Opinion

Campbell Is Damaged Goods

Like Socred Bill Bennett, he's made himself too disliked to win another election.

By Rafe Mair, 28 Sep 2009, TheTyee.ca

Gordon Campbell -- 2009

Who will pick up pieces?

History doesn't repeat itself, but it does rhyme.

-- Mark Twain

I'm damned if I know what that means but I think it says that Gordon Campbell is in trouble if he wants to win another term.

But there is hope for the BC Liberal Party.

Lessons from 1983

Many may not remember the election of 1983. Bill Bennett and his British Columbia Social Credit party had been in power since December 1975 and, against all polls, won again. The issue was "restraint" and it resonated with the public, many of whom had been badly burnt by the recession the country was in.

Many -- myself included -- saw their houses falling in value to the point it was worth less than the mortgage. Or mortgages, since many took out a second mortgage to fund daily living.

A lot of voters saw the bureaucracies, especially in Victoria, as being bloated with high-paid sloths. They looked upon many government agencies, such as human rights tribunals, as being boondoggles masking more three-piece wastrels we could do without.

Bennett caught that wave and went from being a loser in private polling to winning his third straight victory.

Then it hit the fan. Bennett brought in the restraint he promised and the "left" especially, led by Art Kube, then president of the B.C. Federation of Labour, went bananas. Empire Stadium was filled to the brim with chanting and angry demonstrators, which had been rallied under the "Solidarity" movement, the name coming from the then popular uprising in Poland under Lech Walesa. At the end of October, the B.C. Government Employees' Union went on strike and it was soon joined by a sympathy strike by many B.C. teachers. The ferry workers were readying themselves to be next, and if they went out it seemed as if the province might collapse.

It all fizzled out when then prominent labour leader Jack Munro went to Bill Bennett's home near Kelowna and the two of them put together the "Kelowna Accord." The strike ended but the seething discontent didn't.

Expo '86 and the 2010 Games

Bennett's popularity plunged, though it recovered briefly with Expo '86. Bennett saw the polls in May of 1986 and knew that unless some miracle occurred, he and the Socreds would lose in the next election. The reason was obvious. The voter dislike unto hatred of Bennett had not gone away, which sent him into retirement to be succeeded by Bill Vander Zalm.

The "Zalm," who had been an unpopular Bennett cabinet minister, suddenly became a prince of charisma who shortly after becoming premier called an election and won handily.

What an interesting coincidence! Gordon Campbell wins his third election and almost immediately becomes extremely unpopular. Campbell and his finance minister, Colin Hansen, putting the kindest interpretation on it, did not tell the public that their forecast budget deficit of under $500 million would, as if by magic, go to just under $3 billion after the election. Environmental issues that Campbell had escaped debating during the election, because of NDP campaign shortcomings, came to the fore and his ratings plummeted.

Campbell has his own Expo '86 in the Winter Olympics of 2010, which he is counting upon to make him popular again. I predict 1986 will repeat itself and while Campbell will get a bit of a spike in the polls, his popularity will plunge again. If he thinks of the party, he will try to find a Vander Zalm successor -- perhaps the, ahem, aging Carole Taylor.

Campbell's liabilities too great

Many times premiers -- W.A.C. Bennett comes quickly to mind -- can do unpleasant things early in the mandate yet, relying on voter amnesia, win office again in a couple of years. Why couldn't his son Bill do the same? Why can't Campbell?

The answer is simple. Bennett Senior did things that were unpopular at the time but had no political legs. He was easily able, during an election campaign, to brush what in retrospect were minor matters into the political dustpan and win with a new barrage of promises.

Permit me to digress. In WAC's reign, nobody would ever admit voting for him. I was at a B.C. Lions game during one of the election nights of the '60s and when the Bennett victory was announced, the news was greeted by a cacophony of boos! Somebody must have voted for him but not, apparently, B.C. Lions fans!

After the spectacle, bowing out?

Bill Bennett committed sins that time couldn't bury. Had he chosen to hang on he would have been slaughtered and he knew it. He could only hope that his successor would bring his own political virtues and that fair play would keep the public from transferring their hatred of him to his successor. For one moment -- the 1986 election -- it worked.

I believe that Gordon Campbell in 2010, after the Olympics are over, will be precisely where Bill Bennett was in 1986 -- hugely unpopular because his sins did indeed have political legs.

The only question unanswered is whether, like Bennett II, Campbell will fall on his own sword, letting the leadership go to another who would be able to win for the same reasons Vander Zalm did.  [Tyee]

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  • Grumpy

    2 years ago

    It's just not Campbell.....................

    ..........but the whole Liberal party is damaged goods. From BC Rail'gate' to casinos laundering money, the entire Liberal party is held in high odor.

    The NDP, lead by one of the most shrill unnelectable leaders they ever had, don't have the 'kahunas' to terminate James. The result was well event: Campbell won with only 23% of the provincial electorate voting for him, while 50% of the electorate stayed home.

    The entire political system in BC is illegitimate, corrupt, and evil but unless the NDP drop their 'labour connections' and become a true party of the people and put the province ahead of petty NDP 'goody-two shoes" politics, fascists will always win in BC.

    It's enough to make one cry.

  • southdeltawalker

    2 years ago

    Campbell's in the soup...

    ...but is it hot enough to cook him?

  • seth

    2 years ago

    dissent form within

    WIth Gordo's popularity hitting towards George Bush's levels, perhaps internal dissent helped out with a lot of strategic defections from the NDP and Green's can unseat Gordo and his henchman.

    As we all know Canwest/Gordo is not a liberal he is a Neocon and along with Falcon, Coleman, Kruger, Polack and many others belongs in the BC Con party. We liberals in the now BCLiberal party want our party back after the Neocon hijack of the 90's. With this precipitous drop in party support we think we may have a chance.

    We need liberals out there to come back to the party of Gordon's Gibson and Wilson. We need to stop Campbell now before he completely destroys BC with his five year license to kill. Suspend your NDP and Green memberships at least until the next election gets closer and buy BCLiberal party memberships Participate in constituency association elections and boot the Neocon supporters from their positions. Help us to rid the party of the yoke these fascist hijackers have put around our neck. Lets give them the boot at the next convention. I'm tired of being ashamed when I whisper my political affiliation to folks.

    We can do this!!!

  • Skywalker

    2 years ago

    Well seth.

    Perhaps you should be addressing all those true liberals of the party in the 90's who suspended their principles and selected Gordon the Socred to lead them, rather than wasting your time on the folks that probably never voted for Gordon and likely never will, at least not now. You want them to join Gordon's party and try to boot him out and then run the risk that they will be part of Liberal party that will have to define itself after an election. Given the power behind it, it could prove to be just as bad as this one.

    You would be better off to argue for an anybody but BC Liberal and keep doing that until some liberal actually defines himself or herself as a true liberal and not just some spineless liberal in the pocket of big business - a conservative without backbone.

    If you are tired of being ashamed of your affiliation there is a simple solution.

  • kootenay

    2 years ago

    Borrowing from Seth's plan,

    Borrowing from Seth's plan, why don't the former NDP supporters get involved with their party and help redefine the party in their image? There is no individual waiting on the sidelines who is going to step forward and lead us all out of this hell. Its going to take a concerted effort on everyones part to make the changes we so desperatly need.

    And Grumpy, if the NDP were to abondon their ties with labour, they'd be lucky to have two seats in the legislature. Who do you think provides the manpower to carry these campaigns off? I'd be very happy if a small group of non partisan citizen showed up at local NDP campaign offices and offered to help.

    No political party is ever going to develop policies that are good for the majority of people, if the people refuse to participate and speak up.

    I'm a Unionist and an NDP'er and I'll contiue to support both,because they are the only tools I have to help fight for a better future. Could they both do a better job, absolutely. Is there a viable alternative for me, no.

  • wayfarer

    2 years ago

    Thanks for the history lesson

    Rafe, thanks for the history lesson. You raise some relevant parallels. Let me add a couple observations.

    I do recall 1983 very well. I recall the massive anti-restraint protests, which damn near brought Bennett to his knees, were it not for Munro flying in to prop up the Socreds with the Kelowna deal. Some of the anger over the current HST, Campbell budget lies and gaming grant cuts vaguely parallels the public outcry heard back in the Bennett restraint era. My question is, where is the massive response. There is none. We have HST rally organizers like Bill Tieleman exaggerating the turnout numbers, saying 5,000 (which was actually closer to 2,000) protesters is a smashing success. This is a far cry from the 10's of thousands pouring onto the Legislature lawn in '83 and the general strike that forced a leader to cut a deal with his arch enemies. For this reason, I still think Campbell has a good shot at number 4 if he wants it. But I don't believe he wants a 4th term. And here's why...

    My political deductions, based on all that's happened since the original budget in February, is that Campbell (in counsel with his closest allies and colleagues) had made a conscious decision around that time that the March election would be his last, and he was going to do whatever it took, including lie about the numbers, in order to get the team elected. This drama is still unfolding. The closer we get to the next election, the more blows Premier Campbell will absorb for the team, and the timing of his resignation will be staged to strategic perfection.

    Mark my words, in three years, you are going to see an untarnished, highly popular and well-liked Liberal like Dianne Watts be Crowned leader, followed by a party makeover leading up to the election. Campbell will be but a fading memory in the minds of voters as that election nears. If Carole James is still fumbling political footballs at that point, the NDP doesn't stand a snowball's chance in hell.

  • Skywalker

    2 years ago

    Grumpy and wayfarer

    First Grumpy. One of the problems for James is that she has tried to put some distance between her and labour. It has offended many of those and her lack of a defense of the NDP being part of the struggle labour is engaged in has given her the current image. The liberals never apologize or defend their close alliance with the business sector. Everyone knows about it and it makes no difference. The NDP is paranoid about any association with labour and is perceived as spineless and weak.

    As to wayfarer, I would not bet on your forecast that Campbell will be gone. He's not the type that will fall on his sword for the good of the party. The guy has an ego that won't let him quit, he thinks the "peasants" stupid and he will lead them to a new economy where the rich prosper and the poor pay taxers. I will agree that James needs to go and that alone would determine whether Campbell's ego would survive the loss and convince him to leave. It will not be out of some noble concern for the Liberal Party in BC. It isn't a liberal party anyway and Campbell would not give a fiddler's farthing about it's future without King Gordon himself at the helm..

  • Polakite

    2 years ago

    1 of 2: Mary Polak, anyone?

    Every chance this lady gets to put her hand up for leadership roles, she takes it. She'd be fun :-).

    Cutting gov't waste with one hand, making peace with the other, slicing through the air, promoting social justice, pounding her chest and flexing her muscles like Tarzan... wow! Make BC Politics the Olympics it really is :-).

    In the meantime, the NDP could fold as well as the Greens, become the BC Progressives, somebody from The Tyee could lead it and have fun. Perhaps end up doing for the left what Tony Blair did for UK Labour.

  • Polakite

    2 years ago

    2 of 2: Gordon Campbell = John Howard so who's the Kevin Rudd

    As I've read up on BC politics, I can't help but see Gordon Campbell as the neoliberal Aussie John Howard w/ more hair. He's got an impotent Kim Beazley in Carole James as oppo leader and has been able to brush things over he shouldn't. They even have many of the same policies and antics.

    So, perhaps the progressive left of BC should find themselves a Kevin Rudd who's young, hyper-intelligent, personable & socially moderate to conservative to take on Gordon Campbell in 2013 if he doesn't pass the baton on Falcon, de Jong or oh yes of course the Honourable Mary Polak, MLA (Hansen's already taken himself out of the running both directly and thru his HST implementation)!

    I doubt very seriously Carole Taylor is young enough to be Premier and be credible. On the other end of the spectrum, Stephanie Cadieux needs at least 1.5 terms under her belt to be a contender.

  • G West

    2 years ago

    Mary Polak???

    You've got to be kidding.

    She's just a younger version of Christian Heritage Party holdover Heather Stilwell....

    You need to do a little more reading about what baggage THAT 'heritage' brings with her.

    Good joke though.

    And you should check Carole Taylor's age my friend - she ought to be superannuated. Just because she's a decade or so younger than her paramour doesn't mean she's not a senior citizen.

  • Jerry Munro

    2 years ago

    Don't Count Campbell Out Just Yet...

    Don't be surprised at anything, even Campbell's possible re-election. To here anyway, the "Right" is still united, in an alliance that includes the old Socred Crew, the Cons and the nigh fascist extremists around the both of these, and, of course, the Liberals. The "Left", on the other hand, is not. And what passes for it still, the NDP, is up against a wall of disillusionment with it. (For lack of vision, identifiable principles, a believable analysis of any real depth, and a history of failures, even to defend the sanctity of the postwar social contract.It talks the talk, but nobody believes them anymore.)

    Which says to me that Campbell could be caught drunk and driving, shagging an aide or even being issued a restraining order by his wife, and still have a good chance to get elected. (All hypothetical, of course.) The MSM and the Loonie (Fraser) Institute are still all behind him, and of no small consequence... the goodwill, wishes and cash of certainly corporate Big Business. (The HST may be eroding small business support. We'll see.)

    Besides, like most folks I suspect, I'm not convinced that having an NDP government would change the way the province is being governed, or the policies it would pursue, all that awful much anyway. Their typical pattern is to start off sounding "Left" and progressive, then become increasingly "Right" in practise, the closer they get to power. (Welll, what passes for power.)

    Call me cynical, but I wouldn't count the NDP in or Campbell out, not just yet. (Allowing though, for the ebb and flow fluidity of the times we're in.)

    Though it at one time tried to be, or more accurately, "professed" to wink and nod be, a "united left", it never really was and is not, of course. It's really more just a second and more actually "Liberal Party". Their preferred hope would be, just to quietly "sneak" into power with minimum commitments from themselves, as is the typical "Liberal" style. Only, I think, most folks are by now onto them, and disillusioned with them... though they may get desperate enough yet.

    We'll see.

  • mgailthiessen

    2 years ago

    Campbell Gone? Faint hope.

    Haven't got much to say to any of the above except that I'd kind of like to see Wim Vanderzalm rise again! Hopefully he's learned something from his last go-round, and after watching the mess Campbell has created, I'm sure he could do no worse!

  • Polakite

    2 years ago

    No, I wasn't...

    Perhaps the people calling her a homophobe might want to read Xtra's coverage on the Surrey book crisis where Mary - yes, Mary - mediated a deal that ended in better books on homosexual families for kids in the end. Nice try.

  • Polakite

    2 years ago

    Also, I must admit...

    I really like Gordon Campbell. I really do. He's not exactly as honest as I'd hope he'd be, but he still has some game left.

    I just want him out before he dates himself or is treated unfairly in the history books. Perhaps in June 2011 after 10 great years of Premiership. It's not like the Premier though has the grasp he had back in 2001 & 2002 when he had to save BC from 10 previous years of socialism.

  • Skywalker

    2 years ago

    coyoteman

    Not to distract from Rafe's column but can you give us some examples of

    "Their typical pattern is to start off sounding "Left" and progressive, then become increasingly "Right" in practise, the closer they get to power. (Welll, what passes for power.)

    Other than Fast Ferries I've never heard that one. I often heard they were in bed with the unions but never "increasingly right."

  • mjscox

    2 years ago

    and his successor would be...

    Who? Who among the liberals has not been sufficiently tainted by this government to run as a new leader?

  • Jerry Munro

    2 years ago

    Starting left and moving right...

    Actually, it's a pattern not exclusive to the NDP. Most, if not all political parties, start off sounding like they are going to do more, and give more goodies to the masses than they actually in the end deliver. And the NDP no less than any of them.

    In all elections known to me, EXCEPT the great medicare struggle under Tommy Douglas in Saskatshewan, which was an outstanding exception, the NDP always started off championing the working man and woman's cause, and to save them from the predations of the big corporations, and then, in the end, especially in the anti-communist postwar, behave not a whole hell of a lot differently than any other party of capitalism, which at the end of the day, they do not pretend to be anything other than.

    They start off, for example, going to save Medicare, and in power, make cuts to it, and education, as has been their record for years in BC. The rate of decline in the social safety net may not have been as steep under the NDP, but it declined nonetheless, hospitals were closed, and though they got severence packages better than they might have otherwise got, they were still on the street at the end of the process. And the party of the working man and woman, for example an IWA strike I was part of years ago, has proven itself able to break strikes and order workers back to work, even when a Socred government would not have dared.

    And we haven't even gotten yet to the issue of the domination of the nation by the US, which they actually speak little of publicly, and tend to do nothing in power. And their silence on Afghanistan, outside of lip service when they know they have a left audience before them, is still defeaning.

    The entire pattern of the NDPs development since the 1930s, when it was an openly and avowed socialist party, has been to move increasingly over time to the right. To the point where they can actually seriously contemplate an alliance with the Liberal Party, or even help prop up Harper and keep him in minority power, as their Social Dem counterparts in Germany did for Merkel-, which it seems has finally broken them.

  • Skywalker

    2 years ago

    coyoteman

    Pretty flimsy. I was thinking of some very specific BC examples. Thanks anyway.

  • G West

    2 years ago

    mary polak

    Mediated a deal????

    After the vault doors had been broken down and the treasury ripped off for the dangerous and selfish narcissism of her ‘philosophy’?

    Hardly!

    You're joking again.

    She was on the board - part of the time as its chairman - when that case went all the way to the Supreme Court of Canada - at a cost of about a million dollars to the taxpayers of the region - to unsuccessfully try to keep certain books OUT of Surrey School libraries.

    There is NO WAY anyone should have the effrontery to try and spin the guilt of Mary Polak and Heather Stilwell for those actions…

    I don't know if she's a homophobe or not - but as an administrator of public funds and the public trust she is a horrendous failure. As a mediator she isn’t even on the radar – had she any pride and character she would sign over every penny of her salary as a minister to at least partially repay the school district for her incompetence and mismanagement.

    Why the voters of the district would vote for such a person is the only real question to be considered.

    I know what their lack of judgment indicates to me and it says pretty much the same thing about anyone who would try to whitewash the record of this harridan.

  • Skywalker

    2 years ago

    You never know.

    The other day at coffee I was listening to someone complain about the government. I knew he had voted for Campbell. When I suggested to him that he sounded like a "polakite" he seemed to understand what I meant and felt very offended.

  • Dr Alexander

    2 years ago

    Campbell Resign? Careful for what you wish for...

    ... because we may be forever haunted by Gordo doing speaking engagements like that guy who lied his country into a war, Tony Blair.

    Wait a minute. If Tony is coming to Surrey, maybe we can ship Gordo to the U.K.? They would be welcome to keep him.

  • roady

    2 years ago

    james

    when james talks on tv she sound like a whiney little brat. shoulds dumped her long aga. ndp will never win anything with her at the helm

  • swami99

    2 years ago

    From Gordo to Bimbo

    Canwest is already pumping blonde looker Surrey mayor, Diane Watts, notwithstanding her mediocre governance ability. Gordo is gonzo.

  • Polakite

    2 years ago

    G West

    I see you didn't see that James Chamberlain - one tough dude - held on and get this... http://archives.xtra.ca/Story.aspx?s=2257231 - "Polak says she has already convened a special committee to search for the books and she expects a report by the end of June. “There’s no sense dragging it out,” she says. The board even allowed Chamberlain to join the committee a week after it was struck."

    Or the multiple news reports that better books were found in the end :-).

    I know many of you have heard of a different Mary Polak, not the one of 1 May 2009 that blazed through the sky to save the BCLib cause from Van Dongen's lead foot... and straighten out the truth about the BCNDP & the BCLibs. Quite frankly, I'm a Polakite - moderate socially, conservative fiscally and tenacious in all things.

  • Frank

    2 years ago

    Seth

    So its you moderate Liberals that are responsible for Campbell? And now you want NDPers to fund the Liberal party? Thanks for the offer but I'll pass.

  • Frank

    2 years ago

    Polakite

    I admire your loyalty but c'mon, you and I both know Mary hasn't got a chance at leading anything. You may think she's been unfairly painted as a conservative Conservative but that's the political reality she faces.

    She can win in the Fraser Valley as long as she keeps breathing because that's bible-belt country but she will never enjoy any support outside of the Valley.

  • Skywalker

    2 years ago

    If Canwest pumps the blonde looker..

    ...then I guess nothing else will matter. Has she said anything that might be construed as opposed to the Campbell policies. In other words will she just be a Campbell in drag.

  • Polakite

    2 years ago

    On Diane Watts...

    Is she a MLA? No.

    What happened to a city guy, a man with much charisma and media sympathy who tried to be a MLA as well as leader of the Ontario Tories? John Tory had to quit as leader because there was no safe seat waiting for him.

    Sorry, it'll have to be a MLA until the BCLibs move across the aisle in The House to my heartbreak. I think a MLA from Langley will bravely put her hand up and say something to the effect of, "Come out, be stand-up about it, and say: "We are as ready as you are ... to move forward on whatever answers we get, whether they fit with our political dogma or not." That's leadership, that's inspiration, and that's the only way we're going to solve these challenges for our province, and we are going to move forward. That's what we're ready to do. We're ready for you to come along with us. Let's see if you have the guts to do it."

    You tell 'em Mary, take the ideology and send it to Fraser & it's mirror image the Tyee. That's why some of us are "Polakites". We don't have the time o'day for ideologues, we're trying to save the world.

  • Polakite

    2 years ago

    Frank,

    we'll see :-).

  • Frank

    2 years ago

    Next election

    I hope Campbell runs again and I hope the NDP replaces James with someone you guys find even more "shrill" and mediocre.

    It'll be fun to see another election with declining turnout and watch as 15% of the population elect a premier. That way even if Campbell wins I'll be laughing at the vote turnout numbers.

    Some would believe that when 75% of you don't vote that new parties will be formed. But based on the fact we just had an election where 52% didn't show up and I don't see any new parties I have to assume that 52% of the province is either politically ignorant or politically lazy.

  • Frank

    2 years ago

    Polakite

    In politics perception is reality. There's no need to wait and see, Mary is already done like dinner as Tiger Williams used to say.

  • Frank

    2 years ago

    Polakite

    "We don't have the time o'day for ideologues, we're trying to save the world."

    That's pretty funny coming from a supporter of a Langley MLA!

    Thanks for the Monday chuckle!!!

  • Frank

    2 years ago

    Diane Watts

    Can't run as premier unless Campbell resigns and as mentioned above, Campbell isn't the type to resign for the good of the party.

    We;ll see if she can even win re-election in Surrey, assuming someone bothers to run against her this time.

  • realisticman

    2 years ago

    Parochial

    There won't be any change in BC for years. The Federal scene is much more fun.

    Liberals file no-confidence motion

    "The Liberal Party filed a notice of motion of no-confidence Monday because it no longer trusts the Conservative minority government, Liberal Leader Michael Ignatieff said.

    But it appears the motion won't pass a vote, likely Thursday, because NDP Leader Jack Layton said his party will back the government, guaranteeing the Tories' survival."

    http://www.cbc.ca/canada/story/2009/09/28/liberals-non-confidence028.html

    Good old Jack! Wait a minute Jack, why not?

  • G West

    2 years ago

    I know all about it PolaKITE

    I can assure you Heather Stilwell and Mary Polak still have each other on speed dial - and Heather visits Mary here in Victoria every time the House is in session.

    Birds of a feather don't change their stripes - to mangle a metaphor. Fact is, you don't know what you're talking about.

    All her little pas de deux with Chamberlain is about was a futile effort at damage control...The ratepayers in Surrey are still 'paying through the nose’ for Mary’s and Heather's little exercise in practical prejudice institutional intolerance and, despite the odd character like you, the voters of BC know it.

  • Polakite

    2 years ago

    G West...

    We shall see what we shall see. On that note,

    Perhaps Premier Campbell will cling to power like John Howard... and doom the BCLibs to a long run in Opposition.

    Perhaps Mary Polak will NOT run for Premier and break the hearts of the true believers in her...

    Perhaps Diane Watts will have a confidential pledge from a Surrey-area BCLib MLA in a safe seat to retire early for her in return for a cushy deal.

    Perhaps Carole Taylor - who I find gorgeous BTW, just supposedly not going to be able to serve two terms - will try to run in the absence of Polak (female rep) and Hansen (social lib, good corporate guy).

    Perhaps Lara Daphninee (sp?), the tail gunner for the Campbell HQ team who escorts the guy around and watches his caboose so he can go home to wife & kids, will decide to make a legit claim to the throne.

    Perhaps, to the fright of so many Tyee commentors, Christy Clark will see version Two Point Oh (Mary Polak who has quite moderated over the years) not putting her eager hand up fast enough and seize what is rightfully hers as the next-of-kin to the Campbell legacy* - namely the Premiership. Easily two terms are Christy's... if she wants the title and that's a big IF w/ a son she adores & a great perch on BC politics & a great cause that rocks the world in pink shirts. Why would she want to trade that for the smells of jet fuel & napalm & tear gas along with the annoying sounds of Carole James, Mike Farnworth, Mauriane Kariagiannis + Claire Travina?

    So yeah, the intrigue is gonna get fun in April 2010 :-). I think the Premier's going to have to make a decision early on. I urge my hero Gyratin' Gord to take a moment, chat up THE Tony Blair about how he's a hero becuz he left before all went to crap and think about a new life.

    ---FOOTNOTE---
    *There is no way in heck Gordon Campbell would be the successful Premier he is w/o her. No way.

  • Jerry Munro

    2 years ago

    More on the Left that moves right in power, and why...

    The reason folks have come to think that it doesn't matter whom they vote for, and that they are all the same, is because its true..

    The NDP especially, though they all do it to some degree, start left and move right as they get closer to power, first, because they all accept capitalism as the norm... the gold standard. Secondly, they all need the vote of the working class particularly, because of their numbers, to get elected. So they all start off talking to the to the issues and making promises to the "common man.

    But what happens as they get closer to power, and especially it is noticeable in the case of the NDP is, they know that the day after the election they are going to need the co-operation of the ruling class, with their control over the economy in capitalism, in order to be able to govern at all. Which is when the courting and reassuring of the business classes begin, that they have nothing to fear from an NDP government. And the ruling class doesn't really have anything to fear and they have come to know it. The NDP will and does deliver the same essential "business friendly" government, certainly as the Liberals, whom they really want to be anyway, in my view. (Which is why they just about wet their pants at the earlier "alliance" possibility with the Liberals. Though they were rejected and got their feelings hurt, and would now rather support the Tories.)

    The NDP has never after successful election, save perhaps in iuts earliest CCF days, when the ideas of socialism still carried some weight in it, shown any serious inclination to challenge ruling class power over the economy, let alone democratize it, even share managerial and directorship power with the working class.

    Social Democracy, such as the NDP is in fact, in its modern form is just another party of capitalism. Which is why the mass of electorate know, and say all the time, that it doesn't matter who you vote for, for the day after the election you will get the same disappointing result. The pro-working class posture of old is still given lip service, especially in the early going of an election, of course, because they need their X on the ballot. It's just never delivered upon in any substantial power changing relationships way.

    What did you expect from just another party of capitalism anyway? Chicken soup?

  • Polakite

    2 years ago

    NDP going right?

    NDP friend of business?

    Give me a break. Their last platform gave nightmares to the business community, got 'em up and at them NDP... and then come 1 Mary 2009 when Mary Polak Rockets NDP on the way to the win! It's on YouTube - "BC Liberal Star Candidate Mary Polak Rockets NDP", http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4Ui2HE6Taac

    Of course, there had to be a "Vote BC Jobs" website - http://votebcjobs.ca/ . Great going, BCNDP. Why don't you just realize that capitalism is good. That freedom is great!

    Oh, that's right, all you measure is taxpayer inputs into things.

  • Hermans Hermit

    2 years ago

    Carole James 'n Dianne Watts

    "Canwest is already pumping blonde looker Surrey mayor, Diane Watts, notwithstanding her mediocre governance ability."

    ROFLMAO, two dimwit bimbos - James & Watts!

    They will both get crushed. Viva La BC Visionistas!

  • Skywalker

    2 years ago

    coyoteman

    It's still all theoretical. Can you give any specific examples of a policy or an action that reflected a move to the right as in a broken promise. You know know the NDP promised this legislation but delivered something else that reflected a move to the right.

  • Frank

    2 years ago

    coyoteman

    But if its true people 52% don't vote because the NDP is too right-wing then that means a real left-wing party would win the next election in a landslide.

    Yet, in spite of there being a number of other parties available, and in spite of there being few barriers to starting a new party, the 52% don't seem very motivated to change their governance.

  • Frank

    2 years ago

    Herman's Hermit

    Speaking of new parties with no support.

    There's 52% of the population available for your Vision BC to scoop up Herman. Any guesses as to why nothing is happening? Leadership? Policies? Everybody moved recently and didn't leave a forwarding address?

  • crankypants

    2 years ago

    NDP Leadership

    If the NDP wants to win the next election in BC they will have to replace Carole James. It has nothing to do with her capabilities, but the character assassination she has had bestowed on her by the MSM is like an albatross around her neck. Politically she is damaged goods and as such will likely be replaced. The question is by whom. If I were a member of the party(which I'm not and would never be a member of any political party as I don't believe in party politics) I would be thinking outside the box and push for Spencer Herbert. He's young, articulate and doesn't carry any negative political baggage. He could well be the type of leader that can get the younger voters out of their seats and out to the polls. These young voters are just plain turned off by having to choose from leaders that are old enough to be their grandparents. I may be wrong, but I believe that he is gay, which shouldn't be a large impediment in the 21st century. It would make for interesting coverage by the MSM as they would have to try and discredit him without appearing to denigrate his lifestyle. If an Afro-American can become president of the USA then anything is possible.

  • kootenay

    2 years ago

    Before I start I want to say

    Before I start I want to say to Coyoteman that I appreciate his posts and agree with much of what he has to say.

    Where we differ is in our opinion regarding the validity of voting for the NDP. While the NDP has many shortcomings, the leader is obvious, in my opinion we would still be better off with them running the province than the Liberals.

    Just look at the changes to WCB since the Liberals have taken power. Its a mere shell of its former self and provides little to no protection, rehabilitation or support for workers compared to its strength under the NDP.

    While I agree the NDP tends to become progressively right wing as they rule, not voting for any party just doesn't work for me. Assuming next election only 15% of the population bother to vote, does that make the government any less legitimate? The government couldn't care less if everyone stayed home and didn't bother to vote, they want power and will take it however they can get it.

    Can we really argue that not voting in the last election has served us better than voting for the NDP and throwing these SOB Liberals out on their asses. At the very least we could have slowed down the asault on society.

    I get your point coyoteman, but I have a real hard time agreeing with your 'don't vote' philosophy. Just how much longer can we endure Campbellization. The alternative isn't pretty, but it will give us a chance to regroup and heal our wounds before we do battle again.

    Bye the way I think a great leader for the NDP would be Jenny Kwan, that lady kicks ass!

  • Jerry Munro

    2 years ago

    Wasting one's time...

    Frank, you and I both know that right now, in the current circumstances, people are not thinking in terms of left and right yet, by and large. I think the current period's political lineup, and the NDPs place in it, reflects pretty much the reality of the times, the country and people's general lack of political sophistication. As I've said elsewhere, we are in a period of right wing growth and governance of most of the capitalist world, and this has to play itself out (as the NDP attempts to position itself favourably, as just another "liberal" party of capitalism). It may even be, as the rightist period begins to break up and lose support, in the confusion, trying an NDP government again here and there. (THIS capitalist party just may afterall deliver a kind of hope, might be the thinking.) Which is likely to change nothing substantially, given the past history and the trajectory of the NDPs development since the CCF. I do not see them moving off their current chosen position of being just another Liberal party of capitalism for the common man/woman. (Though the Trots will continue to try :-). And the more power to them. :-)

    The only hope is, and it is just a hope at this point, though a realistic one I think, that folks are about to get the political education of their lives. Which, again hopefully, is going to prepare the ground for that movement of people, and possibly even an election or series of, that will see the emergence of a real "socially transformative" left option movement capable of taking society out of and beyond capitalism. The NDP sure as hell isn't going to do it, and that is clear to people by now, I think. Or they are about to discover, if they do still think that the NDP is actually some kind of "socialist" party.

    Meanwhile, this is what you get... nothing worth a great many folks getting excited over, certainly in terms of a ruling class arbitrated electoral system, or even participating in.

    And I would suggest to folks wanting serious change in society, that they in fact not waste their energy, time and resources any longer in this electoral sham of the status quo, including the NDP. Instead, these resources of theirs would all be better spent organizing movements of citizens of every kind at the community level, and in the labour movement, to engage the system on their own behalves, as best they can, while taking what baby steps can be taken to build that socially transformative or, if you will, revolutionary movement capable and willing of finally challenging the capitalist assumption itself. (Which the NDP has never seen the importance of. They just want your vote, and possibly your money. :-)

    All the current parties to capitalism, including the NDP, in my view, are a waste of time.

  • seth

    2 years ago

    Dianne Watts, Carole Taylor, Leadership Convention?

    Sounds like a leadership convention coming up. Time for progressive activists to join the Liberal party, make sure a lefty takes the leadership and boot the neocons.

    You can talk all you like about replacing James and new political parties but the fact remains that Gordon Campbell has total control for the next 5 years unless either the party or a recall campaign boots him. If NDP and Green progressives switch to the the Liberal party they are at liberty to quit at any point hopefully after the neocons are gone and workin away at the BC Conservative leadership.

    Both Frank and Skywalker loving the BS, know full well it wasn't liberals who put in Gordon Campbell, it was massive membership buys by ex Socreds that put him in. The exact process I am advocated here but in reverse.

    D'ya thunk Frank that 20000 in $10 membership buys means anything to the party that gets tens of millions annually from corporations. Besides 20000 progressive memberships would end Gordo's rule for certain. Well worth the money.

  • freebear

    2 years ago

    Gordo won't leave...

    he's not finished his 'golden decade' (nevermind how tarnished)!

  • Running Frog

    2 years ago

    Canada is merely China's new debt market

    So what is it now actually, $14,500 per person in BC to pay for all this new immigrant EI?! What would it be if spread federally then?

    TOO BAD IT WAS NEVER PUT TO THE VOTE, WE HAVE FULLY LOST OUR HUMAN RIGHTS.

    http://www.debtclock.ca/

  • SharingIsGood

    2 years ago

    Good discussion

    The earth is finite. With global warming, and dwindling resources, we know that we must, therefore, tread lightly and share our planet's resources in measured ways. Hoarding by the wealthy and the power-mongers depletes our planet's resources faster than need be. Politicians like Campbell cater to like-minded, narcissistic power-hungry hoarders. Campbellites cause our planet's resources (which includes living things) to be consumed by us at ever faster rates. When I think of North American and European political movement since Nixon gained power and our having Campbell running our government for a "golden decade", the irony of Warhol's soup cans is almost unbearably sadly surreal.

    I admire and tend to agree with the kootenays of the Tyee: to do nothing makes one complicit in the demise of our province, our country, our continent and our world. I wish I had the heart to be continually optimistic. I would be able to recognize that what coyoteman says is happening could be the way of the future - if we do not change. In my darker moments, I give into believing that coyoteman's words are true, and my grandchildren are doomed to chaos because our species, with all of its analytical intellect and all of its data storage and sorting capacity, allows for selfish, "damaged" people, like Gordon Campbell to destroy this beautiful world.

    I was hopeful that Barack Obama would represent a “movement”; kind-minded others would rise to the occasion and that the neocons were done. In my darker moments, I fear that Obama may be just another Jimmy Carter - a truly brilliant and good leader that gets politically assassinated by the true ruling class of the planet - the uberwealthy hoarders. Rather than follow the US voters' lead and elect a government that cares for its citizens and the planet, Germany has just elected a conservative government. With all of the dirt upon him, Harper leads in Canada’s polls!

    Perhaps coyoteman is right: the time is drawing nigh that we will fall under the crush of our own self-destructive choices. Perhaps it will mean the end of humans; perhaps human population will enter a bit of a trough where our numbers are drastically reduced. One thing is for certain we cannot maintain our current rate of consumption of the planet’s resources. Yet, Earth will survive humans; living creatures of some sort will evolve and repopulate the planet again, repeating the cycle as has been the case for past eras. The cycle of life in the pulsating universe will continue long past our human capacity to measure and divide it in our myopic ways.

  • Frank

    2 years ago

    Seth

    "Both Frank and Skywalker loving the BS, know full well it wasn't liberals who put in Gordon Campbell"

    Seth, the Liberal party of BC is mainly a home for federal Conservatives. Most federal Liberals vote NDP provincially. Even Liberals like Wilf and Luke have admitted that in the past.

    So given that reality what makes you think a few Dippers can join that party and elect a new left-wing Liberal leader as you put it?

    There is no way in hell that could happen any more than a bunch of Reformers could join the NDP and replace Carole James with realisticman.

    Your idea was fun to read at first but you're flogging a dead horse. And even if you somehow could pull off this incredible turn of events while everyone's back was turned you'd still have to face an election. And your left-wing Liberal leader wouldn't win a seat.

    "D'ya thunk Frank that 20000 in $10 membership buys means anything to the party that gets tens of millions annually from corporations."

    I know the NDP needs that money a lot more than the Liberals do and starving the NDP to feed the corporate party makes no sense to me.

    "Besides 20000 progressive memberships would end Gordo's rule for certain. Well worth the money."

    In a short amount of time he would be replaced by someone to the Right of Wilf Hanni.

  • Polakite

    2 years ago

    Gordo's Golden Decade...

    ends in June 2011.

    Under the Polak Premiership, the Sweet Decade would begin.

    Under the Clark Premiership, the Snarky Decade would begin.

    Under the Falcon Premiership, the Beaking Off Decade would start.

  • Frank

    2 years ago

    coyoteman

    I think your key plank is the belief that people will get a big dose of right-wing governance and will look for something new.

    Years ago I said the same thing in regards to BC.

    The thing is, you're expecting revolutionary change whereas my expectation was that Campbell was and is too right-wing for most people and therefore there would be a swing of the pendulum back towards the centre-left.

    The reason is that the NDP exists, people have an idea of what they're getting. The NDP may not be as left-wing as you'd like but people are generally used to them and their election falls within the comfort-zone of most BCers. (and I don't mean Reformers like the NDP, I just mean they may say its the end of the world but in reality they expect their day to day life to be the same).

    Regardless of what the politics are on any given day the NDP's job is to be as left-wing as possible while still being relevant and electable.

    People are going to be more willing to accept left-wing policies if there's a party that they're used to talking about them. In other words people will accept incremental change but not revolutionary change. I would say the proof of that is in the fact that the NDP has been elected at least once in 5 provinces whereas further-left parties have never been elected at all.

    Like it or not, most people want their governments to change democratically and in between elections want people to obey the law.

  • Jerry Munro

    2 years ago

    SharingIsGood

    You are an insightful and thoughtful person, SharingIsGood. But my own thinking is not quite as negative as I might even sound, or yourself interpret.

    I think we, and society, are in an extremely difficult and fraught with danger period, but I am optimistic that humanity, even our own citizens in Canada, are going to find the way out of what you describe. I have to be optomistic, otherwise, what really is the point? :-)

    But we are, first going to have to overcome some illusions we have, I think, about most of our present economic and political institutions, starting with most if not all the current parties to capitalism, and ways of thinking. And its this process that is already proving to be extremely bumpy, and is likely to get worse. But it is such trials that are the best, even likely essential educators of the masses as well.

    Humanity has a long history however, and that we have got to here is a testimony to our resilience and capacity to adapt in the end, when it's understood widely that we have no other alternative. We shall have to see what evolves over the coming period.

    Though it is hard sometimes, and I understand that, I am essentially optimistic... even if at my age, it is likely that I'm not going to be around to see it. Nobody said life was going to be fair. :-)

  • Dennis J

    2 years ago

    Gordon Campbell

    It never fails to amaze me that when Premiers' are in office too long they seem to rise to the unofficial office of `King' as in King Gordon , thy bounty is full and rhetoric empty.

  • monty

    2 years ago

    Seth

    You are in denial. Give it up,man, you sound like a PAB poseur.
    Today the City of Vancouver announced it's debt load to date. Campbell will stand on the podium then leave.
    With 6 billion in debt (according to the Vancouver Sun) so far for the BIC EVENT and TRANSLINK greedily lurking at the trough for MORE MORE MORE, the noise will not be all cheers.
    The Dalai Lama arrived at the airport. Campbell was not there to greet him. That is his job. That is what he is paid to do. The GG failed to show up to welcome him. She is the Queen's representative. This is her job. That is what she is paid to do. Are these two so worried about offending China that they have lost their minds? At the Aboriginal Celebration at Robson
    Square Sunday I asked an elder if Campbell had shown up. He said "No, they sent some younger guy. We didn't know who he was. Campbell is hiding."
    Campbell has been stomping around the leg blaming the media for his troubles. As one commentator e-mailed me "When a control freak loses control, he anger angry." Watch for more temper tantrums is he bothers to show up next week. Cheers.

  • Jerry Munro

    2 years ago

    Frank....

    I know where you are coming from, brother. I even bought into it at one time; the rationale that one had to in some way "sneak" into power with a minimalist "progressive" programme. At the height of the Prosperity Period and the anti-communist hysteria of the Cold War, it made sense and there was little alternative.

    I think that time and the rationale that underpinned that analysis has in large part passed, and is passing. The Prosperity Period is in the toilet, along with the illusions it fostered, about the changed character of capitalism. Snd with the rise of the more extreme right that is underway, conditions are destined to be created that are more favourable for a more "serious" and "overtly" left, even "transformative" analysis and programme of action to move society away from capitalism.

    But one of the things that first has to occur here soon, is the illusion of sneaking into power with a modest left programme that is at the heart of social democracy, is any kind of satisfactory solution at all. It is not. It will, as it has, always produce a result that changes essentially nothing, and is quite acceptable to the ruling class and its order, and "stucks" society further into capitalism.

    Time to begin the process of breaking away, from the system, and from those ideas on the left that have been co-opted by it. The vanguard concept is dead. There needs to be a new politik, fundamentally anti-capitalist begin to emerge out of the lower class grassroots.

    The future will have to be left to demonstrate which one of us is correct here. And I accept that.

  • freebear

    2 years ago

    Campbell is damaged goods....

    Just like a dented soup can!

  • Frank

    2 years ago

    coyoteman

    I'm not talking about "sneaking into power".

    I know you're old enough to remember Wacky Bennett's 20 years. Well, he didn't win all those elections because he was the greatest premier since sliced bread, he won because a lot of people seriously believed the NDP were the equivalent of Russian Bolsheviks and would collectivize farms and so on. Back then the NDP were considered "scary".

    Nobody thinks that anymore, the worst they come up with nowadays is complaining about the fast ferries and Carole James. They're still seen as left-wing, by the mainstream, but not "scary Left".

    I think the NDP is as left-wing as they can be and still be electable.

    As to your other point about the looming crisis and what it means etc. People could turn to the Left that's true, but looking at the way Europe is going I'd be more concerned about it going fascist.

    Germany, Italy, France and I imagine soon Britain and maybe even Spain will all be right-wing in spite of the knocks that capitalism has undergone. Why people asked for more of the same in the wake of the present crisis is beyond me but it doesn't look good for the Left.

  • Jerry Munro

    2 years ago

    The left - right fault line...

    "...but looking at the way Europe is going I'd be more concerned about it going fascist."

    We are much agreed and disagreed. :-)

    In the short term, for sure, fascism is of a much greater danger. Which is precisely why the fault line between left and right has to be sharpened, in my view. There needs to be a clear and absolute distinguishment, not the blurring of the line between left and right that the NDP and the rest of the muddy centre represents... not any longer.

    The risk of fascism is growing however, I very much agree. Which is precisely why we need that socially and economically revolutionary left.

  • SharingIsGood

    2 years ago

    Frank and Coyoteman

    First of all, I'd like to thank Coyote and Franks for clarifying their thoughts. They are very capable writers. I always love to learn from them.

    It reads to me like the ole' trickster believes: "incremental change is no change at all" and we will need to have a bit of revolution (in thinking and politick - if not Mao's point of a gun). If I got it right, I believe Coyoteman thinks we need the far right-wing inequities to continue a while longer so that a counter-balancing grass roots critical mass can develop within the disenfranchised.

    It sounds to me that incremental change is what Frank perceives will be the only change we are likely to get. Remembering his past writings, I believe that Frank believes that BC is a small "c" conservative place that only harkens to the right or the left of the current status quo when a viable small c conservative alternative is not presented to the electorate. The NDP only wins when the vote on the right is split or is in turmoil due to corruption. In recent decades, the NDP takes up the position of being just slightly left of whatever Socred/BC Liberal/Reform government is currently in power or has been trying to ascend to power).

    Big Business (of which Big Media is a big part) has done a fantastic job of continually painting the previous NDP as inept when, in fact, they proved to be very careful managers of the province's resources at a time the Feds downloaded health-care while the province was also reeling from the Asian Banking Crisis and the collapse of the Yen. The NDP were handed a huge deficit and there was no way to deal with it except to borrow, unless they wanted to have an angry province full of hungry, unemployed people.

    The BC Liberals, on the other hand, were handed a province that was in good economic shape; they squandered the largess on the already rich and on giving away more to International Corporations. It is beyond me how the people of BC have not been able to see this happening and have voted Campbell Inc. in to run things for a 3rd term.

    When the Coyoteman and Frank speak of fascism, I must say that in my view, we are but an election away from it if Harper ever gets his majority. Just imagine a Gordon Campbell BC and a Steven Harper Canada!! Luckily we’ve had a Canadian Court that generally upholds Canada's Charter of Rights and Freedoms - flawed though it may be toward the rights of individuals (which includes the invented persons of which foreign corporate individuals are a part) over the rights of communities. If Harper gets in, look for legislation that gives even greater rights to corporations than individual people – even though they already enjoy more power due to the capital they hold and the lawyers they can hire to tie up litigation for years.

  • Skywalker

    2 years ago

    "Like a dented can of soup"

    Not at all. The content has gone foul.

  • realisticman

    2 years ago

    Sharing, et al

    It is lefties talking about fascism that causes the left to stay way out of power. As Frank points out many countries in Europe have elected more conservative governments as Germany just did and Britain may well follow. The social safety nets are still in place and life is reasonably good for most people, so when they hear the constant negativity and prophets of doom and gloom from the left they are turned off. Apathy and low voter turnouts ensue. The idea that things are bad is like any philosophy. It's just an idea because by any measure things are pretty damn good and when compared to anywhere else, things in Canada and especially BC are bloody good.

    Relentless negativity is so boring.

  • Matt T.

    2 years ago

    Perhaps some of the far left

    Perhaps some of the far left posters here should set up their own BC version of the re-elected German conservative CDU.

    Quote:
    Jürgen Rüttgers, the CDU governor of North-Rhine Westphalia -- Germany's most-populous state -- decided it was time for a bit of constructive criticism. In an interview with the weekly news magazine Stern, Rüttgers -- a powerful member of the CDU's left wing -- said the CDU "is no capitalist party. It was never one, is not now one, and cannot be allowed to become one."

    Quote:
    Later in the interview, he said that it was time to say goodbye to a few basic misconceptions. What did he mean? "The claim that tax cuts lead to more investment and thus to more jobs is, in this simple formulation, incorrect."

    Any takers?!

  • SharingIsGood

    2 years ago

    realisticman

    Realisticman stated: "The social safety nets are still in place and life is reasonably good for most people."

    Realisticman, when I read your writing, I wonder if you have school-aged children with any disabilities or special needs. The cutbacks in public school funding has led to reduced service because more is expected with less. I wonder if you have infirm parents who count on the medicare system to provide a clean place for them to live. I wonder if you have university-aged children that may be attempting to pay their way through UBC with $10 an hour jobs and student loans. The average bachelor's degree candidate from BC universities has that student graduating with a $35,000 loan to repay. The social safety nets are fraying, developing holes; and user pay and HST tax systems are unfair to many people in need.

    I'm a professional, who works with a broad range of people. Many of the people whose needs were being met 10 years ago are no longer having their needs met. I am seeing more violence, drug addiction and physical pain being experienced by an ever-growing number of people. My colleagues in other jurisdictions are seeing the same thing. You may walk around in a make-believe rose-coloured designer glasses kind of world, R-man, but mine is a world based in reality. With the highest child poverty in Canada for many years in a row (what is it 6, 7?), the highest cost of housing and the lowest minimum wage, life in BC is getting worse for a good number of people - not better. Campbell Inc. caters to the wealthy and Big Business; Campbell Inc. barely tollerates its own citizenry.

    For someone who calls himself Realisticman, you aren't being very realistic. There is nothing unrealistic about calling something what it is. Campbell is a rightwing extremist, wannabe dictator, who refuses to answer questions in the Legislature presented by the Official Opposition during Question Period. Campbell and the BC Liberals are a law unto themselves; they answer to no-one. They are so far to the right, if they are permitted to go any further, we will have a defacto fascist state. There is nothing negative in those words, R-man.

  • Frank

    2 years ago

    realisticman

    "It is lefties talking about fascism that causes the left to stay way out of power."

    No it isn't. No one reads it or cares to. If you have some proof to the contrary by all means bring it forward.

  • Frank

    2 years ago

    realisticman

    "Relentless negativity is so boring."

    No one has ever been more negative than right-wingers in the 1990s. It was pretty hard to take during the 1990s what with you guys on the Right complaining 24/7 about the state of the province.

    Funnily enough now you say everything is wine and roses in spite of the province having done better under in the NDP in the 1990s.

  • Frank

    2 years ago

    Matt T.

    "Any takers?!"

    I'll bite. What exactly is wrong with those quotes?

  • Hughes

    2 years ago

    Hope for the BC Liberal Party???

    "But there is hope for the BC Liberal Party."

    The Liberal Party is rotten to the core in my opinion Rafe.
    Is there an incoruptible politician left in the land?

    I can't help becoming more 'n' more cynical the longer this band of thugs 'n' thieves form government.

  • realisticman

    2 years ago

    Frank

    This is interesting and to the point.

    http://atlanticreview.org/archives/1223-Lessons-for-Europes-Social-Democrats-from-the-Obama-Campaign.html

    quote:
    "...What impresses Perger is the ability of the Obama campaign to form a broad-based "coalition of the willing" consisting of organized labor, minorities, college students, highly educated professionals. What holds this coalition together, Perger asserts, is a strategy of "good populism": a positive vision of the future that taps into the American Dream, the principles of fairness, equality, and prosperity through hard work. He contrasts this with the negative populism we see in Europe with the divisive rhetoric of the left-wing parties and the right-wing populism of cynicism and white resentment we witnessed at the McCain-Palin campaign rallies. ..."

  • Frank

    2 years ago

    realisticman

    Well... the thing is Obama didn't win by much and since the election he has been unable to get anything passed because his "coalition of the willing" isn't willing to support bad policies.

    But to look at things more abstractly I will say yes, its much more likely people will vote for "don't worry be happy" versus "things are screwed".

    Now in previous posts you have said that yours is not a tactic, you really believe that everything in Canada and BC is wonderful (in spite of the 1990's being better). To me being an ostrich may be a good sell but I find it hard not to be realistic.

    When the soon-to-be-Liberal-MLA launched a court case against the Clark gov't over being a few million in deficit did you think to yourself "why is he being so negative?"

    After all, the Left hasn't launched one against Campbell in spite of their deficit dwarfing the NDP's.

    So don't compare the rhetoric of a group out of power with the rhetoric of a group in power. Instead compare apples to apples. Were the right-wing more negative about the NDP in the 1990s than the Left has been about the Liberals since 2001?

    In my view the right-wingers were way more negative in the 1990's than we've been.

  • Frank

    2 years ago

    And...

    And even though the Libs are now in power they, and their supporters, are still extremely negative about the NDP 90's. Again, in spite of the stats.

    Also, I seem to recall you yourself referring to Layton as "Taliban Jack". Whereas I never call Campbell anything except "Mr Premier", "our man in Victoria", "dear leader" ... etc.

    Of course you haven't called him "Taliban Jack" ever since Harper adopted his view.

  • realisticman

    2 years ago

    Frank

    It's not "don't worry be happy" but, what I quoted above, "principles of fairness, equality, and prosperity through hard work.", as opposed to the constant cries for nationalizations, elimination of capitalism and Robbin Hoodism - which is simply seen as tiresome and resembling the child that is crying and pointing to another who has something he wants. People today want competition in the marketplace because it offers them choice, and capitalism, while in its unfettered form has been demonstrated to be potentially disastrous, offers them opportunity, freedom and plenty as opposed to the recently abandoned socialism of the USSR.

    A different paradigm to the eager 60's exists now. Then there was Vietnam and the idea that bombing civilians would stop an ideology, even as it cost the lives of boomer boys, became seriously conflicted with the simultaneous growth of rock music, radical fashion change, sexual freedom, etc. At that time the huge international flock of counter-culture boomers had to congregate to share their experiences, since this was before the age of blogs and the 'net. Gatherings took place in cafés, music stores and venues, clothing shops, bookshops, parks, small movie theatres, etc. There were exchanges of information and discussions about what concerned and interested each other and, most importantly, there was at least a belief that a general consciousness was shared. The music, film and writings of the time bought it all together. People would demonstrate in San Francisco or London and there was a fairly certain conviction that each was thinking the same as the other. That was the 'left' then. Today the gatherings of the young do not have the same imperative because the boomers have given them decades, in the west, without the requirement to go to war. They have given them freedoms of choice in so many areas and so many toys that they don't have any tangible issue to become excited about, except perhaps the environment which seems to be the only really big issue that crosses international borders.

    One can understand that some left wing commentators seemed to be relishing the possible collapse of the international financial system. This would have provided them with a great opportunity to call for socialism in capital letters. Maybe soon. Until then the majority are content with the status quo.

    Politics in this free world is partly comedy for some of those who revel in it and this is distinctly apparent, as well as encouraged by some, in the local scene. Sometimes it is a struggle to make colourful some characters that are distinctly challenged in that area.

  • Frank

    2 years ago

    realisticman

    "which is simply seen as tiresome and resembling the child that is crying and pointing to another who has something he wants."

    A rather shrill and negative summation of Leftee thoughts I think. Especially since the European Right has accepted what you diminish. Merkel and Sarkozy have not ripped apart the European welfare state which you seem to find so odious.

    So, that brings us back to square one. Which is, why is the Left failing politically in Europe since they are the authors of the policies that Europeans want. The new German government coalition will no longer include social democrats, how right-wing will it go?

    In the case of Italy (and Canada) its obvious why the Right does so well, the leader owns all the media. France and Germany are different cases.

    "but, what I quoted above, "principles of fairness, equality, and prosperity through hard work.","

    This quote was about Obama and the Democrats, not the American right-wing. In other words its the American left that that quote was about and why the American left has successfully taken over control of government.

    "One can understand that some left wing commentators seemed to be relishing the possible collapse of the international financial system."

    I think most on the Left are upset more about the fact that the lower classes bailed out fat capitalists.

  • Frank

    2 years ago

    "Europe's Socialists

    "Europe's Socialists Suffering Even in Downturn"

    http://www.nytimes.com/2009/09/29/world/europe/29socialism.html?_r=1&ref=todayspaper

    and
    Thomas Friedman column on how there's no "we" anymore in US politics

    http://www.nytimes.com/2009/09/30/opinion/30friedman.html?_r=1&ref=opinion

  • seth

    2 years ago

    blather without knowledge.

    Obviously, Frank knows nothing about how political parties are run. Have you ever been a party executive, a delegate.You ever watched a hijack as it happens. No didn't think so.

    "Most federal liberals vote NDP" You are really wack my friend if you believe that. An Iggy fan voting for Carole James Hmm. Quoting Wilf and Luke as authorities is really rich coming from you who disagrees with everything those two come up with.

    You heard of Chuck Cadman and wife, Lynn Stevens, Joe Clark, Gordon Wilson, Stephen Harper, Val Meridith. Ask them how hijacks work.

    Right now there are so few active members in the BCLiberal party that any determined group selling memberships could take over. Our constituency with a sitting BCLiberal MLA has trouble getting a quorum most meetings.

    By leftie leader, Gregor Robertson might fit the ticket, not Karl Marx. In any case the only election the new leader needs to win is at a convention at least for the next four years.

    The NDP is out of the picture for the next four years and any money sent their way is an utter waste.

    A party hijack requires a hell of lot less manpower than a recall campaign.

  • Frank

    2 years ago

    Seth

    You'll want to include Vaughn Palmer in your list of people that are "wacked".

    From Vaughn's column today (I certainly didn't have to dig very far) :

    "Federal Liberals are trying to avoid the backlash against the provincial party that shares their name but not their structure, policies or even (despite overlaps) membership and supporters."

    And as I said, even Luke Skywalker, who loved polls, said himself that polling and voting records showed conclusively that federal Liberals voted NDP by a ratio of 4:1 provincially. I guess Luke is "wacked" too?

    Safe to say that if you vote Liberal in BC you're voting for the same party the supporters of Stephen Harper vote for.

    I will say one thing, your attempt to get NDPers to support a right-wing party is at least a novel one.

  • G West

    2 years ago

    Dreams of a future that never was

    Werner Perger's little encomium on Barack Obama as savior was written about a year ago...and it shows.

    Obama's 'coalition of the willing' is getting a little threadbare at this stage of the game - one wonders what Perger would think now of a president who has made an under the table deal with both insurance and drug companies that gives the 'creators' of the medical insurance crisis in the States a get out of jail free card

    Instead of responding to the racists and white nationalists who are attacking the need for a real PUBLIC option, Obama seems paralyzed.

    He doesn't even have the jam to defend his appointees against racist clods like Glenn Beck and Rush Limbaugh.

    Some consensus!
    What’s needed in the US now is an 8 million person march on Washington to point out to the White House that it was young people and progressives who elected him – not hoary time servers in Congress and the Senate….

  • seth

    2 years ago

    more nonsensec

    Why Frank I'm really trying to see what Vaughn Palmer's comment or even your new authority the now deceased Luke has to do with the number of liberals in the BCLiberal party. I guess that is the type of reasoning that lead to the utter botch the NDP made of their campaign.

    In my local constituency, there are no federal liberal party members in the provincial NDP riding association and I doubt you'd find more than a handful any province wide. There are however buckets of them in the BCLiberal ridings associations. And it is association members we are talking about here.

    The Socreds who hijacked Gordon Wilson's Liberal Party has always been a home for both liberal and conservative thinkers. Its just that as with the federal conservative and us republicans, the Neocons have seized control.

    If NDPers join the BCLiberal party it will no longer be right wing now would it. Just as Joe Clark's federal conservatives after David Orchard's attempted hijack was no longer Conservative.

    Politics 101 my friend. You need to start reading.

  • Frank

    2 years ago

    Seth

    Okay, I'll accept your premise that Palmer, Luke and I know nothing about polls and elections and instead defer to you. How many federal Liberals are in the BC Liberals Seth?

    Apparently you seem to believe, "lots". But I'd prefer actual data. Can you give me an actual number?

    "In my local constituency, there are no federal liberal party members in the provincial NDP riding association and I doubt you'd find more than a handful any province wide"

    And yet the NDP only gets around 25% in BC in federal elections yet around 40% provincially. I guess there must be 150,000+ NDPers who only move here for federal elections.

    Anyway, so how come all those federal Liberals that exist in the provincial party can't just take back their own party? After all, according to the 2006 federal election there are as many of your "real Liberals" in this province as there are "socialists". Seems to me that you don't need those of us on the Left that you have such disdain for.

    "I guess that is the type of reasoning that lead to the utter botch the NDP made of their campaign."

    Oh! A zinger! I wasn't going to help you before but I'm sure I will help you now what with all the love you show.

  • G West

    2 years ago

    Personally Seth

    I number of us NDPers, guys like Frank and me who've been 'real' socialists from the get-go back on the prairies (and that's not so-ooooooo long ago by the way) were pretty happy with the campaign the party ran this election...

    Remind me, how far down the popularity ladder were we when the campaign started?

    And yet, at the end:

    Less than 5000 more votes in a few specific ridings and it would be Premier James right now.

    So, this myth you keep spinning about the 'utter' botch the party made of the campaign, I think it's pretty much a load of crap.

    When you consider how much (money) the party had to work with, the size of Campbell's war chest and the utter mythology that we have an 'impartial' press in BC...well, maybe you can understand why I don't think you know enough about political realities to even have made up the prerequisites for taking Poli Sci 100...

    One other small, but not trivial point, there is something to be said for letting Campbell and his neocon enablers stew in their own juice for a while...I'm sorry the 'people' they ought to be serving have to suffer but, in the end, the CEO deserves to be ridden out of town on a rail and I think it's very likely that's exactly what's going to happen to him and his neoliberal colleagues...

    You might be comfortable with a BC Liberal membership card in your pocket…not me. As far as I’m concerned you should ‘go’ for it though – I think you’d fit right in. We won’t miss you!

  • G West

    2 years ago

    erratum

    That first word should be 'A' not 'I'

  • realisticman

    2 years ago

    I Second that Emotion

    quote:

    "One other small, but not trivial point, there is something to be said for letting Campbell and his neocon enablers stew in their own juice for a while..."

    Promise?

    Yeah, sure, for at least five years.

    Gordon has a song for you Garth.
    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1tAUDiS4rak

  • Luke

    2 years ago

    Hmmmm...

    What did Arnold Schwarzenneger once say? "I'll be back" :D

    Frank:

    Quote:
    Okay, I'll accept your premise that Palmer, Luke and I know nothing about polls and elections and instead defer to you. How many federal Liberals are in the BC Liberals Seth?

    It's not party members per se but unaffiliated voters. That is, the federal NDP receives 26% of the BC vote in 2008 but the provincial NDP receives another 40% above that count to achieve 42%. Simple math, that is.

    seth:

    Quote:
    the now deceased Luke

    One should always remember Mark Twain's famous quip"

    Quote:
    The News of My Death Has Been Greatly Exaggerated

    Oh Gee West:

    Quote:
    Less than 5000 more votes in a few specific ridings and it would be Premier James right now.

    And less than 5,000 votes would have also resulted in a 60 - 25 seat landslide Lib victory.

    Yes, let's have some more fun!;)

  • Frank

    2 years ago

    Luke

    Welcome Luke. In the spirit of your return I'd like to point out your calculator is broken :-)

    "That is, the federal NDP receives 26% of the BC vote in 2008 but the provincial NDP receives another 40% above that count to achieve 42%. Simple math, that is."

    Type 26 * 1.4 into your calculator. It doesn't come out to 42. You may want to try 60% instead of 40%.

  • Frank

    2 years ago

    Luke

    Your guy Iggy isn't doing so well. I don't know your feelings on the matter but maybe you should have stuck with Dion.

    LOL

  • Frank

    2 years ago

    Luke

    Tell us how you got out of the Tyee prison. I'm betting GWest that they let you out ofter 6 months because you wrote a hardship story.

    Or you bribed the Tyee parole board.

    The last possibility is they don't know you've escaped.

  • Luke

    2 years ago

    Frank...

    You are definitely right. I just threw out my new Mongolian abacus. Darn thing is obviously outta whack.

    BTW, ya better re-watch Stalag 13. Bribing Sergeant Schulz with a bag of freshly baked French pastry did a world of wonders. ;)

  • Frank

    2 years ago

    Luke

    You're "Frenchie"?

    Keep your head down, avoid the autobahns and try to make it to Switzerland.

    Mongolian abacuses haven't worked properly since Temujin had only 3 wives.

  • G West

    2 years ago

    Unfinished business - for the editors.

    I assume the editors will be sending a gilt-edged invitation to return to the fray to Rod Smelser.

    Otherwise, there's no moral or ethical reason why the person who started this nonsense and who totally ignores the rules around here has no business being back - no matter what name he/she currently adopts.

    Till Smelser's back, one should simply ignore the fact that 'Luke' has risen from the dead.

  • realisticman

    2 years ago

    Garth, are you lobbying? again!

    Should you really be attempting to interfere with what is possibly justice and due process?

    And please, don't fear the facts.

    We must be moral and have ethics.

  • G West

    2 years ago

    Unfinished business - for the editors.

    I assume the editors will be sending a gilt-edged invitation to return to the fray to Rod Smelser.

    Otherwise, there's no moral or ethical reason why the person who started this nonsense and who totally ignores the rules around here has no business being back - no matter what name he/she currently adopts.

    Till Smelser's back, one should simply ignore the fact that 'Luke' has risen from the dead.

  • realisticman

    2 years ago

  • G West

    2 years ago

    Germany- hasty conclusions from little evidence & less knowledge

    In Germany, contrary to most of the coverage here, both mainstream parties lost significantly in the election, partly due to a lack of polarization in their campaign when two senior members of the government (Chancellor Merkel and Foreign Minister Steinmeier) were running against one another.

    The shift towards the smaller parties (none of which scored more than 10 percent in 2005) also shows up a structural problem of the mainstream parties. Both Merkel and Steinmeier need to realize that every vote needs to be worked for; this is a challenge to parties that try to cover all issues simultaneously. At the same time, smaller parties benefit from the way they’ve addressed niche and special interest issues. FDP – the biggest gainers in this election are little more than a pro-business rump while Greens attract environmentally conscious citizens, and followers of the Left are attracted by the party's calls for redistribution.

    Demographics too are important: Germany consists of mainly older voters while the smaller parties seem to be especially attractive to young people. In the group of under 30 year olds the FDP drew level with the SPD. This change in the population profile assists single-issue parties who address only issues that are important for young people. Internet regulation and copyright for example. In fact, the Pirate Party won two percent of the vote by mobilizing young voters with just these topics.

    Like the NDP, the SPD hasn’t reinvented itself to attract voters who have moved to the Greens or the Left. A few years in opposition will do the Left a lot of good as Merkel and her neocon allies continue to mess with a social situation that, at bottom, most Germans are pretty fond of.

  • Frank

    2 years ago

    realisticman

    Well, I'm glad you read that article but are you trying to tell me you don't even give a glance at the few links I bother to post?

    I posted the one you just posted to me 24 hours ago on this very comments section.

    The title of the comment was "Europe's Socialists"

    I'm deeply hurt. Its going to take ma long time to get over this insult :-)

  • Frank

    2 years ago

    GWest

    "A few years in opposition will do the Left a lot of good"

    I agree. The Left in France and Germany (and Britain) need to look at where their previous support has gone and why. I think there's some parallels there with what Travers has written in the Tor Star today about the federal Liberals. If you take winning for granted you ignore the problems for too long.

    A party to the Left of the Social-Democrats increased in strength, at the SD's expense. But I'd also like to know why the Free whatever they're called to the Christian Democrat's Right increased in strength.

  • realisticman

    2 years ago

    Frank

    FDP success. Probably that good old thing, tax cuts:

    http://online.wsj.com/article/BT-CO-20091001-705778.html

  • G West

    2 years ago

    Yep

    Fascists love to cut taxes...just look what that attitude - attenuated over a quarter of a century or so - has done for California....

  • Frank

    2 years ago

    Grant Devine is leading the FDP?

    Ah yes, the The Siren call of the Right, the promise of lower taxes but never worse services or higher deficits. Politics for the mathematically challenged.

    There's always a segment that thinks it should have something for nothing. I guess the FDP appeals to that segment in Germany.

  • nickiola

    2 years ago

    I so agree with you, Rafe,

    I so agree with you, Rafe, but if we want to get him out we'll need someone like you to lead a party we can trust. Carol James is trying hard but she doesn't have the confidence of the people to do a better job than Gordon Campbell. People would follow you where they won't follow Carol. I bet they'd even follow you into the Liberal Party if you decided to go there.

    I don't understand why Campbell's so insistent on cooking his goose. He started off well but is it just plain greed? Don't know but he sure is losing it/us.

  • realisticman

    2 years ago

    G West & Uncle Frank

    Here's a big tax cutter. Fascist you say. Well good for you, as long you have that posture you're out of power.

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aEdXrfIMdiU

    By the way, after this guys tax cuts went through GDP expanded by an average of 5.5% while inflation remained steady at around 1% and unemployment began to ease; industrial production rose by 15% and motor vehicle sales leapt by 40%. This rate of growth in GDP and industry continued for six years!

  • G West

    2 years ago

    Not exactly

    The top marginal rates of tax during Kennedy's short and essentially failed presidency were 70%....

    I'll let the reader look up what the current rates in the US are now - and draw their own conclusions.

    The reason why inequality is what really grows with lowered tax rates is pretty obvious...maybe that's why the happiest country in the world is Denmark - it also happens to have some of the world's highest marginal tax rates.

  • Frank

    2 years ago

    GWest

    "Well good for you, as long you have that posture you're out of power."

    Uh oh, next thing you know he'll be calling us losers for cheering for the Canucks or doing the "na na" song.

  • realisticman

    2 years ago

    Frank

    I didn't know; do you support the Bloc?

    "The Random House Dictionary notes that: "The term Canuck is first recorded about 1835 as an Americanism, originally referring specifically to a French Canadian."

    Somehow, I don't expect them to get the PM seat in Ottawa. So therby a cheerer would be somewhat of a looser.

  • Frank

    2 years ago

    Canucks lose 5-3

    For some reason I don't mind being called a "looser".

  • nickiola

    2 years ago

    Looser

    Is a looser the same as a loser, or is it something different?

  • realisticman

    2 years ago

    nickiola

    Good question. A looser is someone who is not securely attached, it's the antonym of a tighter. A tighter being someone that has developed or has been endowed with distinct tightness. A looser is also a loser who can't spell "loser".

    What a wonderful language.

    Well spotted, like a leopard.

  • G West

    2 years ago

    Canuck

    William Safire has about the best explication of the word 'Canuck' that I've ever read (including a long quotation from his correspondence with then Prime Minister Pierre Elliot Trudeau) in his book Safire's Political Dictionary, I won't bother to quote from it.

    I see it remaindered in a lot of book bins these days for less than $4 (Can) so you can pick it up while you’re shopping for Sarah Palin’s magnum opus if you’re so inclined.

    However, Bill Casselman has penned a funnier and, for a 'colonized' place like the north half of the continent, much more apt etymological history of the word in one of his disquisitions on the word 'Canada'.

    His words, for reasons which will be obvious - at least partly because of who'll be reading them among current company, I will quote at length:
    Canadians in slangy parlance are Canucks. Some dictionaries, including the Canadian Oxford English Dictionary, give a lexical shrug, a short pouty sigh, and opine that this nickname for a Canadian is merely a descendant of the country name. “Apparently from Canada ,” sniffs the COD, as if a Canadian etymology were hardly worth the research. Consider the Iroquoian noun kanuchsa, one who lives in a kanata, a village. Apparently the Oxford editors (I like to think of them as the COD pieces) didn’t look long or hard enough. Perhaps this, my modest note, will encourage them? Oops, nearly forgot! In the year 2009, Oxford University Press fired the entire Canadian dictionary staff and abandonned any new Canadian dictionary project. Bad times. Slow sales. We Canadians understand. Once again, Britain politely seems to say to us colonials, My dear persons, I really must insist that you go fuck yourselves. We Canucks do but tug our peasant forelocks, step humbly backward and murmur, Yes, master. As for a Canadian Conservative government headed by semiliterate thugs and yahoos like Stephen Harper and the disloyal malignant Irish dwarf Flaherty, as for such short-sighted, anti-intellectual trash ever proposing a National Canadian Dictionary Project not controlled by foreigners? Perish that thought.
    (All emphases in the original – I hasten to add)

  • realisticman

    2 years ago

    Safire

    William Safire was a great writer. I will miss him.

    Like you I agree that many aspects of life in Canuckland are well understood and brilliantly commented on by our friends to the immediate south - including the regional colloquialisms. We are indeed fortunate to have many of these Americans living in our country and contributing to our society.

  • G West

    2 years ago

    Umm - wrong again.

    The pithy material was from Bill Casselman - he's no yank - but he does have something important to say about our relations with our former colonial masters and current remittance men...the main points Safire made were simply quotes from Jacques Robichaud, Secretary of the Régie de la langue française and Pierre Elliot Trudeau.

    As those of us who actually 'read' Safire’s book would know. But then, he's really NOT much of a writer....

  • realisticman

    2 years ago

    Safire

    Well, anyone having a column "On Language" published in the New York Times Magazine for 30 years can hardly be called 'NOT much of a writer'.

  • G West

    2 years ago

    Oh yes he can.

    He was a decent journalist

    He also seems to have lived by a maxim that certain Tyee commenters never learned - 'You only hit someone when he's up'. Like Maureen Dowd, I think he was a mensch.

    But that doesn’t make him a good writer.

    He was a passable right wing speech writer - but his books suck - a conclusion most people who've actually read them would have come to, in my view.

    The fact the majority of "his" comments on 'Canuck' pertained to the infamous 'Canuck' dirty trick letter from the 1972 campaign would have been obvious to anyone who actually read the book and not just his weekly pedantry about language.
    Considering who Safire was writing speeches for and whose torch he carried from then on, it’s hardly a surprise…

    Like most Americans and Brits - he knew dick-all about Canada; that's why he relied on statements from the two Canadian authorities I mentioned.

    Do you get it now?

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