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Federal Politics

Tories slip in polls; so do Liberals

A new EKOS poll shows the Conservative Party has fallen away from its recent high. But the slip has not benefited the Liberals.

Moreover, 49.2 percent of those polled said the country is moving in the right direction, compared to 39.1 percent who said it;s moving in the wrong direction.

But the direction of the government was approved by only 38.9 percent, compared to 48 percent who thought the government is moving in the wrong direction.

The EKOS news release said the Liberals "remain stuck in the mid-twenties, near to their worst-ever election performance (in terms of votes) in 2008." The release also quoted EKOS president Frank Graves:

"There has been a lot of buzz lately about Jack Layton and the NDP. The fact is that although Layton is the most popular of the national leaders at the moment, his party is at about the same plateau as it has been since Layton became leader, in the high teens. A further breakthrough is possible, but it is not yet visible."

The poll found that the Conservatives were at 33.6 percent in British Columbia, with the NDP at 26.9 percent. Federal Liberals in B.C. were at 19.8 percent, not far ahead of the 16.8 percent supporting the Greens.

And in Vancouver, EKOS found the Conservatives at 33.9 percent, the NDP at 27.5 percent, the Liberals at 21.3 percent, and the Greens at 15.6 percent.

The poll was conducted from May 26 to June 1, and involved 2,827 Canadian aged 18 or older. The margin of error is +/-1.9 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.

Crawford Kilian is a contributing editor of The Tyee.

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  • Frank

    1 year ago

    Coalition

    Wouldn't the Liberals and Greens make a better coalition than the NDP and Libs?

    Is there some sort of problem between the Libs and Greens I don't know about? Because I can't see any big difference between them, especially when Dion was leader.

  • realisticman

    1 year ago

    Sure

    The problem was that the Libs talked up a storm (no pun intended) on the environment but never really did anything. Just like they talked about day-care for years and years but never did anything, with the attempted "this time we mean it" promise, just before the election where they could see they were about to lose.

    Just before and between elections the federal Liberals are the party of grand promises but also the party of the quid pro quo. Promises are deals that are closely held and only played when a deal is right. It could be a by-election, or debt to a good buddy or because another election is coming up but never without a pragmatic reason. The party brass is so deeply entrenched in the belief that the patronage system is good that this is only way it can operate.

  • CanadianLatitude

    1 year ago

    Wouldn't the Liberals and

    Wouldn't the Liberals and Greens make a better coalition than the NDP and Libs?
    ===========

    How could a centre left party (NDP) form a coalition with a right wing party (Greens)? The Greens are a right wing party with an environmental plan.

    Not to mention the greens always poll higher between elections, yet they are lucky to get 4% come election time...

    What we need in this country is pro rep. The percentage of popular vote you get is the amount of seats you get.

  • Frank

    1 year ago

    CanadianLatitude and realisticman

    "How could a centre left party (NDP) form a coalition with a right wing party (Greens)?"

    I agree.

    "Just before and between elections the federal Liberals are the party of grand promises but also the party of the quid pro quo"

    I agree with you too.

    But I still don't see why the Libs and Greens couldn't get along famously. The Greens have little chance of winning a seat let alone government yet their share of the popular vote combined with the Libs would move them pretty close to the land of majority government, near 40%.

    And unlike a coalition with the NDP, the Libs wouldn't have to change much when it comes to their policies. As we saw in the last provincial election the Libs could institute a carbon tax to please the Greens and run everything else as they normally would.

  • G West

    1 year ago

    Hmm

    I dunno Frank, I think you could make an equally convincing argument that the Greens proper home is in Pee Wee's party.

    That's where Ms May worked for years AND, after all, she was instumental in getting that greenest PM award for Brian wasn't she?

    Of course, with Brian now in the doghouse maybe that connection will be something Ms May wouldn't like to recall with much pleasure either.

    Can't say I blame her for that!

  • Van Isle

    1 year ago

    I find this poll confusing;

    I find this poll confusing; 49.2% say the country is moving in the right direction but only 38.9% approve????? What goobly-gook is that?

  • realisticman

    1 year ago

    Frank

    Yes, the numbers are there as you point out. I think I saw a recent poll with them getting 12%, that is impressive. I suspect that some Green support comes from tiring of the older parties that always promise too much. The Liberals would not currently satisfy this sentiment. A few more years in purgatory will be needed before the Liberals can inspire, or be believed.

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