Election's Big Winners and Losers
These get our votes. Please add your own.
Cartoon by Ingrid Rice.
So who, and what, were the big winners and losers this federal election? Here are some suggestions we've drawn, bleary eyed, from the wisdom of our Tyee contributors who blogged on The Hook late into the night.
Winner: Stephen Harper's Tories. They gained 16 seats, won Ontario, and Harper was quick to thank Canadians for granting him the "strong mandate" he had requested on the campaign trail.
Loser: Stephen Harper's dream of a Tory majority. Nobody really believes that Harper broke his own vow (and maybe the law) in calling an early election, just to achieve a somewhat stronger minority. Sensing accurately that he faced one of the weakest Liberal leaders in memory, he lusted after a majority. And yet as Will McMartin blogged, Harper's Quebec strategy (was there one?) didn't budge even one new seat in the province, nor, as Bill Tieleman noted, did Harper manage to fully ring the chimes of Ontario's vital 905 area code voters. Some Conservatives, noting their one percentage point rise over last time around, have to be wondering if Harper can ever take them to majority land.
Loser: The centre-left's dream of a coalition government. The math never materialized. 37 (NDP) + 76 (Liberal) does not exceed 143 (Conservative).
Winner: Gilles Duceppe. Everyone to the left of Conservative must be thanking the silver fox and his Bloc for saving Canada, as Francis Plourde observed.
Winner: Premier Danny Williams. His call to shut out Harper in Newfoundland and Labrador was obliged. As Alex Marland, a poli sci prof at Memorial University in St. John's told Colleen Kimmett, Williams was preaching to the choir. A Newfoundlander voting Tory is about as fluky as an Albertan voting NDP.
Loser: Stephane Dion. Steve Burgess wrote his elegy about one hour after B.C.'s polls closed. Excerpt: "It's often said that campaigns should be about issues, rather than personalities. Good luck with that. When you watched Dion campaign, the personality issue was inescapable. Sure his English was bad, but so was Chretien's. Dion did not have the royal jelly. Canadian voters are usually pretty good about voting on issues, but you've got to meet a minimum standard. Party leadership is a roller coaster with a sign that reads, 'You must be this charismatic to take this ride.'"
Loser: Mark Marrisen. The veteran B.C.-based Liberal operative ran third-choice Dion up the middle of a leadership convention split between heavyweights Michael Ignatieff and Bob Rae. No one outside Dion's camp seemed too thrilled at the time. Now, after their worst showing in two decades, the Grits are low on cash, very cranky, and looking at a big Marrisen mess to mop up. Maybe Capilano University needs a poli sci sessional?
Winner: B.C.'s Federal Conservatives. Their popular vote in the province jumped to 45 per cent and they gained four new ridings, upping their seats to 22 out of 36 in B.C. Conservative Kelowna-Lake Country MP Ron Cannan celebrated his re-election to the strains of BTO's "Taking Care of Business," then told Adrian Nieoczym that it's time for a realignment of Parliament giving the West more seats. "I think we have to get more representation in Western Canada and have democratic reform and make sure Western Canada has that balance and power," he said. "For too long Quebec has had too much influence. I want to make sure that we have a balanced approach and that Western Canada has a stronger voice."
Winner: David Emerson. Having sluffed off his Liberal identity to take on some major portfolios in Stephen Harper's cabinet, Emerson chose not to seek re-election, but as a swan song ran the Conservative national campaign. One sign of his success in B.C.: minority voters appeared to deliver startling increases for the Conservatives in many urban ridings, as noted by Will McMartin.
Loser: David Emerson. He may have been a Liberal and then a Conservative, but nobody ever mistook the former CEO of Canfor for a New Democrat. But loathing for Emerson is still so palpable among Vancouver-Kingsway voters, NDP candidate Don Davies told The Tyee it helped him eke out victory in the riding.
Winner: Vancouver Island incumbents. If, that is, you weren't Catherine Bell.
Loser: Carbon taxes. Or more precisely, as Tom Barrett blogged, the way Stephane Dion tried to sell carbon taxes to Canadians.
Winner: Joyce Murray. When she was Gordon Campbell's first environment minister, Murray oversaw the slashing of nature-preserving budgets and regulations, drawing the wrath of green activists. But Murray appears to have climate change religion now, and her try at re-election in Vancouver-Quadra was boosted by the efforts of many enviro-activists and a strategic voting nod on the website VoteforEnvironment. In this affluent riding that includes UBC, Dion's Green Shift did seem to put people in gear.
Winner: Sukh Dhaliwal. The Liberal incumbent edged out his Conservative Party rival Sandeep Pandher for a big win in the hotly contested riding of Newton-North Delta. He partly can thank the support of influential Indo-Canadian Voice editor Rattan Mall, who told Geoff Dembicki that Dhaliwal "has really good recognition in the community. Indo-Canadians see him as a strong voice for their interests."
Loser: Strategic voting. Despite claims that the web can now guide netizens to make thousands of sophisticated strategic voting decisions, the most high profile B.C. example was a bust. In a Saanich-Gulf Islands riding brimming with nature loving voters, Liberal Briony Penn was anointed by VoteforEnvironment, the Conservation Voters of B.C., and others as the one to choose in order to defeat Harper resource minister Gary Lunn. As Andrew MacLeod blogged, the Green candidate still pulled well over 6000 votes, stealing more than enough to have put Penn over the top, and even the NDP candidate, who had dropped out of the race amidst unsavory allegations, received 3500 votes.
And as Crawford Kilian blogged, a push among NDPers to throw their weight behind Liberal Don Bell didn't achieve his re-election in North Vancouver.
Winner: Hedy Fry. Pundits like to snicker and portray her as a lightweight, but never count out the political diva of Vancouver's West End. This time she handily whipped (in order, second through last): the sitting provincial MLA (Conservative Lorne Mayencourt), an international law expert with star appeal (NDP's Michael Byers) and the former leader of B.C.'s Green party (Adriane Carr). As the dust cleared Fry surveyed the vanquished and told Jackie Wong she'd had her most dangerous enemy pegged. "I always thought it was going to be Mayencourt. And it was."
Losers: First Nations. Harper has hammered the Kelowna Accord, then refused to sign the United Nations Declaration on the Rights of Indigenous People, as Grand Chief Stewart Phillip of the Union of BC Indian Chiefs reminded Heather Ramsay. Still that didn't prevent several ridings with a high percentage of aboriginal voters from going Conservative.
Winner: Jack Layton. His party was one of the only two to gain seats this election, and by most accounts he ran a vigorous campaign and acquitted himself very well in the debates. In his third campaign since taking over the leadership in 2003, he has moved the New Democrats from 13 seats to 37.
Loser: Jack Layton. He didn't gain Vancouver-Centre or other key ridings, losing ground by a seat in B.C. Nationally, the New Democrat vote rose by just one additional percentage point.
Loser: Elizabeth May. Not only did she not win her riding of Central Nova, people are now going to be asking why she ever decided to run there in the first place. Also, why believe a Green might ever win any riding? What good did her deal with Dion do for the Liberals, or the planet? And which races would the pro-oil sands, pro-nuclear, anti-Kyoto Conservatives have lost were Greens not helping to split the vote?
Winner: Dona Cadman. Won't Harper be happy to see her waltz into caucus? And she owes it all to her late husband's good name and reputation.
Loser: Democracy in the short term. Voter turnout skimmed an historic low this election.
Winner: Democracy in the longer term? As a prime minister with 37 per cent of the popular vote thanks Canadians for his mandate and declares his intention to move forward with a full platform, pressure is bound to mount for proportional representation or some other form of electoral reform.
Who, or what, do you think won or lost big last night? Please add a comment below. ![]()




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G West
3 years ago
Winner
Giles Duceppe and the Bloc.
If Stevo loses a vote in the Common House in the first 6 months then a coalition of some kind IS possible.
There are risks to putting together any alliance of Libs, NDP and Bloc members...but, if Michaelle Jean asks, why wouldn't they try?
Ideologically they aren't that different and a lot of English speaking Canadians thought Gilles was the strongest debater in both English and French.
And, after all, he's the one with the 'buy Canadian' policy, remember?
G West
3 years ago
Loser
The Canadian people - fleeced royally for another pointless election they didn't want.
Staying home was a great way to show how irrelevant the whole process has become
David Lewis
3 years ago
Elizabeth May
I don't see the total negative rating you've posted on Elizabeth as quite right.
It was a Harper minority going in and its a Harper minority now. What damage did she do? I've never heard a national leader of any party go as far as she did when she wrote before the election that she saw no point in being Canada's Nader giving the world Bush instead of Gore. And in the campaign she openly told her supporters to think it over.
Unlike Nader, who did not advance the Green cause in the US, Elizabeth has advanced the Green cause, and the cause of all those who want proportional representation.
Whatever the Greens have done in the past, i.e. be the straw that broke the back of the STV referendum on PR in BC last time, etc., now that Elizabeth and the national Greens have secured this many votes, they may well put PR on to the national agenda. People tend to support change to address a problem, and the increasingly fragmented national Canadian political scene may well be taken to be a problem in more eyes as they see the growing power of the Greens.
Chretien laid the foundation with his proportional funding plan, but Elizabeth made more out of it than anyone I can imagine. Give her a break.
Skywalker
3 years ago
Winner and losers.
It was funny watching Harper trying to claim a victory when the point of calling an election and breaking his own law was to get a majority. He remains a leader on a leash. I would have preferred he lose seats as well. then we would have seen is backside as well as Dion's.
It was a terrible waste of resources and just to satisfy an insatiable ego.
Harper lost, Dion Lost, Layton and Duceppe may claim a hollow victory. Dion will be gone in a year, maybe less, and then Harper will be too scared to call another election before the four years are up. A nonconfidence vote will precipitate the next one.
Van Isle
3 years ago
Imagine this; if all the
Imagine this; if all the "stay-at-home voters" and the "hold-yer-nose voters" went and voted for the fringe candidates, wouldn't that be more of a headline than what we have now? Dollars to donuts that the political movers and shakers don't give a tinkers damn about the no-shows.
G West
3 years ago
Another big loser
Ujjal Dosanjh
He won his seat but blew his credibility with the public and his own past with his childish temper tantrum directed at the NDP.
This from a man in a party which voted with pee wee and the Conmen more than 40 times.
Some progressive!
He's now billing himself as the new David Emerson - out to scalp pee wee at the first opportunity.....wonder how long that'll last?
dorothy
3 years ago
Not all of it
"Sensing accurately that he faced one of the weakest Liberal leaders in memory.."
Problem here is, he must have fallen for his own paradigm, that the leader is synonymous with the party, so all you need is a sexy head honcho. Liberals are funny that way - they have a tendency to remember that ups and downs are among the rules of politics, but the foundations remain the same. It's not about whether you like the current dude or dudette, it's about what you believe in,and how you have looked after that at the end of the day. Stephane Dion may be a weirdo elitist nerdy kind of guy, but he hasn's done or promoted anything that violated the foundations priciples of Liberal thinking.
There you have it.
G West
3 years ago
But dorothy
He didn't notice the connections his campaign team and his campaign program had to Gordon Campbell and the Carbon Tax... I saw all kinds of signs yesterday - sprinkled along roadsides and lanes reminding people to vote against the Carbon Tax.
That, as much as anything Dion said or didn't say, caused his flame-out in BC.
As for Liberal thinking, in this country you have to remember to spell that label with a capital L.
The party isn't, and hasn't been, 'liberal' for years.
Wilfred Laurier
3 years ago
Winners and Losers?
Harper won big in that he made a major inroad in Ontario.
Harper is a major loser because by pandering to the knuckledraggers in his is caucus by cutting a paltry $45m in the arts, he blew his majority.
Loser. The Liberal Party of Canada. The Green Shift is a good idea. On paper. If it threatens the price at the gas pumps, it is political death.
Winner. The Liberal Party of Canada. Now they have good reason to dump Dion.
Loser. Jack Layton. For a guy who was running around claiming he would be PM, his boasts turned out to be pretty hollow.
Winner. The NDP can still get far more attention than the number of seats of votes they get warrant. They are still very well organised.
AJ
3 years ago
Loser: Multiculturalism in the NDP
The all-white NDP slate from B.C. is a major embarrassment for the NDP. The party has clearly failed to embrace multiculturalism despite the excellent example provided by leader Jack Layton, whose spouse Olivia Chow is a Chinese-Canadian. The other parties made major efforts to field ethnic candidates from diverse backgrounds. The lack of cultural diversity makes the NDP look like yesteryear's party.
Frank
3 years ago
Liberal anxiety
The NDP and the Libs are now only a million votes apart.
The Liberals are going to have to do some serious analysis and realize that painting the Cons as the devil incarnate every election and calling for all non-Cons to unite under the Liberal banner has and will only produce bigger defeats.
If their next leader is Manley they will be signalling a move to the Right and should be successful in picking up a lot of voters from the Conservatives.
On the other hand, if they decide they like the space they're in then they had better reach a real deal with the NDP and Greens before the next election, perhaps even a formal coalition. Otherwise they will continue a trend that just saw them lose 800,000 votes they will be the 3rd party relatively quickly.
Fiat lux
3 years ago
This will give Harper the
This will give Harper the right and opening to put up a big "CANADA FOR SALE" sing and invite the world's worst carpetbagger colonizers to move in and take over with offers of a whole slew of directorships to the "right people".
It also shows that Canadian voters don't have the slightest idea of what the hell is going on here in their own backyard, let alone in the world. Ignorance is bliss, but sometimes it can go too far and there are endless examples in history of the self destruction of democracies , as we are witnessing here and now as we start sinking under corporate dictatorship on Friday.
Harper knows very well that the opposition doesn't have the guts, or the money, to fight another election very soon and they must let him get away with murder.
The murder of a potentially great country, with all the cards in his hands to blackmail and extort.
Admittedly not as bad as a majority would have been, but not far behind.
The worst part is that we'll have to look at his creepy picture for another few years, until he departs to his string of directorships, Yuck!!!!!!!!
Ed Deak.
mwatkins
3 years ago
Winner: The residents of
Winner: The residents of Vancouver-Kingsway, who finally have a representative that lives in the riding, cares about the riding, and who will work for them. Emerson was never - not as a Liberal nor as a Conservative, any of those things.
Loser: Democracy. Harper's record is worse than Chretien's, and that's saying something.
Loser: Layton. He has had three kicks at the can and despite spending more on this election than any other, he picked up a mere 8 seats, lost 1 in the BC strong hold, and this despite a radically weakened Liberal opponent. He won't face such a weak Liberal party next time.
Loser: Michael Ignatieff. His leadership aspirations are toast. The Chretien forces will re-take their party, and quickly.
Loser: Federalism. Too hard to talk about in a comment, but Harper is going to continue to dismantle federalism via one dollar cut at a time. Eventually people will catch on but it will be too late. He doesn't need first minister's meetings or constitutional change to get to his objective.
I also have my own winners and losers list.
http://mikewatkins.ca/2008/10/15/winners-and-losers/
Frank
3 years ago
The NDP
The old Liberals, their ranks thinning every year, sitting around sipping their wine and dreaming of the old days had high hopes this election that their support of the Greens would lead to the destruction of the NDP.
With the loss of the enviro vote on one side and a Dion-led Liberal party on the other the NDP would be pretty much wiped out and the old days would be back.
It didn't happen. The counting of the votes has shown the NDP is far stronger now than it was even 10 years ago.
Although Layton deserves a lot of credit for that his time is coming to an end. I'd like to see someone new pick up the reins now.
Both the NDP and Libs should look at new leadership.
Luke Skywalker
3 years ago
Soooo Close...
With 143 seats + the two independent proto-Cons (Arthur and Casey) = 145 seats + appointing a speaker from the opposition benches + a nudge in the following seats Harper almost had a workable majority:
Burnaby-Douglas:
NDP - 17,937
Con - 17,139
Vancouver South:
Lib - 16,774
Con - 15,995
New Westminster-Coquitlam:
NDP - 20,788
Con - 19,298
Welland:
NDP - 16,841
Con - 16,350
Guelph:
Lib - 18,977
Con - 17,185
Brampton West:
Lib - 21,649
Con - 21,516
Brampton Springdale:
Lib: 18,522
Con - 17,808
Malpeque:
Lib - 8,312
Con - 7,388
Moncton-Riverview-Dieppe:
Lib: 17,492
Con - 16,260
Nobody saw that coming. It was soooo close, yet no cigar.
Dermot
3 years ago
Carbon Tax
For Van Centre, ignoring 2006 when Svend ran, in 2004 the NDP got 32 per cent, the Liberals 40, the Cons 19. Yesterday the NDP got 21, the Libs 34 and the Cons 25. So where did the 17 per cent go? Hedy lost 6 to the Cons and all the lost NDP vote went Green. Looks like the BC NDP's brilliant anti-carbon tax strategy, which Jack adopted as the federal position is shoring up Green support. Brilliant! Maybe Jack really is a "deep" green after all.
egmont rapids
3 years ago
Campbell
Knows he is in deep shit,a total rejection of the carbon tax.
The liberal name in BC is mud.
How does Campbell proceed with the carbon tax?
If he goes ahead with the increase he is toast! If Campbell backs off on it,he is toast.
Remember all Campbells speeches about saving the planet,grandchildren,future generations,he can`t back off with out being called the biffest fraudster in BC history(which he is).
Frank,a big win for the NDP,Canada`s soon to be next opposition.
Skywalker
3 years ago
Wait till the campaign spending disclosures come in.
It will be interesting to see just how much Harper spent to get his slightly larger majority. Winning may take on a new meaning one we know how much each party spent on the campaign.
A government defines winning by getting reelected with votes close to what it had before. A minority government defines a win by getting a majority. An opposition defines a win by forming government. A third party defines a win by getting more seats. All the rest is spin B.S..
Harper may get to push his agenda a little because no one wants another election but if he pushes it too hard all those non tory voters who were afraid of an unleashed Harper will be willing to give him another kick and this time right out the door. There will not be Dion next time to help out Layton and Harper.
I too was astounded at Dosanjh blaming Layton for their poor showing. It seems he can't deal with the shortcomings of his own leader.
G West
3 years ago
I think Ujji was also a little put off
I think Ujji was also a little put off that the Liberal ads - so many of which featured his own good self as a spokesthingy - were so obviously irrelevant relative to the outcome.
Liberals like Ujji who profess to be able to walk on water have a habit of kicking the nearest target when they take a hit...not much different from the conmen really.
What do you suppose he'd have said if he'd lost?
happy
3 years ago
The Dosanjh tirade
Libby Davies denounced Dosanjh strongly on the news today for implying voters were too "stupid" to vote for the right party -the Liberals.
Good for her, I was impressed. Many posters here might try to respect that view also.
Numbers for Skywalker - NDP highest at 20.06 mil, Libs second at 20.01 mil, Cons 19.99 mil and Green 4 mil
G West
3 years ago
happy
Aren't those spending limits? They may not actually reflect the election costs.
And, candidates can spend a considerable amount on top of that. It nets out to about $80,000 per candidate much of which is refunded to them by Elections Canada....
Party spending limits are based on the number of candidates a party puts up for election and the number of voters in each riding. In this case, the Tories can spend about $19.9 million, the Liberals $20 million, the NDP $20 million, the Bloc $5 million and the Greens $19.7 million.
happy
3 years ago
West
David Akin, Canwest News Service
Published: Monday, October 06, 2008
"The New Democratic Party has the highest spending limit for Canada's 40th general election at $20.063 million, followed by the Liberals at $20.014 million, the Conservatives at $19.999 million and the Greens at $19.75 million. Each party's limit is based on the number of electors in each riding that the party is running a candidate.
"For the first time in our party's history, we will be able to match, dollar-for-dollar, the Conservative party," said NDP campaign spokesman Brad Lavigne. "It means we can be competitive in every region of the economy."
The NDP, Liberals and Conservatives say they will all spend the maximum amount. The Greens say they will spend about $4 million, the most that party has ever spent in an election.
The Conservatives are able to fund their campaign through their own savings while the NDP and Liberals have secured an undisclosed amount of bank financing to pay for the campaign. Banks will lend money to political parties partly on the strength of their expected taxpayer subsidy. Most major parties can earn $1.75 per year for every vote they get in a general election."
Frank
3 years ago
Election spending
"Most major parties can earn $1.75 per year for every vote they get in a general election."
I think its about $1.93 now. So the NDP will pay off their election spending in 4 years before counting a single donation or bake sale. Assuming they spent up to their limit.
For what its worth, I didn't see a single NDP ad but saw and heard lots of Conservative ones.
G West
3 years ago
So it was 'limits' correct?
The Greens, seemingly have decided to spend less than their allotment...
I'm not sure how the candidate funding works but a lot of that comes back to him or her as well...and it's not included in the global figures.
As I recall it's that little wrinkle that got the conmen into trouble with Elections Canada isn't it?
happy
3 years ago
West
According to the source all parties 'cept the Greens were going to spend to the "limit"
So the numbers should be accurate I'm guessing. Is there a law that prohibits third party advertizing in a general election? I don't recall seeing any. This should be the way in provincial elections also - both sides
Wilfred Laurier
3 years ago
Anything to be learned Frank?
The Provincial NDPers are going to have to do some serious analysis and realize that painting Gordon Campbell as the devil incarnate every election and calling for all Campbell haters to unite under the NDP banner has and will only produce bigger defeats.
Anything to be learned? Doubt it.
Luke Skywalker
3 years ago
Frank...
That $18.5 million bank loan in four years??
But Jack is likely to bring in his first non-confidence motion to bring down the government within six months!
Running for Prime Minister cetainly didn't get him onto the doormat of 24 Sussex or Stornoway for that matter, did it??? :)
Just another ohhhh, 118 seats short of a majority. ;)
happy
3 years ago
You didn't see the NDP ads Frank?
Oh, they were classic! Featuring Jack up front with cartoon figures in the background.
One was about the shortage of Doctors in Canada, with little "Timmy" giving a heart wrenching cough right on cue.
Then of course there were the Fat Cat bankers and Big Oil execs pigging at the trough and laughing their heads off at the little guys.
Money well spent
Wilfred Laurier
3 years ago
Just Plain Silly
Jack Layton pretending to be the next PM was about the most asinine thing I have ever seen a politician do. Who could do such a thing with a straight face? Even worse is who could believe it? And what were they smoking?
Frank
3 years ago
happy
Nope, didn't see a single one. Where'd you see them? On tv or the internet?
Frank
3 years ago
Wilf and Luke
Sounds like you guys are bitter about having your popular vote decline for 4 straight elections?
Don't worry, have another sip of sherry and go back to thinking you'll be in power again real soon.
Wilfred Laurier
3 years ago
Opposition?
Frank, if I recall, a few weeks ago, you were "giddy" about the prospect of being the Opposition.
Are Jack and Olivia measuring the drapes at Stornaway yet? Orange or red, or one or each for each window?
asp
3 years ago
In a democracy ...
Total Coalition votes: 7087066
Green/NDP/Liberal
940684/2516935/3629447
Total Conservative votes: 5204468
Explain to me again why a coalition is not possible, nor the desire of the Canadian people?
Frank
3 years ago
Wilf
For a party you claim doesn't "like to lose" you're getting really good at it.
Just remember the meme for next election, Harper is the devil, you're not interested in working with other parties and only the Libs deserve to form gov't based on ancient history.
Because if current trends continue, in 5 years the only people voting Liberal in Canada will be actual Liberal candidates.
G West
3 years ago
happy
It doesn't prohibit it - you can spend $500 without incurring Elections Canada's wrath...more than that you have to register and follow the rules.
I think it's a little rich to criticize Layton for suggesting he was running to be the PM - after all, Dion was saying the same thing and it was just as ridiculous.
happy
3 years ago
Frank
Yes, on TV. Lots of them actually. Way more than the Libs. During mid election they were front and center more than any other party.
Though the Cons, over the course of the entire election probably had the most.
G West
3 years ago
And, third parties can't spend more than 150,000
Nor more than $3000 on a particular candidate....there are also reporting and auditing rules and, the third party has to be disinct and separate from party officials.
G West
3 years ago
happy
I must watch the wrong TV stations - by the way, I heard Ujjal Dosanjh doing radio spots virtually every hour in the 10 days before the election...and I only listen to the CBC
Frank
3 years ago
happy
I'm with GWest, I must watch the wrong channels. I know for a fact they didn't play them during Roughrider or Canuck games :)
Luke Skywalker
3 years ago
Frank...
Yep, I'll admit that Dion was the wrong leader at the wrong time with the wrong platform (the Green Shift).
Fortunes will all eventually change though when either the likes of Bob Rae or Frank McKenna take over the helm.
BTW, when Jack becomes Prime Minister I'd bet that you would prefer Libby Davies to become his Minister of Finance. :)
Frank
3 years ago
Luke
Bob Rae and Frank McKenna are pretty different from each other. And what about Manley? He might decide now is the time to take a run. I think the Libs would do well against the Cons with Manley at the helm.
My own belief is that McKenna, Manley or Ignatieff are your best choices. Rae and our favourite Vancouver South Liberal would be bad choices.
As for Layton, I think he should step down now, he's had a good run. And yes, I'd love to live long enough to see the day when a woman like Libby Davies was minister of finance. I think I already told you that once didn't I?
Frank
3 years ago
Luke
Oh, and you gotta keep Kennedy away from your convention :)
happy
3 years ago
Frank and West
Obviously I watch way too much TV...
G West
3 years ago
Haven't seen Lorne around have you?
What happened to Garth Turner last night?
fpass
3 years ago
Stop blaming the Greens!
Why do commentators consistently blame the Greens for splitting the vote and never the NDP? In Saanich and the Islands, the 3667 people who voted for an NDP candidate who had dropped out in disgrace and was left on the ballot due to a technicality are more culpable than those who, whether out of conscience or protest, voted for a Green candidate who was still in the race; their votes could just as easily have pushed Penn over the top.
In the riding next to my own, where a Conservative unseated the Liberal incumbent of fifteen years, the Greens gained over 2000 votes (more than the difference between the Conservative and the Liberal), but the NDP lost more than 4000. In theory, that left 2000 "pro-environment" voters who could have helped the Liberal keep her seat. Whatever happened to those voters, the Greens can't be blamed.
If the election proved anything, it is the utter futility of informal strategic voting. If the Liberals, the NDP, and the Greens are serious about a pro-Kyoto parliament, they will enter into a series of agreements, like the May-Dion pact, that will put an end to vote splitting once and for all. Once these pro-Kyoto candidates are elected, they can form a coalition government; unlike a merger, in this coalition the parties could vote together on confidence motions while retaining their autonomy on other issues. It took over a decade of Liberal majority rule for the Progressive Conservatives and the Reform/Alliance to "see the light" and unite. How many years of Harper rule will it take the three centre-left parties to realize the necessity of pragmatic electoral cooperation?
Frank
3 years ago
fpass
Who was blaming the Greens? As for the NDP we've been accused of splitting the vote for decades.
Frank
3 years ago
The oil sands
Does anyone know how far the price of a barrel of crude has to fall before Fort McMurray calls it a day and shuts down?
Because I think the markets might just do what the NDP and Greens couldn't.
G West
3 years ago
fpass
I don't disagree with what you've said...Dion and his 'team' apparently do though. He and several of his team rejected the idea of a coalition categorically.
Ms May would have been far wiser to run in Guelph - the point of taking on Peter McKay escaped me at the time and still does.
Furthermore, if Ms May really loves the Liberals so much and was filled with longing for a Dion win, then why wasn't she running as a Liberal?
Surely to god she could have worn the green shift a little more alluringly than Stephane did.
On him it just looked like a Mumu.
G West
3 years ago
I think about $59/bbl
Was the benchmark a couple years ago.
Luke Skywalker
3 years ago
Frank...
They are all on the centre-right of the Liberal party but Ignatieff comes across as too aloof, too ivory towerish, too much like the professor from Gilligan's Island.
Mckenna yes, Manley, I don't know.
As for Bob Rae, while on the centre-left of the Liberal party, very good communicator, good sense of humour, and can instill a bumpf in front of a crowd.
As for the NDP, Tom Mulcair from Outremont. Like him. Too bad he's in the wrong party. ;)
Frank
3 years ago
Luke
The problem with Bob Rae is you're not going to gain voters on the Right with him as your leader. And there's too much bitterness between him and the Left to do much on this side.
I think the Libs should pick a "centre-right" leader as you put it and go after disillusioned Con voters. And there'll be lots of them by the next election.
OR
Drop the our-way-or-the-highway thing and work with the NDP and Greens to form a real coalition before the next election. Not necessarily a merger although nothing should be ruled out.
I don't know the NDP candidates well enough to say who I'd like to see as a new leader but I think Jack should retire while he's at his peak. 4 years from now the same campaign would fall flat.
I liked Byers when I saw him in the debates on CBC but I'd have to read more of his stuff.
Frank
3 years ago
GWest
Thanks G, not much farther to go then :)
egmont rapids
3 years ago
The wrong platform ?
Luke Skywalker, you state that Dion`s greenshift was the wrong platform?
How could the Pembina institute and the Innovative group been sooooooo wrong? If I remember correctly these outfits said people were in favour of carbon taxes,by a large margin!
Who would of thunk it,imagine people voting against taxes.
Get ready for Gordon Campbell`s next persona ---Gordon the BACKFLIPPING BALLERINA Campbell
How will Gordon explain killing the carbon tax? We met our targets--People learned their lesson--It won`t work--Global warming is a hoax--I was off my medication--We need another study---I wanna be premier at the olympics pleaseeeeee,pretty pleaseeeeee
P.S real smooth of Campbell today blaming the Bloc/Quebecois for depriving Harper of his majority.Keep talking Campbell,maybe you can squeeze both feet in your mouth!
fpass
3 years ago
Frank: The line in the
Frank: The line in the article, "And which races would the pro-oil sands, pro-nuclear, anti-Kyoto Conservatives have lost were Greens not helping to split the vote?" struck me us Green-bashing. True, the NDP have been accused of vote-splitting in the past, but not so much this time 'round. In the end, the NDP made gains, but at the expense of the Liberals as much as at the expense of the Conservatives. Not much of a net gain for pro-environment forces there.
happy
3 years ago
egmont rapids - from roberts creek
If the price of oil keeps dropping like it is, then thats bad news for the provincial NDP.
The public won't be so edgy about the carbon tax as long as the price at the pump isn't at record levels like last summer when it was introduced, and the pump price was just going up and up and up.
Carole's best hope is for the price of oil to climb back up to 150.00 a barrel.
With the global economy on a downturn thats not likely to happen before next May.
At least thats my theory.
egmont rapids
3 years ago
Happy
Don`t bet on it, gas back east 80cents a litre,BC gas 1.20 a litre
Campbell`s carbon tax goes to 3.85 cents a litre in july, and it rises to over 7 cents a litre in 2 years--Also Jaccard, Campbell`s climate guy has stated on many occasions that the carbon tax must rise to at least 25 cents a litre to really work!
People no that gas WILL RISE back up,maybe not in 6 months but it will rise and rise up big time.
Happy for you to suggest that people won`t be aware of being ripped off with a carbon tax because the price has lowered at the pump is fool hardy!
Ever see a line up at a gas station for people trying to save 4 cents a litre!
One more thing happy,the reason gas is big time higher here than back east is--
The fact that we DO HAVE A CARBON TAX the gas refiners/gas companies have been given carte blanche permission to gouge!
Remember Dion called Campbell a hero! Now Campbell is trying to play sucky face with conservative voters in BC---The cost of that will be the centrist/green vote Campbell has been chasing.
The problem with chasing one segment then tossing them out to go after a diffrent segment.
Campbell has NO VOTERS LEFT,if Campbell doesn`t back off of carbon taxes he loses his base,if he scraps the Carbon tax he loses the left/center
Add that to the fact that everyone hates him and thats it---HELLO PREMIER JAMES
P.S. I believe most BCers won`t to see Campbell sidelined at the olympics,the masses want to really zing Campbell so zung he will be!
Wilfred Laurier
3 years ago
Really?
"Add that to the fact that everyone hates him and thats it---HELLO PREMIER JAMES"
I thought we were supposed to say "Hello Prime Minister Layton" last night?
Wilfred Laurier
3 years ago
Toronto Gasoline Prices
"Don`t bet on it, gas back east 80cents a litre,BC gas 1.20 a litre."
I paid $1.10 this evening. Toronto is running about $1.01 at the moment.
http://www.torontogasprices.com/index.aspx?s=Y&fuel=A&area=All+Areas&station=All+Stations&tme_limit=24&site=Toronto&srch=0&list=0
G West
3 years ago
$1.10 - you're kidding
Victoria price = $1.21/litre.....
Wilfred Laurier
3 years ago
Superstore, Marine Drive
Superstore Marine Drive and Main, posted price, $1.16, less 6.5 cent per litre discount coupon.
G West
3 years ago
coupons don't count wilfred
The price is uniformly 1.21 in Victoria.
Wilfred Laurier
3 years ago
Victoria vs Vancouver
GWest, in my experience gasoline prices in Victoria tend to be higher than in Vancouver. For one thing, the 3.5 cent per litre pump discount does not apply in Victoria. There also seems to be more competition. And the price is always lower late in the day than in the mornings.
I drive a fuel efficient car as little as possible so gas prices are not such a major issue with me as they would be with many other people. Still, we are being gouged by the oil companies because we should not be paying much more than we did year ago which was about $1.01 per litre. With oil at $73 per bbl, we should be at about $0.95 in my opinion.
ME2
3 years ago
Enthroning hypocrisy
the sad fact that Lunn beat Briony Penn in Saanich - Gulf Islands stands as proof for me that the Left is as ideologically hidebound - bereft of either common sense or deep-seated principles - as any of the neocons.
We are the people who claim to be morally superior to the Righties whose only God is the Almighty Dollar.
Yet it was deliberate vote-splitting that delivered victory to Lunn, who is universally characterized by Lefties as a corrupted Cabinet member of a Party dedicated only to ensuring profits for the rich.
And so voting NDP or Green while knowing the inevitable outcome would be a win for Lunn, with not even the slimmest chance of an NDP or Green victory, was sheer stupidity.
What was worse, with the stench of it reeking to the high heavens, was claiming that the $1.75 a vote justified doing so.
Even so, I expect to continue to hear that it is only the Righties who allow money to trump ethics.
Fucking hypocrites, I say.
carfreed
3 years ago
winners and loosers
Winner: Conservatives for the "Nastiest Campaign" AWARD
.Losers: The Conservative Commentors on all the CBC posts and the Globe and Mail. I have cancelled my subscription to it..
G West
3 years ago
Agreed on all counts Wilfred
Victorians get no discounts...but they don't have to live in Vancouver - which is, in my view, an enormous plus and well worth 5/6 cents per litre....
G West
3 years ago
ME2
I think you may be wrong on the Lunn thing...I'm not absolutely sure, but I think the stench of the Liberal gambit poisoned Penn's campaign...that and the general fact that Liberals were not a popular commodity anywhere in BC last night...
ME2
3 years ago
GWest
ABC theoretically took all those factors into account. It was supposed to be "Hold your nose and vote Liberal" wasn't it?
G West
3 years ago
I think the whole strategic vote business was a crock
Little more than a couple of groups selling each other land in Florida on the internet - if you get my meaning.
It merely galvanized Lunn supporters and pissed off the NDP voters. Typical Liberal stuff - these guys think they're smart - but they really aren't.
People don't like feeling manipulated and besides, I don't think Penn came across well as a candidate either...
realisticman
3 years ago
Going down?
The Star says he's already to go. I still think it'll be a holiday in France. Though I said it wouldn't be Banff, he could go there because hardly anyone would recognize him.
http://www.thestar.com/federalelection/article/518354
G West
3 years ago
Of course he'll go
These are Liberals, remember. They dumped a sitting Prime Minister against his will - when little Paul's thugs get their dander up nothing will stand in their way.
The only party more vicious and blood thirsty than the Liberals is the PEE WEE dictatorship.
Frank
3 years ago
carfreed
Since the people you mention have nothing to actually discuss with anyone their own websites like Free Dominion or the National Post are boring for them. I guess it gets a little old to tell Jonathan Kay he's right over and over.
So because of that any site where there's people they don't agree with and you don't get banned for name-calling become places where conservatives tend to flock to.
G West
3 years ago
By the way
I don't mean to imply that Harper is a dictator relative to the Canadian population - he was democratically elected.
I think he's a "dictator" relative to the way he runs his caucus and his party.
Unlike the other federal parties, the monolithic and unquestioning nature of the Conservatives is pronounced and troubling...openness and taking responsibility was another big loser in this election.
Just wanted to be clear.
realisticman
3 years ago
Whew
Thanks for the clarification GWest. For a minute there I though that some crazies dreams had come true.
Any idea why the NDP lost 3.4% of the popular vote in Ontario? Didn't go to the Libs. Now that Jack didn't quite become Prime Minister do you think that he'll do the honorable thing? I hope not. Can Jack work with Bob Rae? That'll be an interesting mix, Jack yapping away about all those old saws that seem so passé and Bob shrieking back that a vote for the NDP would be a wasted one. Must be lots of bad blood there. I look forward to that.
G West
3 years ago
When it comes to Liberals who used to be progressive
I think Bob Rae isn't the best example of a screaming loon.
For that I present the esteemed former premier of BC, Ujjal Dosanjh and his post election acceptance speech/rant.
Now that's bad blood!
Luke Skywalker
3 years ago
G West...
Methinks ya got it wrong.
Glen Clark... and the knives came out before the deck incident. Nasty... that one.
The NDP can play hard like the rest of 'em. Ooooppps I forgot. Future federal Liberal Dosanjh was also among their ranks.
G West
3 years ago
luke - get with the program
The NDP has had excellent success at the provincial level and are rated the BEST stewards of the economy...or had you forgotten that inconvenient fact?
It's funny, because I was sure Frank pointed out that Finance Department study to you ages ago...
"...a Finance Department analysis of federal and provincial governments over a 22-year period reveals a very different picture: New Democrat Governments have balanced their books 46 percent of the time while Conservative governments have only had 35 percent balanced budgets and Liberal governments 21 percent".
Now, why does the belief persist that New Democrats do not have credibility on the economy? Can we put that nasty rumour to bed - once and for all?
Now, back to the current case - So far as I know, Glen Clark isn't running for the Liberals, federal or provincial, is he?
Nice try though to shift the focus to the provincial scene.
I was talking about the way little paul knifed Jean Chretien.
Now I know the federal Liberals are your all time faves - but I didn't think even you would have forgotten that.
Luke Skywalker
3 years ago
The Comedy Routine Again....
Not in BC. LOL
The period between 1991 and 2001 saw a doubling of BC's debt, high unemployment and people leaving other jurisdictions to seek better employment opportunities.
Nobody forgets that.
Who are you kiddin'?
Mustel, April, 2001:
Liberal - 72%
NDP - 18%
http://www.mustelgroup.com/pr/20010422.htm
Those BC voter preference numbers certainly debunk any comedic assertation that the NDP are the BEST stewards of the economy. ROFLMAO
Two years before that (June, 1999) Mustel had another BC sounding:
http://www.mustelgroup.com/pdf/pressrelease/June99.pdf
With numbers like that... Hey Yuk Yuk's Comedy Club is looking for good stand-up routines. Interested? :)
Luke Skywalker
3 years ago
BTW...
To re-iterate, BC's public debt doubled from ~$17 billion in 1992 to ~$34 billion in fiscal year ending March 31, 2001.
Mostly tax-payer supported debt. And how did that happen? Through annual government operating deficits. Simple.
Fool me once shame on you. Fool me twice...
Frank
3 years ago
Luke
The Liberals have tripled the debt since they've been in power. Its now closing in on 100 billion.
But then I know they don't count spending on infrastructure as debt.
And yes the StatsCan study included BC, because StatsCan considers BC to be part of Canada. They believe its just west of Alberta, perhaps others don't believe that fact either.
Whereas the Liberals have only balanced the budgets provincially 22% of the time in Canada over the last couple of decades. Fancy that.
Frank
3 years ago
Mustel
Funny thing about percentages, they're out of 100.
Healthcare - Not Deteriorated - 68%
Creating jobs - Not Deteriorated- 60%
Managing Gov. Spending - Not Deteriorated - 47%
Stimulating Economy - Not Deteriorated -
56%
As for Mustel, they kinda blew that poll the day before the election in Kamloops thing didn't they? They were so far out their results weren't even within the margin of error. But I guess they were within the "margin of wishful thinking"
Frank
3 years ago
Luke
"Hey Yuk Yuk's Comedy Club is looking for good stand-up routines. Interested? "
Now how is it you know Yuk Yuk's is hiring?
Luke Skywalker
3 years ago
Frank...
I believe that you are arriving at many wrong conclusions.
Not to rehash many things, but some tidbits from the BC Public Accounts fiscal year ending March 31, 2008 signed off by the BC Auditor General:
Better reporting than the Rest of Canada:
Infrastructure:
Credit Reporting Agencies:
If ya don't remember, the credit rating agencies (Moody's, S & P, DBRS) down-graded BC's credit rating on several occasions during the NDP's term in the 1990's.
Today, BC's credit rating stands at the top of the heap (AAA, Aaa) alongside Alberta and Canada. 'Nuff said.
Luke Skywalker
3 years ago
Mustel...
The Kamloops poll with the smaller 300 sample size and a large undecided?
With their large sample BC polls, they have been bang on. If I were you, I wouldn't ignore 'em. ;)
http://www.mustelgroup.com/accuracy.asp
Frank
3 years ago
Luke
You avoided the actual numbers. Its over 90 billion. Credit agencies think we're good for it.
Frank
3 years ago
Mustel
I'm sure Mustel knew what the margin of error was when they polled only 300 people. Yet their results weren't within the margin of error that they themselves stated.
Luke Skywalker
3 years ago
Frank...
Using your curious numbers methodology had the NDP utilized today's GAAP requirements in the 1990's, the numbers could have been an additional $50 billion higher back then.
Ya know, long-term office space contractual obligations, highway-maintenance contracts, private health care home contracts, etc, etc. But I digress.
Something to understand about polling. When were they in the field? In this instance about 10 days before the election.
When were the numbers released? In this case, October 7, one week before the election date at the request of the local media outlets (CFJC TV et al) who commissioned the poll.
The most reliable numbers are from the field in the last week/few days of the campaign, like Mustel's other polls.
As for the poll numbers:
C - 34% (Actual - 46% - + 12% from poll)
NDP - 34% (Actual - 36% - +2% from poll)
Lib - 18% (Actual - 10% - -8% from poll)
Grn - 12% (Actual - 8% -4% from poll)
It appears to me that there was movement during the last week and last few days of the campaign from the Libs and Greens to the Tory candidate.
Certainly the same trend that occurred in BC overall (45%) compared to the BC pollsters avg. (39%)
Frank
3 years ago
Luke
So you're saying the NDP owed 84 billion in 2001?
Then where'd that debt go since using the sdame methodology the Sun reported that the Libs created a new 55 billion
no1important
3 years ago
Losers _ People and
Losers _ People and environment of Canada.
Losers- People who voted for Harper
Luke Skywalker
3 years ago
Frank...
You are quoting from the evil CanWest Global empire? ;)
Under new GAAP provincial reporting requirements, future contractual obligations must be included for a 10/20 (?) year period.
Case in point: The BC government has long-term leases for office space for its thousands of employees. Every year (actually month) payments are made for basic rent/operating expenses/property taxes.
Always been the case.
You call that debt. Where I come from, it is an annual operating expense included in the annual operating budget. (albeit it's a future contractual obligation for the duration of the term of the lease)
Frank
3 years ago
Luke
Yes, I do call future obligations debt.
And according to the Sun, the Libs ran up 55 billion in new "future obligations" on top of what already existed.
Therefore, the debt is now over 90 billion.
jimmy_laroux
3 years ago
Credit ratig agencies...
Luke Skywalker:
Could have been. This is simply nonsense. Luke, you are in true form :)
The same bunch who thought sub-prime mortgages were so great? Consider this prophetic analysis from 2007...
http://www.iht.com/articles/2007/05/31/bloomberg/bxinvest.php
http://www.iht.com/articles/2008/04/25/business/wbcredit.php
http://business.timesonline.co.uk/tol/business/industry_sectors/banking_and_finance/article3465292.ece
http://business.timesonline.co.uk/tol/business/industry_sectors/banking_and_finance/article2373869.ece
http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/money/property_and_mortgages/article2395243.ece
And DBRS? Theyr'e so bad that they'll rate what even the other two won't.
http://www.financialpost.com/story.html?id=422946
First, the report did not look exclusively at the BC government. Second, you quote a poll in BC. Remeber, if you can, that the report is not exclusive to BC. Third, voter preference is about perception, but sadly not about reality.
jimmy_laroux
3 years ago
Contractual Obligations
Frank:
The Liberals created 21 billion of that 55 billion for sure, but as for the other 34 billion, it's not clear what portion is the responsibility of the Liberals, NDP, and Socreds, since "contractual obligations" only began to be accounted for in the 2005 Public Accounts.
Frank
3 years ago
jimmy_laroux
Thank you for that clarification!
jimmy_laroux
3 years ago
Debt and Contractual Obligations
Luke Skywalker:
You are being disingenuous here. There is no question that some (most?) of that is debt. I believe we've covered this ground before...
G West
3 years ago
luke that study, my friend
It was taken over a 22 year period buddy - including all provincial governments and the feds.
You really ought to read a little closer...
Luke Skywalker
3 years ago
Jimmy....
The BC Auditor General confirms these amounts as "future contractual obligations" and not debt for obvious reasons.
That's like sayin' that a mortgage on one's house is debt but that future mortgage payments (contractual obligations) over a 25-year term are also debt. Not so.
BC taxpayer supported Contractual Obligations (office space, highway maintenace, long-term care homes, etc.:
2009: $3.639 billion (out of likely ~$38 billion budget)
2010: $2.134 billion
2011: $1.911 billion
2012: $1.870 billion
2013: $1.515 billion
In any any event, we have S&P, Moody's, and DBRS that have given BC their highest credit ratings alongside Alberta and Canada.
You obviously don't like that 'cause it's a Liberal government under which the ratings have been achieved. So ya diss 'em??!! :)
Methinks that the BC public ain't gonna buy your dissin'. ;)
Luke Skywalker
3 years ago
G West...
Good! Tell Carole to put it front and centre in the next BC campaign.
BC'ers always look forward to some humour during election campaigns. :)
G West
3 years ago
As long as you're still selling the same soap
We won't have any shortage of humour.
BTW, how do you suppose Campbell's gonna square his little campbell tax thingy with the demise of Dion and the green shift.
Stevo didn't seem all that impressed with carbon taxes did he?
Luke Skywalker
3 years ago
G West...
I agree these centre-left social engineering escapades such as the carbon tax are not to my taste.
That said, on July 1, gas prices were already $1.50/litre. Today as low as 1.07.9 in Abbotsford. The carbon tax is really not on anybody's radar anymore.
Even many green New Democrats are dissappointed with Carole's "Axe the Tax" campaign. But she has a big problem on her hands come election time when the focus will be on the NDP's own environment platform, which states that their carbon taxes "will have a cost to consumers".
No wriggle room there. Hypocrisy at best.
In any event and in today's political enviroment, the environemnt is at the low end of voter's concerns. "It's the economy, stupid".
And there the NDP is weaker than a 90 lb. weakling in BC.
G West
3 years ago
nope sorry luke
It's very much on everybody's radar - and it's going to be more on their radar as the price goes down, not up...of course carbon taxes will have a cost to the consumer - only an idiot like campbell would try to claim they weren't.
Didn't you see all those little white signs along the roads while you were doing your electioneering cruising?
The NDP has the best economic record over the last 22 years all across Canada - and they handled the 90s just fine - the fact is, construction jobs are shutting down all over the province luke and the forest industry is dead.
Campbell is going to rue the day he set his fixed election for May 2009.
The only thing Campbell has going for him is Dion's green chemise - I understand Marissen is having it altered to fit Gordon's somewhat more paunchy frame.
Or perhaps he'll squeeze into that spandex sausage suit he wore to scmooze with lance armstrong and wear the green thingy as a cape.
Maybe we should talk bye elections.
Luke Skywalker
3 years ago
G West...
You obviously did not live in BC in the 1990's (after 1993 to 2001) or were not employed in the private sector.
People were moving to Alberta for employment (high unemployment rate in BC), house prices were on a steady decline after 1993 and for 8 years thereafter, and there was NO consumer confidence.
I mean you're kiddin' right? LOL
Just go back up to my earlier post about the Mustel poll in April, 2001:
Liberal - 72%
NDP - 18%
... and the historical 77 - 2 thrashing that the NDP took. What did Moe Sihota say just prior to the 2001 election?:
Yep, that's what I certainly would call a vote of confidence in the NDP's economic and government fiscal record here in BC. ;)
G West
3 years ago
DID you actually READ what the report studied?
Taken overall, NDP governments had better records than Conservative or Liberal ones over the 22 year period studied.
If the socreds or the liberals had been hit with the same conditions the the NDP had to contend with (not to mention the cuts to federal funding) they'd have done a lot worse - and did a lot worse - taken overall.
As for the Liberal record since 2001 - I'd be really proud of having the worst child poverty record and the next to lowest or lowest Minimum wage in the country.
Oh there's lots of good stuff in Campbell's fiscal record all right - but nothing better than his outright lies about BC RAIL and the carbon tax.
That's gonna be really popular.
Frank
3 years ago
Luke
You're trying to spin those billions into saying its just rent for office space. Nice try.
Basically, Gordon asks a buddy to build him a bridge or a hospital or what have you. Buddy agrees as long as his profit is guaranteed.
So then Gordon and Buddy walk into a bank and when the loans officer asks who will be making the payments, Buddy says I will, and when the loans officer asks where he's getting the money, Gordon says that would be me.
To you, that doesn't count as debt, its a P3, its the private sector etc.
Its a shell game Luke, its debt. Quit kidding yourself.
Frank
3 years ago
The Liberal record
To have only balanced the budget 22% of the time in the last 22 years is pretty bad. Libs haven't even formed a gov't in Alberta, Saskatchewan or Manitoba in that time. Of course they haven't had much luck in Ontario, Quebec or the Maritimes I guess. Just been one Liberal gov't after another back there that has run deficits.
Probably explains why there's so many easterners working in Alberta?
How's the Liberal gov't in Ontario doing? I keep hearing about the manufacturing sector shutting down. Probably a good chance McGuinty will be running a deficit this year eh?
jimmy_laroux
3 years ago
Debt or not?
Luke Skywalker:
Come on, Luke, I know you're not that stupid. We've discussed this on, what, three previous threads? These contractual obligations include P3s, which are effectively debt. The debt went up when, for example, money was borrowed to build the Millenium Line. The debt did not go up for the RAV Line, since it was a private consortium that took on the debt. The payment that BC makes as a result of this project are the same as it would have made had it financed the project itself. Likely higher, actually.
jimmy_laroux
3 years ago
Oops
That should read "The Provincial Debt did not go up for the RAV Line, since it was a private consortium that took on the debt from building it."
Frank
3 years ago
Luke
Calling the carbon tax a left-wing idea? uh uh
Regressive taxation is a feature of the Right. Carbon taxes, sales taxes, tolls, user fees and other regressive taxes are beloved by right-wing gov'ts.
Luke Skywalker
3 years ago
Jimmy...
They are future contractual obligations in terms of future annual payments until which time these assets will revert back into government hands at the end of the P-3 term.
And the Auditor General says:
Call it debt if ya wanna.
In any event infrastructure spending (Rapid transit, BC Hydro dams, etc.) also contains a revenue stream in many instances and one can call 'em "Future Revenue Streams" in the same context as "Future Contractual Obligations".
It's the credit card debt, the dead-weight debt (without any future assets) that was the big problem here in BC during the 1990's.
Borrow so that you can keep afloat and keep the government running because revenue streams are shrinking.
Luke Skywalker
3 years ago
G West...
Man come on. BC was in last place out of every province in Canada in every respect during the 1990's. Something very wrong there.
1. Last in per capita GDP growth for the '92 - 2000 period at 5.3%;
2. In 1998, BC was the only province in Canada where the level of real per capita GDP was actually lower than in 1990.
3. Last in private sector investment growth for the '92 - 200 period at 18%;
4. In fact, from 1994 to 1999, we experienced a net loss of 469 small and medium-sized businesses that moved from BC to other provinces;
5. Average annual take-home pay dropped by $1,738 during the 1990's in BC;
6. Eight consecutive government deficits;
7. Doubling the BC debt from $17 billion to $35 billion;
8. Taxpayer-supported debt increasing from 12.5% to 19.7% of GDP.
9. Debt servicing costs soaring by 45%;
10. Fudge-It Budgets;
11. BC tied Quebec for having the highest tax load in Canada and the last "Tax Freedom Day" in Canada in 2001;
At the end of the day, very late in the game, Premier Dosanjh (poor Ujjal) took over and stated:
Is it no wonder then when Moe Sihota stated prior to the May, 2001 election:
What a wonderful legacy!
It was called the Lost Decade.
http://www.statcan.ca/english/freepub/11-010-XIB/00506/feature.htm
Frank
3 years ago
Luke
The 1990's were a time of restraint. The BC NDP elected to cover the loss in federal transfers by running a deficit. Other provinces cut spending and also ran deficits but in some cases hid it, for example Mike Harris in Ontario.
BC was also the most exposed province to the Asian meltdown, or don't you believe in external factors?
As for the Lost Decade, that was a bs term created by the NDP's opponents.
The same opponents that
1. Tripled the debt,
2. Were handed a balanced budget and then ran up a huge deficit in their first year,
3. Rode a global commodities and housing windfall but blew the money on trinkets
4. Saw the highest child poverty rate in Canada
5. Massive numbers of homeless
6. Was the only province to see wages decline while they were in office.
7. Saddled citizens with innumerable tolls, fees and regressive taxes.
8. Sold off the family silverware through privatizing everything they could.
Dave2
3 years ago
Garth Turner
He lost, by about 8,000 votes.
CBC has an interactive map at
http://www.cbc.ca/news/canadavotes/map/2008/#137
G West
3 years ago
Luke
Argue with the Finance Department study - argue with the truth - argue with yourself.
As jimmy has pointed out and as Frank has demonstrated, you clearly aren't going to be convinced by anyone.
Don't let the facts get in the way of a good story...but don't think you're going to get away with it around here.
Al bundy can spin whatever tales he likes -
Bye.
Reminds me of a conservative commentator on the CBC last weekend. When Kady O'Malley presented the actual figures proving that pee wee had conducted a slash and burn campaign on cultural funding his answer was "Well, if you're going to rely on facts!"
Then he shut up.
Luke Skywalker
3 years ago
Frank...
Won't respond to the rest of your comments... but I believe that the response to this is indicative of the rest. :)
"Disposable Income Per Capita" "Chained to 2002 dollars" from BC Stats:
Year/Income/% Change
1990: $28,282 --
1991: $27,368 -3.2%
1992: $27,078 -1.1%
1993: $26,576 -1.9%
1994: $26,466 -.4%
1995: $26,581 +.4%
1996: $26,282 -1.1%
1997: $26,320 +.1%
1998: $26,436 +.4%
1999: $26,795 +1.4%
2000: $27,726 +3.5%
2001: $27,727 0%
2002: $27,567 -.6%
2003: $27,797 +.8%
2004: $28,687 +3.2%
2005: $29,553 +3%
2006: $30,898 +4.6%
2007: $31,906 +3.3%
In 1990 the disposable income per capita (measured in 2002 dollars) was $28,282.
Clearly, over the NDP's so-called "lost decade of the 1990's" disposable per capita income had declined by 2001 to $27,727.
Only since 2003 has disposable income per capita started to climb again from $27,797 to $31,906 in 2007, a jump of over $4,000 per capita.
http://www.bcstats.gov.bc.ca/DATA/bus_stat/bcea/tab1.asp
Fiat lux
3 years ago
The fancy name of PPPs is
The fancy name of PPPs is "accounting gimmicks". The simple one is "fraud" to fill the pockets of the "friends of the government" with endless profits.
PPPs cost far more on the long run either to the taxpayers, or their unfortunate employees.
Government can borrow at lower service charges.
With PPPs the taxpayer has to pay higher interests, then interests on the interests. Does this make sense to anybody?
PPPs also usually pay disgusting minimum wages for part time jobs and there's no accounting on how much they steal from their employees and the public, while their executives are paid better than kings.
Anybody can demand answers and accounting, on where the public money goes from governments, but people who dare questioning, or holding PPPs responsible are immediately slapped with SLAPP suits.
Yet people are still voting for crooked governments involved in this fraud ?
Ed Deak.
Frank
3 years ago
Luke
Vancouver Sun, Thursday May 01, 2008 :
"Over this five-year period between 2000 and 2005, B.C. and Quebec were the only two provinces to record a decline. In B.C., a province that experienced higher-than-average employment growth, median earnings for individuals fell 3.4% between 2000 and 2005. Median earnings in Quebec fell by 0.3%."
Frank
3 years ago
Luke
9. The BC Liberals have failed on health care and are not trusted on that file as their around the province discussion on privatization told them
10. The increase in long term care beds promised by the Liberals never happened.
11. Kids are dying in gov't care to such an extent even the pro-Liberal media couldn't ignore it.
Frank
3 years ago
Luke
12. People can't even fish any more because the Liberals have wiped salmon off the map.
13. Mills closing all over BC due to the Liberal policy of milling the logs across the border instead.
14. Forest companies are allowed to sell land given to them by the public to developers
Frank
3 years ago
Luke
15. And I can't wait to see the results of whether the Liberal carbon tax has fixed the environment. When do we find out our emissions have declined, before or after the price of a barrel of oil shuts the energy industry down?
Frank
3 years ago
Luke
16. 2006 census data used by StatsCan showed the following as reported by the Vancouver Sun :
"Based on after-tax income data, 13.1% of the total population in B.C., an estimated 521,425 people, lived in low income (the income threshold below which Canadians are estimated to devote at least one-fifth more of their income than the average family to the necessities of food, shelter and clothing) in 2005, higher than the national rate of 11.4%."
realisticman
3 years ago
Frank
Quote:
"The 1990's were a time of restraint."
Frank, you can be so droll. Yeah, right, the citizenry showed restraint in not storming the Clark and his utterly incompetent socialist professorial policy wonks bastille!
It takes years to drag an entire province out of the hole that these marxist neanderthal fools buried it in and the Liberals, while not completely populated by the sharpest knives in the drawer, have done a spectacular job. Increased spending on just about everything including infrastructure. Unemployment at 30 year low levels, AAA credit status and business gradually coming back to BC.
The continual attacks on Luke are complete BS. We can't, of course, expect these bullying twins to accept the facts because that's not in their genes.
Frank
3 years ago
realisticman
Keep your name calling to yourself. I realize you throw tantrums on a daily basis but try to act like an adult when you address me.
You don't like the facts, so I guess you don't read them.
Frank
3 years ago
StatsCan
Is just part of the Marxist conspiracy, I'm sure your Cons will shut it down soon.
Frank
3 years ago
realisticman
By the way, how come your Cons have only balanced the budget a third of the time in the last 22 years?
realisticman
3 years ago
By the Way
I have a copy of baby Dion and the Liberal's Green Shift brochure, which has suddenly disappeared from public view. It's a collector's item. I'll probably put it on eBay. Keep your eyes open for it. Listed under 'Amusing Bumff'.
realisticman
3 years ago
StasCan report
As I said; It takes years to drag an entire province out of the hole that these marxist neanderthal fools buried it in. Many people and businesses left the province, many for ever. It'll take 20 years, of non-NDP government, to re-establish proper growth again.
Frank
3 years ago
Pathetic
I don't expect people that use terms like "marxist neanderthal fools" to be able to explain why the Cons haven't been able to balance a budget 65% of the time.
G West
3 years ago
Attacks on luke
What are you talking about realisticman
No one on this side ever calls any of you names - we question your version of things and present evidence - none of it plagiarized and none of it unattributed.
The fact of the matter is that you and luke and the other neo-liberals haven't got a leg to stand on.
The facts are clear and when you don't like it you start calling people names.
I've seen it dozens of times and it doesn't do a thing for you or your cause.
Now, why not put down the knives and actually deal with the record?
Anyone whose best shot is the ad hominem 'marxist neanderthal fool' is scraping pretty close to the bottom of the barrel.
Luke Skywalker
3 years ago
Frank...
Since ya are insinuating that StatsCan is left-wing in nature... ;)
http://www.statcan.ca/english/freepub/11-010-XIB/00506/feature.htm
Frank:
Gotta disagree. The BC NDP has always been aligned with the environment movement.
In the recent federal election, NDP campaign manager Am Johal for Vancouver Centre candidate Byers made this statement:
http://thetyee.ca/Blogs/TheHook/Federal-Politics/2008/10/16/ByersVsFry/#article_comments
And the demographics of the "West End"... decidedly centre-left/left-wing as shown by the following colour-coded map of the riding from the 2005 provincial election (ALL orange - NDP):
http://bc2009.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/09/vancouver-burrard.gif
Centre-left/left-wing voters, supporting centre-left/left-wing candidates, supporting centre-left/left-wing ideas... the carbon tax. ;)
ME2
3 years ago
Frank
THEN DON'T FEED THE TROLLS.
Frank
3 years ago
Luke
"Since ya are insinuating that StatsCan is left-wing in nature"
I wasn't but realisticman thinks it is apparently. And I already read your link the first time you sent it to me months ago.
"Gotta disagree. The BC NDP has always been aligned with the environment movement."
But not with regressive taxation.
Luke Skywalker
3 years ago
Luke...
LOL... nobody's attacking me. Some dudes just don't like to face facts (just spin and spin) and the real world though! :)
realisticman
3 years ago
You ask for facts
They're there, as Luke directed:
http://www.bcstats.gov.bc.ca/DATA/bus_stat/bcea/tab1.asp
Frank
3 years ago
ME2
Would you believe I planned on taking a break and leaving this forum for a few months after the election? Probably not.
But I keep thinking about carfreed's post, how all the other forums out there are dominated by rabid anti-NDPers where if you even mention child poverty you're called a Marxist and other names and so I don't wish to hand over this forum to the likes of realisticman, Wilfred and Elliot so they can turn the comments section into a place where Ezra Levant and Jonathan Kay would feel comfy.
G West
3 years ago
THe facts are
That compared over the past 22 years Liberal and Conservative governments have run deficits more often than NDP governments.
That's all you have to contend with. The frustration with reality is obvious - but not understandable.
Argue with the messengers all you like - but the message is clear.
Frank
3 years ago
realisticman
So according to BC Stats the best year for GDP in BC was when the NDP was in power in 2000.
And its the same story in the per capita data.
Luke Skywalker
3 years ago
Frank...
Come on. We've got two provincial by-elections in two weeks, civic elections in a month, and next May's provincial election.
Political junkie heaven. Ya can't leave. :)
To top it all off, G West is our own in-house jester! ;)
Frank
3 years ago
BC Liberal path of destruction
So who wants wild salmon tonight for dinner? Oh ya, the Libs wiped that out and tried to discredit Alexandra Morton to boot for the audacity she showed in studying a problem that makes the Libs look bad.
Too bad we live in a society where its easier to find an abused child than a wild salmon.
G West
3 years ago
And, just for the sake of argument
I'd like the two of you to address the fact that it was after more than 8 years of Republican hegemony in the United States and about 15 years (actually more) of right-wing Liberal and Conservative government in Canada that the guys you're always defending and their Friedmanite orthodoxy have managed to put the world economy into a tail-spin that has put virtually every banking system in the developed world on life support.
A lot more people are going to starve this year than last and probably a lot more the year after that.
In the meantime, in a pathetic effort to patch up the holes central banks are burning money to keep warm.
Much comfort it's doing the people the system has been robbing.
I think you owe the working people of the world who have seen their buying power diminish over the past 30 years an explanation.
Frank
3 years ago
Luke
I'm going to have to miss all that, I really need to catch up on things I've fallen behind on the last 4 weeks.
But if you guys keep posting attacks on my favourite party every 20 minutes I just can't tear myself away.
Frank
3 years ago
Luke
Two things, first, I don't live in Vancouver so the civic election is pretty much like discussing German politics to me. And that just hasn't been the same since dear old Otto died.
Second, what two provincial by-elections?
Frank
3 years ago
Luke
Remember how I once said who would know more about the vagaries of polling than Angus Reid?
Angus-Reid:
Con 38% Lib 28% Ndp 18% Bloc 9% Grn 6%
Actual:
Con 37.4% Lib 27.3% Ndp 18.3% Bloc 9.2% Grn 6.5%
G West
3 years ago
Perhaps we could start
Perhaps we could start with Pakistan: Itnflation is running at 25 percent, electricity is in short supply the rupee has already been devalued 25 percent against the dollar. On Monday of this week the police had to surround the Karachi Stock Exchange to protect it from angry investors - maybe you missed that news.
Depositors are lining up at banks to withdraw their money or to send it abroad and no central bank is bailing them out.
This is a country which has been unstable for years, a country where a huge chunk of population have existed just above the poverty line.
The prices of wheat, rice and milk have more than doubled in the last year. The price of flour used to make roti bread, the food staple, has jumped from 12 rupees (15 cents) a kilo last year to 28 rupees (35 cents).
Before the crisis about 56 million Pakistanis - around a third of the population - were living below the poverty line according to daily caloric intake. Millions more are likely to have joined them already and millions more will with each passing week.
This little bedtime story is going to be repeated around the world in poverty stricken villages and steaming cities...
Ain't global capitalism wonderful?
G West
3 years ago
Yep
Angus sure called it, didn't he Frank?
Luke Skywalker
3 years ago
Frank...
I don't live in Van City either... although I'm there alot. Doesn't matter. Interesting civic races with a centre-left/centre-right bent all over the region and BC for that matter.
1. Vancouver-Burrard (downtown Vancouver and West End as a result of Mayencourt resigning as MLA to run as a Con in Vancouver Centre federally);
2. Vancouver-Fairview (across from downtown Vancouver/ part of Vancouver Centre federally and a result of Gregor Robertson resigning as MLA to run as Van City mayor);
Both ridings comprise the federal Vancouver Centre seat.
http://www.ctvbc.ctv.ca/servlet/an/local/CTVNews/20081016/BC_byelection_new_democrats_081016/20081016/?hub=BritishColumbiaHome
Frank
3 years ago
Luke
From your link
"NDP Leader Carole James said the byelections were a chance to send a message to the Liberal government for its inaction on homelessness, the carbon tax and problems in B.C. hospitals and long-term care facilities."
You know what, by-elections are boring. Its always the same message.
The US election is coming up but unless Obama is found in a compromising position with Palin I think its all over. And of course I'll be happy to see Obama win because I hope he'll make a difference even though logic tells me he won't.
I'll certainly be keeping an eye on the economy though and seeing if the Cons run yet another deficit.
Luke Skywalker
3 years ago
Frank...
Nice, perhaps a fluke, but I still consider ARS to be way off the mark in the whole.
Eg. Saskatchewan - ARS - 800 sample size.
Federal poll of Saskatchewan residents - October 10, 2008
Con - 40% (Actual - 49% - +9%)
NDP - 35% (Actual - 24% - -11%)
http://www.canada.com/reginaleaderpost/news/story.html?id=3bc29043-ad03-4271-84d3-fa5681f562b3
Wayyyyy off the mark and that's with an 800 sample size.
FWIW, I know someone way up in ARS here in Vancouver (where they are based) and I have told the individual what I think of their methodology). ;)
realisticman
3 years ago
Hang on Frank
Lots more to do here. I've now got to try and convince Garth that I didn't support GW Bush, for a start.
We haven't yet celebrated World Food Day (Oct-16) and it's already over in most of the world. We must encourage our government to increase oil production, so that energy will be cheaper for the developing world and they'll slow the cutting of trees for fuel. Increased oil production in Alberta and gas in BC will also free-up maize from bio-fuels and help feed the hungry. Instead of sending cash to possibly corrupt regimes, we should help finance oil production in Canada to help the hungry. How can we let so many suffer?
QUOTE:
" NAIROBI, Oct. 16 (Xinhua) -- The UN food agency, the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO), warned of looming food shortages in Africa as Kenya marked the World Food Day in Nairobi on Thursday.
FAO's Country Representative Castro Camarada said sub-Saharan Africa will be hardest hit by the food crisis since it is where most vulnerable groups are found.
The warning came against a backdrop of the global increase in food and fuel prices and a financial crisis that is likely to shift attention from the food crisis to economic stability.
Camarada said there is need to address the growing food demand and competition in prices as a result of climate change.
Speaking in Nairobi to mark the World Food Day, Camarada called for the promotion of the Rome declaration on improving global food security so as to help alleviate the situation.
"We need to create food-enabling frameworks for substantial increase of direct food foreign investments for agriculture in low income food deficit countries," he said.
He urged developed countries to consider partnering with the third world nations. "Equitable partnerships between nations that have land, water, labor and supply and those that have financial resources, management facilities and markets would constitute a solid base for sustainable agriculture."
Kenyan agriculture assistant minister Kareke Mbiuki said there is an urgent need to curb malnutrition and persistent food shortages to prevent hunger in the country.
He said that in as much as bio-fuel continues to draw attention due to the increasing prices of fossil fuels, there is need to focus on providing access to sustainable sources of energy. "
Luke Skywalker
3 years ago
Frank...
You miss the point. It's a momentum builder. If the Libs take both seats the NDP is big trouble momentum-wise heading into 2009. No incumbent BC government has ever won an opposition seat. Then Carole is in trouble.
How could I miss the US election in my earlier post?
It looks like a definitive Obama win based upon what's happening in all of the swing states.
http://www.electoral-vote.com/
realisticman
3 years ago
GWest
Quote: "Perhaps we could start with Pakistan."
Agree with you completely on this Garth. Pakistan is critical, in just about any way.
jimmy_laroux
3 years ago
Always with the P3s!
Luke Skywalker:
I will, because it is. But don't take my word for it. From Britian, where they have had considerably more experience with P3s/PFIs...
http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/2008/feb/10/businesscomment.northernrock
UBC researchers:
http://www.carleton.ca/spa/News%20and%20Events/Ross-public-private.pdf
In the 1990s, the Provincial government called debt "debt". Now the provincial government calls an enormous sum of the province's new debt "contractual obligations". That is the point.
So what?
G West
3 years ago
You support global capitalism
And corporate welfare and the growth of extreme inequality that neo-liberal economics leads to.
I could care less if you support G W Bush - he's nothing but a spokespuppet for the military industrial complex anyway.
I'm glad you agree that the west's irresponsible flirtation with neo-liberal economics for the past 30 years has put the whole world in a nasty mess.
How come it took you so long to realize your error?
jimmy_laroux
3 years ago
Rating agencies, again.
Luke Skywalker:
I simply point this out regarding the credit rating agencies to point out that they are very fallible, and that their rating system is not transparent. Clearly debt is not their only consideration. And if they do not factor in debt from P3s, then they are even more incompetent than the trillions of dollars of mayhem they partially caused (through rating bad mortgage debt) would indicate. (Although of course BC's credit rating is, on the whole, pretty minor compared to the "credit crunch".)
egmont rapids
3 years ago
Luke
What revenue stream?
SNC Lavalin Canada line,will have a yearly revenue loss in the millions,there is only a negative revenue stream!
There are no hydro P3s,just a few upgrades!
Abbotsford hospital has no revenue stream
Sea to sky highway up grade has no revenue stream!
Luke Skywalker, where`s the lastest Ipsos Reid poll that was done in september?
How come that poll has been buried?
Could it be that it has the BC liberals down 12 points!
Luke tell Campbell to keep his mugg in the news,every appearence is costing him a point in the polls.
The upcoming bi-election will have really big spreads, 68% for ndps---32%--liberals!
Campbell is down to his base, 32% --regardless of the 50 adds a day on CKNW and other radio stations.
People do notice Campbell warning BCers about the doom and gloom,people also notice Campbell on every news broadcast,radio station,newspaper,everywhere there is a mike or camera.
Perhaps he should be speaking at the legislature.
P.S did you listen to the hammering the minister of small business got on Christie Clark yesterday? I was glad to help out! Cheers.
RickW
3 years ago
G West
"Ms May would have been far wiser to run in Guelph - the point of taking on Peter McKay escaped me at the time and still does."
Possibly because she knew she wouldn't win there, and so could free up time to appear in other ridings. But she got some 13,000 votes -- not bad at all.
The meltdown conveniently allowed Harper to scare the bejeezuz out of people, who then either stayed home, or voted for the (alledged) "steady hand at the tiller", instead of entertaining a green vote........
G West
3 years ago
But I think she would have had a better shot
I goofed. The riding I meant to suggest was London. You'll remember she placed second in a bye election to the Liberals there on Nov 22, 2006. To a Liberal. Dion didn't have much trouble asking his candidate to bow out in Central Nova and he turned down David Orchard in another bye election in Saskatchewan to push his own candidate.
Therefore, she could presumably have made the same deal with the Liberals in London as she did in Nova Scotia - and, having run there before she had ties to the riding, a riding where the Conservative candidate placed 3rd in the bye-election.
It's still a mystery to me why she wouldn't have used her deal with Dion to give herself a decent chance of getting into Parliament.
jimmy_laroux
3 years ago
Fudge-it budget? You betcha!
Luke Skywalker:
I'm not sure how BC ranks compared to the other provinces (you should provide a source for this statement), but according to this:
http://www.bcstats.gov.bc.ca/DATA/bus_stat/bcea/tab1.asp
BC's real GDP per capita in 1992 was 30,047 $, and it was 32,823 $ in 2000. This is an increase of ~9%, not 5.3% as you state.
Not according to BC Stats. It was 30,815 $ in 1990 and 30,822 $ in 1998.
Please provide a source for this.
No, actually 33.6 billion $, according to Will McMartin. But what's 1.5 billion $ here or there?
Sadly, a comparison between the Liberals and the NDP is not possible here, since so much BC Liberal debt has been hidden through amortisation and P3s. One would only compare these between figures for the NDP and the Liberals if one wanted to purposely mislead.
HYPOCRISY! Unlike the BC Liberals, who just declared a "surplus" of 2.9 billion $ this year, yet BC's total debt has rose by 1.2 billion $. Fudge-it budget? You betcha!
You mean like in the Clayquot protests? Oh, no wait, you're wrong again.
jimmy_laroux
3 years ago
The 1990s – a decade
Luke Skywalker:
http://www.statcan.ca/english/freepub/11-010-XIB/00506/feature.htm
From the article:
Do you consider 2.9% growth in real GDP bad? Real GDP growth since 2001 is around 3.4%, if memory serves. Not a dramatic difference, to my mind, and remember that growth will be low in BC in the coming year(s).
They even spell out the reasons for slower growth:
And as for low investment,
So BC experienced 2.9% growth per year in real GDP, in spite of low commodity prices and a housing slump. And what of commodity prices since 2002?
http://thetyee.ca/Views/2006/11/15/Boom/
Budd Campbell
3 years ago
jimmy_laroux: What happened?
I'm amazed, jimmy. You've posted some rational, high quality material. Has someone else stolen your handle?
David Foster
3 years ago
Winners, Losers and Coalitions
The ironic thing is that Dion's career is over when he could still be PM, if the opposition parties formed a coalition.
However, the same weaknesses which caused Dion to lose 20+ seats make him unable to unite the opposition.
As a leftist I don't really want to see either Liberals on Cons in power.
Whagt we need is a parliament with 80 seats NDP, 60 seats Bloc and they could form a progressive coalition.
The Greens, Cons and NDP increased their proportion of the vote, but with much lower turnout didn't gain a much larger number of votes. This is a problem which proportional rep doesn't address, we need compulsory voting as in Belgium and Australia.
G West
3 years ago
how about both David?
Compulsory voting and proportional rep.
The thing is, there has to be an effective 'grass roots' movement from all across the country in order to push those kinds of changes.
That's the kind of thing I'd like to see the internet used for - not just for narcissistic blogging and self-promotion.
Obama's camaign example - which has now received individual contributions from more than 3.1 million people (average donation less than $100.) and activated people from every economic strata and age group across America - is the kind of thing that needs to be undertaken if we are ever going to reform electoral practices in this country.
The parties aren't going to move unless they're whipped into action.
dave49
3 years ago
NDP fortunes
I thought "Lessons learned from election night" in the Globe and Mail had a lot of good points [http://www.theglobeandmail.com/servlet/story/RTGAM.20081015.WStrategists15/BNStory/politics/home/?pageRequested=all].
I particularly liked Gerald Caplan’s blunt assessment of Stephen Harper and his asking the harder questions about the NDP’s future given their inability to capture more than 20 percent of the vote in 75 years of existence.
When I lived in Ottawa, I knew three people who worked on the Hill for the NDP in the early to mid-1980s. They all came to the conclusion that it was time to move on and get on with their life. A career for the government in power would be far more interesting. For all their hard work, they were working for opposition MPs and did not see the NDP forming a government in the future. Fast forward to 2008 and the situation has not changed.