Opinion

Obama's Challenge to Canada

Who's Obama proving to be? A president who sees Canada as a global game changer.

By Michael Byers, 19 Mar 2009, TheTyee.ca

Barack Obama and Stephen Harper

'I love this country.'

[Editor's note: Yesterday, Tyee columnist Murray Dobbin answered the question, "'Who's Obama proving to be?" by calling him the "reluctant imperial president." Read that article here.]

"I love this country," Barack Obama professed during his recent visit to Ottawa. The comment might be interpreted as a gentle rebuke to Stephen Harper who, when asked whether he loved Canada in 2005, hesitated, pursed his lips and replied, "Canada is a great country."

More likely, it was a straightforward expression of affection rooted in President Obama's family connections to this country as well his awareness of its historically important role -- as the terminus of the underground railway; as a deciding factor in two world wars; as a long-time proponent of human rights, international law and multilateral diplomacy; and as a model of successfully multicultural, social welfare state.

Most importantly, the comment also suggests an awareness of just how important Canada could be to achieving the new president's economic, environmental and foreign policy goals.

Smart power

Secretary of State Hillary Clinton has placed "smart power" at the centre of the Obama administration's foreign policy. According to this approach, influence is derived from many factors, including diplomacy, cooperation, a good reputation, economic vitality and military power.

"Smart power" plays to Canada's strengths -- which are truly multifaceted.

Geographically, we're the world's second-largest country. We have the eighth-largest economy. We're the United States' largest trading partner and its principal supplier of energy -- in the form of oil, natural gas, hydroelectricity and uranium.

We have a population of 33 million well-educated, globally connected people, and are well-remembered for our historic contributions to diplomacy, international law and UN peacekeeping.

Our military is small but highly competent. Our foreign service is among the very best. Seen through the lens of smart power, Canada has considerable potential influence that could and should be exercised on behalf of our own citizens, the international community and -- on issues of common cause -- the United States.

Afghanistan

Clearly, Afghanistan is an issue of common cause. The Canadian Forces have suffered the highest casualty rate, per soldier, of all the allied troops in Afghanistan. To date, 112 Canadian soldiers have lost their lives; hundreds more have been permanently injured.

The deaths, injuries and other demands of the mission have prompted retired Major-General Lewis MacKenzie to conclude that "Canada will not be capable of remaining in Afghanistan in a combat role beyond 2011."

Fortunately, President Obama is already applying the concept of smart power to Afghanistan. The appointment of the seasoned Richard Holbrooke as his envoy is a clear indication of just how important the diplomatic angle has become. President Obama is not going to try to fight his way to victory; he's going to focus on holding ground, making friends, and training the Afghan army and police.

And while President Obama is increasing the number of troops in Afghanistan, he's actually cutting -- by around 100,000 -- the number of U.S. soldiers deployed in combat missions abroad. The end result is that Canadian soldiers are less needed than they might have been before.

Consistent with the concept of "smart power," we can and should offer to contribute in other ways. Our diplomats could help negotiate with tribal and insurgent leaders in Afghanistan, as well as with regional actors such as Iran, India and Pakistan. The Canadian International Development Agency could provide more reconstruction assistance. The RCMP could do more to assist with the training of the Afghan police.

All indications are that the Obama Administration has made the same calculation, and that pressure is not being applied to keep Canadian soldiers in a combat role in Afghanistan after 2011 -- the withdrawal date set by Parliament last March. There is no reason, whatsoever, to even consider another extension. It's time for the Canadian Forces to rest, re-equip and retrain.

Economy

President Obama is demonstrating extraordinary leadership in addressing the global economic crisis. But he's looking for international support for his economic stimulus, and he hasn't received much from Canada so far.

According to the parliamentary budget officer, the net effect of Canada's stimulus plan is equivalent to just 0.7 per cent of GDP -- which is just one-quarter of President Obama's package and less than half of the stimulus recommended by the International Monetary Fund. And this despite the fact that Canada's per capita debt is lower than that of any other G7 country.

The Great Depression led to the creation of the World Bank, IMF and GATT. The current crisis is likely to generate similar international institutional reforms, including mechanisms for regulating multinational banks, stock exchanges and currency speculators.

Canada could play a major role here, bridging differences between American, European and Asian governments, and developing and circulating concrete proposals which could then be used as a basis for multilateral decision-making.

Canada could also seize on President Obama's declared intent to bring labour and environmental standards into the main body of NAFTA. Such changes would work to this country's comparative advantage -- since we have relatively robust standards already -- particularly if the practice of including such standards spreads to other trade agreements such as the WTO. And this, in turn, would help to tame one of the most destabilizing effects of globalization, namely capital flight to the most unregulated, human rights and environment-abusing states.

Energy and environment

The environment is a key economic issue -- because it is the foundation on which all human activity takes place. Sir Nicholas Stern made the point in his 2006 report on climate change to then-British Prime Minister Tony Blair, stating that every dollar spent on mitigating climate change now will save $20 in 2050.

President Obama understands this. Shortly after his election, he confirmed that the United States would "help lead the world toward a new era of global cooperation on climate change. Now is the time to confront this challenge once and for all. Delay is no longer an option. Denial is no longer an acceptable response. The stakes are too high. The consequences are too serious."

At the same time, every crisis creates opportunity -- in this case, to move through the next industrial revolution into a global economy based on non-hydrocarbon sources of energy. It is hugely significant that President Obama has appointed Stephen Chu -- the Nobel Prize-winning physicist and world-leading expert on climate change -- as his Secretary of Energy.

The tide has changed, and Canada risks being left high and dry. Already, we're seeing a seismic shift in public opinion in the United States. This month's issue of National Geographic, which singles out the Alberta tar sands as an ecological disaster, is only part of that.

President Obama has ignored Prime Minister Harper's proposal for a North American energy and environment accord because he wants to go much further -- and not exempt the tar sands. He wants to use firm caps and a 1990 baseline, not emissions intensity targets and 2006 numbers.

In the circumstances, it's time to abandon old plans and old thinking -- like a 1,200 kilometre gas pipeline across melting permafrost from the Beaufort Sea to Fort McMurray to fuel the extraction of oil from sand, or a 1,100 kilometre pipeline to ship condensate from Kitimat, B.C., to Edmonton to dilute the oil so that it will flow. It's time for new thinking: like ice-strengthened liquefied natural gas tankers to move that clean-burning fuel from the Arctic to Atlantic Canada; and wind, solar, tidal and geothermal developments on a scale comparable to Germany or Denmark today, and the United States tomorrow.

It's also time for massive investments in energy conservation and alternative forms of transportation. Where is the funding for high speed rail in the federal budget? Where's the new "national dream"?

It's time for the Climate Change Accountability Act, which passed the House of Commons last summer -- thanks to the support of all three opposition parties -- but had not yet cleared the Senate when the last election was called. The act, if implemented by a government that took the issue seriously, would rapidly transform Canada from a climate change rogue-state into a climate change leader.

The Arctic

The Arctic is not a priority for the Obama Administration, only because international cooperation is already well advanced in the region. Last May, the five Arctic Ocean countries -- Canada, Denmark, Norway, Russia and the United States -- collectively affirmed their commitment to the law of the sea and the "orderly settlement of any possible overlapping claims."

The Harper Government does everyone a disservice by feeding the media interest in conflict stories -- such as Defence Minister Peter MacKay's bellicose comments after two Russian bombers exercised the right that every country has to fly in international airspace.

As recently as November 2007, Prime Minister Harper and then-Prime Minister Viktor Zubkov issued a joint statement on cooperation between Canada and Russia in the Arctic. Since then, Canadian and Russian diplomats and scientists have been working together as both countries exercise their unchallenged rights to define the outer limits of their extended continental shelves under the Arctic Ocean.

Canada is also cooperating closely with the United States: In 1988, the Arctic Cooperation Agreement established procedures for Coast Guard icebreaker transits of the Northwest Passage and declared them to be of no consequence for the legal dispute. In 2006, the NORAD agreement was expanded to include joint maritime surveillance of the Northwest Passage. And the two countries have been jointly mapping the floor of the Beaufort Sea using U.S. and Canadian icebreakers.

More could be done. Canada should follow the lead of the United States in making public all of the data gathered by its scientists concerning the extended continental shelf, to ensure that common data sets are used by countries with potential overlapping claims.

Canada should be engaging the United States on the Northwest Passage, before the increasing traffic causes a diplomatic crisis. In February 2008, former U.S. ambassador Paul Cellucci and I demonstrated that negotiations could be quite fruitful: in just a day and a half, our two teams of non-government experts arrived at nine concrete recommendations for cooperation and confidence building between the two countries. Negotiations could also lead to a mutually acceptable resolution to the maritime boundary dispute in the Beaufort Sea.

In the Arctic, and elsewhere, some proactive Canadian diplomacy could make a world of difference -- and be of considerable assistance to a new president with far too much on his plate.

Equation has changed

For decades, the relationship between Canada and the United States has been understood as involving a degree of dependence, even subservience. The economic and environmental crises have changed much of that. But this is no time for celebration -- since the same crises have created shared perils that require more cooperation, not less.

Canadians have never watched humanity's great struggles from the sidelines. Barack Obama loves us because we're game changers. It's time to rise to the occasion again.

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23  Comments:

  • Jeffrey J.

    19-03-2009

    Change Possible in Canada

    Prof. Byers brings welcome optimism to Canada's future. If the US can change, so too can humble Canada. How? Harper HAS to go. And since he's in a minority government, he can go anytime. Calling Michael Ignatiaff...is anyone home?

    If the Liberal party has any integrity remaining, they would form a coalition government today and bring change to Canada. NOTHING is stopping them...except themselves.

    In BC, Gordon Campbell's government also has to go. A clone of the Harper/Bush neocon, market based formula, we need change in BC urgently.

    Great article and great sentiment. Canada CAN be a renewed leader in the world.

  • freebear

    19-03-2009

    Pimp can't love Canada

    Hard for Prime Minister Harper to say he loves Canada because he is pimping it out as a 'energy superpower' as he put it.

    He loves his wife and family so he won't whore them out, but Canada?

    Its a great country for a fire sale!

  • Van Isle

    19-03-2009

    When those Russian aircraft

    When those Russian aircraft violated Canadian air space, how come our airforce didn't force them to land at the nearest airbase and arrest them? Maybe the incident didn't happen and McKay was just using cheap tricks so he'll be a leading contender for NATO's chief poo-ba?

  • Rod Smelser

    19-03-2009

    NDPers for Hedy

    Prof Byers faced a tough challenge as a federal candidate last fall. In Vancouver Centre there are a large number of provincial NDPers who have supported Hedy in five, now six, general elections. They weren't prepared to break that pattern on October 14th.

    One of them told me in caustic and abusive language that he disliked Byers, in part because Byers didn't live in the district, and in part because he's bilingual and actually had the gall to speak some sentences in French in front of an audience of established West End anglos. When I said that Hedy probably doesn't live in the riding either, he neither knew nor cared whether or not she did, and airily dismissed that point on the grounds that "she had a practice down here for years". He insisted in a loud voice that Hedy had vigorously represented the district's interests in Ottawa, and vehemently insisted that her much-ridiculed "burning crosses" speech was in fact a superb example of her championing the district's values, no matter the facts or the consequences. A tough challenge, alright.

    Prof Byers' description of the Obama approach to Afganistan is in line with a recent article in the Nov/Dec 2008 issue of Foreign Affairs (From Great Game to Grand Bargain by Rubin and Rashid) which stated clearly that a military-only solution to the security problems in the Afghanistan-Pakistan area is simply not doable.

    One point I am less clear on in this article is the advantage of LNG tankers as opposed to a Mackenzie Valley Pipeline. If the gas is to be used in southern Canadian and US markets, can it not be delivered just as easily, perhaps more cheaply, through a pipeline system, all of which is in place already except for the northernmost leg to Inuvik? What port cities or towns are hurrying to solicit LNG terminals?

    If there's a concern that the pipeline will result in too much warmth and a loss of perma-frost, and some resulting acceleration of the release of GHGs from the tundra, well, ... I would have to be persauded that such an effect isn't limited to a few metres either side of the pipeline.

  • freebear

    19-03-2009

    "When those Russian aircraft

    "When those Russian aircraft violated Canadian air space,"

    My understanding is they approached, but did not 'violate' Canadian airspace.

    Looking for a war Van Isle?

  • beyondgreen

    19-03-2009

    There could be no better

    There could be no better investment in than to invest in becoming energy independent! We need to utilize everything in out power to reduce our dependence on foreign oil including using our own natural resources. Create cheap clean energy, new badly needed green jobs and reduce our dependence on foreign oil.The high cost of fuel this past year seriously damaged our economy and society. The cost of fuel effects every facet of consumer goods from production to shipping costs. It costs the equivalent of 60 cents per gallon to charge and drive an electric car. If all gasoline cars, trucks, and SUV's instead had plug-in electric drive trains the amount of electricity needed to replace gasoline is about equal to the estimated wind energy potential of the state of North Dakota.We have so much available to us such as wind and solar. Let's spend some of those bail out billions and get busy harnessing this energy. Create cheap clean energy, badly needed new jobs and reduce our dependence on foreign oil. What a win-win situation that would be for our nation at large! There is a really good new book out by Jeff Wilson called The Manhattan Project of 2009 Energy Independence Now. http://www.themanhattanprojectof2009.com

  • Fiat lux

    19-03-2009

    A lot of very interesting

    A lot of very interesting and worthwhile "coulds" and "shoulds" in this article, but let's just stay on one subject; "Canada's combat role in Afghanistan".

    What are we, or any other nations doing in Afghanistan, other than the wish of the US to build some pipeline across the country?

    By the time the planned end of Canada's presence ends, an estimated approx. 150 soldiers will have died, for nothing. If the mission will end at all, or continued on some pretext, like "bringing democracy to the country".

    First of all, the Taliban have been put into power, subsidized, dined and feted by the US until they balked on the pipeline.

    Organized armies can not fight civilian insurgents, that's how the US was beaten out of Vietnam, with the last troops hanging on to the skids of the helicopters and the Soviets beaten out of Afghanistan
    Their losses are found at http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Soviet_war_in_Afghanistan#Soviet_personnel_strengths_and_casualties

    Anybody with the slightest knowledge of the military should know that you can not occupy a roadless, mountain country with motorized troops, with the Taliban having fun by blowing them up one by one locked up in their tincans.

    It would take 500,000 soldiers on foot, located in every village, for 50 years, to make the slightest difference in that godforsaken mess, then when they pulled out, the Taliban would come back and massacre all who cooperated with them, as they will in Kandahar and everywhere else now under temporary occupation.

    So, what in hell are we doing there, why and when will some of our politicians come to their senses that the whole thing is nothing but a stupid game ?

    Ed Deak.

  • seth

    19-03-2009

    Nuclear- the way out

    Harper is at least doing one thing right just not enough - He's pushing nuclear power.

    The advanced Candu ACR-1000 a generation 3.5 nuke is a completely green technology which could eliminate natural gas usage in the tar sands and provide power production for domestic and export at two cents a kwh for the next 50 years.

    All nuclear waste will be burned in a few years down the road liquid flourine thorium reactors (LFTR or lifters).

    British Columbia will going broke buying 12 cent a kwh run of the river power from Gordo and gang's Pirate power cronies.

  • Van Isle

    19-03-2009

    Hello freebear

    In reply to your question, no, I'm not looking for a war. I did hear McKay say that the Russians violated Canadian airspace. But our whimpy press have no gonads and question politians, like him, when they come out with outrageous statements. The Brits have a very good term for describing people like McKay; A puffy chested pompous prat.

  • seth

    19-03-2009

    North Dokota wind power

    And when the wind stops blowing then what?

    There is no economic method of storing wind power to date, and the grid cannot handle any significant amount of intermittent power.

    Once again nuclear - much cheaper, more practical and here today.

  • brg61

    19-03-2009

    Canada will be on board soon.

    The next federal election will see a
    clear mandate for first time in ten
    years. The liberals will have a majority
    with suppport from all regions.

    Canadian's want to be in sync with the
    Obama administration. They desire a
    genuine link with the U.S. and not
    phoney photo-ops. The liberals and
    U.S. democrats are best equiped to
    repair and mitigate the serious effects
    a legacy of conservatives leave.

  • Stump

    19-03-2009

    e-cars and hydro demand

    "If every household in BC had one or two electric cars/trucks to charge up each night, how much additional generation would BC Hydro need to have on hand?"

    Don't forget there's less demand for power at night, so conceivably no extra generating capacity would be required.

  • Dr Alexander

    19-03-2009

    I'm with Fiat lux on this one... plus....

    ...... from where I sit, it is still to early in the game to say if we really want to emulate Obama. He talks a good talk, but lets see how things pan out first. Anything more would be premature and just parroting Obama's campaign speeches.

    Besides, Obama is an American voted by Americans for Americans. I'll leave that "Leader of the Free World" crap for others to eat up.

    My interest lies in home-grown talent. Unlike the perception of so many, I feel that Canadians can do anything as well as or better than anyone else.

    Let us not offshore our political talent like we have everything else.

  • Rod Smelser

    19-03-2009

    Annual capacity would have to increase

    Stump
    Don't forget there's less demand for power at night, so conceivably no extra generating capacity would be required.

    Well that's true in the sense of instantaneous capacity, but in terms of overall annual or monthly generation of energy there would have to be an increase somewhere. Some may hope that enough power smart bulbs will make up the difference, but I think we need to see some numbers.

  • Dan the socialist

    19-03-2009

    Van Isle wrote 12 hours

    Van Isle wrote
    12 hours ago

    When those Russian aircraft violated Canadian air space, how come our airforce didn't force them to land at the nearest airbase and arrest them?

    uhm maybe because they did not violate our airspace period. They came near but did not violate.

  • lorraine winter

    20-03-2009

    Obama's Challenge to Canada

    I read your take on how Canada should belly-up-to-the-bar with Obama's direction on important co-country/global issues and could not agree more.(Would have responded with a bit more thoughtful feedback if this was not my first post to Tyee and had to wade beforehand through the site's somewhat convoluted sign-up procedure.)
    My first thought was 'Hey, why isn't this guy running for public office?' But then, after reading the comments following your article (and with thanks to Rod Smelser's informational post) realized that you are already on your way to helping Canada position itself to where it needs to be, even it may take another election or two.
    Canada has to get with the program and show the world our true leadership colours. Imagine our amaze that the genesis for this 'new thinkin' emanates from the administration below the 49th who we used to love to hate.
    But those days are gone -- Canadians just want to see our beloved country (with all its unrealized-potential) belly up to that very high bar set by Obama and show the world who we really are.
    My thanks to you for all you are doing and will continue to do, and to the U.S. prez for inspiring us all.
    (I don't live in your riding but could probably engage a few friends who
    do.)
    Lorraine

  • Dr Alexander

    20-03-2009

    Canada, the Schizophrenic Nation

    For the past eight years under the Bush Administration, we spent all our efforts telling the world "We are not like the Americans".

    Now, with Obama as the president of the USA, we are now being encouraged to "Be like the Americans".

    As for myself, I will rely on Canada's history and cultural landscape as a compass to guide me to continue being a Canadian and doing things in a Canadian way.

    I don't need Obama or the National Geographic to tell me what to do or think.

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