

    Since you haven't taken the trouble to look yourself, I'll provide the necessary link:

    www.neweconomics.org/gen/uploads/dl44k145g5scuy453044gqbu11072006194758.pdf

  • egmont rapids

    3 years ago

    Cheap gas, not for long,sorry Luke Skywalker

    Opec has taken a liking to 147 $ a barrell oil!

    If you wonder where the price of oil is going?

    http://www.cnbc.com/id/27251496

  • Luke Skywalker

    3 years ago

    Budd...

    Quote:
    How many times have I heard claims like this from people who obviously regard the NDP with complete contempt?

    Some people view the NDP with contempt... yes, due to the left-wing elements within the party (what Doer gets away with in Manitoba could never happen here with the BC NDP).

    That said, moderate small "l" liberal provincial New Democrats here in BC are certainly respected outside party lines.

    Former Premier Harcourt - supports the Port Mann Bridge twinning/ Hwy 1 widening "as the horse has left the barn door" long ago and it only "makes common sense".

    Former Premier Miller even stated today that he supports "offshore oil and natural gas drilling" off BC's coast:

    Quote:
    Former B.C. NDP premier Dan Miller says offshore development and pipelines to help move Alberta oil to coastal ports and on to markets in Asia could be the best way to get the investment that will be needed to grow the provincial economy.

    Quote:
    Miller is calling on the federal government to lift a moratorium on offshore oil and gas development off the West coast that´s been in place for more than three decades.

    http://www.oilweek.com/news.asp?ID=19174

    Heck, I also support these same positions but the federal/provincial NDP calls them "right-wing" and opposes 'em. Go figure! I would bet Manitoba NDP Premier Doer would also agree with both Harcourt and Miller on these policy stances.

  • Luke Skywalker

    3 years ago

    G West...

    Ya don't have to lie, for crying out loud!!! ROFLMAO

    Here's your exact statement:

    Quote:
    Ever wonder why places like Scandinavia seem to have happier people living there than we do here?

    As of now, it's the 14th last post in this thread to which I responded to! LOL

    http://thetyee.ca/Life/2008/10/17/Riskers/

  • G West

    3 years ago

    No lies - ever

    I also wrote what I posted just above you'll find it on that same thread - the one with the picture of Connie Black at the top it was an exact copy of what I wrote about the happiness index; however, - in the list of western countries, I think you'll find Denmark is number 1:

    http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2006/11/061113093726.htm

    I never lie - but you aren't capable of handling complexity.

    Here's the top 20 countries that might mean something to you:

    The 20 happiest nations in the World are:

    1. Denmark
    2. Switzerland
    3. Austria
    4. Iceland
    5. The Bahamas
    6. Finland
    7. Sweden
    8. Bhutan
    9. Brunei
    10. Canada
    11. Ireland
    12. Luxembourg
    13. Costa Rica
    14. Malta
    15. The Netherlands
    16. Antigua and Barbuda
    17. Malaysia
    18. New Zealand
    19. Norway
    20. The Seychelles

    Please note tha Denmark, Finland and Sweden are all Scandinavian countries and all three score higher than Canada...

    next question.

    As I said yesterday, you're out of your depth.

  • Luke Skywalker

    3 years ago

    G West...

    Best to repost from the other thread:

    G West:

    Quote:
    Ever wonder why places like Scandinavia seem to have happier people living there than we do here?

    Happy In BC... :)

    Mustel Poll, BC Happiness Index, from August, 2006:

    Q.1) On a scale of 1-10, where 10 means being most happy, how happy are you?

    10: 17%
    9: 16%
    8: 32%
    7: 15% --Total Downward to 7 Level- 80%
    6: 9%
    5: 6%
    4: 2%
    3: 1%
    2: 1%
    1: 1%

    Average BC Happy Score: 7.8

    Not tooooooo shabby!!!

    I'm one of 'em. You obviously unfortunately aren't. :(

    http://www.mustelgroup.com/pdf/a498hs_jha.pdf

  • record

    3 years ago

    Carbon Tax Charade

    The carbon tax is a charade that presents the appearance of doing something while actually delaying what needs to be done. It makes no sense outside of the myopic realm of economists.

    The cost of carbon is not the problem, the amount that we use is. There is no guarantee what level of reduction in use will come from what exact cost increase. We need an 80-90% reduction, what should the tax level be to achieve that?

    The surest way to reduce use is to restrict use and to restrict the amount of carbon minerals that can be extracted and processed, and imported so that producing carbon fuels will not exceed the amount that we want to limit use to.

  • G West

    3 years ago

    Means nothing

    As I already pointed out, Canadians are less happy than Scandinavians.

    QED

  • G West

    3 years ago

    And, as I already said

    You just can't help but be personal and offensive, can you?

    You have no idea how utterly happy making you look ridiculous makes me feel.

  • Luke Skywalker

    3 years ago

    egmont rapids

    Quote:
    Gordon Campbell is going to address the people of BC wensday night.

    Yeah, sounds like thay have an intelligent way of moving forward in terms of accelerated infrastructure development:

    Quote:
    Premier Gordon Campbell says he's considering fast-tracking infrastructure spending to combat a slowing economy, but his government won't rack up any deficits.

    Nevertheless, I am quite impressed with Carole James response thereto: ;)

    Quote:
    NDP leader Carole James said it was about time Campbell "woke up" to the economy.

    Quote:
    "We've been calling for the last couple of weeks, as have others, for an economic update to really hear about where things are and the state of the economy."

    http://www.canada.com/vancouversun/news/story.html?id=c97c474f-9af9-4a6f-a4f1-730d6556ef44

  • Tieleman

    3 years ago

    McAllister is Suzuki Foundation & Pembina Institute pollster!

    I find it fascinating that nowhere in Tom's story does it mention that Angus McAllister is the pollster for the Suzuki Foundation that adores the Gordon Campbell carbon tax - or that McAllister also polls for the Pembina Institute - which also pumps for the Campbell gas tax.

    Here's what he found polling for Pembina earlier this summer:

    "June 3, 2008

    British Columbia a Leader in Tackling Global Warming with Carbon Tax
    Published* in The Vancouver Sun

    By: Matt Horne , Acting Director, B.C. Energy Solutions, Pembina Institute

    Just as British Columbia passes the first carbon tax in Canada into law, a new poll by McAllister Opinion Research has revealed that more than 70 per cent of Canadians support British Columbia's carbon tax as a "positive step" towards reducing greenhouse gas emissions.

    .....British Columbia's government has become a leader on global warming with a carbon tax that is one of the most comprehensive in the world (covering virtually all fossil fuels), and the first in North America to focus directly on reducing greenhouse gas pollution by changing the decisions made by businesses and consumers. The ground-breaking tax is changing the level of debate on carbon taxes in the rest of the country."

    Whoops!

    I know McAllister is an experienced pollster but this information should be understood for this debate - just as my strong opposition to the carbon tax is.

    Bill Tieleman - columnist, 24 hours

  • mopled

    3 years ago

    Carbon scam

    I had hoped that while we would certainly get militarism with Harper, at least we wouldn't have to put up with "global warming" nonsense. I add I did NOT vote for them.

    Did anybody catch this today?

    Thirty years of warmer temperatures go poof
    EXCERPT
    "Don Easterbrook, a geologist at Western Washington University, says, "It's practically a slam dunk that we are in for about 30 years of global cooling," as the sun enters a particularly inactive phase. His examination of warming and cooling trends over the past four centuries shows an "almost exact correlation" between climate fluctuations and solar energy received on Earth, while showing almost "no correlation at all with CO2."

    An analytical chemist who works in spectroscopy and atmospheric sensing, Michael J. Myers of Hilton Head, S. C., declared, "Man-made global warming is junk science," explaining that worldwide manmade CO2 emission each year "equals about 0.0168% of the atmosphere's CO2 concentration ... This results in a 0.00064% increase in the absorption of the sun's radiation. This is an insignificantly small number."

    Other international scientists have called the manmade warming theory a "hoax," a "fraud" and simply "not credible."

    While not stooping to such name-calling, weather-satellite scientists David Douglass of the University of Rochester and John Christy of the University of Alabama at Huntsville nonetheless dealt the True Believers a devastating blow last month.

    For nearly 30 years, Professor Christy has been in charge of NASA's eight weather satellites that take more than 300,000 temperature readings daily around the globe. In a paper co-written with Dr. Douglass, he concludes that while manmade emissions may be having a slight impact, "variations in global temperatures since 1978 ... cannot be attributed to carbon dioxide."

    Moreover, while the chart below was not produced by Douglass and Christy, it was produced using their data and it clearly shows that in the past four years -- the period corresponding to reduced solar activity -- all of the rise in global temperatures since 1979 has disappeared.

    It may be that more global warming doubters are surfacing because there just isn't any global warming."
    http://network.nationalpost.com/np/blogs/fullcomment/archive/2008/10/20/lorne-gunter-thirty-years-of-warmer-temperatures-go-poof.aspx

  • Budd Campbell

    3 years ago

    Luke Skywalker: Some people view the NDP with contempt...

    Luke Skywalker

    Some people view the NDP with contempt... yes, due to the left-wing elements within the party (what Doer gets away with in Manitoba could never happen here with the BC NDP).

    Liberals hated Glen Clark not because he was on the left, he wasn't, as his subsequent business career has proven conclusively. They hated him because he was a former union organizer and, what is more, came from a working class home, and from a Catholic working class home at that. They regarded him as a threat to their base, and they hated him for it.

  • Luke Skywalker

    3 years ago

    Budd...

    Quote:
    [Glen Clark] came from a working class home, and from a Catholic working class home

    And those are also exactly my roots. Big deal!

    Quote:
    They hated him because he was a former union organizer

    And likely only ~5% of BC'ers even know that. The other 95% either didn't know or couldn't care less.

    Quote:
    Liberals hated Glen Clark not because he was on the left, he wasn't

    Oh come on Budd. Glen Clark was the NDP's version to the left to what Bill Vander Zalm was to the right. Both populist on their respective left/right ends of the political spectrum and both eventually alienated the middle-ground.

    Both idolized by the media in the period prior to their respective provincial elections (1986 and 1996).

    Both were then later pilloried by the media for their arrogant and bizarre excesses.

    And both caused the destruction of their respective political parties.

    Clark was no small "l" liberal like Harcourt, Miller, or Dosanjh.

    Sheesh, Harcourt started off in great form in October 1991, but the NDP went off track when his then finance minister, Glen Clark, tabled a provincial budget in the spring of 1993 inclusive of capital gains taxes on homes in the City of Vancouver valued over $500,000.

    And who owned 'em??? Many working-class retired seniors who purchased 'em for a proverbial song way back in the day.

    And there began the huge outcry and the NDP began to plunge downward in the polls thereafter, with the exception of Clark's fluke blip in the 1996 election, where the NDP still lost the popular vote.

    Quote:
    Liberals hated Glen Clark not because he was on the left, he wasn't, as his subsequent business career has proven conclusively.

    Same with Vander Zalm's business career. What's the diff???

    Both were either left/right wing populists.

    Pattison liked the guy's spunk. Didn't care for his politics and it obviously didn't matter. Spunk (not arrogance) and drive are always appreciated in a business setting (inclusive of intelligence). I know.

  • Budd Campbell

    3 years ago

    McAllister Polling Firm - Tieleman

    Bill, thanks for letting us know about the connections involved.

    I have the distinct feeling that carbon tax advocates, such as author Barrett, believe they are supporting a cause so important that obeying the rules is for sissies and half-wits.

  • Frank

    3 years ago

    NDP environmental policy

    I heard it was no new development in the tar sands and if Byers is to be believed shutting down the tar sands altogether.

    I'm willing to bet that doing so would reduce Canada's emissions about a million times more than Campbell's gas tax has.

    But then many so-called enviros don't want to see actual emissions lowered, they instead want to be given a tax break.

    The NDP should appeal to real enviros with real solutions such as not allowing mining and forestry in parks, not allowing development in sensitive habitat and demanding fish farms move their operations into closed containment systems.

    My bet is that enviros who really do care about the environment will prefer real progress over the Campbell shell game.

  • NicS

    3 years ago

    Dermot Comes Across As The Advance Guard

    Dermot, you come across as one of Campbell's advance guards for the coming election. Not as a "naive enviro".

  • angus mcallister

    3 years ago

    Chi Square

    Dear Bill,

    I'd like to think that our work is nothing less than completely professional at all times. But perhaps there are more people than i expected out there aspiring to the "guilty-by-association" standard. So, I should say that in addition to the Suzuki Foundation and Pembina, we have also recently worked with at least six really great BC labour unions, First Nations, the BC government, the Alberta government, the Saskatchewan Government, the Ontario government, 6 federal government departments, a few investment banks, two oil companies, a mining company, a biotechnology companies, a securities commission, four universities, a cake company, a Muslim charity, a Christian Charity, the Dalai Lama, a German hair products company, a Latin American forestry company -- and you may well have forgotten -- I have even worked with Bill Tieleman!

    But I still feel like I need to clarify a few things:
    (1) We have not yet served on any boards with Bill Ayers or any member of the Weathermen.
    (2) I do not beat my wives, children, slaves or kittens.
    (3) In a landscape saturated with billion dollar corporate polling firms, often owned by massive PR agencies run from the US and Europe, our little firm has worked hard to maintain a professional reputation for independence, good math, and honest thoughtful research. I have been blessed with a team of analysts who are smart, analytical and conscientious and who are willing to work the hours. We do our best to help out small low-budget organizations of various stripes while doing our best to chase enough profit clients to avoid getting knocked off by the big foreign conglomerates. I have a ton of respect for people like Bob Penner who has managed to survive this onslaught far longer than I, and continues to do excellent work. It is always a challenge not to get eaten alive by the spectators cuz our fellow Canadians always seem to have to take shots at the local talent. Why is that? Stop it! Do us a favour! Go after one of the conglomerates for once!

    Angus

  • G West

    3 years ago

    Angus

    No problem - just start telling the truth about the Campbell Tax and its utter uselessness as anything but a pander to a pointless vision of environmentalism.

    Taxes are the price we pay for a civilized, decent, cultured society - they should not be used for money-laundering purposes and to pump up the image of the worst premier this province has had in the last 80 odd years.

    The promoters of this scam, whether paid for or working gratis, are as guilty as its author.

    If you want to be recognized for excellent work, start telling the truth about what the vast majority of actual British Columbians think of this shell game.

  • DNA

    3 years ago

    Selling taxes

    I agree Dion could have done a better job, but remember that he had two parties arrayed against him opposed to a carbon tax, and calling the tax by another name (pollution tax) wouldn't negate the fact that it is a tax.
    Classically, the role of an Opposition Party is not to propose new policy (unless that policy is overwhelmingly popular) but to oppose, to point out the Government's weakness, and to convince voters that the Opposition is fit and ready to take over when they tire of the Government.
    As Kim Campbell famously put it, elections are no time to debate serious issues. Dion I think would have gone a lot farther just by attacking the Tories record on the environment (although he was hampered by what the Liberals record had been... but voter's memories are short).
    What's ironic is that, if the Conservatives remain Government for some time, they'll have to follow the US lead (Obama's), which certainly will mean a cap and trade system and probably some form of carbon tax. That's because, if we want the world to survive, we have to do these things, and I do believe that for most people and parties ultimately they will conclude that action to preserve the atmosphere and the earth are necessary.

  • realisticman

    3 years ago

    They like the so called 'shell game'

    when asked whether they supported the idea of a carbon tax on businesses and people based on the carbon emissions they generate, 61 per cent of poll respondents said yes and 32 per cent said no.

    Respondents in every province and age category expressed support for the idea, including oil-rich Alberta where 65 per cent of those surveyed backed the notion.

    Support levels grew significantly – to as high as 80 per cent ...

    http://www.thestar.com/News/Canada/article/422643

  • Budd Campbell

    3 years ago

    Angus: That bit about Ayers, ...

    angus mcallister

    (1) We have not yet served on any boards with Bill Ayers or any member of the Weathermen.
    (2) I do not beat my wives, children, slaves or kittens.

    That bit about Ayers isn't really at all funny as far as I am concerned. Maybe Dermot thinks it's a million laughs, but I don't. Also, I am assuming that the use of the plural of wife in the second point was just a typo. It was just a typo, wasn't it angus?

    On the issue of climate change policies, is it the opinion of yourself and your firm that the policies of Premier Gordon M. Campbell are world leading initiatives that are so good as to be above meaningful criticism? Do you think the criticisms that the BC NDP has made of those policies have any merit, and additionally, do you think they have any traction with the voters you have surveyed?

  • record

    3 years ago

    World Survival

    If we want the world to survive in a form friendly to present life we probably have to do more than tinker with taxes, cap and trade and prices.

    We have to reduce overall consumption, most of it is related to carbon in one way or another, and we have to limit both the consumption and production of fuel by decree just like we set speed limits and fish limits and so on.

    This will severely affect the economy and require a reversal of growth. Fairness for many of those impacted will require a considerable transfer of wealth down the pyramid.

    None of this is politically palatable.

    Carbon taxes do not amount to even a band-aid on a sucking chest wound.

  • Latarnik

    3 years ago

    Green Tax Poison

    Any fraudulent tax is a political poison. Smart governments of Japan, China, India, US and all the Middle Eastern countries would not sign Kyoto Treaty, as normal warming or cooling of the Earth, has nothing to do with human activities. Corrupted UN officials who stole billions from Food for Oil scam, want to get fed again. Canadian taxes as proposed by sponsorgate's Martin and bad English Dion, were suppose to enrich Paribas bank and Russian Oligarchs. Russia is claiming to be less polluting and should be on the receiving end of taxes from more civilized countries. They try to forget about Chernobyl and millions of people who died prematurely because of incompetent experiment with Soviet atomic bombs in Kazachstan.

  • Latarnik

    3 years ago

    Comments to Realisticman

    They like the so called 'shell game'
    realisticman

    Taxing companies is a naive notion that it saves money for individuals. Proponents of it, utopian socialists, are too stupid to realize that taxing businesses raises prices for everybody, because additional costs of goods are automatically passed to the consumers. Unless you are living in Outer Mongolia, do not buy anything, do not need toilet paper or soap and a lifestyle of Dzhengis Han makes you happy.

  • Dermot

    3 years ago

    I'm done

    Wow, isn't the internet an amazing tool for social change?
    Looking at the comments from the last 10 hours, I have to say is pretty depressing. Instead of talking about the actual issue it just degenerated into a platform for cheap shots, personal insults, innuendo and paranoia. But hey, Bud, isn't that what politics is all about?

    In the interest of full disclosure: I was a member of the NDP for 25 years and quit in June over the anti-tax campaign. (Thanks Bill and Gerry).I also worked for the David Suzuki Foundation for 6 years. And, despite Bud's belief that most people are liars, I worked on Jack Layton and Carol James leadership campaigns.

    Having sat in the ideological penalty box for the past 3 months, I re-joined the NDP. Mainly because I am sick and tired of watching this party become an irrelevant side show while the neo-liberal agenda marches on. Besides someone has to challenge the current batch of brainiacs who are dead wrong on the carbon tax.

  • Ronald Pagan

    3 years ago

    No better alternatives

    What's your point again Bill? From my perspective your point looks categorically false.

    BC's Carbon tax is the most broadly scoped carbon tax in the world.

    But don't let the facts get in the way of a good argument or your bias.

  • Budd Campbell

    3 years ago

    Dermot: 2004 and 2006 were then, this is now

    Dermot

    It may be that you supported the NDP in the 2004 and 2006 federal general elections, but that was then, and this is now, or more accurately, we are now in the post-2006 world.

    I would put it to you that once the Liberals lost power in 2006, BC's career environmentalists moved quite quickly from being a mixture of NDP and Liberal and Green supporters to being Liberals, period. This is a bit of an argument I have had over the past year or two with KenS of Nova Scotia who never stops expressing his disappointment with the "bunker mentality" of BC NDPers towards the ENGOs.

    Immediately after the 2006 election there was the famous attempt to curry favour with the new Tory Govt by giving Brian Mulroney a "greenest PM ever" award. When that failed to produce the desired results, it was the ENGOs that went into full bunker mentality, indeed, full pillbox mentality, firing outwards at anything that appeared hostile or even just non-aligned for their purposes.

    I was "reliably informed" that David Suzuki was positively apopletic when Jack Layton and Nathan Cullen announced they would work for improvements to the Clean Air Act without checking it out with him first. Suzuki and May took the position that the government should have been defeated and an immediate election held, so that the Liberals could come back to power and set the world right again. Later, when a greatly improved Act was passed, Suzuki has the unmitigated brass to appear in Ottawa to take his share of the credit.

    As we move into this year we see the ENGOs in BC lining up to explicitly and even quite loudly support Premier Gordon M. Campbell. In last week's federal election the linkage between environmental organizations, climate scientists and university economists (most of whom do not specialize in environmental, let alone climate change issues) and supposed "strategic voting" websites promoting many Liberal candidates and sponsored by Liberal ministerial and caucus staffers, could not have painted a more starkly clear picture.

    As I am sure you were delighted to hear, Am Johal, campaign manager for Michael Byers in Vancouver Centre, credited the carbon tax issue for sending a lot of previous NDP voters over to Adrienne Carr.

    It shouldn't come as a surprise to any genuined liberal to see that Suzuki's $6 million per year foundation, with all its perks and payrolls, has been transformed over time from a group of idealists and advocates into an economic interest group with materialistic and bureaucratic objectives of its own.

  • Ronald Pagan

    3 years ago

    "Carbon taxes do not amount

    "Carbon taxes do not amount to even a band-aid on a sucking chest wound."

    Nothing could be further from the truth. The amount of ill-conceived and blatantly ignorant comments from individuals with moderate interests in the environment is stunning and a testatement to how difficult environmental policy making is going to be for decision makers.

    There is no question that a carbon tax is the most efficient method to reduce GHG emissions over the short medium and long term.

    The fact that is has costs to consumers is EXACTLY the aim of the policy. Without extra costs we have no incentive to reduce our consumption of a bad environmental good.

    Carbon taxes aren't rocket science here people. Stop overthinking them.

    The real issue I see in this discussion is the blatant refusal of most posters to acknowledge the environmental cost of their activities and instead wanting to pass the buck of reducing emissions to corporations.

    Fact of the matter is that large corporate emitters account for only half of the emissions are they are still subject to the carbon tax or will be subject to a cap and trade. It's not as if they are getting off. They will share the same burden. The reason for staggering in the carbon tax payments for the biggest corporations is that the prices of their goods are set on the world market making it impossible to pass down the costs. Once appropriate mechanisms are in place to rebate the taxes for exports and apply border adjustments on imports corporations will pay their share.

  • Ronald Pagan

    3 years ago

    "As we move into this year

    "As we move into this year we see the ENGOs in BC lining up to explicitly and even quite loudly support Premier Gordon M. Campbell."

    Or, just maybe, Campbell's policies are optimal from an environmental perspective and that's why ENGOs are supporting him?

    "It shouldn't come as a surprise to any genuined liberal to see that Suzuki's $6 million per year foundation, with all its perks and payrolls, has been transformed over time from a group of idealists and advocates into an economic interest group with materialistic and bureaucratic objectives of its own."

    What a complete load of bunk.

  • atom

    3 years ago

    Budd Campbell + Luke Skywalker

    Just been reading through the comments here over the past 24 hours. Dermot has a good point.

    I don't always agree with people like Tieleman or G West, but they are respectful and even when their rhetoric is biting, it is well within reason, if not entertaining. But I have to say that two posters - Luke Skywalker - and especially Budd Campbell who is everywhere - have been consistently abusive and tending toward personal attack. I wish the Tyee had a "Shun" Button, cuz I'd certainly be using it.

    If you agree with me, please "recommend" this post.

    If you disagree, hit "offensive".

    Response? Thoughts?

  • G West

    3 years ago

    Dermot...cheap shots???

    Now what were you saying about cheap shots, innuendo and etc...?

    Because I just read this:

    ....the current batch of brainiacs who are dead wrong on the carbon tax.

    under your handle.

    It's entirely possible to disagree without that kind of thing my friend. I think You're dead wrong on the carbon tax - but I don't have to call you names to underline that conclusion. In fact, the opprobrium actually makes your case look weaker than it already is.

    I think Campbell tax is a complete fraud...but that doesn't mean I think the folks who've been taken in by the Premier are anything but mistaken.

    I think you'd advance your case a lot further if you recognized 'why' the vast majority of working citizens think Campbell's revenue neutral tax is about as honest as that little wrinkle he passed that deducts 10% from each cabinet minister's salary in any year their ministry runs a deficit.....

    If Gordon Campbell were interested in fairness, neutrality and income redistribution he'd have increased the minimum wage five years ago and he's have never had a referendum on treaty negotiations.

    I'm sorry all you nice people who care about the environment got yourself caught working with a professional con man.

    But it's not too late to wake up and the treasury's is almost dry - as out criminal premier will no doubt tell us tonight.

    Yeah, sure!

    That'll happen.

    I suppose you'd be happy with a 3% increase in the sales tax - to be spun through the treasury for a year and then refunded to the Road Builder's Association of BC to keep the deal 'revenue' neutral.

    Not one gram of C02 will be captured by this nonsense tax...time to wake up and smell the fumes from those airplanes and cruise ships my friend.

  • G West

    3 years ago

    errata

    That should be...
    'he'd never have had a referendum...'

    above here.

  • egmont rapids

    3 years ago

    Pembina,innovative,Angus

    First off it was the way they posed the questions--

    #1 Would you be in favour of a carbon tax that would reduce emissions and save the world?

    Who would answere no to that question?

    Now if they posed the question say like this--

    #1 Would you be in favour of paying more for everything for a carbon tax that may or may not decease greenhouse gasses?

    #2 Would you be in favour of a tax that gets collected,whirls around the goverment coffers then gets shuffled and sent back out to the public and the tax doesn`t have any emission targets?

    #3 Would you be in favour of a tax that will cost,hospitals,schools,transit,everybody but big polluters will be exmpted such as (smelters,raw log exporters,cement industry,cruise lines,overseas flights)?

    #4 Would you be in favour of a tax on the public even though most of you have no options to reduce your carbon output?

    #5 Would you be in favour of a tax only on the little guy because if we did tax the big polluters they would just pass it on to you anyways?

    The polls were bogus,the questions got the answere they were looking for.

    I again re-iterate that the Canadian people have spoken, THE CARBON TAX IS DEAD

    P.S. Luke Skywalker--The only way to fast track infrastructure is to have the province pay for it,THERE IS NO MONEY FOR THE P3 MODEL, The port mann/twin can`t get financing, P3s are failing all over the province,there is no wat to fast track infrastructure without going into defecit.

    The one exception is --Unless he pays an extreme price to p3s to keep it off the books but eventualy Campbell will have to divulge the price and a price of 6 billion for the port mann project will have BCers building a "YARD ARM" cheers

  • Budd Campbell

    3 years ago

    Pagan: Bunk is right!

    Ronald Pagan

    What a complete load of bunk

    I agree, Ronald, it is a complete load of bunk to suggest that people who make their career in the environmental NGO network have no personal financial or economic interests. It's like saying that professional missionaries and members of the clergy have no material stake in this life, their entire attention being occupied by the next. It's the kind of attitude that went out with the Dark Ages.

  • Budd Campbell

    3 years ago

    Sorry you feel that way atom

    But I have to say that two posters - Luke Skywalker - and especially Budd Campbell who is everywhere

    I belong to a party that gets kicked around all the time.

  • bcandbeyond

    3 years ago

    Something has to be Done

    If left to our own devices, we will never make the hard decisions and implement the hard changes that have to happen to save the planet. The deck is firmly stacked against the environment and whether it's taxes or cap and trade or whatever, it's a start.

    www.bcandbeyond.wordpress.com

  • Luke Skywalker

    3 years ago

    Atom...

    Quote:
    I don't always agree with people like ... G West, but they are respectful and even when their rhetoric is biting, it is well within reason

    Huhhhhh??? LOL

    G West:

    Quote:
    You have no idea how utterly happy making you look ridiculous makes me feel.

    Now a reasonable person would ascertain that that foregoing statement ain't within reason.

    It's psychotic!!! LOL

  • G West

    3 years ago

    Not at all luke

    Maybe you've forgotten this:

    Average BC Happy Score: 7.8

    Not tooooooo shabby!!!

    I'm one of 'em. You obviously unfortunately aren't. :(

    - directed to me.

    Now, what were you saying about mental stability? You also left out the first part of my response to that completely uncalled for dig..

    How be I post it for the information of the readers....

    And, as I already said...

    ...You just can't help but be personal and offensive, can you?

    You have no idea how utterly happy making you look ridiculous makes me feel.

    I won't bother posting the utterly lame and facile remark where you suggested I'd posted a lie about Scandinavian countries and happiness - but it's there for anyone who cares to look as well.

    I think atom had a very valid point.

    Bwahaahahahah! Thanks for giving me another opportunity to smile my friend.

  • Trent

    3 years ago

    Divided we fall

    All this infighting only makes the Conservatives happier. Anyone that responds to personal attacks is just as guilty of lowering the level of discussion as the attacker.

  • record

    3 years ago

    Carbon Taxes Do Not Amount

    Refering to the statement: "Carbon taxes do not amount to even a band-aid on a sucking chest wound."

    Quote:
    Nothing could be further from the truth. The amount of ill-conceived and blatantly ignorant comments from individuals with moderate interests in the environment is stunning and a testatement to how difficult environmental policy making is going to be for decision makers.

    Effective environmental policy will be difficult if not impossible to make because the environment and the economy are in direct conflict. Tinkering like the current carbon tax and other economic approaches do more to put off what has to be done than they do to have any significant impact on fixing the problems.

    Show us a graph that shows exactly how much tax reduces what exact amount of carbon emissions.

    Then show us one which correlates reduction of available fuels and limits on use to reduction of GHGs from fuels.

    Which of the two is likely to be more accurate?

    Reducing the amount of carbon available and directly limiting its use has more certainty of achieving output goals than price fiddling.

    Quote:
    There is no question that a carbon tax is the most efficient method to reduce GHG emissions over the short medium and long term.

    That sounds like a religious statement. There are certainly questions. You are arguing that allowing for an unlimited supply of carbon fuels couple with price increases will reduce use more then limiting the amount of fuel available.

    Quote:
    The fact that is has costs to consumers is EXACTLY the aim of the policy. Without extra costs we have no incentive to reduce our consumption of a bad environmental good.

    The fact that we are looking at it from a cost angle to start with puts us on the wrong track. With extra costs we can still increase our consumption if increasing it has a high value to us. Whereas we do not need an incentive to reduce consumption of there isn't anymore there to consume to start with.

    Quote:
    Carbon taxes aren't rocket science here people. Stop overthinking them.

    No, they are just an inappropriate tool for the primary solution to the problem.

    Quote:
    The real issue I see in this discussion is the blatant refusal of most posters to acknowledge the environmental cost of their activities and instead wanting to pass the buck of reducing emissions to corporations.

    The cost of reduction is going to fall on everyone if it is done right. The real issue insn't dodging individual responsibility, it is creating a solution that definitively reduces carbon use regardless of economics. The secondary issue is to adjust economics to the new reality so that wealth is redistributed to protect those whose basic requirements for survival are the most threatened.

  • realisticman

    3 years ago

    Don't Worry

    We're Happy.

    "World's Happiest Countries

    No. 10: Canada

    Population: 33 million
    Life Expectancy: 80 years
    GDP Per Capita: $34,000

    Canada may sometimes feel overshadowed by its giant neighbor to the south, but a strong sense of national identity and abundant natural beauty help make the sprawling and sparsely populated country one of the world's happiest. Canada also punches above its weight economically, with a huge $1.1 trillion GDP and per-capita that ranks among the world's highest. It also has strong health care and a low crime rate."

    http://images.businessweek.com/ss/06/10/happiest_countries/index_01.htm

    At number 10 Canada's population of 33 million is almost as many as the top 9 countries combined (38 million).

    http://www.eurekalert.org/pub_releases/2006-07/uol-uol072706.php

  • mopled

    3 years ago

    Reality check

    No Significant Global Warming Since 1995
    By Jarl Ahlbeck
    http://www.icecap.us/ go to original for graphs.

    The recovery of the earth’s climate from the little ice age started about 200 years ago, but the concentration of the atmospheric carbon dioxide started to increase significantly as late as in the 1950s, probably due to rapidly increased burning of fossil fuels.

    The climate recovery is still an ongoing process today. A natural warming rate of roughly 0.5 deg C /100 years has been the baseline for more than 100 years, but both short (a few years) and long (20 years) fluctuations around the baseline have occurred for natural but highly speculative reasons, for example a rapid warming in the 1930s followed by a cooling period, and recently again warming until about 1998.

    According to the UK climate panel IPCC, this last warming period has been forced by increased carbon dioxide concentration in the atmosphere. There is however no proof of that and the theory of how carbon dioxide influences the global mean temperature is complicated and unreliable. And if the global temperature again starts to increase slower than the natural long-term trend of 0.5 deg C/100 years, or even starts to cool, we can be quite certain that the recent faster warming trends have been natural too.

    A good reason to start a diagram from 1995 is that since that year no big (cooling) volcano eruptions have disturbed the temperature trend. Contrary to common belief, there has been no or little global warming since 1995 and this is shown by two completely independent datasets.

    The curves look very normal and it seems probable that the natural recovery from the little ice age has went on without any significant decelerations or accelerations caused by human activity. It is impossible to say what is going to happen in the future. But so far, real measurements give no ground for concern about a catastrophic future warming.

  • Rambozo the clown

    3 years ago

    Tieleman an NDP hack!

    Bill, I nearly fell over laughing at your finger pointing and suggestion of a conflict of interest. It is widely known that you are one of the biggest NDP hacks there is. Heck man… you are guest hosting one of their fundraisers this very weekend! Don't you think your readers need to know about this? You've been towing the "axe the tax" party line since day one.

    Note to all progressives and forward thinkers in the NDP (if there are any left!) The real loser in this debate has been the environment. I am worried that the smear campaign launched by your party has set back concrete action on global warming for several years. I hope you keep this in mind for the next NDP leadership review so we can remove Carole James and her republican style anti-tax rhetoric once and for all. We need real leadership in this party, not someone who will attack Campbell for the one and only constructive measures he has taken since forming government.

  • G West

    3 years ago

    Rambozo

    So you like taxes that just spin money for a fiscal year and then spit it back out.

    Addressing the problems of the environment is going to take a lot more than a Rube Goldberg perpetual motion machine that takes in 7c a litre from people with little or no choice in the matter and spits it out a year later without having built a single kilometre of Light Rail Transit, insulated a single home or converted a single working man or woman's truck to Natural Gas.

  • Budd Campbell

    3 years ago

    Rambozo: I am not laughing at all

    Rambozo the clown
    I nearly fell over laughing at your finger pointing and suggestion of a conflict of interest. It is widely known that you are one of the biggest NDP hacks there is. ... Don't you think your readers need to know about this?

    As you well know, Rambozo, Bill's post included this disclosure passage:

    Quote:
    I know McAllister is an experienced pollster but this information should be understood for this debate - just as my strong opposition to the carbon tax is.

    In addition, I note the following part of your post:

    ... The real loser in this debate has been the environment. I am worried that the smear campaign launched by your party has set back concrete action on global warming for several years.

    Can you explain how the environment will lose if the incremental provincial retail gas tax is rescinded in favour of a cap and trade system? The points you are making here sound very much like the kind of super-urgent sounding sales pitch I have heard from some of the economists and other academics who have become very, very major Gordon Campbell supporters over the carbon tax issue.

    One last question I have for you is this. Given that Rae and Ignatieff are both unalterably opposed to the Green Shift, is this particular Federal Liberal policy as dead as Dion? And if so, what does that mean for federal politics going forward, and for the partisan positioning of the ENGO movement in the federal political arena?

  • Ronald Pagan

    3 years ago

    carbon taxes cap and trades the same thing

    If anyone would read up on the differences between the two mechanisms you'd find that they are essentially the same thing.

    Both put a price on carbon. If they are designed the same way they should achieve the exact same amount of emissions reductions at the exact same price.

    The only real difference between them is that a carbon tax can be broadly scoped to the entire economy whereas a cap and trade can't (unless it's an upstream cap and trade) and a carbon tax is MUCH MUCH easier to implement and administer.

    Every cap and trade measure that I've seen comes equipped with a safety valve that puts a price ceiling on the price of emissions permits. This price ceiling is an effective carbon tax.

    The big problem with cap and trade is the apportionment of emissions rights. Would the NDP auction the permits ensuring that the right to pollute is not free for corporations? We'll see almost every other cap and trade system does not auction permits (RGGI aside). From a social perspective a carbon tax is a 100% auction and therefore optimal.

    I would seriously suggest people actually read up on the differences between the two policies. Before trumpetting on ill-informed bias-laden politicization of non-political economic policies.

  • Ronald Pagan

    3 years ago

    "Addressing the problems of

    "Addressing the problems of the environment is going to take a lot more than a Rube Goldberg perpetual motion machine that takes in 7c a litre from people with little or no choice in the matter and spits it out a year later without having built a single kilometre of Light Rail Transit, insulated a single home or converted a single working man or woman's truck to Natural Gas."

    Translation:

    "Why should I have to pay for the costs of my environmental degrading GHG emissions? The government should have to pay me to stop emitting or somebody else should have to pay"

  • G West

    3 years ago

    Sorry Ronald...I disgree

    Cap and trade is the preferable option because it actually addresses major polluters while rewarding alternative or so-called 'green' options. And, it gives industry a way to make the changes that are necessary

    The Lieberman-Warner Climate Security Act, which died in the Senate (and would probably have been vetoed by President Bush in any case) represented the best and strongest commitment to a 66% cut of emissions and C02 by 2050. It wasn’t perfect, but it was an enormously positive move by a country which refused to ratify its signature on the Kyoto agreement.

    Compared with that bill - which was a cap and trade system and which was, on balance, about the best anyone could have hoped for from the US, Campbell's little money-changing exercise will have done absolutely nothing to address the real problems of climate change and a degrading environment…no matter how many times he pleads with Arnie and Bill to come up here and shake his febrile hand.

    The Bill, in fact, was the end result of the action of the rest of the world at the last international climate conference who rose to boo and shame the United States into compliance when it tried to put all the responsibility for the mess this world is in on the third world.

    Anyone with a modicum of sense and a thoughtful frame of mind knows that if every Indian and Chinese citizen lived the way the US and Canadian middle class does that the world would be done for. In fact, it may already be – and the WEST, not the non-aligned and the third world have put it there.

    The problem has to be addressed with real programs - not the kind of greenwash Campbell thought would get him re-elected in May.

    The Carbon Tax, as Budd has pointed out above here, is a dead duck.

    In its present incarnation all it has managed to do is create dissention among people who actually give a shit about the future of the planet.

    Obama needs to bring back the Lieberman Warner Bill and hope, with lower gas prices, he can get it through Congress.

    And the rest of us need to follow along - cause we sure aren't leading anyone with this turkey on a leash.

    And don’t get me started about John Baird and Harper and their ‘promise’ to reduce the rate at which emissions increase.

    About that, Stephane Dion and Lizzy May were exactly right.

  • Budd Campbell

    3 years ago

    Pagan: What should we be reading?

    Ronald Pagan
    If anyone would read up on the differences between the two mechanisms you'd find that they are essentially the same thing.

    I agree that these two systems are essentially equivalent, and that raises the following question, which has puzzled me a great deal. Why the intense, emotional damnation heaped by carbon tax advocates on those who say they prefer cap and trade? Could that have been just a political marketing gambit, run for the purposes of last week's federal election and looking forward to next Spring's provincial election? If so, how do you think the carbon tax will play in next week's byelections?

    The only real difference between them is that a carbon tax ... is MUCH MUCH easier to implement and administer.

    Most taxes require considerable government bureaucracy, and once those sections of the tax legislation "matures" and acquires varying degrees of detail (READ: "loopholes") there arises, quite spontaneously, a market for tax lawyers and accountants who will increase the density of the legislative thicket considerably.

    ... Would the NDP auction the permits ensuring that the right to pollute is not free for corporations? ... From a social perspective a carbon tax is a 100% auction and therefore optimal.

    The federal NDP's online platform statement is presented in the broadest of generalities, and doesn't specifically say if the permits would be auctioned or sold at a government determined price. I don't understand why a tax, the same as sale at a government determined price, is optimal in the same way that an auction is, in which buyers respond based on their own knowledge of production costs and alternatives.

    I would seriously suggest people actually read up on the differences between the two policies.

    An excellent idea. I have read a couple of short papers by William D. Nordhaus of Yale, the world's pre-eminent climate economist. Do you have any particular books or papers in mind that you can refer us to?

  • Ronald Pagan

    3 years ago

    ?

    "The Lieberman-Warner Climate Security Act, which died in the Senate (and would probably have been vetoed by President Bush in any case) represented the best and strongest commitment to a 66% cut of emissions and C02 by 2050. It wasn’t perfect, but it was an enormously positive move by a country which refused to ratify its signature on the Kyoto agreement.

    Compared with that bill - which was a cap and trade system and which was, on balance, about the best anyone could have hoped for from the US, Campbell's little money-changing exercise will have done absolutely nothing to address the real problems of climate change and a degrading environment…no matter how many times he pleads with Arnie and Bill to come up here and shake his febrile hand."

    Lieberman Warner was worse in almost every aspect when compared to a carbon tax.

    First only 24% of the allowances were to be auctioned meaning that 75% of all permits were FREE, in essence a GIANT SUBSIDY to major emitters. Compared with a carbon tax, all emitters are responsible for the costs of 100% of their emissions.

    While it was a cap, compliance with the cap could be achieved through borrowing credits (no real reductions), using offset credits (no real reductions), and receiving extra permits for purchase when permit prices rose to high which is an effective carbon tax.

    Compare that with BC's carbon tax, which makes emitting for firms much more expensive and as such will result in higher emission abatement.

    "Compared with that bill - which was a cap and trade system and which was, on balance, about the best anyone could have hoped for from the US, Campbell's little money-changing exercise will have done absolutely nothing to address the real problems of climate change and a degrading environment…no matter how many times he pleads with Arnie and Bill to come up here and shake his febrile hand."

    As I've pointed out above this statement is patently false.

    "In its present incarnation all it has managed to do is create dissention among people who actually give a shit about the future of the planet."

    Nope it has only created dissension among people who are clueless about the policy mechanisms to reduce GHG emissions.

  • Ronald Pagan

    3 years ago

    "Most taxes require

    "Most taxes require considerable government bureaucracy, and once those sections of the tax legislation "matures" and acquires varying degrees of detail (READ: "loopholes") there arises, quite spontaneously, a market for tax lawyers and accountants who will increase the density of the legislative thicket considerably."

    I can attest that taxes are orders of magnitude easier to implement than cap and trade systems.

    The federal government has been negotiating its system for over 18 months now. The RGGI system in the U.S. took over 4 years to negotiate and implement. The WCI in Canada and the U.S. will likely takes 5 years.

    A new tax can be administered in weeks without even increasing any staff in Finance.

    "I don't understand why a tax, the same as sale at a government determined price, is optimal in the same way that an auction is, in which buyers respond based on their own knowledge of production costs and alternatives."

    If we believe in efficient markets then the price of the tax will produce the same amount of emissions reductions as the final price of an auctioned permit under a cap and trade system with the same amount of reductions as the tax.

    This isn't exactly the forum to go into greater detail.

    Books on carbon taxes? There's many, I would recommend one by the Brookings institution.

    This paper has the most convincing argument as to why a tax is better:

    http://www.brookings.edu/~/media/Files/rc/papers/2007/10carbontax_metcalf/10_carbontax_metcalf.pdf

  • Budd Campbell

    3 years ago

    Pagan: Thanks for the link

    Thanks for the link, Pagan, but I don't agree with your summary judgement:

    I can attest that taxes are orders of magnitude easier to implement than cap and trade systems.

    Cap and trade schemes may be complex, but tax policy is not a simple or administratively costless field either, and in the Anglo Saxon countries the endless expansion of bureaucracy, both public and private, around tax collection systems is legendary.

    If we believe in efficient markets then the price of the tax will produce the same amount of emissions reductions as the final price of an auctioned permit under a cap and trade system with the same amount of reductions as the tax.

    I am afraid I don't understand what you mean here.

  • Ronald Pagan

    3 years ago

    complicated

    The main administrative benefit of a tax is that the system is in place. You basically just add up the tax rates per fuel type and then have the responsible firms collect it like any other sales tax. Those systems already exist and all it would take would be some re-jigging. I've even heard that many people in finance actually like a carbon tax because it makes the entire tax collection system more efficient. Reducing income taxes as a part of revenue neutrality of the tax will decrease transaction costs significantly.

    About the auctioning...

    Firms will do in-house costs analyses of what a given level of GHG abatement will cost. Firms will then look at their regulated cut in emissions and then purchase permits that lower than their in-house costs for reducing that same amount of emissions. When all firms do this activity, the price of the permit should equal the marginal cost of emissions abatement for the total volume of emissions to be cut. If you set the carbon tax price at the same level of the marginal abatement cost as determined by the credit auction then you will achieve the same amount of emissions reductions.

    I haven't explained it well so hopefully another economically oriented brain can jump in.

  • G West

    3 years ago

    In your opinion it was worse - I think not.

    It also had the advantage of being the result of long and intensive consultation with industry to the point that it was something they were on side with - it would have given performance and subsidy incentives to clean energy alternatives while Campbell just washes OUR money and gives it back to his friends.

    It sure wasn't perfect, but it was about the only thing there was ever a chance of getting the United States to agree to...and, unlike the pie in the sky pretend revenue neutral Pigovian nightmare Campbell and his group of 'pet' economists dreamed up, it actually had a target of a 66% reduction in emissions by 2050.

    By 2050 Campbell and his little green scam will still be doing nothing but spinning money (at great administrative cost - what was the bill to send that little $100. pander to all British Columbians?) and C02 emissions will have increased exponentially as Gordo's Gateway gets crowded with all those diesel trucks pulling containers from Roberts Bank.

    In fact, Gordo doesn't even have a goal - he just mumbles when such things are discussed.

    The only way to cut emissions is to force the people who are doing the major emitting to stop.

    In Canada, that can best be achieved by DRIVING DOWN the price of oil below $59/bbl so the Alberta oil sands become uneconomic and the stuff gets left in the ground. The current economic crisis is doing that in spades - and getting results in a way the phony Campbell tax never could.

    You know as well as I do that Alberta produces more than 30% of Canada's CO2 emissions right now - that's the problem that cap and trade has to address.

    In my view, no matter what kind of a green shift you put on the Campbell tax it will never be anything but a tax on the poor and the working class - balanced by another pandering revenue shift to his friends in the road builders association and the BC New Car Dealers outfit.

    Like most schemes dreamed up by academic economists who think they're scientists, this is a loser. Just like the neo-liberal economics that brought us Allan Greenspan and the global economic crisis.

  • Frank

    3 years ago

    The tar sands

    With any luck the falling price of oil will soon put the oil sands out of business. As Michael Byers of the NDP would like and for which he was attacked by the carbon-tax loving media.

    Also in the news today it was mentioned that total global demand for oil MAY fall this year.

    It should be noted that this may happen in spite of the fact there are no carbon taxes outside of little places like BC.

    It should also be noted that this may happen in spite of the fact a barrel of oil is only half what it was when Campbell decided to increase taxes on gasoline.

    Demand falling even though there's no carbon taxes and oil is half price? How can that be so when the Suzuki-ites say that can't happen? Perhaps its because oil is not a normal commodity? Its demand is what it is regardless of the "price signals".

    For example, I doubt anyone filling their car today noticed the carbon tax and cut back their purchase on that basis. Chances are they were thrilled at the price.

    Interestingly, the introduction of the carbon tax did not prevent Campbell forging ahead with a number of anti-environment policies while still being cheered by so-called enviros. Perhaps the carbon tax is more important to them than the actual environment, or at least the real-world evidence would suggest that is the case.

  • David Lewis

    3 years ago

    carbon taxes sure seem to be poisonous

    Even today on CBC as Campbell was about to make his speech on what his plan was to brace BC for the economic tsunami about to arrive, when the CBC talked to James for quotation, the sound bite she had ready to serve up was "carbon tax". She's shouting it from every rooftop she gets on, still, even as the price of gas starts to rapidly decline.

    That's supposedly her strategy for BC as the worst economic crisis of our generation seems about to hit us, we've got to immediately reduce by 3 cents a liter the cost of gasoline in a rapidly declining market for gasoline. What would happen if we didn't? All the banks would go broke? All the pension plans would become worthless? Its embarrassing for her and her party. All they seem to care about is if there is one or two last votes they can vacuum up over it.

    One thought I had on how to implement any climate policy whether it be cap and trade or carbon tax is to run saying we'll have a big debate on it after the election. We won't impose a policy on you you don't understand, but we will do something, we aren't like those who would deny that a problem exists. Vote for them if you don't want some kind of action, vote for us if you do. Spell out what a carbon tax is and what different variants of cap and trade are during the campaign, but don't make a big deal out of it. Campaign on what the voters think the big issue is. If the voters think the big issue is the price of kumquats, have the best kumquat policy on hand to serve up. It would be honest and realistic to do this, i.e. minimize the importance of the climate policy, because although it is the most important policy you aren't going to make the sudden shift people fear because no one in the world is doing so, so far. You propose the baby steps the EU is taking, or what Obama will do if he gets in. You don't hear him basing the success of his run for the White House on a carbon tax or cap and trade, he's got a lot written down, but the US voter isn't interested by and large so he talks about other things.

    What has happened everywhere else in the world that has tried to implement climate policy is that only baby steps have proven possible to implement. This is why the BC effort so far was described by Bill Rees in his Tyee article as the most aggressive regime in the world even as he condemned it as a political shell game for not going far enough.

    3 cents a liter carbon tax is the most agressive regime in the world.

    And Carole James and her NDP made political hay out of that as if the tax was going to end all driving here forever. There isn't political will in BC to do more and there isn't political will in the rest of the world to do more. So far.

    Here is a link to a good discussion of cap and trade, for those who are so certain that cap and trade is the best way:

    http://www.abc.net.au/rn/rearvision/stories/2008/2367863.htm#transcript

  • G West

    3 years ago

    But David

    You still can't seem to come to grips with the fundamental problem with the Carbon Tax.

    It is its 'revenue neutrality' that is the problem.

    I never argue that the revenue neutrality is bogus because I've read the bill and its regulation - carefully.

    I know how the legislative process works and I know that the only reason Campbell would agree to an increase in taxes was because his pollsters told him that citizens wouldn't accept the tax without it being structured as a government windfall.

    The details of the process and why it is so costly are also in the bill - as are the exceptions like airlines and cruise ships and tanks of fuel coming in from Alberta bringing TILMA mandated workers and entrepreneurs; the details of how the minister of finance has to personally take the hit if every penny of the tax isn't spun out again to taxpayers every year.

    There is nothing aggressive about hiding a pea under a walnut shell, swapping it around on a table for a few minutes and giving it back to your favourite players when the show's over.

    Price carbon as aggressively as you want - unless that revenue leads to real change - and once again, read the bill, it doesn't, then this is utter nonsense.

    Political will is the result of political leadership - you won't see any from the current Premier.....what Carole James will do is still to be seen - the necessity for her to criticize this stupidity is clear.

    The pretense that real action on the environment will be revenue neutral is risible – and I noticed not a single phrase of praise for the much ballyhooed Campbell Tax in Gordon’s little financial statement last night – this is a pig in a poke – with or without lipstick!

    I think the first pander payment actually 'cost' the taxpayer more than $40 million to 'deliver' - and not a single registrant has made their mandatory return as yet....

  • G West

    3 years ago

    The point David

    Is that it's not going to end any driving...and that's the problem.

    In fact, what Campbell really wants is for people to take their Campbell Tax winnings and spend them on the products of his favourite lobbyists - the NEW CAR DEALERS ASSOCIATION OF BC, so they can keep driving on roads built by another of his favourite sources of campaign funds the BC Road Builders.

    The enviros should be embarrassed - so eaily taken in were they by this crap.

  • G West

    3 years ago

    errata

    that's so easily taken in were they by this crap

  • Budd Campbell

    3 years ago

    David Lewis: Think about your own words

    David Lewis
    3 cents a liter carbon tax is the most agressive regime in the world.

    And Carole James and her NDP made political hay out of that as if the tax was going to end all driving here forever. There isn't political will in BC to do more and there isn't political will in the rest of the world to do more. So far.

    If carbon taxes are as hard a sell as you say, then why not start with a cap and trade, and then do carbon taxes later, say in 2015?

  • G West

    3 years ago

    Unfortunately Budd

    Just like Gordon Campbell, David Lewis seems to think that the Bill 37 has ushered in a miracle tax which is well on the way to changing the world....like most world changers, he wants to do it on the pocketbooks of the working men and women - people who are already hurting because of his neo-liberal policies and welfare for the rich.

    However, if his Carbon Tax (though it would still be completely ineffective in curbing C02) were being used to do something real and something green then I, for one, wouldn't feel duty bound to point out what's wrong with it every time a BC Liberal henchman shows up here to wave Campbell's flag.

    It was interesting that Campbell is now so disenchanted with his own silly Wurlitzer of a tax that he didn't even mention it in the little statement he made last night.

    You have to wonder if he's not sleeping at night because it has been shown to be both stupid and unpopular. He certainly didn’t look good on TV!

    seriously though - send me an email if you have a

  • 2ootsweet

    3 years ago

    McAllister poll in the Globe

    Looks like there's a reference to the McAllister poll in the Globe and Mail today.

    http://www.theglobeandmail.com/servlet/story/LAC.20081024.BCNOTEBOOK24/TPStory/Environment

    I was trying to research McAllister's client work in the media to see what their biases are. Not very clear where they focus. They seem to do a ton of number crunching and consumer work, but their environmental research doesnt have much too do with the complex issue of carbon taxes.

    - Mentioned in the Vancouver Sun for work on Eron investor fraud for the BC Securities Commission

    - Canadian Wheat Board / American Bakers on biotechnology

    - Federal government: Industry Canada, Natural Resources Canada, Agriculture Canada, Health Canada and DFO.

    - UBC on housing and SFU for alumni work. North Carolina State University on biotech.

    - Sustainability research with James Hoggan (chair of the Suzuki Board!!), the Globe Foundation and an American (!) pollster Yankelovich.

    And Globe, CTV, Ottawa Citizen, Toronto Star and Le Soleil coverage over general issues, but not carbon taxes.

    But really I dont see how they know anything about the carbon tax. I dont see how any pollster could be qualified to ask about that. It is too complex.

  • Budd Campbell

    3 years ago

    Ronald Pagan This paper has

    Ronald Pagan
    This paper has the most convincing argument as to why a tax is better:

    http://www.brookings.edu/~/media/Files/rc/papers/2007/10carbontax_metcalf/10_carbontax_metcalf.pdf

    Ronald, I have read about half of this paper and it seems to recommend a system quite different than either BC Premier Gordon M. Campbell's carbon tax, or the now-defunct Federal Liberal Green Shift.

    The author is talkng about an upstream carbon tax, levied as Jack Layton might say on the big polluters. As far as revenue neutrality goes, he's looking primarily at refundable tax credits, not just cuts in tax rates. I believe Campbell and Dion put all their emphasis on the latter, though I stand to be corrected on that.

  • G West

    3 years ago

    Budd

    Manitoba has refundable tax credits for low income families now and Saskatchewn has a refundable credit program for university graduates - something a relatively dim bulb like Brad Wall has had the good sense to retain....Campbell certainly has no such program and, as far as I know, Dion didn't either - although I stand to be corrected on the latter statement.

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