The Hook

The Hook Blog

Political News. Freshly caught. A Tyee Blog

Federal Politics

Grits still tied with Tories: Ekos

Support for the opposition Liberals remains tied with that for the governing Conservatives for the second week in a row, despite Prime Minister Stephen Harper's handling of the Haiti crisis, a new Ekos poll shows.

"There is no evidence that the government's actions on Haiti are providing any relief in the Conservatives' decline from clear dominance of the political landscape in October to basic parity with the Liberals today," EKOS President Frank Graves said in a release.

"Certainly, it would be a mistake to assume that extensive coverage of the Olympics in coming weeks will bring the government relief simply by distracting voters," Graves added.

The poll, fielded between January 20th and 26th, found voter intention as follows:

Liberal: 31.6%

Conservative: 31.1%

New Democrat: 14.6%

Green: 11.0%

Bloc Quebecois: 9.1%

Other: 2.6%

"We have seen public opinion reverse itself a couple of times in the last year, so it would be a mistake to say that any trend is irreversible," Graves said.

"However, the fact that prorogation backfired on the government, and that its response to Haiti has been well-received but has not translated into support for the Conservative party, suggests there may be some sturdiness to these trends," he added.

The Conservatives continue to lead among a smaller sample of 323 British Columbia voters:

Conservative: 32.4%

Liberal: 27.1%

New Democrat: 21.9%

Green: 14.6%

Other: 4%

The nationwide poll surveyed 3,206 Canadian adults. The margin of error associated with the total sample is +/-1.7 percentage points, 19 times out of 20. The margin of error for the B.C. sample is +/- 5.5 per cent.

Monte Paulsen reports for The Tyee.ca

18  Comments:

Login or register to post comments

  • seth

    2 years ago

    Greenies for Harpo

    The "Green" Party working hard on Harpo's election campaign hoping to siphon that 15% well meaning uninformed progressive voter to the Neocon cause.

  • crankypants

    2 years ago

    And we care because?

    Polls are like the weather, always changing. Governments have been making too many decisions based on the plethora of polls rather than consulting their constituents.

    One has to question the validity of polls such as this. The sample is so small compared to the number of potential voters for one. Another problem is that there is no guarantee that those that gave their opinions will actually vote next election or whether they are being honest with the interviewer.

  • OilbertaRedTory

    2 years ago

    We will care if Mr Minority ...

    lays claim to an issue that propels him to a majority.

    Call it the Aventine scenario from 1925.
    Or the Reichstag scenario from 1933.
    Or the Castillo-Calvo scenario from 1936.

    Nah - not our cuddly sweater-vester?
    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iVI19BXNBhk

    "Any excuse will serve a tyrant."
    Aesop's Fable - The Wolf and the Lamb

  • Monte Paulsen

    2 years ago

    Tories still up 4 points in Angus Reid poll

    The latest Angus Reid Public Opinion poll finds the Conservatives up four points:

    Conservatives: 33%

    Liberals: 29%

    New Democrats: 19%

    Bloc: 10%

    Green: 7%

    Research Director Hamish Marshall writes in an email:

    "We have shown a tightening of the gap between the Liberals and Conservatives, but not a tie. The government still has a four point lead. What is striking about the shifts in opinions in the last few weeks is that while views of the Prime Minister have gotten worse and Conservative support has trended down, Ignatieff’s numbers have not increased with Liberal ballot support."

  • Skywalker

    2 years ago

    Now 5 more pigs at the trough.

    Appointing another five Tory hacks as senators to snuffle up to the trough should just about take care of any excuse he gave that prorogation was anything more than politricks and take care of any lead the Tories have.

  • realisticman

    2 years ago

    'Reform'. The Senate.

    Harper always said that one of reasons for proroguing was because the Liberals in Senate were being obstructionist. So, he was going to fulfill his duty and appoint some to the vacant seats. When Parliament returns the legislation will then proceed without the Liberals blocking legislation.

    Good appointments. No serious commentator has described them as 'hacks'.

  • Fiat lux

    2 years ago

    The polls are very dangerous

    The polls are very dangerous and shouldn't be permitted at least a month before elections, because many people, who have absolutely no idea of the issues, always vote for the leaders in polls, thinking that the majority should know who is best.

    Ed Deak.

  • Frank

    2 years ago

    Harper's new Seantors

    Appoint a party president?

    What a bunch of Conservative hacks.

  • Frank

    2 years ago

    r'man

    I'm sorry you're the only Tory hack not being appointed to the Senate.

  • OilbertaRedTory

    2 years ago

    realistically, Mr Minority's Senate stuffing

    ... is best described not as a 'hack' attack.

    Unlike his last payola drive to the trough :
    http://preview.tinyurl.com/Hacks-for-Harper

    This time, serious commentators are calling them 'lapdogs':
    http://preview.tinyurl.com/LapDogs-for-Harper

  • realisticman

    2 years ago

    Oilberta

    Cute. Your link takes us to Don Martin's article that was written BEFORE the new Senators were named. Either Martin is clairvoyant or simply assuming.

  • Dan the socialist

    2 years ago

    Well this is the 4th poll in

    Well this is the 4th poll in a row that has them both at a dead heat, first one in ages where Libs are ahead although well within the margin of error.

    I wonder who will get most of that green vote? greens usually poll 9-11% but only get 4-5% come election day.

  • G West

    2 years ago

    SERIOUS COMMENT

    It has been alleged that the reason for Pee Wee's Senate appointment gambit was to counter an obstructionist vein in the current Red Chamber.

    This is, according to Conservative apologists for the dictator, a move to advance the tough on crime agenda through the Senate where, according to their fairy tale world, these 'important' bills are stalled.

    This is, plain an simple, a LIE - not all that different from virtually everything else Pee Wee and his army of mental dwarfs puts out.

    For those who care to check, Gloria Galloway has an excellent piece on the subject in today's (Saturday Jan 30) Globe and Mail at page A13.

    For those who don't have access to the paper Globe, it can be read by following this link:

    http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/national/selections-end-liberal-obstruction-of-agenda-tories-say/article1450371/

    Nicholson and his puppet master are, quite plainly, LIARS.

    They shame themselves and the country by their behavior - perhaps another $75 billion for the banks will convince Canadians that they are not sliding down a serious spiral both economically and morally ... pls note the result of today's G&M reader Poll while you're on their site.

  • OilbertaRedTory

    2 years ago

    realistically, clairvoyance and assumptions

    ... are the only tools permitted to the faith-based community while awaiting Revelation from the Dear Leader.

    In contrast, the factual-based communities saw the Great Recession arrive while Mr Minority was breaking his election law.
    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vkk_OR6Dqt8

    So too now, many - including Don Martin - saw the lapdogs sniffling around their masters' feet in the sure and certain hope of eternal rewards.

  • realisticman

    2 years ago

    Oily

    Knickers do become twisted when glory is mistaken for pragmatism.

    from the Globe piece praised above:

    "Although senators can hold their seats until they turn 75, all of the new appointees have promised to support Conservative legislation that would limit their terms to eight years. "

    Stephen Harper maintains his objective at Senate Reform by NOT telling these people that it's for life. They agree.

    Someone grab that outstretched hand, it's Iggy, he NOW want's to jump on to the bandwagon. What kept ya Ig? Let me guess.

  • realisticman

    2 years ago

    True sincerity from the Igmeister

    “I'm committed to Senate reform. Let's get a proposition on Senate reform that we can take to the provinces, get buy-in, and then we'll look at how we nominate and choose our senators,” Mr. Ignatieff said at a news conference. "

  • OilbertaRedTory

    2 years ago

    realistically, Mr Minority's promises

    ... have been found as wanting as his fiscal competence:
    http://trustbreaker.freehostia.com/

    Still, it's always heartening when the lapdogs admit to their partisan hackery.

  • Skywalker

    2 years ago

    They all promised.

    Just like Preston Manning wouldn't move into Stornaway and just like all those Reformers promised they wouldn't take their pensions. Oh yeah, I am so relieved they promised. Another five party hacks at the trough with "integrity".

    • No best comments selected by an editor for this story yet. To see all comments, click the All Comments tab, above.
    • The discussion for this story is closed. No more comments can be added.

    Off the Throne

    About The Hook

    The British Columbia legislature resumes sitting this week, but not before Premier Christy Clark outlined her spring agenda in an appearance on the Vancouver radio station where she used to work in what was pitched as a replacement for the throne speech. That agenda amounted to staying the course: focus on the economy, no money for teachers or anything else, and no higher taxes.

    This from a premier who won the leadership of her party on a "change" platform. Perhaps appropriate then that the government didn't bother with a more formal speech from the throne at a time when polls suggest an increasing number of people are wondering if the premier's going to, as they say, piss or get off the pot.

    -- Andrew MacLeod