News

Voting Reform to Die?

Backers of STV fear promised referendum is at risk.

By Andrew MacLeod, 7 Feb 2008, TheTyee.ca

Ballot Box

Libs await electoral report.

Advocates for voting reform are worried the provincial government's dispute with the electoral boundaries commission will be an excuse to ditch the promised second referendum on switching to a single transferable vote system.

"I know there are people in the legislature who would love to see STV die," said Bruce Hallsor, a lawyer who is president of Fair Voting B.C. "There are people in the government who would love to kibosh the whole thing. This may be their last chance."

The Electoral Boundaries Commission is to report back to the legislature by Feb. 15. If it fails to meet the government's expectations -- and Liberal house leader Mike de Jong said in November the government won't support any recommendation that reduces rural representation -- the house will not adopt the report.

That would mean the boundaries, based on the 1991 census, will stay the same for the 2009 election. While many observers have noted this will leave the election open to legal challenge as too many constituencies will deviate more than 25 per cent from the average, it will also mean there are no STV boundaries to show voters.

A convenient excuse

"My concern is if there aren't any boundaries, that is going to give the government an excuse to say, 'We won't do the referendum,'" Hallsor said. "That's our greatest fear."

Using STV, voters rank the candidates in order of preference, and votes are tallied in a way supporters say greater reflects the electorate's intentions. The system would require fewer, larger constituencies, and each would be represented by more than one MLA.

Most sitting politicians would be thrilled to see the proposal die, Hallsor said. "In general, politicians like first past the post. At least the politicians who get elected under first past the post like it."

Most seats are considered "safe" for one party or the other, he said, making the real races at the party nomination meetings instead of in the elections. Under STV, however, a Liberal in the Fraser Valley, for instance, might find herself running against several other people from the same party. All of a sudden the seat is much less "safe." Said Hallsor, "There's a natural inclination by incumbent politicians not to like a more democratic voting system."

STV voters' choice

The majority of voters, however, prefer STV. In a 2005 referendum, 58 per cent of British Columbians voted to replace the current first past the post system with STV, which had been recommended by a citizens' assembly. That was a clear majority, but short of the 60 per cent the government set as the bar to change the system.

Premier Gordon Campbell, whose Liberal party in the general election held with the referendum got 46 per cent of the votes but formed a majority government, responded to the referendum result by promising a second vote on the issue. It was initially promised to be held with the November 2008 municipal elections, but was later moved to be held with the 2009 provincial vote.

The government also instructed the electoral boundaries commission to draw two sets of constituencies -- one for a first past the post election, and one for an STV election. The commission included both sets in its preliminary report.

"It may help us to have a map," said Hallsor. During the last campaign some people said they wanted to know what the constituencies would look like before they could support STV, he said. On the other hand, he added, no doubt some people will dislike the map. "There's going to be somewhere in the province a crappy looking boundary."

Border skirmish

It was, however, the commission's suggestions for first past the post boundaries that drew fire. The commission recommended eliminating three seats in the north and the Kootenays, and adding five ridings in the Lower Mainland and Okanagan. It increased the total number of constituencies in the province from the current 79 to 81.

Following public outcry, and NDP opposition, the Liberal government refused to accept the commission's recommendations and brought forward legislation requiring the commission to set 87 constituencies, but failed to pass that legislation in November.

The commission had begun drawing boundaries for the 87 constituencies, said executive director Leo Perra, but ditched that work when the legislation died. It then took its preliminary report for public hearings and will bring a final submission to the legislature by February 15. "As far as the commission's concerned, it's their final report," said Perra.

The commissioners are in the final stages of completing the report, he said, adding it will be based on the original instructions to the commission, which allow a maximum of 85 seats.

If the referendum will go ahead, Hallsor said, there should be some indication in the throne speech and budget of how much funding there will be for 'no' and 'yes' campaigns. In 2005 the campaigns were not funded, but Campbell has promised they will be this time.

"We'll be watching it closely," said Hallsor. "We'll know in a couple weeks."

Related Tyee stories:

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  • Hot Box for Campbell: Vote Reform
    STV got a bigger vote than the 2001 Liberals. Now what?
  • Let's Keep Vote Reform Alive
    STV was a dud, but we need more women in government
  • .  [Tyee]

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  • werdnagreb

    4 years ago

    I would say that the reason

    I would say that the reason why the initiative failed the first time around was that the Green Party leader at the time (Adrian Carr) refused to support STV. Ironically, the Greens would have benefited the most from this kind of vote. I would bet that her endorsement would have garnered the extra 2% of the vote.

    She has since changed her mind.

    I would bet that most liberals are quaking in their skivvies with the idea. After all, why would they want a parliament that more closely reflects the will of the people?

  • Frank

    4 years ago

    STV

    Quote:
    It was initially promised to be held with the November 2008 municipal elections, but was later moved to be held with the 2009 provincial vote.

    Gee, I wonder why that was? Could it be that it would mean no majority gov't for Mr Campbell's third term?

    Like Mr Chretien et al he'll become a convert to electoral reform when he leaves office.

    I for one would hate to see STV die.

  • TL beyond Hope

    4 years ago

    the STV vote was flawed

    Two things that keep getting missed: the referendum question was not clean; and the legislation permitted unfair advertising.

    Instead of just asking whether people wanted the STV system or the current one, the question included the Citizens Assembly, making it look like a referendum on them. That never made sense to me.

    Also, information promoting a yes vote was allowed in the polling places - I witnessed people looking at the referendum ballot, asking what is this? and being driected to the report which recommended a yes vote. We would never allow this with a candidate vote, why with a referendum?

    The Citizens Assembly should have been alowed to consider the number of seats in the legislature and that might have helped for better consideration of Multiple Member lists, which is far more proportional.

  • Frank

    4 years ago

    Why STV?

    MMP is more proportinal than STV but the reason why I became an STV guy is because STV goes some way to breaking party discipline by pitting candidates of the same party against each other (for example, a Liberal vote is only one vote and if that voter is in a 5 member riding then he gets to choose one Liberal candidate over another).

    Also, MMP has an arbitray cut off of 5% or whatever which makes it as difficult for small parties to have a voice as it is now.

    Under STV on the other hand I could see a Communist Party candidate getting elected in East Van and a Christian Heritage Party candidate getting elected in Abbotsford. And that's good for democracy in my opinion.

  • dr evil

    4 years ago

    Legislate

    Frank..if you had Christian Heritage and Communists and Flying Saucer Party etc. Raving Loonie Party whatever.. .would you not have a lot of energy being spent in lobbying and trying to get a majority to pass legislation..like could you get anything done? Or could you get anything undone as far as damage done by a group such as the mob that presently holds complete power in Victoria?

  • Skywalker

    4 years ago

    Still not convinced of either.

    I have yet to hear anyone explain how multi-member ridings would improve access for anyone living in the very large rural ridings. Under both STV and MMP if you live in the sparsely populated part of the province, where the demographic is diverse, you are not guaranteed that all your members might not come from the same part of that large riding. It is a mystery to me that somehow that would improve the access.

    I know it would make no difference in the large urban centers. There if you want to see a particular MLA you might drive another 3 minutes. In rural BC that could be more than three hours.

    I also wonder how you could prevent MLA's in these multi-member ridings from picking and choosing the issues they want to advocate. Which MLA is then responsible to which constituent? It just appears that you greatly increase the gulf that exists between the voter and the representative.

  • Frank

    4 years ago

    dr evil

    I would imagine at the start you might have gridlock. That is always the argument in favour of first-past-the-post, that electing dictatorships might not be democratic but its best for getting things done.

    The simplistic response would be that Europe uses pro-rep type systems and the Europeans are doing better than the USA. Or that we have a minority gov't in Canada and it hasn't led to complete gridlock.

    I just don't think constant minority governments and shifting coalitions would be a bad thing. Over time parties would learn to work together and be less confrontational.

    Where I like STV over MMP though is that I think it would improve the quality of the actual MLA's too as it would be easy to dump the incompetent or those who toe the party line and don't listen to those that voted for them.

  • Frank

    4 years ago

    skywalker

    Quote:
    I have yet to hear anyone explain how multi-member ridings would improve access for anyone living in the very large rural ridings.

    It wouldn't.

    Quote:
    Under both STV and MMP if you live in the sparsely populated part of the province, where the demographic is diverse, you are not guaranteed that all your members might not come from the same part of that large riding.

    Well you would be able to vote for those that are closer if that was the deciding issue for you.

    Quote:
    It just appears that you greatly increase the gulf that exists between the voter and the representative.

    How so? The MLA would no longer be able to ride the coattails of his party/leader to get elected. To get elected he'd have to get more votes than maybe 4 other guys running for the same party. I think that would make him much more responsive to the voters of his riding including allowing him to vote independently of his party in the Leg.

  • Bucky

    4 years ago

    It really doesn't matter if

    It really doesn't matter if they hold the referendum or not. STV is dead!
    I worked on the pro-STV campaign last time and have a good idea of the positive and negitive aspects of this voting option but I don't think the Public is going to take the time to learn about it and because we had a more representitive result last election, the public won't feel any urgency to make a change to a new system.

  • TL beyond Hope

    4 years ago

    clarifyng MMPR

    The "multiple" here is not that a constituency has more than one member, but that there are party list elections as well as constituencies. So you'd have the usual constituency elections and in addition there would be lists proposed by each party of additional members who would also sit in the legislature. This system has its drawbacks as well although it does deliver the most proportionality; the key issue for me is that when certain parameters were set by the government for considering an alternative to the current system those parameters affected the outcome. Why for example was there only two choices on the ballot? Why that wording? Why did it take so long to set up the Citizens Assembly and then face a tight time frame before the referendum? And why couldn't the Assembly have looked at the number of seats and distribution with Electoral Boundary Commission advice?

  • dr evil

    4 years ago

    Frank

    Good answer Frank..thanks for that..I agree with most of what you`re saying..and without sounding too snobbish I hope..I just don`t know if the general voting age B.C. populace is..ahh.. politically mature enuff or if they possess enuff political savvy to adopt such a system.
    I don`t know if we can compare to Europe much...there is still such a frontier type mentality present here.
    Europe has been through the lemming thing
    big time..we`re just getting into it. ;-)

  • slim

    4 years ago

    One-Party State for BC

    Say "NO" to STV!

    We need to keep the one-party state like other successful democracies have in the world.

    Let's think about China, Russia, Belarus, Zimbabwe, and other great democracies in the world that uses voting systems and other tools of democracy such as a free press to ensure that one party dominates their parliaments.

  • Skywalker

    4 years ago

    Frank

    I think anything that blurs the connection between a group of constituents and the one specific representative confuses the accountability. There is no confusion about who is held accountable under FPTP.

    Say in a rural riding you elect three people. They would all have to set up an office and all would by necessity focus on the area with the greatest population. Now you concentrate the representation for that part of the riding with the greatest population. Granted that still happens today but the ridings are smaller. In the last referendum the ridings in rural BC were huge.

  • Frank

    4 years ago

    Skywalker

    Well, here in the Fraser Valley there is absolutely no reason for Liberal MLAs to pay any attention to NDP voters or anyone else for that matter. They know that their boss is Mr Campbell, as long as he backs their nomination every voter in his riding can go hang themselves if they like. What are they gonna do? Vote NDP? No chance.

    There is no accountability except in ridings that have a history of changing hands (and the Fraser Valley ridings never do). If the Fraser Valley were to become a big riding with 5 MLAs that would totally change the dynamic as now that MLA would have a number of other Liberals he'd have to compete against. I think it would turn their focus from pleasing Mr Campbell to pleasing the voters.

  • Frank

    4 years ago

    and

    And I think smart MLAs would start splitting their time between population centres.

  • Vortigern

    4 years ago

    I really dislike this STV

    I really dislike this STV system for a number of reasons, but one of those is the damage it does to representation for small communities.

    A community of, say, 10,000 people has at least some clout in a riding with a population of 50,000, even if the reality is that your concerns could well be secondary to satisfying the other 40,000. Put those same 10,000 people in a 5 member riding of 250,000, and the situation is far worse. Arguably, they have five MLAs they could go to, but not one of those members has any obligation to take responsibility for them, especially if the interests of that small community differ from those of the majority.

  • Skywalker

    4 years ago

    You are probably right Frank

    You are probably right about the Fraser Valley. The question then becomes how can you please the urban area while at the same time not make it worse for the urban folks.

    I hear so much about northern alienation. Maybe we should separate the northern half from the southern half and have two smaller provinces. Campbell could rule the south as long as they can stand him and the North with all of its natural resources could go on its own.

  • realisticman

    4 years ago

    Frank

    Quote:
    Could it be that it would mean no majority gov't for Mr Campbell's third term?

    Like Mr Chretien et al he'll become a convert to electoral reform when he leaves office.

    Er, excuse me Frank, wasn't it Gordon Campbell that bought forward the completely impartial group to recommend a new voting system? And wasn't it Gordon Campbell that revived and continued to support any change that is democratically decided?

    Be fair, for god's sake!

  • Frank

    4 years ago

    Realisticman

    Quote:
    wasn't it Gordon Campbell that bought forward the completely impartial group to recommend a new voting system?

    Yes, with the caveat that some would say Gordon Gibson should not have been involved in a "completely impartial" process.

    Quote:
    And wasn't it Gordon Campbell that revived and continued to support any change that is democratically decided?

    I'm sincerely not sure what you mean by this. Perhaps its your wording that's throwing me off?

    Quote:
    Be fair, for god's sake!

    Somehow I'm willing to bet I'm fairer to Mr Campbell and the Liberal Party than you have ever been to any NDP leader but allow me to explain anyway.

    Mr Campbell allowed this to happen because there was a groundswell of support for it due to the NDP victory under Glen Clark when the NDP lost the popular vote but won the election. It was a popular topic on radio call-in shows as I recall. I therefore buy into the idea that Mr Campbell supported electoral reform rather than coming uop with the idea.

    I'm sure you know that a couple of other provinces also looked at changing their electoral process? I don't believe those provinces studied and voted on other systems because of their fondness for the premier of BC. Simply put, the politicians looked at where the public was going in several provinces, including this one, and got out in front of it.

    Have you heard Mr Campbell personally champion STV? I haven't, but its possible I missed it. In my opinion he has no political capital invested in electoral reform so I find the idea that he's the champion of it to be a little bit propaganda-ish.

  • Frank

    4 years ago

    Skywalker

    Quote:
    The question then becomes how can you please the urban area while at the same time not make it worse for the urban folks.

    I really don't know. You don't want to give the rural areas so many seats that their vote basically counts double as urban voters would never go for it. Its a problem shared by other provinces too of course, there's lots of alienation even in Ontario.

    Quote:
    I hear so much about northern alienation. Maybe we should separate the northern half from the southern half and have two smaller provinces.

    Well, I'm probably alone on this but I think the provinces should be gotten rid of altogether. We don't have a large population but we do have a large geography and I think a single federal government with a large number of "county" type governments would work better. The county type governments would have more powers than a municipal government but less than a provincial government.

    The Okanagan, the GVRD, the Peace River etc would all get control of more (but not all) of their own resources and tax base with only the government of Canada being above them.

    I think it would be more efficient and better for national unity too but again, I'm sure provinces will be with us for a long time.

  • ME2

    4 years ago

    Rural voter vs Urban voter?

    In my opinion, nothing I've read above satisfies my concerns as a person living in a small remote community. While I agree that STV offers a greater chance of political diversity, it does nothing to allay my current feeling that urban values consistently override the the needs and wishes of the rural resident.

    This derives from two sources. The first is that governments love centralisation of power. That in turn fosters one-size-fits-all rules and regulations, despite the fact that such might run counter to the wishes or needs of rural residents. This situation is further strengthened by the fact that enforcement is thus made cheaper.

    OTOH, the urban resident lives in a world that is highly regulated, the bulk of which regulations he/she is hardly aware of, and even if she/he is, has little or no control over anyway.

    For these reasons, the rural MLA-MP spends (or should spend) a disproportionate amount of his/her time traveling to and dealing with the problems of remote and/or widely-spaced communities and the people living in them. While that situation is routinely acknowledged, I have rarely heard it mentioned that the problems - and the solutions to them - are often unique, and the effort expended to deal with them totally disproportionate to the number of people similarly served in urban ridings.

    More below

  • ME2

    4 years ago

    Rural voter vs Urban voter? (cont)

    So the 25% rule works against the rural voter.

    Vortigern noted above that in STV, re a 5 member riding, most, if not all members are likely to be from urban settings and not particularly interested in or aware of the problem of the smaller cmmunities. This problem is quite obvious in all Regional Districts where, since the voting strength was deliberately given to the urban centers by the Socreds, what might be best for the satellite community comes a distant second best to the wishes of the urban centers.

    Since the rural areas contribute double that of the urban centers to the GNP, this should be somehow reflected in voting strength, but to date I've seen no interest from the majority in working toward that goal.

  • G West

    4 years ago

    Completely impartial group?

    The question wasn't so much whether this little group (hand picked to be 'representative' whatever the hell that means) numbering 160 plus a couple of First Nations' members and, of course, Jack Blaney, was fair and impartial - it simply had none of the characteristics or qualities to even come close to being so.

    In fact, its creation amounted to the establishment of a self-perpetuating group of selfish and self-regarding elitists - who now purport to be the smartest guys and gals in the room. Just look around the web for their contributions and biases and you'll see what I mean.

    Lucius Quinctius Cincinnatus, after ‘saving’ saving early Rome (more than once)– returned quietly to his farm. Surely, we might expect the same from the Citizens’ Assembly and the various enterprises that have spun off like satellites from its brief and unlamented existence.

    More and more these days it becomes clear that polls based on small sample size are not representative of anything much at all. In fact, sample groups of less than 300 are almost always suspect.

    If you care to do a little research, you can find information here:
    http://www.stratcom.ca/index.php

    So, far from being impartial, the Citizens' Assembly on Electoral Reform was Jack Blaney (and I think you know where 'he' came from) and Gordon Gibson's private little ginger group.

    The fact that the Assembly is:
    a) still in business, and;
    b) still promoting STV
    gives off a strong hint of an agenda and a committment - not to real reform - but to its own self-regard and promotion.

    So, I don't think Gordon Campbell deserves any credit for creating a process that - from all appearances was neither representative nor impartial.

    Sorry R/man.

    And as far as fairness is concerned when Gordon Campbell is involved.
    Spare me.

    Talk to health care workers bulldozed by Bill 29 - just for a start.

    Fairness and impartiality are incompatible with Gordon Campbell...

    That said, as much as I hate the idea of STV and as convinced as I am that it isn't even a good answer to British Columbia's incredibly ineffective and undemocratic current system, I will - as I did last time - hold my nose and vote yes.

    And for the rural voters of the province...I apologize.

  • realisticman

    4 years ago

    Frank

    I agree with you that, ideally, provinces should be abolished. Too small a country for anything else. It will probably never happen.

    On the Citizens Assembly. Campbell has remained silent because he has always said that it is up to the VOTERS to decide and it should be non-partisan, as well, Campbell agreed at the start of the process to accept unconditionally whatever the Assembly recommended and put it to a province-wide vote.

    When GWest says they were hand picked that is just not true. Randomly picked remember? If you have any evidence otherwise speak up!

    Quote:
    The Assembly was an independent, non-partisan assembly of 160 randomly selected British Columbians who looked at how votes cast in provincial elections translate into seats in the Legislature.

    Quote:
    This initiative was unique. Nowhere else in the world had randomly selected citizens been so empowered to shape the electoral process. The Assembly was unanimously endorsed by the parties in the legislature, and parties and community leaders outside it.

    The Citizens’ Assembly had 160 members, 80 women and 80 men, from all of the province's 79 electoral electoral districts.

  • Frank

    4 years ago

    ME2

    Quote:
    Since the rural areas contribute double that of the urban centers to the GNP, this should be somehow reflected in voting strength, but to date I've seen no interest from the majority in working toward that goal.

    As long as we keep in mind that its not because rural voters work twice as hard, its because there's not much resource-based wealth under Burnaby.

    I am all in favour of rural communities having more control of the purse strings as it affects their communities, but at the same time it has to be recognized that that resource wealth is the property of all Canadians and we should all benefit from it. Otherwise we would simply build our cities on top of the oil.

    For a real urban/rural split, look at Saskatchewan where you often see Saskatoon and Regina vote NDP and the rest of the province vote Conservative. How they draw the boundaries thus determines who the next government will be. No matter who wins the other side is upset at the thought some other guy's voice counts more than theirs just because he lives on a farm or whatever.

    A strict representation by population is a lot easier to defend than making a number of special rules for rural voters. Which doesn't mean I'm insensitive to their concerns.

  • Frank

    4 years ago

    Realisticman

    Quote:
    On the Citizens Assembly. Campbell has remained silent because he has always said that it is up to the VOTERS to decide and it should be non-partisan, as well, Campbell agreed at the start of the process to accept unconditionally whatever the Assembly recommended and put it to a province-wide vote

    .

    But I assume you agree with the origins of the process? That both the idea and the push did not sprout from Mr Campbell's head?

    I can't say with any certainty what Mr Campbell's thoughts on the subject were. its possible he hopes it succeeds. My own belief is that he hopes that people will get bored of it, will forget Mr Clark's victory, and that it fails which is why the bar was set at 60% (10% higher than a vote to separate would require).

    And of course the reaon I believe that is because our present system is the best system for his party.

  • G West

    4 years ago

    Realisticman - you're doing it again!

    Selectively quoting from what I wrote to the point of losing its central theme.

    Naturally you omit the rest of what I said - as well as the clear codicil that groups of such a small size which pretend to be representative - like small sample polls - are neither representative nor accurate of the wishes of a broader population.

    Did you even bother to do any further reading or check out the Citizens' Assembly's current website?

    The only way, in my view, to attempt these kinds of changes is with a complete and thoroughgoing constituent assembly and not a group of people chosen by lot and administered by friends of the government.

    Please go back and read the whole post and try to understand something that comes from outside your own head.

    AS for the current government, I’d simply point out to you what Gordon Gibson himself said, writing for the Fraser Institute of which he is/was a member or fellow,

    “If the Liberals win a majority of seats, they cannot be forced to honour the referendum result.”

    The whole business was created by an Order in Council of the Campbell Government and it was also the Campbell government (interfering I’d say) with the process later who set the bar at such a high level:

    • It passes with a simple majority (fifty percent plus one) in at least sixty percent of the ridings
    • It passes with an overall majority of sixty percent

    Perhaps you forgot that when you stated that Campbell wasn’t meddling.

  • mikev

    4 years ago

    split the province

    I've always wondered about Vancouver Island becoming it's own province (again). It would be bigger than Prince Edward Island after all. At some point the populations will get high enough for it to make sense. What would that do to the urban/rural split in the rest of BC? It might not help any, the split on the island is probably relatively the same.

    Beyond that, I don't like the idea of abolishing provinces. What I am interested in though, is city-states(/provinces) - have metropolitan areas become their own provinces. That would definitely help the urban/rural split in the rest of BC. Vancouver already turned up their nose at the Regional District standard of the rest of the province (Metro), and at BC Transit (Translink), I'm sure there are other examples. What do people think of having Vancouver, Toronto, and Montreal become their own city-provinces? I think life would be a lot more democratic for the rest of the population.

  • realisticman

    4 years ago

    GWest

    You wrote it. You also wrote:

    Quote:
    In fact, its creation amounted to the establishment of a self-perpetuating group of selfish and self-regarding elitists

    As I said, the Assembly was unanimously endorsed by the parties in the legislature, and parties and community leaders outside it.

    Furthermore, during the 2001 provincial election, the Liberal Party promised to create a citizens' assembly to consider changes to the provincial electoral system. One condition which precluded an individuals selection in the assembly was former membership in any political party.

    Non-partisan and as non-political as they could make it following up a campaign promise. They weren't hand picked and they weren't elitists, they came from all walks of life and all regions of the province and all parties supported it.

  • G West

    4 years ago

    Oh come on

    You didn’t address this part of what I wrote:

    "...a self-perpetuating group of selfish and self-regarding elitists"

    Not to mention ignoring the rest of it.

    As for Campbell promises...perhaps you'd like to explain the Premier's oath that he wouldn't sell BC Rail.

    They werehand picked and many of them now rent themselves out as experts in the field and they 'haven't' gone away - as witness their current website. I’m actually surprised that none of them have chimed in here with their usual intemperance, self-regard and arrogance.

    Why not have a look at it and come back with your impressions.

    Furthermore you've totally ignored the clear evidence that a group of that size - no matter how chosen - will never come close to reflecting the real interests, diversity and nature of the electorate...furthermore, the very fact that members or former members of any political party were excluded from the process makes mincemeat of your contention.

    Don't such people count too?

    How can any commission claim to represent the people when it doesn't include any individuals who are or were once members of a political party - sounds like a sort of reverse McCarthyism to me?

    In fact, I hadn’t known that fact – or had forgotten it. I’ll add it to my armamentarium when next I have to deal with one of ‘them’.

    It was a flawed process, conceived in the mind of an arrogant and self-centered man and designed by a neo-con.

    Even so, as I said, the flawed and un-representative result would be better than the current system despite the way it treats any voter who doesn't happen to live in a metropolitan area.

    Again, I apologize to my friends in rural BC – I’ll understand completely if you turn it down again…

  • realisticman

    4 years ago

    GWest

    Quote:
    the clear evidence that a group of that size - no matter how chosen - will never come close to reflecting the real interests, diversity and nature of the electorate...furthermore, the very fact that members or former members of any political party were excluded from the process makes mincemeat of your contention.

    I guess we'll put you down as one that doesn't like citizen's assemblies no matter how diverse if it doesn't include politically active people. Screw the little people, L'état c'est nous.

  • G West

    4 years ago

    Not at all

    Once again you ignore what I've actually written - I neither said nor implied such a thing.

    I just pointed out how ridiculous it is to suggest that a group of 162 people plus a hand-picked 'expert' is in no way representative of the people of the province. Pretty basic stuff I’d say.

    What if I suggested that no one who had ever belonged to a religion should have been included; no one who had ever had a speeding ticket; no one with diabetes; no recent immigrants from other provinces?

    Taken to its logical conclusion it isn't hard to realize how and why the Citizens' Assembly was, and is, a bust.

    Perhaps anyone over the age of 55 should be ruled out - any other ideas for your concept of true democracy?

    I'm surprised you can't get that simple point: I'm all in favour of a properly chosen and sufficiently large constituent assembly - as should have been obvious from what I wrote.

    The point, I'm afraid, is that you're more inclined to issue snertisms than to engage in actual discussion and debate.

    Too bad really!

  • realisticman

    4 years ago

    GWest

    Ready, aye ready.

    Quote:
    I'm all in favour of a properly chosen and sufficiently large constituent assembly -

    OK discuss and debate. Define your ideal assembly.

  • G West

    4 years ago

    Easy

    The ideal constituent assembly should be chosen to represent the demographic reality of the province - 2 persons per riding is a joke and the only balancing factor of 50% men/vs 50% women + one female First Nations Member and one male one is equally absurd. IN some individual northern ridings it might be necessary to have three or four First Nations people and only one white person – Atlin (or whatever name it goes by these days) and the Charlottes are good examples.

    But, more than that it is a question of sample size - honest polling firms will tell you that anything less than a thousand individuals out of a population of 3 or 4 million is a minimum.

    On top of that, the terms of reference and the objective of such a small body is ridiculous - the electorate should have been presented with a range of options and not an all or nothing proposition.

    There's no reason several referendums couldn't have been held - Geoff Plant and Campbell thought nothing of running a racially motivated plebiscite on Native Treaty rights, remember?

    Spend some time, spend some money on something besides pet projects, and if 50% of the people vote yes - bind the government (and future governments) for a period of at least 16 years or four electoral cycles.

    At that point, revisit the thing if necessary with a new constituent assembly.

    Everyone talks about how wonderful democracy is - why be so afraid to practice it now and again?

  • Frank

    4 years ago

    Realisticman

    Totally off-topic, apologies to all

    Quote:
    Canadian employers added many more jobs than expected last month and the jobless rate tumbled to a 33-year low in another sign of the contrasting economies between Canada and the

    http://www.reportonbusiness.com/servlet/story/RTGAM.20080208.wjobs0208/BNStory/Business/home

    I was wrong on this one. I thought the trend would be downward after last month's losses. I remain pleasantly surprised.

  • zalm

    4 years ago

    Frank

    Quote:
    Well, I'm probably alone on this but I think the provinces should be gotten rid of altogether. We don't have a large population but we do have a large geography and I think a single federal government with a large number of "county" type governments would work better. The county type governments would have more powers than a municipal government but less than a provincial government.

    The Okanagan, the GVRD, the Peace River etc would all get control of more (but not all) of their own resources and tax base with only the government of Canada being above them.

    I think it would be more efficient and better for national unity too but again, I'm sure provinces will be with us for a long time.

    Well said! Best idea yet. Devolve things requiring national standards such as education, health care and coast-to-coast transport to national responsibilities. Make roads and daycares local. Taxation authority commensurate with services provided - get rid of this silly "federal transfers" that is such a huge pork-barrel that only those with the correct federal card get to play.

  • ME2

    4 years ago

    Re rural representation.

    Sorry to harp on this issue, folks, but i cannot allow Frank to get away with his statement below unhallenged.

    "As long as we keep in mind that its not because rural voters work twice as hard, its because there's not much resource-based wealth under Burnaby."

    Some years ago, David Baxter of the Urban Futures Institute wrote that while the GDP productivity of of the rural resident was double that of the urban resident, gov't was busy cutting back services to rural people.

    No doubt part of this gov'ts discounting of the rural voter derives of the fact that opposition to resource-rape almost always arises first in the rural community.

    Just for argument's sake, I would guess that on average, the investment and entrepeneurship of the small-scale rural farmer, logger, fisherman, prospector, etc, is higher - on a per-capita basis - than that of similar urban entrepreneurs.

    But even setting aside such an arguable contention, the fact remains that the rural citizen and entrepreneur face a daunting range of problems linked purely to isolation. These include long wait times for parts, high costs of shipping in and out, increased costs of community amenities as a result of smaller aggregations of populations, all just for starters

    Distance also compounds the problems in dealing with gov't, since even if the phoned-up bureaucrat understands the isolation-related nature of the problem - usually created by the one-size-fits-all nature of the rules and regulations created by the urban-oriented politician - he/she can then resort to a series of delaying tactics, and often does. OTOH, the urbanite is only a short distance from presenting her/his problem face-to-face, and subsequently bird-dogging it to resolution.

    I recognise the difficulty found in trying to correct this disparity with a rep-by-pop democratic process. Perhaps the problem might be solved by giving the rural rep more administrative staff.

    Unless the majority, the urban voter, recognises the legitimacy of this complaint, noting will be done about it and so a barrier to urban acceptance of STV will not be removed.

  • Frank

    4 years ago

    Barack Obama

    A report (from an internet post) on a rally for Mr Obama in Omaha...

    He talked about:

    Jobs
    Keeping jobs in the US by taking away all tax breaks for companies that ship jobs overseas, and giving tax breaks to companies who keep jobs here.

    Taxes
    Reducing the tax burden on everyone making under $75,000.00 and letting the Bush Tax cuts for the wealthy expire.
    Education
    Making college affordable by giving a $4,000 USD tax credit to anyone going to college. In return the college student gives one year of service back to the nation by joining the Peace Corps, military etc. Doing away with NCLB. Give rural and poor school districts the resources to educate their students.

    Environment
    Increase emissions controls on autos. Increase renewable energy resource use.
    Lobbyists and Congress
    Reduce the influence of lobbyists and money in politics.

    Military
    Restore the military to its position as the strongest military in the world. Treat the wounded and disabled Iraq Vets and all vets with the respect they are due with benefits and treatment for the physical and mental injuries.

    Health Care,
    Make health care affordable for all Americans with the same benefits he gets from his health care plan.

    Iraq:
    End the war and bring the troops home

    Foreign Policy
    Restore America's place in standing as a leader in the world. "Never negotiate from fear but never fear to negotiate" (His quote from JFK)

    Terrorism
    Go to where the terrorists are IE Pakistan.

    Taxes
    Reducing the tax burden on everyone making under $75,000.00 and letting the Bush Tax cuts for the wealthy expire.

  • Frank

    4 years ago

    Stupid stupid stupid

    Sorry all, I posted this to the wrong topic

  • realisticman

    4 years ago

    GWest

    Who chooses them?

  • dorothy

    4 years ago

    The problem with politicians

    “Gee, I wonder why that was? Could it be that it would mean no majority gov't for Mr Campbell's third term?”

    “Mr Campbell allowed this to happen because there was a groundswell of support for it due to the NDP victory under Glen Clark when the NDP lost the popular vote but won the election.”

    - I think the problem with this whole issue is, that it doesn’t get addressed from a basis of a quest for more balance and long-term stability. It always has something to do with the immediate situation and its parameters, and how this would or wouldn’t serve everyone’s or someone’s shortsighted self-interest.

    To that end, a referendum cum provincial election would be very bad. Imagine how we the people of BC would perceive the legitimacy of a government that would not have been in power under the actual legislation, which had been adopted, but got in under the wire by putting the two together… I for one would seriously question the mandate of such a government and I predict I won’t be the only one…

  • G West

    4 years ago

    Constitutional reformers

    Communities - from among their number and chosen to represent the community view which would have been established at a series of local meetings; certainly none of that fascist drawing of lots - we have more than enough nonsense lotteries now.

    Such things are false panaceas and militate against reality - which is hard, requires work, and involves compromise - something the wiseacres chosen by the Blaney, Gibson and Campbell exercise apparently know dick all about.

  • woody

    4 years ago

    STV + EBC = Rural STD

    STV or Electoral boundaries commission, either way, the rural areas get the shaft, which is what the big picture is all about.

  • Frank

    4 years ago

    Rural voters

    But does anyone have an idea of how to make the system better for rural voters without making it worse for urban voters?

    Editor : Why can't I flag my own posts as "offensive"?

  • ME2

    4 years ago

    Rural voters

    Don't like my idea of giving politicians who represent rural areas more staff, Frank?

  • Tony

    4 years ago

    Rural Ridings

    Just to add a bit to Frank's reply to Skywalker -

    1. STV doesn't change the number of MLAs, so on average there's no change in the average caseload. What changes is the motivation to be responsive. With STV, a candidate needs (on average) 20,000 votes to be elected (compared with under half that on average with FPTP). That means they have to get 20,000 people to vote for them, and they have to appeal to all the little hamlets everywhere to find those voters. If they start getting a reputation for blowing voters off and they start voting for the other candidate from their preferred party instead, that MLA is out of a job. With FPTP, if a candidate has a comfortable lead (ie, is in one of the 60 or so pretty safe seats around the province), they probably don't feel the same sense of urgency about responding.

    2. The distance to the constituents won't change all that much under STV. Right now, all three Prince George area MLAs live in Prince George - each drives out to the rural areas in a different direction. Under STV, even if they all ended up in PG as they are now, they'd each still have the same distance to drive to any given rural town.

    3. Skywalker had asked which MLA is responsible to which constituent. With STV, each constituent knows which MLA is responsible to them because they voted for them! You approach the MLA you voted for. The MLA assumes that they're dependent on your vote if you come to them, so they're motivated to offer you good service. If you don't get it, you won't vote for them again, and the consequences for the MLA for mistreating your constituents are much greater under STV. That's how the current gulf you referred to gets closed with STV.

  • G West

    4 years ago

    I see someone from Fairvote BC has arrived - Hi Tony!

    With multi-member ridings in urban areas - added to the potential for special interest single issue candidates I just don't see how rural 'issues' and problems won't be more ignored than they are now...

    No question STV is better than FPTP - that hardly makes it the only alternative and BC's people (not just a ginger group of lottery winners) ought to have an opportunity to choose among those alternatives.

  • Tony

    4 years ago

    Why STV Will Improve Rural Representation

    G West and others are right that there's a fundamental problem with the way jurisdictional responsibilities are allocated in Canada. Any time control is vested in a remote government, people are likely to feel somewhat alienated, and that's the root cause of the disconnect rural people in BC experience (and BC people more generally vis a vis Ottawa). The ultimate solution is to adopt changes in governmental responsibility so that control over local issues and priorities remains in local hands, not administered from afar. I am certainly happy to discuss and advocate for such changes.

    It's also true that STV won't fundamentally change this situation - until our constitution is changed, provincial responsibilities will be the same under either STV or FPTP. Furthermore, the ratio of rural to urban seats will be the same under both STV and FPTP, so rural representation won't be increased (or decreased) through any change in this ratio.

    Nonetheless, despite the fact that these two important factors will remain the same under both voting systems, there are two main reasons why I think STV will enhance rural representation relative to our current FPTP system:

    1. It will increase the independence and responsiveness of MLAs. Since MLAs will be more dependent on votes from individual voters under STV, they won't be able to assume that they have safe seats and they will have to actively seek the votes available in smaller towns, so they will have a stronger incentive to spend more time outside the larger population centres. This will enhance the connection voters feel to their MLAs. In general, MLAs will tend to represent their riding to Victoria rather than the other way around.

    2. STV ensures that swing ridings will exist everywhere in the province. Right now, there are many safe seats in rural areas, particularly in the north. As a consequence, the parties tend to ignore the issues those areas face. The candidates for premier tend to spend most of their time in the swing ridings, so all the media attention is focussed on those areas, which tend to be in the urban centres. By bringing seats in every region of the province into play (eg, in a three seat district, the NDP and the Liberals may each feel relatively confident about winning one seat, but the third one will be up for grabs), STV will ensure increased media attention to the rural ridings. In fact, because the average STV district size will be smaller in the rural areas, there will be an increased ratio of swing seats to population in rural areas, which will further raise the visibility of rural concerns.

    So overall I see significant benefits for rural voters to support STV - a stronger connection to their MLA through increased incentives for them to spend time outside the larger population centres and increased attention to the rural regions by making more seats in these areas into swing seats where the outcome strongly affects the parties' overall electoral fortunes.

  • Frank

    4 years ago

    ME2

    Quote:
    Don't like my idea of giving politicians who represent rural areas more staff, Frank?

    Actually, I think that's an excellent idea. I would be all for that.

    But I think of that as "administrative". I was wondering if there was also any "electoral" ideas.

  • Tony

    4 years ago

    Improving Things for Rural Voters

    I agree with ME2 and Frank that increased administrative staff in rural areas is an excellent idea.

    To improve 'things' for rural people requires a closer look at what needs improving. I see three main components:

    1. Jurisdiction over local affairs
    2. Improving representation on policy issues
    3. Improving contact and communication with MLAs

    As I mentioned earlier, I see the jurisdiction question as being relatively unaffected by the choice of electoral system - the various federal and provincial statutes lay out the responsibilities of the federal, provincial, regional and municipal layers of government. I'm all for a discussion and renegotiation of these responsibilities. However, I do think that STV will likely improve the odds of making meaningful progress on this front because it will produce a bunch of rural MLAs who will be more beholden to their local voters than to the party bosses (at least relative to where they are now), so they would stand a better chance of being able to negotiate for a redistribution of powers.

    Re: representation on policy issues. This requires that rural MLAs have opinions that match those of their constituents and that they feel sufficiently empowered to express these opinions. STV is far more proportional than FPTP, so MLAs' opinions will be more representative of their constituents than they are now. In addition, for the reasons I've discussed in earlier posts, they'll be more empowered to express these opinions. Finally, a more balanced legislative house will produce more balanced legislative committees, which is where MLAs have the greatest input into policies, so legislation will likely become much more balanced and nuanced than at present (there have been some interesting academic papers studying the change in the nature of legislation in New Zealand since PR was adopted there - legislation now typically enjoys markedly broader support than before).

    Finally, improved contact and communication with MLAs can be enhanced through the increased administrative support that everyone seems to agree is reasonable, as well as by the added incentive MLAs will have under STV to go out and make contact with voters outside the major population centres in a riding.

  • G West

    4 years ago

    Tony

    Don't you think it's likely that an STV House would contain more than a few members from several special interest groups using the relative ease with which 20G or so motivated voters can get a representative of their own narcissistic interests elected?

    And, if so, how do you see that ingredient leading to anything but wasted time and 'bending' of the rules of debate?

    I see no balance coming from that.

  • bun

    4 years ago

    Assembly was nobody's 'ginger group"

    anybody who suggests the Assembly was anybody's 'ginger group' is just plain stupid. It was chosen randomly from people across the province, at all socio-economic levels. After attending several meetings it was clear that they were anything but somebody's 'political tool'. There were far too many cats in that Assembly to herd.

  • bun

    4 years ago

    Assembly chose STV above more visible options

    Let's not forget that the Citizen's Assembly ended up choosing STV, even though almost noone in that group had ever heard of it beforehand. Recall that ALL the talk was about mixed-member proportional (MMP) and at the beginning many viewed the CA as a rubber-stamp for a new MMP system. MMP was most definitely the 'new' system established in everyone's mind.

    But after hearing all the arguments, they were finally convinced that overall, STV was a better system than MMP.
    it would have been easy for them to roll with their pre-established worldview (MMP), but they worked hard and most (not all) saw STV as being better.

    Changing one's opinion from one option that everyone has heard about to another that noone had heard about is very hard for most people, so the arguments for STV had to be very compelling to get a majority of the CA to see it as the best alternative.

    it wasn't unanimous of course - that would be impossible in a group of 300 or so. Still, a significant majority of the CA, people just like you and me, saw STV as the best alternative, and that is enough statistics for me to suggest that if all British Columbians spent as much time studying the problem as the CA, they too would arrive at the same conclusion. And most did, even without it.

    it really is disheartening to hear all these people denigrating the CA just because they don't agree with its conclusions. It wasn't my preferred solution either, but it's still a good one, and majority of a large group of my peers liked it best, so what the hell is wrong with that ? Some people talk a good democracy, but can't really live it ...

  • G West

    4 years ago

    bun

    There were 160 people in the citizens' assembly - not 300. Including 2 First Nations citizens + Jack Blaney = 161.

    They were balanced for gender and age and chosen at random from the 79 constituencies in BC at the time.

    Why do you think they represented the province so poorly?

    I'd be surprised if they didn't. You might as well have picked lottery winners.

    And it has nothing to do with real democracy.

    You can read more about it here:
    http://www.citizensassembly.bc.ca/public/inaction

    Sorry bun

  • Des

    4 years ago

    Voting

    I'm not from B.C. but I am a Canadian. My opinion may not count as particularly relevant in this instance but for what it's worth, I believe we can't eliminate the good points of FPTP in efforts to get a more representative election process.

    Looking around the world at various kinds of electoral procedures, there are apparent flaws in every system. Perhaps the best way for us to elect representatives is to follow the method used by the parties themselves to select leaders. Which is by run-off votes, with the losing candidates "voted off the island" so to speak, until the leader is named by a majority "first past the post."

    Losing candidates could direct the voters who supported them in the first vote to any of the others running, or not, on the subsequent choice. But voters would have additional time to re-evaluate the other candidates themselves, observing what new alliances are being formed within the slate. This advantage is not found within STV or PropRep, etc., which can give garbled results, rewarding either incompetent candidates or insider party members unduly, and leave government bound in perpetual gridlock. (A very well established civil service can easily take over such governments to its advantage, something to be guarded against.)

    We have three levels of government in Canada now, municipal, provincial, and federal. Removing the provincial layer would leave us with federal standards and municipal operations, placing government of the people with the people. Our nation would be stronger and the people more involved locally.

  • Tony

    4 years ago

    Resistance to Special Interest Groups

    G West, I don't think it's anywhere near as easy for single interest groups to get elected under STV as you seem to think. Even in the largest 7-seat districts (if we get any of them), you'll still need to attract in the range of 10-12% of the voters to get elected. This seems like a relatively large threshold to me, so I suspect that only serious candidates will be able to cross it. It's one of the things I like most about STV - it seems to me to strike a fine balance between making my vote count (giving me further meaningful choices if my top preference doesn't have enough support to be elected) and being mindlessly 'proportional', the way Israel and Italy are always (in my mind rightly) being criticized for.

    And if someone convinces 20k voters to elect them, then that MLA has a very strong claim to be their representative and has every right to make their voices heard. Realistically, I expect that in BC, we'll elect half a dozen or so Greens, and maybe one or two other independents or representatives of smaller parties in areas where they have particular strength. I think the Greens' voice will be widely welcomed (at least amongst the voters, if not amongst the other politicians) and may well provoke the major parties to shift their policies greenward. That doesn't seem like a waste of time to me.

    Again, I suggest you read Boston, Church and Bale's 2003 paper on "The Impact of Proportional Representation on
    Government Effectiveness: The New Zealand
    Experience" for a nicely nuanced view of the impact of smaller parties on debate. They conclude that, overall, it tends to produce more well thought out proposals than tend to occur with single party majorities and the resulting policies tend to be supported by a larger fraction of the electorate (my own current pet peeve in BC is the huge sum of $14 billion that is proposed to be spent on a Skytrain system; this proposal came out of the blue without any public consultation or broad consensus, and I personally think that there are much more cost-effective alternatives based on light rail technologies - Denver is building 200 km of light rail for less than half what we propose to spend).

    Bun - great points about the CA. I've been very impressed with the members I've met. If people who disagree with you look at the research describing their shift in preferences, they'll see evidence of people sincerely struggling with the issues and coming to conclusions that they didn't originally anticipate. To me, that suggests deep engagement, not manipulation. I agree with your comment about too many cats to herd.

  • bun

    4 years ago

    sorry for what ?

    G. West

    OK, so it was 160 instead of 300.
    and, so ?
    How does that in any way negate anything that I said ? that is still a large number, way more than seats in the Legistlature.

    Quote:
    They were balanced for gender and age and chosen at random from the 79 constituencies in BC at the time.

    Why do you think they represented the province so poorly?

    have you any idea how silly that statement is ? Besides, WHO SAYS they represented the province so poorly ? Almost 60% of the province agreed with them in the referendum !

    dude, give your head a shake.

  • G West

    4 years ago

    I've read the NZ stuff

    And the Israeli references too.

    And for every compliment (most of them from PoliSci depts) I can find at least one critic who'll balance that with a detriment.

    I am not willing to accede to a group of chosen by lot who slowly morphed into self-styled saviors the ability to decide for the broader population how we should govern ourselves.

    Frankly, I'm as upset by the behavior you call deep engagement as anything else. These guys and gals should have done their job and faded away. The fact they haven't tells me more about their egos than it does about anything else.

    I stated my preference up thread for a much broader and more democratically chosen constitutional assembly - and it shouldn't just look at elections.

    Fixing elections is far from the only problem in this province and there is no reason that the citizens shouldn't be doing this work and engaging in these exercises in citizenship themselves.

    I don't appreciate Gibson and Blaney's little exercise one bit - it's just more of the kind of elitist nonsense that leads to sell-outs like the current premier.

    I don't know what the people would decide - but I'd far sooner turn it over to them than a "'citizens' assembly" that doesn't know when they've outstayed their welcome.

    If Campbell deigns to allow the people to vote I don't think there's even a slim chance STV will get the required 60% - the blatant animosity of the press in Ontario to their attempt at reform will just be played out here all over again. The powers that be like to have politicians in their pockets – especially here in BC – it’s how they manage to always come up smelling like roses.

    Until the people speak with one voice nothing will ever change and that will only happen when we have a premier who is more concerned with keeping promises than breaking them - come hell or high water.

    And, in the off chance that STV passes I’ll make you a little wager that the Christian fundies and probably the Chinese will have themselves ginger group members of the legislature after the very first election run under the new rules… in fact, there may be more than one of each.

    I think STV will be very easily gamed by a committed group of about 10,000 – organized by email and over the internet. Just wait and see.

  • G West

    4 years ago

    bun

    See above.

  • Tony

    4 years ago

    Promise From Premier Campbell

    Re: the question of whether or not the referendum will be held, I decided to write directly to the premier (as he is also my MLA) to enquire about whether the referendum was at risk. His response to me is quoted below:

    "Thank you for your email dated February 8, 2008, regarding electoral reform. As your MLA for Vancouver - Point Grey, I am pleased to confirm for you that this government will be holding another referendum on electoral reform in 2009, along with funding for both a 'yes' and 'no' campaign."

    I take this as an unequivocal promise, especially since my question to him explicitly raised the issue that the EBC report might not be accepted:

    "As a director of Fair Voting BC and one of your Point Grey constituents, I would like to ask you to confirm your government's intention to introduce legislation enabling the referendum on electoral reform which you promised for 2009, along with funding for public outreach for both the yes and no sides, regardless of the legislature's action with regard to the forthcoming EBC report".

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