That's the wrong way to build trust and defeat the Harper government.

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His NDP victory promises a battle royale in Parliament and trouble for Liberals, Conservatives, Bloc Quebecois.
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NDP leadership candidate Thomas Mulcair on his 'cap and trade' climate plan, economic 'realism,' playing to win, and more.
- Read more: Politics,
A couple of polls showing the federal NDP losing support to the Liberals pose some pretty fundamental questions for the party and its small 'l' liberal leader Thomas Mulcair. Does the party follow the narrow political path of the two big business parties or does it reinvent itself as a movement party and tap into the deep dissatisfaction of Canadians about the state of politics and governance in this country?
The Harper Conservatives have mastered the techniques of the permanent election campaign -- placing enormous pressure on the opposition parties to follow suit or find a way to counter them. Will the NDP try to replicate it (as the Liberals would like to) or will they, true to their radical roots, reinvent their approach and design a completely different "permanent campaign" model? The Conservatives have framed electioneering for the foreseeable future. If the NDP doesn't respond with something new and imaginative it will lose.
Harper's permanent campaigning involves narrow-casting -- focusing not just on federal swing ridings but on polls in those ridings and on ethnic other key demographic groups. They do fundraising 363 days a year. Tom Flanagan, once Harper's closest adviser, wrote: "They have produced a campaign equivalent of Colin Powell's doctrine of 'overwhelming force,' applying all possible resources to the battleground ridings where the election will be won or lost." This is extremely anti-democratic and in perfect keeping with Harper's continuous assault on democracy on many other fronts -- prorogations, sabotaging parliamentary committees, slandering and belittling independent watch-dogs, vetting all messaging from his office, and using the party's millions to attack opposition leaders rather than their policies. It shares with his attack ads the same basic strategy: the use of fear and manipulation to keep his core supporters on side and to suppress any instinct other Canadians might have to engage in the political process.
Harper's 40 per cent solution
But it is instructive to recognize that despite its sophistication, relentless application, and seemingly unlimited resources, Harper's strategy barely keeps him in power. Given the metrics of a four-party system Harper can keep winning majorities with 40 per cent of the vote. And that's basically all Harper wants. He doesn't aim to capture a portion of the 60 per cent who vote against him. He aims to convince as many of those opposition-party voters as possible to stay away from the ballot box. He doesn't want to do anything to provoke them.
Finance Minister Flaherty acknowledged as much last week when he changed gears on the Conservative's official view of balanced budgets. Announcing a later date for the balancing act, Flaherty stated that "balanced budgets are not an end in themselves. They are a means to an end, and that end is a better, more prosperous future for all Canadians." He has never said that before. But he knows that cutting spending by billions more would threaten Conservatives' re-election chances.
But instead of listening carefully to this embedded message about who Canadians really are, Thomas Mulcair and the NDP decided instead to listen to the polls showing the Liberals (read Justin "He doesn't really want the job" Trudeau) gaining ground at their expense. The result? A complete about-face on so-called "free trade" deals. Instead of highlighting three incredibly destructive investment agreements currently in the news they panicked -- ending their commitment to get out of NAFTA, calling on the WTO to re-launch global trade talks and urging Harper to sign deals with India, Brazil and South Africa.
Here was a chance for the NDP to stake out ground that distinguished them from all other parties. Mulcair (who unfortunately does support "free trade") could have used these deals (FIPA, CETA and the Trans-Pacific Partnership) to lambast their potential destructive impact on the country and argue against more such agreements. None of them have anything to do with trade -- they are all about corporate rights, just like NAFTA and the WTO.
He could have used the fact that progressive public policy in both Quebec and Ontario are currently under attack by countries using investment agreements. The WTO has indicated that it will soon declare that the local content rules in Ontario's Green Energy Act are an illegal barrier to investment -- effectively killing that initiative.
And Quebec's moratorium on fracking is being challenged by energy firm Lone Pine Resources Inc. which is demanding more than $250 million in compensation under NAFTA.
It's all about trust
That Mulcair would back off the NDP's historic position on these odious corporate rights deals demonstrates how vulnerable the party is to feeling obliged to move in the direction of being a second Liberal Party. Ironically, it is their historic 100 plus seats that has made them more cautious (reminiscent of their increased caution in 1988 when they were running second in the polls). But the more they back off from who they are, the more people will go to the real thing. And it's not mostly about policies, it's mostly about trust. Harper has managed to create a new political and government culture in which the default position of most citizens is distrust. If Mulcair wants Canadians to trust the NDP he has to take the party forward and not backward.
He can't do that by replicating Harper's permanent campaign or the Liberals' opportunism. He can only do it over the long term by reinventing the party at the riding level as a social movement party -- active on issues year round, making it easier for people to engage in politics, educating its own members in the art of motivating people and tapping into Canadians' essentially progressive values.
Those values have changed little over the years. It is Canadians' expectations of government that have changed.
The NDP's future success depends on increasing people's expectations of what is possible -- not further decreasing them. ![[Tyee]](http://thetyee.cachefly.net/ui/img/ico_fishie.png)
Murray Dobbin contributes his State of the Nation column to The Tyee and Rabble every other Monday. His blog is here.
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eastcoast
26 weeks ago
road to oblivion or permanent fringe
Sticking to its historic opposition to free trade is exactly what will keep the NDP from governing forever. If the NDP would learn to use its negotiating powers for the good of Canadians, by being cagey and aggressive free trade negotiators like the US we'd be a lot better off. If the NDP doesn't want to do anything but be boy scouts and girl guides who shift the Overton window on behalf of the Liberals & the Greens, they should listen to Thomas Mulcair. Unions need to modernize and make themselves relevant to a broader cross-section of Canadians. A mixed market economy with some public ownership, along with effective and efficient government and tax system is the model that seems to work the best. There's no reason the NDP can't be the best government of Canada ever, but protectionist, socialist rhetoric is not going to do it for them.
janfromthebruce
26 weeks ago
Fair trade vs Free trade
Dobbin misses the mark here in that NDP is aganst the free trade deals of old and is supporting fair trade with international partners who share similar codes of international ethnics - fair labour laws, health and safety laws and environmental laws. It's about the race to the top rather than the bottom - that is fair trade.
Fiat lux
26 weeks ago
The sole purpose of the "free
The sole purpose of the "free trade" racket is the free movement of imaginary capital to colonize, enslave and ensure world domination and dictatorship by the international 1%.
Every disgusting detail we predicted as the consequences of this fraud when Mulroney was pushing his FTA in 1987-88, came true.
Our living standards dropped to hell, and the whole world is now being enslaved by the 1% corporate mafia, while 30 million die of starvation every year.
Ed Deak.
Frank
26 weeks ago
Have to disagree Mr Dobbin
The NDP is not losing support on the Left. Its instead losing the support of all those disillusioned ex-Liberals who gave up on the party after Martin, Dion and Ignatieff.
They see the Trudeau name which gives them warm and fuzzy memories of their younger days. They hope Trudeau is a centre-left type life his father.
I think they'll be disappointed but regardless, your prescription is to increase the appeal of the party to those who already support it. Mulcair's seems to be to find a way to appeal to ex-Libs as well as strong Dippers.
By the way, the irony of Trudeau the other day saying Canadians want substance over style was hilarious.
G West
26 weeks ago
Look!
The main objective here is to get rid of the Harper government - a government which has the support of less than 40% of the voting electorate.
Supporting Liberals is, really, little more than supporting Harper 'lite' because, once in power, the Liberals were (and would be again) nothing more than puppets for Bay Street and corruption. The point simply is to make citizens aware that supporting Justin or whomever ends up leading the Liberals is a sure way to getting Harper another four years.
The NDP has never had power in this country - the suggestion that they would be nothing more than Liberals once in power is reasoning from NO evidence.
hollinm
26 weeks ago
Free Trade
If the NDP are going to stick to their previous positions on free trade etc. they will never achieve power which I assume they now want to do. Its great to hold on to your misguided beliefs its another thing to come up with policies that will replace those beliefs. If we are going to be very selective on which country we will do free trade with then we better have alternative ways of selling our products. Otherwise the NDP will remain simply a third place protest party.
Frank
26 weeks ago
eastcoast
The problem with your view is that assumes most Canadians support the types of free-trade deals that have been signed.
The thing is, they don't.
As for "protectionist, socialist rhetoric", that would be the stuff that built this country. That rhetoric produced a high standard of living.
Whereas our median incomes have not increased since free trade was enacted 24 years ago.
So I would say its the rhetoric of the uninformed that has led this country down the path to oblivion.
igbymac
26 weeks ago
The NDP lacks the vision to cure sweet fcuk all
in this country, and Mulcair is another politician who jabbers on and on and offers no substantive change.
Of course the NDP supporters will be in here saying otherwise, yet however the vote is spread out between the parties, arguing the merits of catholicism over protestantism only appeals to the believers. To others who see the game for what it is and like politics and the party system it is baseless, unprincipled hypocrisy.
Mickey
26 weeks ago
Yes Murray, you have the finger on the pulse of NDP ers
There was a good crowd in Nanaimo yesterday to hear Jim Manly talk about his voyage to Gaza on the Estelle recently. There was that rare phenomenum of spontaneous and heartfelt dialogue in the room. It was about disappointment with the NDP, how they play it safe and don't stand for anything anymore, in case it would lose them votes. I heard about the longing for guts and integrity in our politicians... Hooray for the whistleblower on the rank corruption of Quebec's mayors and city halls. Lousy rotten crooks.
Frank
26 weeks ago
For the "free" traders
What Canadian products need a free trade deal to be sold abroad?
And what great imported products would we be denied without them?
Skywalker
26 weeks ago
Like a broken record - remember those - I hear...
... "we better have alternative ways of selling our products". We don't sell any products other than natural resources now! First we have to make some products to sell and that will never happen until we stop selling our finite resources to foreign interests and buy back their cheaper made finished product junk.
Fiat lux
26 weeks ago
International trade, between
International trade, between nations and peoples, has been going on for thousands of years.
When I was in the manufacturing business in Vancouver I was buying, importing, exporting and selling products from and to the USA, all the time.
The stores were full of imported products, but also of hundreds "Made in Canada" by Canadian businesses and labour.
There were some small tariffs on some products, mainly to equalize the costs between our and slave economics and everybody was doing OK.
I was captain of the Nissan car rally team in the '60s and we're still doing business with Japan, without any free trade crap.
Quite obvious that the main reason for the "free trade" racket has always been the free movement of capital, the destruction of democratic decision making powers and economic control by the multinational corporate mafia.
I would like to hear any good "conservative" come and say that we're better off now than before this crime wave.
Ed Deak.
freebear
26 weeks ago
They all ignore the economic house of cards
and blindly pursue the continuous growth paradigm.
Demonstreations in Europe over austerity measures; will soon appear in Canada when the cheap credit is no longer available and the global credit card bill is due!
oldcrank
26 weeks ago
Dobbin stuck in the past
The Dobbin opposition to trade appears to be an opposition rooted in protecting union jobs.
Where wages in an industry of sector are way out of line with OECD levels, that we have to change those salaries, even if that means some sacred cows will have to work a little harder for a little less.
People are scrambling to get by out there. Unless the NDP recognizes that scramble and stops trying to protect big unions - in particular in the public sector - then it will vanish once again into the teens of its hard core supporters.
The NDP has always been under the tight control of big unions. If it wants to thrive it will have to throw off that control and become a progressive party that works for all Canadians, not just for big unions.
Conductor274
26 weeks ago
Defeating Harper's extreme right wing
Harper's biggest fear is that the Liberals and NDP will form a coalition because they would defeat him and end his extreme right wing agenda. He prorogued parliament when this possibility presented itself a few years ago and raged on about the evils of such an act successfully using attack ads.
Further evidence that a coalition of the center right and left wins over extreme right wing agendas happened in the US when Obama won the recent election. He brought together a coalition of his own including seniors, students, blacks, Hispanics, low income earners, women and moderate religious groups representing the majority of voters. The constant campaigning goes on in the US as well and despite all the money, attack ads and gerrymandering it didn't add up to a victory for their extreme right Republicans.
A coalition between the NDP and Liberals is the only way Canada will get rid of Harper's tea party agenda.
G West
26 weeks ago
In fact, NDP governments have better fiscal records - period
When the only recovery in sight is on the basis of consumer spending you'd better hope there are some good union jobs around.
G West
26 weeks ago
Umm?
NDP Liberal combined effort?
Seems to me that was tried and the Liberals are the ones who cried 'UNCLE'.
Liberals simply can't be trusted.
Frank
26 weeks ago
oldcrank
Why be against good paying jobs?
How far down should the median wage go before you say its low enough? The median wage in BC has yet to rise above where it was when free trade was enacted. It fell 5% even between 2001 and 2005 when Campbell was attacking unions, privatizing assets, shipping raw resources out of the province and declaring that we were enjoying a "golden decade".
Some of you guys need to take your heads out of your a**es and do a little research.
Fiat lux
26 weeks ago
Funny thing is that the
Funny thing is that the conservative/fascists are always trying to cut the wages and feed the 1% with billions of stolen profits, while at the same time are screaming for more GDP and "sales".
I was paying my guys the highest possible wages, often more than what I was taking home, but they were the best, because happy workers are the best producers.
Hard to understand ,isn't it ? Why should happy workers work harder?
Ed Deak.
snert
26 weeks ago
Ed Deak
Yup, things are heading downhill really quick, like.
Year 1970 1980 1990 2004 2007 2009
37% 28% 20% 16% 17% 16%
Share of undernourished people in the developing world.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Starvation
snert
26 weeks ago
G West
Couldn't agree more but unions are going to have to get their heads out of the clouds, at least the ones that have highly paid members. I feel they have reached the point of diminishing returns with regards to what they can reasonably expect at the negotiating table. Their focus is going to have to start shifting from higher wage demands to keeping what they have and also improving working conditions.
I see no signs of awareness of this matter by the NDP.
Cool Hand
26 weeks ago
Frank
How do you come to that conclusion? By reading posts on the Tyee?
Let's look at BC's opinion and the latest Nanos poll from 8 weeks ago:
1. Canada-US Free Trade Agreement:
Better Off - 33.8%
Worse Off - 19.9%
2. NAFTA:
Better Off - 29.0%
Worse Off - 17.7%
3. Proposed Free Trade Agreement with the EU:
Positive - 40.6%
Negative - 7.6%
4. Proposed Asian Trans-Pacific Free Trade Partnership
Positive - 49.2%
Negative - 11.7%
To recap, BC'ers (as well as Canadians) obviously support the types of free trade deals that have been signed and look for similar deals with the EU and Asia.
Just da facts ma'am.
http://www.nanosresearch.com/library/polls/POLNAT-W12-T555E.pdf
G West
26 weeks ago
Baloney
No one should be too concerned about union jobs which pay decent wages - especially given the fact that you're not complaining about what really IS a problem: That is, growing income inequality and the increasing concentration of wealth in the hands of the richest 1% in this country. It's hardly surprising that this has happened at the same time that there has been a similar concentration of corporate power among the 60 largest Canadian-based firms.
I won't worry about bringing down union wages until I see some responsibility on the part of management.
That's where the problem lies - make no mistake about it.
G West
26 weeks ago
Hardly a surprise
Hardly a surprise that some Canadians think free trade is great - 39% of voters actually cast ballots for Pee Wee and his gang of cheaters.
You can't go wrong by betting on the stupidity of the Canadian voter - they've been casting ballots against their own best interests for years.
In fact, much of the short term 'advantage' from free trade with the US corresponds more or less exactly with low exchange rates. As energy and commodity exports began to form an ever larger proportion of this country's trade and as the value of the dollar rose against the greenback it is clear that much of what was seen as a positive 'result' of free trade agreements with the US and Mexico has been illusory.
If the US begins to attain energy self-sufficiency (which many predictions now expect) Canada will begin to suffer even more..and, as the Ontario Liberals learned today - we may more and more find our hands tied with respect to find ways to stimulate our own industry.
Skywalker
26 weeks ago
So Cool Hand..
..if those figures are true, why then are the Harperites unwilling to have a debate in the House or do any consultations with the public? I know the answer to that question but do you? What are they afraid of? What are you afraid of?
Frank
26 weeks ago
Luke
You and Nanos support what I said, as usual. Not one of the trade agreements you cite has the support of a majority of Canadians.
Why do you think that is?
Anyway, thanks for the help.
Frank
26 weeks ago
One example
Let's look at the biggie, the Canada-US trade deal. It has the support of 33%. The Conservatives get 39% support which means it has less support than the Conservative party.
I find that surprising, I would have thought support for the free-trade deal with the USA would have included all of the Conservative support and some Liberal supporters. After all, those two parties agreed to it. But apparently not.
Now let's look at the statements above. A couple of people stated that they believe the NDP should ignore the 67% that are either against the treaty, see no benefit or are unsure and instead join the Cons and Libs in chasing the 33% who support free-trade.
That's either bad math or bad politics. I'll let you guys figure out which.
Since support is only at 33%, and two parties are already chasing that demographic, I think its obvious the NDP should represent the people who aren't cheering free-trade deals with wide-eyed misguided glee.
siamdave
26 weeks ago
tweedledee-dum-NDP??
The NDP have been actually Branch 3 of the Bay St Money Party running the country at least since the 1988 "free trade" election, in which he refused to try to do anything to stop the vote split *everyone* knew was coming that would allow Mulroney to 'win' the false majority and the "mandate" to sign the FTA. One can only hope people will start to catch on someday, and start on the only path that can save us from the new feudalism being imposed as 'we' watch helplessly - Democratic revolution, now or never - www.rudemacedon.ca/vgi/backgrounders/revolution.html .
snert
26 weeks ago
G West - Not Baloney
If they're not they're blind. It's a two way street and all I did was address the traffic going in one direction. Greed is present on both sides.
Nobody said anything about bringing down union wages. The fight is going to be just to maintain what they have. That battle has already started in many union occupations.
Fiat lux
26 weeks ago
Broadbent instructed all NDP
Broadbent instructed all NDP candidates in 1988 not to fight Mulroney's FTA, but to leave it to the Liberals under Turner.
I was told this by our local candidate and confirmed by others.
Ed Deak.
G West
26 weeks ago
Obviously, I disagree
One of the only ways to address income inequality is to realign the 'rewards' mechanisms so that labour gets a larger return from its contribution to the profitability of firms who are sitting on bags of money waiting for the next opportunity to pick up random assets in the marketplace.
You may not have said anything about reducing union wages but the implication of what you wrote was absolutely clear.
Fiat lux
26 weeks ago
Corporations usually borrow
Corporations usually borrow to pick up new assets, regardless how much they have stashed away, because then they can write off the loan payments as tax deductible "business expenses" and have the public pay for them.
Ed Deak.
G West
26 weeks ago
You're right Ed
But the money pile corporations are sitting on (largely because of 'gifts' from a plundered taxation system) is enormous.
Here's an article you may have missed:
http://www.theatlantic.com/business/archive/2012/07/the-5-trillion-stash-us-corporations-money-hoard-is-bigger-than-the-gdp-of-germany/260006/
Furthermore, I'd be less troubled about where the money came from if it were being used to develop new business, manufacture new products and employ new workers. A great many of the investments made by corporations today are nothing more than financial manipulations which never create a single job and may, in fact, lead to less employment.
Hope you're doing well.
Cheers.
vegguy
26 weeks ago
NDP are way right of Liberal Light
Mulcair's leadership and his inner circle is making the NDP Conservative light. He has also muffled the reasoned voices of the left hand side of his caucus. His opportunity was to spend 3 years convincing Canadians that there are reasonable alternatives to the failed US corporate capitalist economic system that Harper advocates. Instead, he is rushing to show how much like Harper he is.
The next election is setting up to be a battle of personalities instead of a contest of philosophies. Mulcair cannot match Layton's appeal and his right wing approach will decimate the gains achieved. Sad!
vegguy
26 weeks ago
NDP becoming Conservative light
Instead of offering alternatives to the failed US corporate capitalist economic system that Harper supports, Mulcair is desperately trying to show that he is "one of the elite".
If the next election becomes a personality contest, Mulcair will run a slow 4th. NDP will return to their traditional representation (or less) It's time for a massive shift. Mulcair is not the one to do that. The strong left side MPs have been muzzled. It's a shame.
RockyRacoon
26 weeks ago
The NDP have to be the alternative that Canadian's want and saw
in Layton. Mulcair doesn't even have to think all he has to do is read the Canadian Centre for Policy Alternatives all the science based policy alternatives their rational etc are all their-and all within capitalism so no one can call him a communist.
RR
G West
26 weeks ago
@editors
More spam - just above this comment...
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