Opinion

Global Warming: Will Campbell Get Tough?

Clouds about to part on BC's climate action agenda.

By Matt Price, 24 Sep 2007, TheTyee.ca

Satellite Image of B.C.

Satellite image of British Columbia.

[Editor's note: This week The Tyee will run a number of reports and viewpoints from the Union of B.C. Municipalities (UBCM) convention starting today in Vancouver. Check this site daily for fresh articles.]

This Friday, Premier Campbell will begin rolling out his government's global warming program in his speech at the Union of B.C. Municipalities convention. It's been over seven months since the groundbreaking speech from the throne committed B.C. to a 33 per cent reduction in greenhouse gasses. So what's happened?

Because for now we can still use iceberg metaphors, most of the action so far has been underwater and out of view. A special cabinet committee has met extensively to consider policy options. A new climate action secretariat has been staffed up. All this has taken time, and we will see the results with initiatives made public this fall.

Starting the rollout at the municipalities' convention, though, is a tough first act, even if the theme of the gathering this year is "Climates of Change." There are easier and harder things on the premier's global warming to-do list, and dragging B.C.'s cities towards sustainable practices will take the muscle of a Schwarzenegger in his prime. For evidence, check out the ongoing urban sprawl around Greater Vancouver, the Okanagan and southern Vancouver Island -- all sanctioned by local governments.

Remember though that local governments are creatures of the province. At any time the provincial government can step in to regulate without the kind of legal hassles that would ensue should it step into federal jurisdiction. This raises delicate issues of local control that run head on into the urgency to dramatically reduce emissions, which must mean an end to sprawl right away.

Volunteer action on global warming enough?

For now, though, the B.C. government seems reluctant to bring down the regulatory hammer, and at the convention will encourage local governments to sign on to a "climate action charter," a sort of voluntary statement of commitment that may have some financial sweeteners. Joining, though, is not mandatory, and being signed on "does not fetter future councils or boards."

Will this approach get us where we need to go? The throne speech itself recognized that "voluntary regimes have not worked," and the pro-sprawl momentum in city halls is powerful. The premier may surprise us with stronger measures in his speech on Friday, but if not, watch for that next year should the climate action charter not deliver good results.

Hard cap on emissions in BC

What else can we expect for global warming action from the B.C. government this fall? One of the biggest pieces will be how greenhouse gasses from industry get tackled under the cap-and-trade system being worked out with the western states in the Western Climate Initiative. Unlike the deeply flawed "intensity" targets being proposed by Stephen Harper that would allow emissions to keep rising, B.C. is proposing to put a hard cap on emissions from industry.

What the level of that cap is, how it is allocated, and whether exemptions get built in are some of the key questions that all speak to the larger issue of fairness. Industry appears already to be pushing for rules that will "protect them," but the overall credibility of the government's global warming program will depend on a sense that everyone is being asked to do their fair share. Appeals to personal responsibility will fall flat, for example, if there is a sense that others are getting off the hook.

Will BC make it the law?

Also this fall, look to whether Carole Taylor puts together a world-class climate budget for release in February. On the spending side, we need dramatic new investments in things like public transit, building retrofits and adapting to the climate change impacts that are already inevitable. On the revenue side, we need bold innovation to shift taxes away from the things we want -- such as income -- and onto the thing that in this case we don't want: carbon. This must also be done in a way that does not penalize low-income citizens.

Finally, let's see if the B.C. government makes action on global warming the law of the land. California passed the Global Warming Solutions Act to send a clear signal that it was serious about action. Driving down greenhouse gas emissions is a long-term project that must live beyond any one premier or any one government. We need to lock in a pathway that our children can continue with, and their children beyond that.

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25  Comments:

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  • Greenwavesporter

    4 years ago

    Don't hold your breath...

    And why didn't you mention the Green Party once in this article? polling at almost 20% here in BC. They will elect a new leader in a few weeks (I predict Ben West will win...) How come no mention at all? It really makes me sick...

  • southdeltawalker

    4 years ago

    '" A Crude Awakening"

    We all need to change our lifestyle...we are in worse shape than we think. Don't believe me?

    Run- don't walk to your local video store or better yet library and get "A Crude Awakening" http://www.oilcrashmovie.com/to

    This doc spells it out what is going to
    happen-we cannot go on like this. We are all petroleum "junkies".
    Arrange a public showing of this doc.
    If your library does not have it put in a request for it. Or buy it if you can and share it.

    Start taking transit, for gawds sake get rid of that gas lawnmower and bar b q.

    Don't fly- "in a few years flying will be viewed as smoking is today".

    Try to buy local or second hand. Do you need that cheap thing from China...what was the cost to the environment to get it here?

    Get active in your community.

    Question your local politicians about TILMA-TILMA can destroy any environmental progress governments make. Are they going to oppose TILMA?

    Do you really think Gordon Campbell cares about the environment? He like nearly every other politician knows that he has to have environmental policies and plans in order to get re- elelcted.

    Remember this is the same guy that is trying to push through Gateway and the Deltaport expansion despite community oppposion and the environmental degradation and devastation that will result from these projects.

  • southdeltawalker

    4 years ago

    Big rallies on Saturday

    Two big rallies this Sat. in Vancouver

    Come out and oppose the Gateway project and the Deltaport expansion this Sat. Sept 29

    Gateway Rally- Sat. Sept 29 3:30
    Unitarian Church 49 and Oak

    Welcome Al Gore to B C
    Hello Al Gore and Goodbye Gateway-
    5 P M outside the Westin Bayshore Hotel

    For more info on Gateway and the Port expansion:
    Bahttp://www.stopgateway.ca/
    http://www.againstportexpansion.org/
    http://gatewaysucks.org/

    Great speakers-bring your banners!

    "GREENWAYS NOT GATEWAY"

  • dr evil

    4 years ago

    eco fascism

    Quote:
    This Friday, Premier Campbell will begin rolling out his government's global warming program in his speech at the Union of B.C. Municipalities convention.

  • RickW

    4 years ago

    Maybe he will "get tough".....

    ....but will he get effective? We need manufacturers to take some responsibility for re-using/re-cycling the products they line the store shelves with. We need the fast food industry (and industry in general) to accept some responsibility for the packaging they use.

    But I think Campbell & Co. will be putting the heavy burden on the consumer - sort of like the leaky condo farce and how it became the fault of the buyer for the leaks and making them bear the burden of the repair bills.

  • werdnagreb

    4 years ago

    I hope he's serious

    I really hope Campbell is serious about combating climate change. He has an enormous opportunity to be a role model for the entire world.

    But, in order to do this, he is going to need to make some tough decisions and some that may not be politically popular. So far, however, it seems that he is failing.

    The BC Liberals' Gateway project would be a massive setback for climate change because of all the extra roads added to the lower mainland. Anyone who wants to see this province succeed in reducing its emissions should be very concerned about Gateway.

    As southdeltawalker mentions above, there are two rallies back to back this weekend. They should be interesting at the very least.

  • Grumpy

    4 years ago

    Hype and hoopla

    A bunch of self important politicians at the UBCM, will do anything to get themselves reelected. BC politicians don't give a damn about the environment or global warming, all they care about who is going to pay for their expenses attending.

  • Skywalker

    4 years ago

    Get tough? Not a snowball's chance!

    "This Friday, Premier Campbell will begin rolling out his government's global warming program in his speech at the Union of B.C. Municipalities convention." dr. evil

    Now there is a real yawner. Campbell speaking to his farm team, one can hardly wait. Grumpy has it right. The whole UBCM is a waste of time and a cost to the environment. They only thing it accomplishes is that it gives Campbell a friendly audience. Watch for a bunch of his caucus cheerleaders and a few hack to sit at the front hoping to start a standing ovation and then watch all the sheep follow behind. That will be more entertaining than watching a Seinfeld show.

  • Fii

    4 years ago

    Start small

    I don't know... it's looking pretty grim when we can't get our heads around the most simple things... when, every morning at Starbucks, I am the ONLY person in a line-up of 30 people who has a reusable mug. EVERY DAY... it's pretty depressing, actually.

  • tricia58

    4 years ago

    What will we see?

    I am predicting Campbell will expect the individuals and not the big business to carry the burden of cutting green house gases. Campbell is not one known to make big business spend any of their profits. He does seem to think the low end of middle class and lower can afford to spend for everything though.

  • avandoc

    4 years ago

    Flashy but flimsy

    You've got to admit, the Campbell crowd is good at putting on a show. The premier will get lots of media coverage in his appearance with Al Gore, which will buy him plenty of room for hypocrisy and half-measures. Al himself lives in a huge house and jets around the world, dubious choices for a climate-change hero. Will Gore dare to comment on the Gateway project, or will he just pretend that the rally outside the Westin didn't happen?

  • mopled

    4 years ago

    "Cool It"

    Chill Pill
    Combat global warming? There are better things we can do for the Earth.

    BY PETE DU PONT
    There is both global warming and global cooling on the planet Earth. There always has been and there always will be, because temperature change is cyclical: The Earth's temperature oscillates up and down, ebbs and flows, over decades and centuries. Sometimes the earth warms, as it did in the Roman Warming period (200 B.C. to A.D. 600), the Medieval Warming period (900 to 1300) and in modern times from 1910 to 1940. And sometimes it cools, as it did in the Dark Ages (600 to 900); the Little Ice Age (1300 to 1850) and from 1940 to the late 1970s.

    The National Center for Policy Analysis's new Global Warming Primer (www.ncpa.org/globalwarming/) shows that over the past 400,000 years, "the Earth's temperature has consistently risen and fallen hundreds of years prior to increases and declines in CO2 levels" (emphasis added). For example, about half of the global warming increases since the mid-1800s occurred before greenhouse gas emissions began their significant increases after the 1950s, and then temperatures declined well into the 1970s when CO2 levels were increasing.

    During the 20th Century the earth warmed by one degree Fahrenheit, and today the world is about 0.05 degree warmer than it was in 2001. These small increases have led the global-warming establishment to demand that we adopt the international Kyoto policy of stopping the growth of CO2 emissions so that global warming does not destroy us all. Or in Al Gore's words, "At stake is nothing less than the survival of human civilization and the habitability of the earth for our species."

    Six years ago Danish scholar Bjorn Lomborg's "The Skeptical Environmentalist" took a look at the global-warming data and found it to be far less threatening than the Gore globalists were claiming. Mr. Lomborg's new book "Cool It: The Skeptical Environmentalist's Guide To Global Warming," makes the case that while "global warming is real and man-made," the Kyoto approach is the wrong way to improve the lives of the world's people.

    First, "Cool It" shows that global warming saves lives rather than killing people.

  • mopled

    4 years ago

    Cool It 2

    Second, it shows that the Kyoto approach of spending some $180 billion each year to end global warming would reduce CO2 by such a small amount that few lives would be saved or improved, even if the United States had signed on and even if every signatory nation met its CO2 targets (which few have). If instead the resources were used for combating malnutrition, HIV/AIDS, indoor and outdoor air pollution, and dirty drinking water, the world would be a far better place for humans.

    Finally, he gives a perfect example of why the Kyoto approach is foolish and an adaptation approach would be far better.

    Global warming is supposedly killing people. The 35,000 deaths from the August 2003 European heat wave were, in Al Gore's view, an example of what "will become much more common if global warming is not addressed." But the actual data put things in perspective. Whereas 2,000 people died in the United Kingdom in that heat wave, last year the BBC reported that deaths caused by cold weather in England and Wales were about 25,000 each winter, and 47,000 a year, in the winters of 1998 to 2000. Similarly, in Helsinki, Finland, 55 people die each year from heat and 1,655 from cold. In Athens, Greece, a much warmer place, the deaths from excess heat are 1,376 each year and the deaths from cold 7,852. All told, Mr. Lomborg calculates that about 200,000 people die in Europe each year from excessive heat, and 1.5 million from excessive cold.

    So global warming will save human lives. "While cutting CO2 will save some people from dying from heat," Mr. Lomborg concludes, "it will simultaneously cause more people to die from cold."

    Mr. Lomborg believes that while we must develop low-carbon technologies, "many other issues are much more important than global warming." Malaria kills more than one million people each year, and some four million die from malnutrition, three million from HIV/AIDS, 2.5 million from various air pollutants, and nearly two million from lack of clean drinking water. Solving these problems would save more lives and do more to improve the human condition than spending money on global CO2 reduction.

    The final table in the book dramatically makes the case. Fully implementing Kyoto would cost $180 billion per year, but for $52 billion per year we could do much better by tackling the challenges Mr. Lomborg mentions. The world would avoid 28 billion malaria infections (and 85 million deaths) over a century, instead of Kyoto's avoidance of 70 million infections (and 140,000 deaths). There would be one billion fewer people in poverty instead of Kyoto's one million fewer, and 229 million fewer people would suffer from starvation rather than Kyoto's two million.

  • mopled

    4 years ago

    Cool It 3

    Consider Mr. Lomborg's traffic example. In the U.S. each year, 42,600 people die and 2.8 million are injured from traffic accidents. If we were to lower speed limits to five miles an hour, almost no one would die. But automobile transportation is important to our economy and our people, so we work on seat belts, speed limits and better highways rather than 5 mph speed limits. Like traffic accidents, "global warming is strongly caused by people, and we have the technology to reduce it to zero," so we could curtail our use of fossil fuels and thus sharply reduce global warming. But Mr. Lomborg points out that "the benefits from moderately using fossil fuels" for "light, heat, food, communication and travel" vastly outweigh the cost to our society.

    "Cool It" makes the case for helping the world's individuals rather than the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change goal of reorienting our lifestyles away from consumption and individual ownership and toward free time instead of wealth.

    "Our ultimate goal," Mr. Lomborg says, "is not to reduce greenhouse gasses or global warming per se but to improve the quality of life and the environment."

    http://www.opinionjournal.com/columnists/pdupont/?id=110010626

  • southdeltawalker

    4 years ago

    How to talk to a Global Warming Skeptic

    Please see link to the Seattle based Grist magazine article below which contains all the info. you will ever need or want if you feel the need to counter these skeptic's.

    Reminds me of the "scientists" who opposed and ridiculed Rachel Carson in the early 60's...

    http://gristmill.grist.org/skeptics?source=most_popular

  • canary

    4 years ago

    Gateway to nightmare existence

    Unfortunately, Gateway and Delta Expansion jettisons us back to the Gaglardi days with the "50's" mentality to pave over the farm and let the transports rip up and down a wide, wide expanse of hiway billowing fossil fuel carbon into our living airspace.A significant percent of our Lower Mainland population experience breathing difficulty, already; many kids carry emergency (asthma) puffers around, at this end of the Valley.
    Previous,historic residents of this end of the Fraser Valley had an efficient, electric Inter Urban rail system set up delivering produce and people daily to and from the Vancouver area and stops along the way.We need to get back to that future and follow the example of many European city (and Sydney, Austr.) centres that have set up clean efficient transit systems that service the needs of the tax paying public, while preserving local producing farmlands.
    Long term planning is what is needed here; not only for the health of the planet but for the health of the taxpayers . Go to www.railforthevalley.com

  • mopled

    4 years ago

    Gateway = Wrongway

    But that has nothing to do with CO2 generation.

    Grist is just another product of Fenton Communications, the giant PR firm which handles the AGW/CC issue from the funding foundations to the NGOs pushing the false paradigm of CO2 being responsible for climate change. A very efficient propaganda machine. There is now so much money involved that new agencies must be recruited. "Four elite agencies -- Crispin Porter & Bogusky, Bartle Bogle Hegarty, the Martin Agency and Y&R -- are squaring off for the business and are expected to present to the former vice president himself early next month, according to executives familiar with the review. The budget for the "historic, three-to-five-year, multimedia global campaign," as the request for proposals puts it, is contingent on how much money the alliance raises. Media spending will likely be more than $100 million a year."

    http://mobile.adage.com/blackberry/go.php?article_id=120088

    Of course they are trying to discredit Lomberg, who points out that even if CO2 were a "culprit", there are better ways of approaching the non-issue (since climate change is natural) than restricting production of a trace gas. So much lather about .038%(380 part per million) of the atmosphere to which we contribute less than 2-5% of the total.

    You are being scammed. Just because Gore is not Bush, does not make him any more trustworthy.

  • clubofrome

    4 years ago

    Go Deeper!

    I have to agree that controversy abounds regarding "Global Warming" but not for the reasons put forward by skeptics. The reasons as reported for the last 20 years not only point to over development and the ecology of land and water being compromised but over population and of course an economy gone insane. Natural systems are not going to be able to handle the increased man made CO2 any more than they can handle the removal of forests, the acidification/desertification of land and sea. At what point will someone actually bring sheer numbers of consumers into the equation? The ability of natural systems has been and continues to be compromised as we boldly go forward with more, more, more. This society has become so short sighted and narrow focused on an economy so specialized that it's not just "global warming" that will bring it down. The health of the environment does not depend on the economy, but try and have economy without a healthy ecology. We're just at the beginning of problems that will make "global warming" seem like the moot point it really is. No solutions of any magnitude will be anything more than bandaids until ecology comes first. End of Story.... Kyoto, I suppose we have to start somewhere... Dig deeper on this one and find the disease, not just the symptoms.

  • mopled

    4 years ago

    What Tosh!

    CO2 is plant food. It is not poisonous and even if you tripled its content in the atmosphere (which no humans action could, because that is the role of the oceans)
    all you would get is better plant growth.

    The Arctic warmed up suddenly in 1918 around Spitzbergen. It was warmer faster than during the present period. The warming lasted until the 1940s when it got cold again. Four of the hottest years were before 1940, 1934 was the hottest, 1998 second and 1921 third hottest. Does that look like a trend to you?

    Of course, you would go to population reduction being the solution to all our problems given your handle.

    We could clean up the real pollution on a great deal less money than trying to restrict a necessary component of life.

    Population restricts itself when women are educated and don't have to watch their children die of malnutrition and preventable diseases. If you want to reduce the population, get rid of poverty and ignorance and the rest will follow.

  • North of Hope

    4 years ago

    CO2 in the Oceans

    When CO2 dissolves in the oceans, the acidity of the oceans increases. This is now occurring and the reprocussions for marine life may be enormous. Read the article in the March 2006 Scientific American "The Dangers of Ocean Acidification" by Scott C. Doney

  • mopled

    4 years ago

    The Acid in the Oceans Fraud

    Carbon dioxide propagandists have a high volume campaign going for an "acid in the ocean" alternative to the greenhouse gas scare. This tactic is a result of the danger of the "greenhouse gas" lie blowing up in their faces at any time due to the obvious scientific frauds.

    Carbon dioxide has been an extremely effective and insidious propaganda scheme, being used as the latest pretext for shoving the lower classes out of the economy. The public considers the greenhouse gas problem to be unquestionable science and an imminent peril. This does not immunize it from scientific truth, which is bound to expose it eventually. But the new ploy is unrelated to the truth about greenhouse gasses, and it salvages the propaganda value of carbon dioxide.

    The acid fraud says that humans are putting more carbon dioxide into the oceans (through the atmosphere), and the CO2 converts to acid in the oceans, while corals are supposedly sensitive to acid and cannot produce their calcium shells in such an environment.

    The most significant fact about the acid fraud is that there has never been real damage to corals found as a result of increased acidity of the oceans. There are three major reasons why. One, oceans have such a huge potential to neutralize acid that no significant pH change is occurring. Two, oceans are warming and releasing more CO2, which reduces acidity. Three, all biological cells have evolved the ability to cope with pH changes. The propaganda is a mindless argument over the chemistry of calcium without a trace of biology or evolution.

    Concerning point one, the human production of CO2 per year is 0.014% of the amount of carbon already in the oceans. Part of that carbon is converted into neutral cell mass; and this is one of the reasons why there is no acid problem. Biology converts CO2 into neutral cell mass.

    Another reason why the acid scare is a fraud is because the CO2 levels always fluctuate during ice age cycles, and the cycle is exactly the same now as it was during the previous ice age. There is nothing unusual about it. Biology easily adapts to such variations.

    One of the most difficult questions to study in biology is how cells control their internal pH. It's difficult to study, because every chemical reaction in a cell influences pH. Evolution takes into account the total effects and produces a result which is favorable to survival. As a result, acid comes and goes in biological cells with no indication of where from or where to. All biologists can do is observe the end result. And biologists observe total control over extremes in pH in biological systems. For the frauds to claim that a small fraction of a pH change in the ocean cannot be handled by corals is a contrivance in conflict with biological principles.

    http://nov55.com/acd.html

  • realisticman

    4 years ago

    Pooee

    One sow and her piglets can produce 9 tonnes of CO2 equivalent annually from methane emissions from their waste. The effluent collects in lagoons which smell bad and sometimes overflow into water supplies. Now Bunge, a US company, builds lined, enclosed pools to collect effluent and capture methane, which farmers then use to generate electricity. By preventing methane from escaping, the company gets a carbon credit to sell on the carbon market; the farmer keeps 25%.

  • mopled

    4 years ago

    Leave the carbon out

    CO2 is not harmful in the minute amounts we produce. Giving out the amounts in tons is really impressive if you are trying to snow people. When translated into percent .038% or parts per million, 380ppm, it ceases to be a monster and remains what it really is....a trace gas plants use to produce carbohydrates through photosynthesis.

    Greenhouse gases don't exist on the rest of the planets of the solar system, neither do pigs producing methane, yet they are all warming.

    It is a terrific idea to capture and burn methane though. Saving money is always a good idea.

  • G West

    4 years ago

    The Answer

    After Gordon's performance at the UBCM this morning it's obvious he won't be getting tough on anyone.

    Another shill job with $50M that had already been accounted for...I think Carole Taylor can relax

  • Truman Green

    4 years ago

    Scientists Come To Senses...finally

    Go to "US Senate" and enter this in the search box: "Prominent Scientists Reverse Belief in Global Warming."

    You don't have to understand the C02 infrared absorption frequencies to know that the whole thing is a pathetic and embarrassing hoax.

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