Michael Harris did some quick back-of-napkin electoral math and wagered that Conservative Leader Andrew Scheer would not form government. Harris argues that a Conservative majority is unlikely, and even if the party wins the most seats Scheer still has no friends, and friends are essential for governing in a minority Parliament.
“When the dust settles, the best Scheer can hope for is to win the most seats, though not a majority. All that means is a murky period of horse-trading as both mainstream parties try to find allies,” Harris writes. “That process might just end in the demolition of the Conservative base in the process, if Scheer partners with the Bloc to achieve power.”
Harris’s prediction is looking more and more prescient as the Conservatives’ only potential ally, Bloc Québécois Leader Yves-Francois Blanchet, is already burning bridges by promising to reject core Conservative positions.
Harris’s thought experiment, with so many ridings being a toss-up, raises interesting questions about the government that will be elected on Monday — majority, minority or a coalition of various parties?
We’re wondering what you think? What do you think the outcome of this election will be?
* Please note that all poll answers will be publicly viewable, but anonymous.
Please note that Tyee Barometer polls are only intended as a quick and engaging non-scientific snapshot of our readers' opinions on various topics that fit with The Tyee's very broad editorial mandate. They are not intended to be seen as a representative sampling of BC opinion.
