Opinion

Say it Again, Dubya!

Kerry was the better debater last night. But Bush proved long ago how to lose arguments and win anyway.

By Steve Burgess, 1 Oct 2004, TheTyee.ca

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Thursday's televised debate between President Bush and his Democratic challenger Senator John Kerry caused some programs to be delayed or pre-empted. But Survivor went on as scheduled. Fitting -- vicious tribal votes seemed in keeping with the theme of the evening.

Much is expected of presidential debates. They are the epic face-to-face showdowns that will crystallize a campaign, cutting through advertising crap to settle the argument once and for all. They are the crucible that will reveal character flaws. Someone will blink, or sweat (Nixon, 1960), or declare that Poland is free from Soviet control (Gerald Ford, just a little ahead of his time in 1976).

Debates, it is widely held, allow the public to see the candidates for what they really are.

It rarely happens that way. Presidential debates are frequently non-events, particularly when they are formatted in the bloodless manner of Thursday's face-off.

Looking for a zinger

John Kerry started the night behind the eight-ball. Unlike the president, Kerry needed a decisive victory in tonight's debate. Such victories are not scored on fact alone. More often they turn on such meaningless piffle as Ronald Reagan's rueful catchphrase, "There you go again."

Kerry did well Thursday night. He made his case that the invasion of Iraq was a mistake and a diversion from the fight against Osama Bin Laden. He looked firm and focused, then loosened up when necessary.

But is it already a lost cause?

The most acclaimed presidential debates in American history were not actually presidential. The 1858 Lincoln-Douglas debates pitted Abraham Lincoln against Stephen Douglas in a series of heated discussions about the future of slavery. But those debates were actually held during an Illinois Senate race (which Lincoln lost.

But Honest Abe's stirring rhetoric catapulted him to national fame and eventually the Republican nomination for President in 1860 -- where he defeated Douglas, the Democratic nominee). Those debates were so substance-heavy that they virtually set the parameters for the coming ideological combat on human bondage.

Hillbilly hypnotist

But the modern history of debates has been shaped more by visuals than content. It's not just the famous five o'clock shadow of Richard Nixon -- it's the general likeability factor. Bush scores big on likeability with his fellow Americans (albeit with no one else).

On stage Bush can be like a hillbilly hypnotist, somehow able to convince his audience that nothing equals something. Watching footage of Bush's debate against Texas governor Ann Richards in 1994, one doesn't know whether to laugh or cry:

Bush announces proudly that he has never held elected office.

Governor Richards points out that Bush has never held office only because he ran for Congress and lost.

Bush responds with a joke and then claims that he's really a businessman.

Richards responds that his business ventures have lost hundreds of millions of dollars.

Bush says this is a distraction from the issues.

To sum up: Bush has been revealed in this exchange as a failed politician and a failed businessman. What, exactly are his credentials for the governor's job? He never provides any.

Bush won that election. He looked amiable.

Human tape loop

The perpetually low expectations that follow Bush mean that he can accomplish precious little and still win. No one is going to watch George W. Bush in 2004 and say, "Good Lord! He's no intellectual!" If American voters were going to vote against Bush because he appears, shall we say, uncomplicated, he would already be at single digits in the polls. In fact he's comfortably ahead.

Last night Bush looked capable. He repeated his programmed phrases ad nauseum, as he always does. Bush stays on message like a tape loop. Enlightening it isn't -- effective, certainly.

Sometimes the results of a debate are immediately obvious, such as Senator Lloyd Bentsen's famous riposte to Dan Quayle: "Senator, you're no Jack Kennedy."

More often though, modern debates are won not on the night but in the days that follow, as initial impressions firm up into hard opinions. Commentators almost always follow a debate by stating that there was no "knockout blow," only to find later that consensus has identified just such a key moment.

Kerry looked presidential

By most accounts, George W. Bush has a safe lead in the polls and could afford to play defence in this first of the three scheduled debates. Kerry may benefit from the perverse fact that he has had a very bad six weeks, making his solid performance look that much better by comparison. He succeeded in looking presidential, which is half the battle in this forum.

It's too soon to say whether John Kerry will gain any lasting traction from his forceful delivery Thursday. Frankly, I wouldn't bank on it.

Vancouver writer and broadcaster Steve Burgess is a regular contributor to The Tyee.
 [Tyee]

12  Comments:

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  • Craig Spence (not verified)

    7 years ago

    One of the revealing facets of the debate to me was the almost complete lack of reference to the Iraqi people as victims of the war by either President Bush and Senator Kerry. The discussion was filtered through the lens of how the war is affecting Americans and American interests. That's not surprising, I suppose, but it does show up the main,catostophic failing of American foreign policy.

  • Al Lehmann (not verified)

    7 years ago

    It's ironic that the oligarchy behind such non-entities as Bush select their candidates carefully for just the purposes outlined in the article. Unfortunately, most of the population in the US, the land where 70% of people believe they are above average (Harper's Index), are frightened by anyone who appears even half intellectual. With his stumblebum language and half-witted stubbornness he should appeal just fine to this majority. How sad for democracy.

  • lewis swift (not verified)

    7 years ago

    Not a bad article, and I generally agree with the notion that americans are attracted to everyman stumblebums like dubya, much to the detriment of the common good. Nevertheless, I thought Kerry came off much better than bush, and if he can keep it up, he may just get the whitehouse. Let's not forget how biased polls can be, like the poll about harper forming a majority government we all heard so much about in canwest media. Also, mainstream american media is even more biased than ours.

    On another note I find the continual defeatism of the left, ie. we can't win even though we're smarter and justice and the facts are on our side, so really what's the use of even trying. Contrast this with the mindless ideological boosterism and unfounded optimism of the right, and it's no wonder we often lose when we should win. The left needs to develop its own positivism and stop whining so much, as well as wean itself away from its continual orgies of negativism. They are killing us...

  • Frank (not verified)

    7 years ago

    Its money Lewis, its easy for the right to keep smiling when all those corporate dollars keep rolling in whether they win or lose a debate or an election. A little harder to stay focused when you're trying desperately to pay the rent on your campaign office.

  • lewis swift (not verified)

    7 years ago

    I agree that the right has a lot of advantages in our economic system, Frank. However, the ndp HAS raised a lot of money for attack ads and I sure hope we're going to start seeing them, before the totally misleading economic statistics the bc liars are trying to ram down people's throats with their endless taxpayer funded ads gain too much currency. There shouild be a letter writing and "sound-off" posting campaign against these pathetic lies. What the bc liars keep doing is saying things like bc's economy is growing fastest (AS A PERCENTAGE) which only means the lower the rate of economic growth the more a slight increase shows up as a high percentage. In terms of real economic growth bc is still second last. If the ndp waits until 6 weeks before the election to try and get this easily verifiable truth out it could well cost it the next election. And I still say, frank, that the left over all has a defeatist attitue, although there are exceptions.

  • Kit (not verified)

    7 years ago

    Perhaps writers like Mr. Burgess would rather induce chicken little style "worry", rather than brains and not indictable lying bumpkins presiding at the end of the day. Or quoting decided voter polls - or "betting" like a dolt that "polls" amongst a hundred truly speak the multitude who think otherwise.

  • Tha Geek (not verified)

    7 years ago

    Anyone watch SNL last night? The opening was hilarious, a spoof of Kerry Vs. Bush.

  • Frank (not verified)

    7 years ago

    Damn, I missed that, was going to watch and then got busy.

  • lewis swift (not verified)

    7 years ago

    I saw it and it was indeed hilarious. Interesting to note that tina fey gave jimmie fallon the boot. The show in the last three years under tina fey's writing skills has been as good as the early years, after a long period of decline....

  • fhb (not verified)

    7 years ago

    Thanks Mr B. One noteworthy addition to the Lincoln debates - they were several HOURS long. And the audience had to actually sit in those hard straight backed wooden chairs without benefit of Cheetos, Doritos, Pork Rinds OR a channel changer. Damn. They *were* made of sterner stuff back then. And ... as Thomas Frank sez... Bang the *moral* drum in America and they'll generally sign up for anything you wanna do. If you're slick enough, you can bang the drum AND drain their bank accounts at the same time. Works like a charm. PS: Kit darlin - apparently you haven't used that Ex-Lax yet huh? Loosen up baby! Maybe drop by The Roxy! mmmmmwah!

  • IMm (not verified)

    7 years ago

    The stupidity required of US presidential candidates has reached such a level, that even one of the most intelligent of them (Clinton, Rhodes scholar and all) has to play the bumpkin to win. I think his aw shucks bubba act was not just simple populism or playing to the gallery, it was absolutely necessary for him to win. Kerry can't pull it off. Whether that says good things or bad things about him as a person it is probably going to cost him the election. The British, when their Empire was at its greatest, and at the same time begining to crumble had a phrase;- he's too clever by half! The Americans have been electing Presidents based on this idea for many years now. The Democrats try to fool them by running people who just pretend to be yokels. They are often caught out. The Republicans take the simpler, and in some ways more honest path, of just running real yokels. To paraphrase, "He may be a fool but he's our fool." And no-one can prove he's not a fool"

  • shirin (not verified)

    7 years ago

    I had deliberately avoided watching the debate (the first 2 rounds it was aired) - mostly due to what Lewis has stated as a defeatist attitude. It had been a long day and the last thing I wanted was to watch what I thought was evalangical rants from Bush drowning the less inspiring rational stream spuing from Kerry's stoic demeanor. However, my spirits were greatly lifted (as they are wont to do) after watching Jon Stewarts' take on the debate on his Daily Show that night. I could definitely relate to one of the skits in which a reporter wanted to know how anyone could be undecided - it was absolutely hilarious in its striking the nail on the head. As neighbourly the folks south of the 49th parallel may be, astute is an adjective that fails to describe them. Can you imagine the mayhem if there were 4 choices that actually had some overlapping ideologies on some perspectives - like we had in our federal elections? How different can you get between democrat and republican; and how can anyone be undecided??? Good grief, no wonder they are having such a hard time forcing democracy on other nations - they can hardly handle their own choice of dictator on the home front. Even supersizing is a choice that needs further speculation nowadays....

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